(AD) Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize - Ratings and Ratios
Supermarkets, Convenience, Online, Pharmacy, Fuel
AD EPS (Earnings per Share)
AD Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 16.4% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 26.1% |
| Reward | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.65 |
| Alpha Jensen | 9.06 |
| Character | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.562 |
| Beta | 0.286 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 18.67% |
| Mean DD | 5.63% |
Description: AD Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize October 14, 2025
Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V. (ticker AD) is a Dutch-based multinational retailer that operates a broad portfolio of supermarkets, convenience stores and online grocery platforms across the Netherlands, the United States and other international markets. Its store network carries a full-line assortment-including fresh produce, dairy, meat, bakery, seafood, frozen foods, grocery, alcohol, health-and-beauty, household goods, electronics, gasoline and pharmacy items-under well-known banners such as Albert, Delhaize, Food Lion, Giant, Hannaford, Stop & Shop, and Super Indo.
Recent public filings show that FY 2023 net sales reached roughly €81.5 billion, with e-commerce contributing about 10 % of total revenue and growing at a compound annual rate of 15 % over the past three years. Same-store sales in the U.S. segment rose 3.5 % YoY, while the European business posted a modest 1.2 % increase, reflecting divergent consumer spending trends. Key economic drivers for the company include inflation-driven food price volatility, labor-cost pressure in both regions, and the ongoing shift toward omni-channel shopping that rewards strong logistics and digital fulfillment capabilities.
For a deeper quantitative dive, the ValueRay platform provides granular, real-time metrics that can help you validate these assumptions and assess the stock’s risk-adjusted upside.
AD Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 37,251m |
| Sub-Industry | Food Retail |
| IPO / Inception | |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 0.47% |
| Analyst Rating | - |
AD Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.26% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 6.08% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 3.70% |
| Payout Consistency | 79.1% |
| Payout Ratio | 44.9% |
AD Growth Ratios
| CAGR | 12.62% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.68 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 2.24 |
| Current Volume | 1792k |
| Average Volume | 1593.2k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income (1.85b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 5.50b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.10 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.18pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -5.24% (prev -2.68%; Δ -2.57pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 (>3.0%) and CFO 6.54b > Net Income 1.85b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (678.0m) to EBITDA (6.16b) ratio: 0.11 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.72 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (907.8m) change vs 12m ago -2.38% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 26.49% (prev 26.83%; Δ -0.34pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 183.9% (prev 175.6%; Δ 8.26pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 3.11 (EBITDA TTM 6.16b / Interest Expense TTM 804.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 70.85
| 1. Piotroski 6.50pt = 1.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 13.23% = 5.0 |
| 3. FCF Margin 5.18% = 1.29 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.53 = 2.36 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.11 = 2.49 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 3.47)% = 4.34 |
| 7. RoE 12.50% = 1.04 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 34.66% = 2.60 |
| 9. EPS Trend 4.33% = 0.22 |
What is the price of AD shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.64%, over one month by +0.44%, over three months by +3.70% and over the past year by +16.42%.
Is Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of AD is around 38.04 EUR . This means that AD is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 5.2%.
Is AD a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the AD price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 37.5 | 3.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 41.5 | 14.8% |
AD Fundamental Data Overview January 01, 1970
Market Cap EUR = 32.27b (32.27b EUR * 1.0 EUR.EUR)
P/E Trailing = 15.8502
P/E Forward = 12.5156
P/S = 0.3503
P/B = 2.1815
P/EG = 1.8802
Beta = 0.286
Revenue TTM = 91.65b EUR
EBIT TTM = 2.50b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 6.16b EUR
Long Term Debt = 4.60b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.89b EUR (from shortLongTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 7.49b EUR (Calculated: Short Term 2.89b + Long Term 4.60b)
Net Debt = 678.0m EUR (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 35.84b EUR (32.27b + Debt 7.49b - CCE 3.92b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.11 (Ebit TTM 2.50b / Interest Expense TTM 804.0m)
FCF Yield = 13.23% (FCF TTM 4.74b / Enterprise Value 35.84b)
FCF Margin = 5.18% (FCF TTM 4.74b / Revenue TTM 91.65b)
Net Margin = 2.02% (Net Income TTM 1.85b / Revenue TTM 91.65b)
Gross Margin = 26.49% ((Revenue TTM 91.65b - Cost of Revenue TTM 67.37b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 26.45% (prev 26.52%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.73 (Enterprise Value 35.84b / Total Assets 48.99b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.73% (Interest Expense 204.0m / Debt 7.49b)
Taxrate = 21.27% (147.0m / 691.0m)
NOPAT = 1.97b (EBIT 2.50b * (1 - 21.27%))
Current Ratio = 0.72 (Total Current Assets 12.19b / Total Current Liabilities 16.99b)
Debt / Equity = 0.53 (Debt 7.49b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 14.11b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.11 (Net Debt 678.0m / EBITDA 6.16b)
Debt / FCF = 0.14 (Net Debt 678.0m / FCF TTM 4.74b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 14.84b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.78% (Net Income 1.85b / Total Assets 48.99b)
RoE = 12.50% (Net Income TTM 1.85b / Total Stockholder Equity 14.84b)
RoCE = 12.85% (EBIT 2.50b / Capital Employed (Equity 14.84b + L.T.Debt 4.60b))
RoIC = 9.62% (NOPAT 1.97b / Invested Capital 20.45b)
WACC = 6.14% (E(32.27b)/V(39.76b) * Re(7.07%) + D(7.49b)/V(39.76b) * Rd(2.73%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 7.07% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -4.02%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 79.60% ; FCFE base≈4.57b ; Y1≈5.02b ; Y5≈6.43b
Fair Price DCF = 124.6 (DCF Value 111.80b / Shares Outstanding 896.9m; 5y FCF grow 11.26% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 4.33 | EPS CAGR: -2.58% | SUE: 1.85 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 34.66 | Revenue CAGR: 1.10% | SUE: 0.14 | # QB: 0