(ALFEN) Alfen Beheer BV - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: AS •
Country: Netherlands •
Currency: EUR •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: NL0012817175
Transformers, Storage, Chargers, Software
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 62.4% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 85.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -17.12% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.06 |
| Alpha | -22.12 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.56 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.625 |
| Beta | 0.381 |
| Beta Downside | 0.744 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 89.88% |
| Mean DD | 62.50% |
| Median DD | 79.16% |
Description: ALFEN Alfen Beheer BV October 28, 2025
Alfen N.V. (AS:ALFEN) designs, engineers, produces, and services smart-grid hardware, battery-based energy-storage systems, and connected electric-vehicle (EV) chargers across Europe, serving grid operators, PV farms, industrial users and public charging networks.
Key metrics that shape its outlook include a 2023 revenue increase of roughly 15 % driven by a 30 % YoY rise in EV-charging orders, an order backlog valued at €350 million (≈ 12 months of sales), and an operating margin hovering around 8 % after recent cost-efficiency initiatives. The business is highly sensitive to EU policy support for renewable integration and the projected 20 % CAGR in European EV-charging infrastructure through 2028, which underpins demand for Alfen’s modular substations and grid-balancing storage solutions.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, you may find it useful to explore Alfen’s valuation and risk profile on ValueRay, where the platform aggregates analyst forecasts and scenario analyses in a single view.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income (58.2m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 44.3m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.11 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -8.93pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 13.23% (prev 29.41%; Δ -16.17pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.05 (>3.0%) and CFO -16.4m <= Net Income 58.2m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-7.68m) to EBITDA (97.5m) ratio: -0.08 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.75 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (21.7m) change vs 12m ago -0.10% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 15.71% (prev 19.08%; Δ -3.37pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 200.6% (prev 85.43%; Δ 115.2pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 21.84 (EBITDA TTM 97.5m / Interest Expense TTM 3.90m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 4.99
| (A) 0.29 = (Total Current Assets 228.0m - Total Current Liabilities 130.2m) / Total Assets 338.7m |
| (B) 0.30 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 101.1m / Total Assets 338.7m |
| (C) 0.23 = EBIT TTM 85.2m / Avg Total Assets 368.3m |
| (D) 0.54 = Book Value of Equity 101.1m / Total Liabilities 187.4m |
| Total Rating: 4.99 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 68.65
| 1. Piotroski 6.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -18.10% |
| 3. FCF Margin -5.22% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.06 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.08 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 27.62)% |
| 7. RoE 35.73% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 96.75% |
| 9. EPS Trend -52.90% |
What is the price of ALFEN shares?
As of December 14, 2025, the stock is trading at EUR 10.17 with a total of 348,631 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.50%, over one month by -1.88%, over three months by +8.86% and over the past year by -18.91%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.50%, over one month by -1.88%, over three months by +8.86% and over the past year by -18.91%.
Is ALFEN a buy, sell or hold?
Alfen Beheer BV has no consensus analysts rating.
What are the forecasts/targets for the ALFEN price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 10.4 | 2.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 7 | -31.4% |
ALFEN Fundamental Data Overview December 12, 2025
Market Cap USD = 258.2m (220.7m EUR * 1.1701 EUR.USD)
Market Cap EUR = 220.7m (220.7m EUR * 1.0 EUR.EUR)
P/E Forward = 57.1429
P/S = 0.4867
P/B = 1.4792
Beta = 1.684
Revenue TTM = 738.8m EUR
EBIT TTM = 85.2m EUR
EBITDA TTM = 97.5m EUR
Long Term Debt = 5.31m EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 4.34m EUR (from shortLongTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 9.65m EUR (Calculated: Short Term 4.34m + Long Term 5.31m)
Net Debt = -7.68m EUR (calculated as Total Debt 9.65m - CCE 17.3m)
Enterprise Value = 213.0m EUR (220.7m + Debt 9.65m - CCE 17.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 21.84 (Ebit TTM 85.2m / Interest Expense TTM 3.90m)
FCF Yield = -18.10% (FCF TTM -38.6m / Enterprise Value 213.0m)
FCF Margin = -5.22% (FCF TTM -38.6m / Revenue TTM 738.8m)
Net Margin = 7.87% (Net Income TTM 58.2m / Revenue TTM 738.8m)
Gross Margin = 15.71% ((Revenue TTM 738.8m - Cost of Revenue TTM 622.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 14.91% (prev 11.88%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.63 (Enterprise Value 213.0m / Total Assets 338.7m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 24.01% (Interest Expense 2.32m / Debt 9.65m)
Taxrate = 21.76% (5.65m / 26.0m)
NOPAT = 66.7m (EBIT 85.2m * (1 - 21.76%))
Current Ratio = 1.75 (Total Current Assets 228.0m / Total Current Liabilities 130.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.06 (Debt 9.65m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 151.3m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.08 (Net Debt -7.68m / EBITDA 97.5m)
Debt / FCF = 0.20 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -7.68m / FCF TTM -38.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 162.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 17.18% (Net Income 58.2m / Total Assets 338.7m)
RoE = 35.73% (Net Income TTM 58.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 162.8m)
RoCE = 50.70% (EBIT 85.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 162.8m + L.T.Debt 5.31m))
RoIC = 35.52% (NOPAT 66.7m / Invested Capital 187.7m)
WACC = 7.90% (E(220.7m)/V(230.3m) * Re(7.42%) + D(9.65m)/V(230.3m) * Rd(24.01%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 7.42% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.00%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -38.6m)
EPS Correlation: -52.90 | EPS CAGR: -12.87% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 96.75 | Revenue CAGR: 100.7% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.20 | Chg30d=+0.003 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+225.0% | Growth Revenue=+4.9%
Market Cap EUR = 220.7m (220.7m EUR * 1.0 EUR.EUR)
P/E Forward = 57.1429
P/S = 0.4867
P/B = 1.4792
Beta = 1.684
Revenue TTM = 738.8m EUR
EBIT TTM = 85.2m EUR
EBITDA TTM = 97.5m EUR
Long Term Debt = 5.31m EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 4.34m EUR (from shortLongTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 9.65m EUR (Calculated: Short Term 4.34m + Long Term 5.31m)
Net Debt = -7.68m EUR (calculated as Total Debt 9.65m - CCE 17.3m)
Enterprise Value = 213.0m EUR (220.7m + Debt 9.65m - CCE 17.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 21.84 (Ebit TTM 85.2m / Interest Expense TTM 3.90m)
FCF Yield = -18.10% (FCF TTM -38.6m / Enterprise Value 213.0m)
FCF Margin = -5.22% (FCF TTM -38.6m / Revenue TTM 738.8m)
Net Margin = 7.87% (Net Income TTM 58.2m / Revenue TTM 738.8m)
Gross Margin = 15.71% ((Revenue TTM 738.8m - Cost of Revenue TTM 622.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 14.91% (prev 11.88%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.63 (Enterprise Value 213.0m / Total Assets 338.7m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 24.01% (Interest Expense 2.32m / Debt 9.65m)
Taxrate = 21.76% (5.65m / 26.0m)
NOPAT = 66.7m (EBIT 85.2m * (1 - 21.76%))
Current Ratio = 1.75 (Total Current Assets 228.0m / Total Current Liabilities 130.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.06 (Debt 9.65m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 151.3m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.08 (Net Debt -7.68m / EBITDA 97.5m)
Debt / FCF = 0.20 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -7.68m / FCF TTM -38.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 162.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 17.18% (Net Income 58.2m / Total Assets 338.7m)
RoE = 35.73% (Net Income TTM 58.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 162.8m)
RoCE = 50.70% (EBIT 85.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 162.8m + L.T.Debt 5.31m))
RoIC = 35.52% (NOPAT 66.7m / Invested Capital 187.7m)
WACC = 7.90% (E(220.7m)/V(230.3m) * Re(7.42%) + D(9.65m)/V(230.3m) * Rd(24.01%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 7.42% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.00%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -38.6m)
EPS Correlation: -52.90 | EPS CAGR: -12.87% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 96.75 | Revenue CAGR: 100.7% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.20 | Chg30d=+0.003 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+225.0% | Growth Revenue=+4.9%