(VPK) Koninklijke Vopak - Ratings and Ratios
Tank Storage, Liquid Chemicals, Gases, Oil Products
VPK EPS (Earnings per Share)
VPK Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 22.3% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 32.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -11.17% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.80 |
| Alpha | -19.17 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.555 |
| Beta | 0.106 |
| Beta Downside | 0.314 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 21.15% |
| Mean DD | 6.26% |
| Median DD | 5.06% |
Description: VPK Koninklijke Vopak November 06, 2025
Koninklijke Vopak N.V. (AS: VPK) is the world’s largest independent tank-storage specialist, providing bulk storage and handling for liquid chemicals, gases and oil products across energy and manufacturing value chains. Its asset portfolio comprises 77 terminals in 23 countries, totaling roughly 35.4 million m³ of storage capacity, and includes jetties, truck-loading stations and pipeline networks that serve producers, traders, governments and end-users.
Key operating metrics (FY 2023) show an average terminal utilization of ≈ 84 % and EBITDA of €1.2 bn, reflecting strong demand for safe, near-shore storage amid volatile commodity markets. The business is increasingly tied to secular drivers such as the global energy transition-Vopak is expanding low-carbon infrastructure for hydrogen, CO₂ capture, battery storage and sustainable aviation fuel, sectors projected to grow at double-digit CAGR through 2030.
Given Vopak’s high-margin, asset-light model and its exposure to both traditional hydrocarbon flows and emerging renewable-fuel logistics, the stock’s valuation is sensitive to freight-rate cycles, regulatory caps on storage fees and the pace of hydrogen-pipeline roll-outs; any material shift in these variables would materially alter the risk-reward profile. For a deeper, data-driven assessment of Vopak’s upside potential, a quick look at the company’s ValueRay profile can surface the most relevant quantitative insights.
VPK Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 5,207m |
| Sub-Industry | Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation |
| IPO / Inception | |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -22.2% |
| Analyst Rating | - |
VPK Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 4.29% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 4.40% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 6.87% |
| Payout Consistency | 92.7% |
| Payout Ratio | 48.3% |
VPK Growth Ratios
| CAGR 3y | 14.50% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.69 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 2.32 |
| Current Volume | 157k |
| Average Volume | 104.4k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income (726.2m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 149.5m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -3.03pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -5.69% (prev -24.01%; Δ 18.33pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO 371.2m <= Net Income 726.2m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (2.11b) to EBITDA (1.14b) ratio: 1.86 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.77 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (115.0m) change vs 12m ago -8.29% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 36.09% (prev 39.77%; Δ -3.68pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 36.89% (prev 28.82%; Δ 8.06pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.94 (EBITDA TTM 1.14b / Interest Expense TTM 260.4m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.19
| (A) -0.02 = (Total Current Assets 473.7m - Total Current Liabilities 615.4m) / Total Assets 6.68b |
| (B) 0.49 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 3.29b / Total Assets 6.68b |
| (C) 0.11 = EBIT TTM 764.9m / Avg Total Assets 6.76b |
| (D) 0.92 = Book Value of Equity 3.29b / Total Liabilities 3.58b |
| Total Rating: 3.19 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 71.79
| 1. Piotroski 3.50pt = -1.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.41% = 1.21 |
| 3. FCF Margin 6.40% = 1.60 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.74 = 2.23 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.86 = 0.28 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 9.08)% = 11.34 |
| 7. RoE 23.48% = 1.96 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 45.24% = 3.39 |
| 9. EPS Trend 25.61% = 1.28 |
What is the price of VPK shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.11%, over one month by -4.84%, over three months by -10.12% and over the past year by -10.83%.
Is Koninklijke Vopak a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of VPK is around 35.83 EUR . This means that VPK is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -3.99%.
Is VPK a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the VPK price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 51.8 | 38.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 38.8 | 4% |
VPK Fundamental Data Overview January 01, 1970
Market Cap EUR = 4.49b (4.49b EUR * 1.0 EUR.EUR)
P/E Trailing = 9.2379
P/E Forward = 11.1111
P/S = 3.3987
P/B = 1.4703
P/EG = -18.08
Beta = 0.81
Revenue TTM = 2.49b EUR
EBIT TTM = 764.9m EUR
EBITDA TTM = 1.14b EUR
Long Term Debt = 2.04b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 168.1m EUR (from shortLongTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.21b EUR (Calculated: Short Term 168.1m + Long Term 2.04b)
Net Debt = 2.11b EUR (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 6.60b EUR (4.49b + Debt 2.21b - CCE 99.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.94 (Ebit TTM 764.9m / Interest Expense TTM 260.4m)
FCF Yield = 2.41% (FCF TTM 159.4m / Enterprise Value 6.60b)
FCF Margin = 6.40% (FCF TTM 159.4m / Revenue TTM 2.49b)
Net Margin = 29.14% (Net Income TTM 726.2m / Revenue TTM 2.49b)
Gross Margin = 36.09% ((Revenue TTM 2.49b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.59b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 22.90% (prev 29.02%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.99 (Enterprise Value 6.60b / Total Assets 6.68b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.12% (Interest Expense 69.0m / Debt 2.21b)
Taxrate = 3.69% (5.20m / 140.9m)
NOPAT = 736.7m (EBIT 764.9m * (1 - 3.69%))
Current Ratio = 0.77 (Total Current Assets 473.7m / Total Current Liabilities 615.4m)
Debt / Equity = 0.74 (Debt 2.21b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.97b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.86 (Net Debt 2.11b / EBITDA 1.14b)
Debt / FCF = 13.24 (Net Debt 2.11b / FCF TTM 159.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.09b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.88% (Net Income 726.2m / Total Assets 6.68b)
RoE = 23.48% (Net Income TTM 726.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.09b)
RoCE = 14.89% (EBIT 764.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.09b + L.T.Debt 2.04b))
RoIC = 14.37% (NOPAT 736.7m / Invested Capital 5.13b)
WACC = 5.29% (E(4.49b)/V(6.70b) * Re(6.42%) + D(2.21b)/V(6.70b) * Rd(3.12%) * (1-Tc(0.04)))
Discount Rate = 6.42% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.15%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 81.43% ; FCFE base≈243.9m ; Y1≈300.9m ; Y5≈513.3m
Fair Price DCF = 76.21 (DCF Value 8.73b / Shares Outstanding 114.6m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 25.61 | EPS CAGR: 3.48% | SUE: 0.03 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 45.24 | Revenue CAGR: 39.44% | SUE: -0.05 | # QB: 0