(ACVA) ACV Auctions - Overview
Stock: Auctions, Inspections, Transport, Financing, Software
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 53.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -4.76% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -1.33 |
| Alpha | -84.43 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.359 |
| Beta Downside | 1.352 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 78.03% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.11 |
Description: ACVA ACV Auctions January 12, 2026
ACV Auctions (NASDAQ: ACVA) runs a B2B wholesale auction platform that connects dealer sellers with dealer buyers for used-vehicle transactions. Its core services include live digital auctions, a 24-hour “Run List” pre-screening tool, real-time transportation quoting, short-term inventory financing (ACV Capital), and a “Go Green” defect-assurance program. The company also operates remarketing centers that provide reconditioning, storage, and logistics for fleet, rental-car, and financial-sector consignors, while monetizing data through True360 vehicle condition reports, market pricing analytics, and the ACV MAX inventory-management SaaS suite.
In its most recent fiscal year (2023), ACVA reported revenue of roughly $210 million, up about 18 % YoY, driven primarily by a 22 % increase in auction volume and a 15 % rise in financing fees from ACV Capital. Gross margin expanded to 42 % from 38 % the prior year, reflecting higher-margin data services and improved pricing power in its remarketing operations. The platform now serves over 12,000 dealer users and processes an estimated 1.2 million vehicle listings annually, indicating strong network effects, though the company remains sensitive to dealer inventory cycles and credit-risk exposure.
Key macro and sector drivers include: (1) the persistent shortage of new-car inventory, which pushes dealers toward used-vehicle sourcing and elevates demand for ACVA’s auction and financing solutions; (2) interest-rate volatility, which directly impacts the cost and attractiveness of short-term inventory financing; and (3) the broader digital-transformation trend in automotive wholesale, where platforms that can combine real-time data, logistics, and financing are gaining market share over traditional floor-based auctions. A slowdown in dealer capital availability or a rapid normalization of new-car supply could pressure ACVA’s transaction volumes.
For a deeper quantitative view of ACVA’s valuation metrics, the ValueRay platform offers a concise dashboard that may be worth a look.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income: -72.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 4.64 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 39.54% < 20% (prev 36.41%; Δ 3.14% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 87.4m > Net Income -72.7m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 1.62 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (171.3m) vs 12m ago 3.39% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 58.30% > 18% (prev 0.51%; Δ 5779 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 66.84% > 50% (prev 57.62%; Δ 9.21% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -7.23 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -20.2m / Interest Expense TTM 8.71m) |
Altman Z'' -1.07
| A: 0.25 (Total Current Assets 762.5m - Total Current Liabilities 471.7m) / Total Assets 1.17b |
| B: -0.47 (Retained Earnings -548.9m / Total Assets 1.17b) |
| C: -0.06 (EBIT TTM -63.0m / Avg Total Assets 1.10b) |
| D: -0.75 (Book Value of Equity -547.3m / Total Liabilities 732.0m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -1.07 = CCC |
Beneish M -3.55
| DSRI: 0.53 (Receivables 218.9m/334.5m, Revenue 735.5m/596.0m) |
| GMI: 0.88 (GM 58.30% / 51.48%) |
| AQI: 0.90 (AQ_t 0.34 / AQ_t-1 0.37) |
| SGI: 1.23 (Revenue 735.5m / 596.0m) |
| TATA: -0.14 (NI -72.7m - CFO 87.4m) / TA 1.17b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.55 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
What is the price of ACVA shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.63%, over one month by -13.80%, over three months by +44.79% and over the past year by -64.85%.
Is ACVA a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 5
- Buy: 7
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ACVA price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 10.7 | 45.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 10.7 | 45.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 6.1 | -16.8% |
ACVA Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/S = 1.927
P/B = 3.1228
Revenue TTM = 735.5m USD
EBIT TTM = -63.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = -20.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 220.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 220.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -45.3m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.32b USD (1.42b + Debt 220.0m - CCE 316.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -7.23 (Ebit TTM -63.0m / Interest Expense TTM 8.71m)
EV/FCF = 20.74x (Enterprise Value 1.32b / FCF TTM 63.7m)
FCF Yield = 4.82% (FCF TTM 63.7m / Enterprise Value 1.32b)
FCF Margin = 8.66% (FCF TTM 63.7m / Revenue TTM 735.5m)
Net Margin = -9.89% (Net Income TTM -72.7m / Revenue TTM 735.5m)
Gross Margin = 58.30% ((Revenue TTM 735.5m - Cost of Revenue TTM 306.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 64.49% (prev 52.90%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.13 (Enterprise Value 1.32b / Total Assets 1.17b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.13% (Interest Expense 2.48m / Debt 220.0m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -49.7m (EBIT -63.0m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.62 (Total Current Assets 762.5m / Total Current Liabilities 471.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.51 (Debt 220.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 434.4m)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.25 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -45.3m / EBITDA -20.2m)
Debt / FCF = -0.71 (Net Debt -45.3m / FCF TTM 63.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 440.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -6.61% (Net Income -72.7m / Total Assets 1.17b)
RoE = -16.50% (Net Income TTM -72.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 440.7m)
RoCE = -9.53% (EBIT -63.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 440.7m + L.T.Debt 220.0m))
RoIC = -8.09% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -49.7m / Invested Capital 614.7m)
WACC = 9.57% (E(1.42b)/V(1.64b) * Re(10.92%) + D(220.0m)/V(1.64b) * Rd(1.13%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 10.92% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 3.11%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 63.46% ; FCFF base≈41.6m ; Y1≈27.3m ; Y5≈12.5m
Fair Price DCF = 1.38 (EV 191.8m - Net Debt -45.3m = Equity 237.1m / Shares 172.2m; r=9.57% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 2.90% )
[DCF Warning] FCF declining rapidly (-40.0%), DCF may be unreliable
EPS Correlation: 77.91 | EPS CAGR: 89.54% | SUE: 0.90 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 94.91 | Revenue CAGR: 20.18% | SUE: -0.09 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.04 | Chg30d=-0.004 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=8
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.25 | Chg30d=+0.002 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+48.0% | Growth Revenue=+12.5%