(AISP) Airship AI Holdings - Overview
Stock: AI Surveillance, Data Management, Outpost AI, Acropolis, Command Suite
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 118% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -16.9% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.19 |
| Alpha | -68.58 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.881 |
| Beta Downside | 2.066 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 87.56% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.41 |
Description: AISP Airship AI Holdings January 02, 2026
Airship AI Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:AISP) develops AI-driven data-management and surveillance platforms for U.S. government, enterprise, law-enforcement, and military customers. Its flagship products include Outpost AI, which applies proprietary trained models to structure and analyze data at the source, Acropolis-a modular enterprise-management suite with variants for commercial SMBs (schools, hospitals, casinos, logistics, retail) and for law-enforcement/defense (Acropolis Law), and Airship Command, a visualization layer that lets users interact with data and connected devices in real time.
Beyond software, the firm monetizes professional services such as custom model training, system integrations, workflow optimization, and ongoing technical support. Founded in 2006 and headquartered in Redmond, Washington, Airship AI operates within the GICS Application Software sub-industry and trades as common stock under the ticker AISP.
Recent metrics indicate the company’s ARR grew ~22% YoY to $12.5 million in Q4 2023, while its government contract backlog rose to $8 million, reflecting heightened demand for AI-enabled surveillance amid rising cybersecurity budgets. The broader AI-enabled data-analytics market is projected to expand at a CAGR of ~30% through 2028, driven by increasing data-volume pressures and regulatory mandates for real-time monitoring.
For a deeper dive into Airship AI’s valuation dynamics and comparable peer analysis, consider exploring the detailed report on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 1.5
| Net Income: -43.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -225.3 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -22.5k > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 13.04% < 20% (prev 0.12%; Δ 12.92% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -225.3 > 3% & CFO -1.83b > Net Income -43.8m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 1.29 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (42.0m) vs 12m ago 18.41% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 46.62% > 18% (prev 0.46%; Δ 4617 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 139.9% > 50% (prev 264.4%; Δ -124.5% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -0.36 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -68.5m / Interest Expense TTM 191.1m) |
Altman Z'' -15.00
| A: 0.19 (Total Current Assets 7.03m - Total Current Liabilities 5.47m) / Total Assets 8.10m |
| B: -8.46 (Retained Earnings -68.6m / Total Assets 8.10m) |
| C: -8.00 (EBIT TTM -68.8m / Avg Total Assets 8.60m) |
| D: -1.42 (Book Value of Equity -68.6m / Total Liabilities 48.2m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -81.60 = D |
Beneish M 1.00
| DSRI: 2.22 (Receivables 1.25m/1.12m, Revenue 12.0m/24.1m) |
| GMI: 0.98 (GM 46.62% / 45.62%) |
| AQI: 1.16 (AQ_t 0.02 / AQ_t-1 0.02) |
| SGI: 0.50 (Revenue 12.0m / 24.1m) |
| TATA: 219.9 (NI -43.8m - CFO -1.83b) / TA 8.10m) |
| Beneish M-Score: 224.0 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
What is the price of AISP shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -12.22%, over one month by -12.50%, over three months by -33.25% and over the past year by -44.62%.
Is AISP a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the AISP price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 8 | 193% |
| Analysts Target Price | 8 | 193% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 2.2 | -17.9% |
AISP Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/S = 8.8322
Revenue TTM = 12.0m USD
EBIT TTM = -68.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = -68.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 966.9k USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 427.5k USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 966.9k USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -4.79m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 101.5m USD (106.3m + Debt 966.9k - CCE 5.76m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.36 (Ebit TTM -68.8m / Interest Expense TTM 191.1m)
EV/FCF = -0.06x (Enterprise Value 101.5m / FCF TTM -1.83b)
FCF Yield = -1799 % (FCF TTM -1.83b / Enterprise Value 101.5m)
FCF Margin = -15.2k% (FCF TTM -1.83b / Revenue TTM 12.0m)
Net Margin = -364.1% (Net Income TTM -43.8m / Revenue TTM 12.0m)
Gross Margin = 46.62% ((Revenue TTM 12.0m - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.42m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 51.28% (prev 71.38%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 12.53 (Enterprise Value 101.5m / Total Assets 8.10m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5434 % (Interest Expense 52.5m / Debt 966.9k)
Taxrate = 0.0% (0.0 / 6.41m)
NOPAT = -68.8m (EBIT -68.8m * (1 - 0.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.29 (Total Current Assets 7.03m / Total Current Liabilities 5.47m)
Debt / Equity = -0.02 (negative equity) (Debt 966.9k / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -40.1m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.07 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -4.79m / EBITDA -68.5m)
Debt / FCF = 0.00 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -4.79m / FCF TTM -1.83b)
Total Stockholder Equity = -40.9m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -509.5% (out of range, set to none)
RoE = 107.2% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM -43.8m / Total Stockholder Equity -40.9m)
RoCE = 172.5% (negative capital employed) (EBIT -68.8m / Capital Employed (Equity -40.9m + L.T.Debt 966.9k))
RoIC = 168.4% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -68.8m / Invested Capital -40.9m)
WACC = 12.73% (E(106.3m)/V(107.3m) * Re(12.85%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 12.85% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 43.47%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -1.83b)
EPS Correlation: -16.18 | EPS CAGR: 56.16% | SUE: 0.16 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -25.32 | Revenue CAGR: -28.29% | SUE: -3.29 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.01 | Chg30d=-0.030 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.05 | Chg30d=-0.150 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+133.3% | Growth Revenue=+135.3%