(ALAB) Astera Labs - Overview
Sector: Technology | Industry: Semiconductors | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 35.541m USD | Total Return: 152.4% in 12m
Industry Rotation: +15.8
Avg Turnover: 1.07B
EPS Trend: 90.7%
Qual. Beats: 4
Rev. Trend: 91.9%
Qual. Beats: 5
Warnings
P/E ratio 141.1
Beneish M-Score 1.00 > -1.5 - likely earnings manipulation
Choppy
Tailwinds
Leader, Confidence
Astera Labs, Inc. (ALAB) specializes in semiconductor-based connectivity solutions designed to optimize data transmission within cloud and artificial intelligence infrastructure. The company’s core offering is an intelligent connectivity platform that integrates high-speed mixed-signal hardware with the COSMOS software suite for fleet-level resource management. Its product portfolio includes PCIe/CXL retimers, Ethernet cable modules, and memory connectivity controllers tailored for hyperscale data centers and original equipment manufacturers.
The business operates within the high-growth data center interconnect market, where increasing AI workloads drive demand for low-latency, high-bandwidth communication between GPUs and memory. As a fabless semiconductor firm, Astera Labs focuses on design and intellectual property while outsourcing the capital-intensive manufacturing process to third-party foundries. For a deeper look into the companys valuation metrics and competitive positioning, consider exploring the data available on ValueRay.
- Hyperscaler demand for AI infrastructure drives adoption of Aries PCIe retimers
- Expansion of Taurus Ethernet Smart Cable Modules increases market share in data centers
- Deployment of Leo CXL memory controllers boosts revenue from high-performance computing
- High customer concentration among cloud giants creates significant revenue volatility risk
- Production scaling and manufacturing yields impact gross margins for connectivity solutions
| Net Income: 267.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.21 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 11.02 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 128.6% < 20% (prev 203.6%; Δ -74.98% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.23 > 3% & CFO 383.4m > Net Income 267.6m |
| Net Debt (-1.15b) to EBITDA (256.8m): -4.48 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 11.30 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (181.2m) vs 12m ago 1.71% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 75.99% > 18% (prev 0.76%; Δ 7.52k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 72.02% > 50% (prev 43.73%; Δ 28.30% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBITDA TTM and Interest Expense TTM) |
| A: 0.78 (Total Current Assets 1.41b - Total Current Liabilities 125.0m) / Total Assets 1.66b |
| B: 0.05 (Retained Earnings 90.6m / Total Assets 1.66b) |
| C: 0.18 (EBIT TTM 247.4m / Avg Total Assets 1.39b) |
| D: 0.54 (Book Value of Equity 89.9m / Total Liabilities 165.3m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 7.04 = AAA |
| DSRI: 0.95 (Receivables 134.8m/69.8m, Revenue 1.00b/490.5m) |
| GMI: 1.00 (GM 75.99% / 75.76%) |
| AQI: 15.75 (AQ_t 0.09 / AQ_t-1 0.01) |
| SGI: 2.04 (Revenue 1.00b / 490.5m) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI 267.6m - CFO 383.4m) / TA 1.66b) |
| Beneish M-Score: 6.35 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
Over the past week, the price has changed by +16.46%, over one month by +35.21%, over three months by +88.12% and over the past year by +152.39%.
- StrongBuy: 9
- Buy: 7
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 242.5 | 4.2% |
P/E Forward = 67.5676
P/S = 35.4902
P/B = 22.9229
Revenue TTM = 1.00b USD
EBIT TTM = 247.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 256.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 4.15m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 35.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = -1.15b USD (recalculated: Debt 35.1m - CCE 1.18b)
Enterprise Value = 34.39b USD (35.54b + Debt 35.1m - CCE 1.18b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM 247.4m / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
EV/FCF = 100.3x (Enterprise Value 34.39b / FCF TTM 342.8m)
FCF Yield = 1.00% (FCF TTM 342.8m / Enterprise Value 34.39b)
FCF Margin = 34.23% (FCF TTM 342.8m / Revenue TTM 1.00b)
Net Margin = 26.72% (Net Income TTM 267.6m / Revenue TTM 1.00b)
Gross Margin = 75.99% ((Revenue TTM 1.00b - Cost of Revenue TTM 240.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 76.26% (prev 75.57%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 20.73 (Enterprise Value 34.39b / Total Assets 1.66b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 35.1m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 195.4m (EBIT 247.4m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 11.30 (Total Current Assets 1.41b / Total Current Liabilities 125.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.02 (Debt 35.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.49b)
Debt / EBITDA = -4.48 (Net Debt -1.15b / EBITDA 256.8m)
Debt / FCF = -3.35 (Net Debt -1.15b / FCF TTM 342.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.32b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 19.25% (Net Income 267.6m / Total Assets 1.66b)
RoE = 20.33% (Net Income TTM 267.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.32b)
RoCE = 18.74% (EBIT 247.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.32b + L.T.Debt 4.15m))
RoIC = 14.85% (NOPAT 195.4m / Invested Capital 1.32b)
WACC = 17.50% (E(35.54b)/V(35.58b) * Re(17.52%) + D(35.1m)/V(35.58b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 17.52% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 17.38%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 91.11 | Cagr: 7.95%
[DCF] Terminal Value 56.40% ; FCFF base≈249.0m ; Y1≈307.1m ; Y5≈524.0m
[DCF] Fair Price = 23.89 (EV 2.95b - Net Debt -1.15b = Equity 4.09b / Shares 171.4m; r=17.50% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 90.71 | EPS CAGR: 106.0% | SUE: 1.27 | # QB: 4
Revenue Correlation: 91.90 | Revenue CAGR: 103.7% | SUE: 2.18 | # QB: 5
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.69 | Chg30d=+25.82% | Revisions=+83% | Analysts=22
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.79 | Chg30d=+22.65% | Revisions=+83% | Analysts=21
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.00 | Chg30d=+20.62% | Revisions=+84% | GrowthEPS=+63.1% | GrowthRev=+81.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=4.18 | Chg30d=+16.75% | Revisions=+84% | GrowthEPS=+39.2% | GrowthRev=+41.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +84%