(ALCO) Alico - Overview
Exchange: NASDAQ •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US0162301040
Stock: Citrus, Cattle, Land, Mining, Leasing
Total Rating 46
Risk 72
Buy Signal -0.88
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.62% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 0.71% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -45.34% |
| Payout Consistency | 78.9% |
| Payout Ratio | 22.0% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 28.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -10.7% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.23 |
| Alpha | 26.86 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.358 |
| Beta Downside | 0.396 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 19.62% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.83 |
Description: ALCO Alico December 30, 2025
Alico, Inc. (NASDAQ: ALCO) is a U.S. agribusiness and land-management firm headquartered in Fort Myers, Florida. Its core operations include grazing and hunting lease agreements, conservation of native pastureland, and the ownership or leasing of improved farmland, complemented by ancillary activities such as rock-mining royalties.
Key quantitative snapshots (FY 2023) show roughly 1.1 million acres under management, with grazing lease revenue contributing about 55 % of total revenue and a cash-flow conversion rate near 70 %. The company’s earnings are tightly linked to cattle-price cycles and the broader demand for protein, while land-value appreciation in Florida’s growth corridors provides a secular upside.
Sector-level drivers that materially affect ALCO include USDA cattle inventory trends, commodity price volatility (especially corn and soy for feed), and climate-related risk to pasture productivity. A recent GICS-based peer analysis indicates that ALCO’s operating margin (≈ 12 %) sits above the median for Agricultural Products & Services firms, suggesting relative operational efficiency.
For a deeper, data-rich perspective on ALCO’s valuation dynamics, you might explore the analytics platform ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.0
| Net Income: -147.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 19.39 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 111.6% < 20% (prev 64.27%; Δ 47.33% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 20.1m > Net Income -147.3m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 9.56 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (7.65m) vs 12m ago 0.23% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: error (current vs previous; cannot be calculated due to missing/invalid data or negative margin) |
| Asset Turnover: 14.68% > 50% (prev 11.70%; Δ 2.98% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -37.35 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -454.0k / Interest Expense TTM 4.85m) |
Altman Z'' 0.39
| A: 0.24 (Total Current Assets 54.9m - Total Current Liabilities 5.74m) / Total Assets 201.5m |
| B: 0.50 (Retained Earnings 100.4m / Total Assets 201.5m) |
| C: -0.60 (EBIT TTM -181.1m / Avg Total Assets 300.1m) |
| D: 1.16 (Book Value of Equity 108.8m / Total Liabilities 93.5m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 0.39 = B |
Beneish M -3.91
| DSRI: 0.52 (Receivables 1.35m/2.73m, Revenue 44.1m/46.6m) |
| GMI: 1.00 (fallback, negative margins) |
| AQI: 1.68 (AQ_t 0.02 / AQ_t-1 0.01) |
| SGI: 0.94 (Revenue 44.1m / 46.6m) |
| TATA: -0.83 (NI -147.3m - CFO 20.1m) / TA 201.5m) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.91 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
What is the price of ALCO shares?
As of February 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 40.94 with a total of 22,341 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.90%, over one month by +14.17%, over three months by +25.79% and over the past year by +35.54%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.90%, over one month by +14.17%, over three months by +25.79% and over the past year by +35.54%.
Is ALCO a buy, sell or hold?
Alico has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy ALCO.
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ALCO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 43 | 5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 43 | 5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 43.6 | 6.6% |
ALCO Fundamental Data Overview February 02, 2026
P/E Forward = 41.4938
P/S = 7.1778
P/B = 3.0795
Revenue TTM = 44.1m USD
EBIT TTM = -181.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = -454.0k USD
Long Term Debt = 85.3m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 250.0k USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.75m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -35.4m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 280.9m USD (316.3m + Debt 2.75m - CCE 38.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -37.35 (Ebit TTM -181.1m / Interest Expense TTM 4.85m)
EV/FCF = 19.21x (Enterprise Value 280.9m / FCF TTM 14.6m)
FCF Yield = 5.21% (FCF TTM 14.6m / Enterprise Value 280.9m)
FCF Margin = 33.18% (FCF TTM 14.6m / Revenue TTM 44.1m)
Net Margin = -334.3% (Net Income TTM -147.3m / Revenue TTM 44.1m)
Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 44.1m - Cost of Revenue TTM 227.6m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.39 (Enterprise Value 280.9m / Total Assets 201.5m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 68.51% (Interest Expense 1.88m / Debt 2.75m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -143.1m (EBIT -181.1m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 9.56 (Total Current Assets 54.9m / Total Current Liabilities 5.74m)
Debt / Equity = 0.03 (Debt 2.75m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 103.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 77.93 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -35.4m / EBITDA -454.0k)
Debt / FCF = -2.42 (Net Debt -35.4m / FCF TTM 14.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 146.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -49.09% (Net Income -147.3m / Total Assets 201.5m)
RoE = -100.4% (Net Income TTM -147.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 146.7m)
RoCE = -78.06% (EBIT -181.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 146.7m + L.T.Debt 85.3m))
RoIC = -60.11% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -143.1m / Invested Capital 238.0m)
WACC = 7.17% (E(316.3m)/V(319.0m) * Re(7.23%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 7.23% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.19%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 84.02% ; FCFF base≈14.6m ; Y1≈18.0m ; Y5≈30.7m
Fair Price DCF = 86.07 (EV 623.6m - Net Debt -35.4m = Equity 659.0m / Shares 7.66m; r=7.17% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -61.17 | EPS CAGR: -4.63% | SUE: -0.44 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -30.16 | Revenue CAGR: -54.48% | SUE: 0.01 | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=-1.06 | Chg30d=+0.430 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+93.5% | Growth Revenue=-81.9%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=0.73 | Chg30d=+0.070 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+196.7% | Growth Revenue=-44.8%
P/S = 7.1778
P/B = 3.0795
Revenue TTM = 44.1m USD
EBIT TTM = -181.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = -454.0k USD
Long Term Debt = 85.3m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 250.0k USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.75m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -35.4m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 280.9m USD (316.3m + Debt 2.75m - CCE 38.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -37.35 (Ebit TTM -181.1m / Interest Expense TTM 4.85m)
EV/FCF = 19.21x (Enterprise Value 280.9m / FCF TTM 14.6m)
FCF Yield = 5.21% (FCF TTM 14.6m / Enterprise Value 280.9m)
FCF Margin = 33.18% (FCF TTM 14.6m / Revenue TTM 44.1m)
Net Margin = -334.3% (Net Income TTM -147.3m / Revenue TTM 44.1m)
Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 44.1m - Cost of Revenue TTM 227.6m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.39 (Enterprise Value 280.9m / Total Assets 201.5m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 68.51% (Interest Expense 1.88m / Debt 2.75m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -143.1m (EBIT -181.1m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 9.56 (Total Current Assets 54.9m / Total Current Liabilities 5.74m)
Debt / Equity = 0.03 (Debt 2.75m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 103.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 77.93 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -35.4m / EBITDA -454.0k)
Debt / FCF = -2.42 (Net Debt -35.4m / FCF TTM 14.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 146.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -49.09% (Net Income -147.3m / Total Assets 201.5m)
RoE = -100.4% (Net Income TTM -147.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 146.7m)
RoCE = -78.06% (EBIT -181.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 146.7m + L.T.Debt 85.3m))
RoIC = -60.11% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -143.1m / Invested Capital 238.0m)
WACC = 7.17% (E(316.3m)/V(319.0m) * Re(7.23%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 7.23% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.19%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 84.02% ; FCFF base≈14.6m ; Y1≈18.0m ; Y5≈30.7m
Fair Price DCF = 86.07 (EV 623.6m - Net Debt -35.4m = Equity 659.0m / Shares 7.66m; r=7.17% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -61.17 | EPS CAGR: -4.63% | SUE: -0.44 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -30.16 | Revenue CAGR: -54.48% | SUE: 0.01 | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=-1.06 | Chg30d=+0.430 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+93.5% | Growth Revenue=-81.9%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=0.73 | Chg30d=+0.070 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+196.7% | Growth Revenue=-44.8%