(ALGT) Allegiant Travel - Overview
Stock: Airline, Resort, Charter, Package, Ancillary
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 48.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -6.93% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.64 |
| Alpha | 9.69 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.991 |
| Beta Downside | 1.928 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 70.95% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.13 |
Description: ALGT Allegiant Travel January 20, 2026
Allegiant Travel Company (NASDAQ:ALGT) is a leisure-focused carrier that targets under-served U.S. cities, operating a scheduled airline segment and a Sunseeker Resort segment that includes a golf course and related hospitality assets.
As of February 1 2025 the airline runs 119 Airbus A320-family jets and four Boeing 737s, delivering limited-frequency, nonstop flights to vacation destinations while monetizing a broad menu of ancillary services-larger seats, baggage fees, priority boarding, onboard food & beverage, and third-party travel products such as hotels and car rentals.
In FY 2024 the company generated roughly $1.2 billion in revenue, with ancillary sales accounting for about 30 % of total revenue and an average load factor near 80 %, reflecting the profitability of its “low-cost, high-ancillary” model.
Key economic drivers include discretionary consumer spending trends, gasoline/fuel price volatility, and the broader airline capacity shortage that has kept leisure demand robust; ALGT’s focus on secondary airports helps it capture price-sensitive travelers while maintaining lower operating costs.
For a deeper dive into ALGT’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, you may find ValueRay’s research platform a useful next step.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income: -44.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 10.84 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1085 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -43.77% < 20% (prev -11.37%; Δ -32.39% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 449.3 > 3% & CFO 362.0m > Net Income -44.7m |
| Net Debt (1.63m) to EBITDA (326.5m): 0.00 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.00 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (18.2m) vs 12m ago 0.97% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 29.49% > 18% (prev 0.15%; Δ 2934 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 114.6% > 50% (prev 55.26%; Δ 59.37% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.51 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 326.5m / Interest Expense TTM 132.6m) |
Altman Z'' -15.00
| A: -1416 (Total Current Assets 805.7k - Total Current Liabilities 1.14b) / Total Assets 805.7k |
| B: 1150 (Retained Earnings 926.6m / Total Assets 805.7k) |
| C: 0.03 (EBIT TTM 67.7m / Avg Total Assets 2.27b) |
| D: 0.00 (Book Value of Equity 1.05m / Total Liabilities 3.38b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -5540 = D |
What is the price of ALGT shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +29.52%, over one month by +23.17%, over three months by +66.58% and over the past year by +28.56%.
Is ALGT a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ALGT price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 109.9 | -4.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 109.9 | -4.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 125.8 | 9.6% |
ALGT Fundamental Data Overview February 07, 2026
P/S = 0.7062
P/B = 1.7368
P/EG = -14.47
Revenue TTM = 2.61b USD
EBIT TTM = 67.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 326.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.79b USD (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 283.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Debt = 1.80m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.63m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.82b USD (1.82b + Debt 1.80m - CCE 805.7k)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.51 (Ebit TTM 67.7m / Interest Expense TTM 132.6m)
EV/FCF = 208.6x (Enterprise Value 1.82b / FCF TTM 8.73m)
FCF Yield = 0.48% (FCF TTM 8.73m / Enterprise Value 1.82b)
FCF Margin = 0.34% (FCF TTM 8.73m / Revenue TTM 2.61b)
Net Margin = -1.71% (Net Income TTM -44.7m / Revenue TTM 2.61b)
Gross Margin = 29.49% ((Revenue TTM 2.61b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.84b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 19.15% (prev 16.35%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2261 (set to none) (Enterprise Value 1.82b / Total Assets 805.7k)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1789 % (Interest Expense 32.2m / Debt 1.80m)
Taxrate = 27.25% (12.0m / 43.9m)
NOPAT = 49.3m (EBIT 67.7m * (1 - 27.25%))
Current Ratio = 0.00 (Total Current Assets 805.7k / Total Current Liabilities 1.14b)
Debt / Equity = 1.71 (Debt 1.80m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.05m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.00 (Net Debt 1.63m / EBITDA 326.5m)
Debt / FCF = 0.19 (Net Debt 1.63m / FCF TTM 8.73m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 796.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -1.97% (Net Income -44.7m / Total Assets 805.7k)
RoE = -5.61% (Net Income TTM -44.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 796.3m)
RoCE = 2.62% (EBIT 67.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 796.3m + L.T.Debt 1.79b))
RoIC = 1.60% (NOPAT 49.3m / Invested Capital 3.07b)
WACC = 13.24% (E(1.82b)/V(1.82b) * Re(13.25%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 13.25% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.76%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 50.70% ; FCFF base≈8.73m ; Y1≈5.73m ; Y5≈2.62m
Fair Price DCF = 1.42 (EV 27.6m - Net Debt 1.63m = Equity 26.0m / Shares 18.3m; r=13.24% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -19.00 | EPS CAGR: 17.05% | SUE: 0.53 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 40.19 | Revenue CAGR: 7.51% | SUE: 1.71 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=2.81 | Chg30d=+0.594 | Revisions Net=+2 | Analysts=11
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=8.15 | Chg30d=+1.513 | Revisions Net=+9 | Growth EPS=+114.6% | Growth Revenue=+3.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=10.17 | Chg30d=+1.556 | Revisions Net=+6 | Growth EPS=+24.7% | Growth Revenue=+8.4%