(APA) APA - Ratings and Ratios
Natural Gas, Crude Oil, Natural Gas Liquids
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 43.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 67.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.20% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.42 |
| Alpha | -7.02 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.401 |
| Beta | 1.549 |
| Beta Downside | 2.305 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 68.55% |
| Mean DD | 34.60% |
| Median DD | 34.48% |
Description: APA APA November 04, 2025
APA Corporation (NASDAQ:APA) is an independent upstream energy company that explores for, develops, and produces natural gas, crude oil, and natural gas liquids across a geographically diversified portfolio that includes assets in the United States, Egypt, and the North Sea, with additional exploration and appraisal work in Suriname and minority interests in projects in Uruguay and elsewhere. The firm was incorporated in 1954 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
Key recent metrics (as of FY 2023) show average daily production of roughly 290 MMcf of natural gas and 30 kboe of oil & NGLs, operating cash flow of about $1.2 billion, and a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio near 2.1×, indicating moderate leverage for an E&P firm. The company’s performance is highly sensitive to natural-gas price trends, which are driven by seasonal demand, LNG export capacity growth, and macro-fuel-switching dynamics in Europe and Asia. A sector-wide driver is the ongoing shift toward lower-carbon energy, pressuring upstream firms to improve capital efficiency and diversify into higher-margin liquids.
For a deeper, data-rich view of APA’s valuation assumptions and scenario analysis, you might find ValueRay’s analyst toolkit worth exploring.
APA Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 8,792m |
| Sub-Industry | Oil & Gas Exploration & Production |
| IPO / Inception | 1979-05-15 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 1.67% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.10 of 5 |
APA Dividends
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.16% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 8.88% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 32.44% |
| Payout Consistency | 93.5% |
| Payout Ratio | 27.4% |
APA Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | -17.64% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | -0.26 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | -0.51 |
| Current Volume | 7162.9k |
| Average Volume | 6500.8k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 8.0
| Net Income (1.51b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 578.5m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.11 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 6.18pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -5.93% (prev 7.56%; Δ -13.49pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.27 (>3.0%) and CFO 4.77b > Net Income 1.51b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (4.12b) to EBITDA (5.62b) ratio: 0.73 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.78 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (361.0m) change vs 12m ago -2.43% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 38.54% (prev 46.93%; Δ -8.39pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 52.01% (prev 47.44%; Δ 4.57pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 10.26 (EBITDA TTM 5.62b / Interest Expense TTM 302.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.66
| (A) -0.03 = (Total Current Assets 1.97b - Total Current Liabilities 2.54b) / Total Assets 17.70b |
| (B) -0.06 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -1.00b / Total Assets 17.70b |
| (C) 0.17 = EBIT TTM 3.10b / Avg Total Assets 18.54b |
| (D) -0.06 = Book Value of Equity -681.0m / Total Liabilities 10.84b |
| Total Rating: 0.66 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 78.81
| 1. Piotroski 8.0pt = 3.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 14.74% = 5.0 |
| 3. FCF Margin 19.74% = 4.93 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.77 = 2.21 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.73 = 2.10 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 7.79)% = 9.74 |
| 7. RoE 26.72% = 2.23 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 31.24% = 2.34 |
| 9. EPS Trend -54.84% = -2.74 |
What is the price of APA shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.67%, over one month by +8.13%, over three months by +20.15% and over the past year by +15.52%.
Is APA a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 17
- Sell: 2
- Strong Sell: 3
What are the forecasts/targets for the APA price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 25.1 | 4.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 25.1 | 4.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 25.5 | 5.8% |
APA Fundamental Data Overview November 17, 2025
P/E Trailing = 5.9306
P/E Forward = 8.9686
P/S = 0.9377
P/B = 1.474
P/EG = 0.1699
Beta = 0.763
Revenue TTM = 9.64b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.10b USD
EBITDA TTM = 5.62b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.28b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 316.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.59b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 4.12b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 12.91b USD (8.79b + Debt 4.59b - CCE 475.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 10.26 (Ebit TTM 3.10b / Interest Expense TTM 302.0m)
FCF Yield = 14.74% (FCF TTM 1.90b / Enterprise Value 12.91b)
FCF Margin = 19.74% (FCF TTM 1.90b / Revenue TTM 9.64b)
Net Margin = 15.65% (Net Income TTM 1.51b / Revenue TTM 9.64b)
Gross Margin = 38.54% ((Revenue TTM 9.64b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.92b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 38.68% (prev 36.32%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.73 (Enterprise Value 12.91b / Total Assets 17.70b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.00% (Interest Expense 46.0m / Debt 4.59b)
Taxrate = 45.60% (233.0m / 511.0m)
NOPAT = 1.69b (EBIT 3.10b * (1 - 45.60%))
Current Ratio = 0.78 (Total Current Assets 1.97b / Total Current Liabilities 2.54b)
Debt / Equity = 0.77 (Debt 4.59b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.96b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.73 (Net Debt 4.12b / EBITDA 5.62b)
Debt / FCF = 2.16 (Net Debt 4.12b / FCF TTM 1.90b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.65b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.53% (Net Income 1.51b / Total Assets 17.70b)
RoE = 26.72% (Net Income TTM 1.51b / Total Stockholder Equity 5.65b)
RoCE = 31.25% (EBIT 3.10b / Capital Employed (Equity 5.65b + L.T.Debt 4.28b))
RoIC = 15.67% (NOPAT 1.69b / Invested Capital 10.76b)
WACC = 7.89% (E(8.79b)/V(13.38b) * Re(11.72%) + D(4.59b)/V(13.38b) * Rd(1.00%) * (1-Tc(0.46)))
Discount Rate = 11.72% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 8.44%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 61.35% ; FCFE base≈1.50b ; Y1≈1.21b ; Y5≈842.3m
Fair Price DCF = 26.27 (DCF Value 9.32b / Shares Outstanding 354.7m; 5y FCF grow -22.85% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -54.84 | EPS CAGR: -15.54% | SUE: 0.60 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 31.24 | Revenue CAGR: -5.51% | SUE: 0.06 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for APA Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle