ARCB Stock Analysis: ArcBest | NASDAQ

Trucking | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 3.137m USD | 12M Return: 80.4% | US03937C1053 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

LTL Freight, Freight Brokerage, Ocean Shipping, Warehousing
Total Rating 61
Safety 79
Buy Signal 0.49
Trucking
Industry Rotation: -20.8
Market Cap: 3.14B
Avg Turnover: 50.0M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility50.4%
VaR 5th Pctl8.09%
VaR vs Median-2.67%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.33
Rel. Str. IBD91.6
Rel. Str. Peer Group96.9
Character TTM
Beta0.907
Beta Downside1.190
Hurst Exponent0.601
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD62.45%
CAGR/Max DD0.16
CAGR/Mean DD0.33
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of ARCB over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 1.97, "2021-09": 2.59, "2021-12": 2.79, "2022-03": 3.08, "2022-06": 4.3, "2022-09": 3.8, "2022-12": 2.45, "2023-03": 1.58, "2023-06": 1.54, "2023-09": 2.31, "2023-12": 2.47, "2024-03": 1.34, "2024-06": 1.98, "2024-09": 1.64, "2024-12": 1.33, "2025-03": 0.51, "2025-06": 1.36, "2025-09": 1.46, "2025-12": 0.36, "2026-03": 0.32, "2026-06": 2.38,
EPS CAGR: -27.25%
EPS Trend: -92.8%
Last SUE: 0.54
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of ARCB over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 948.973, 2021-09: 1016.657, 2021-12: 1185.224, 2022-03: 1268.091, 2022-06: 1321.692, 2022-09: 1275.73, 2022-12: 1244.218, 2023-03: 1106.094, 2023-06: 1103.464, 2023-09: 1128.35, 2023-12: 1089.535, 2024-03: 1036.419, 2024-06: 1077.831, 2024-09: 1063.124, 2024-12: 1001.645, 2025-03: 967.077, 2025-06: 1022.256, 2025-09: 1048.137, 2025-12: 972.688, 2026-03: 998.786, 2026-06: 1184.533,
Rev. CAGR: -3.93%
Rev. Trend: -85.5%
Last SUE: 0.92
Qual. Beats: 1

Warnings

P/E Ratio 200.5
Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

Rs Leader
Confidence

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan +1.8% 8
Feb -3.3% 6
Mar -6.3% 53
Apr -1.1% 19
May -2.6% 5
Jun +1.2% 17
Jul +14.0% 35
Aug +2.7% 13
Sep +1.0% 11
Oct -0.1% 0
Nov +7.4% 61
Dec -5.2% 42

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: ARCB ArcBest

ArcBest Corporation (NASDAQ: ARCB) is a U.S.-based integrated logistics company headquartered in Fort Smith, Arkansas, that has been operating since 1923 and went public in 1992. It operates through two main segments: an Asset-Based segment, which focuses on less-than-truckload (LTL) freight services transporting a wide range of general commodities, and an Asset-Light segment, which offers brokerage, expedited, intermodal, ocean, air, warehousing, and managed transportation services. The company was renamed from Arkansas Best Corporation to ArcBest in May 2014 to better reflect its expansion beyond its original LTL business. Classified within the Industrials sector under cargo ground transportation, ArcBest competes in a market where asset-based carriers and asset-light brokerage models are increasingly blended to serve shippers seeking flexible, multi-modal supply chain solutions.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • LTL pricing and tonnage trends drive Asset-Based segment margins
  • Asset-Light segment growth diversifies revenue beyond traditional trucking
  • Industrial production slowdown pressures overall freight volumes
  • Driver wage inflation and labor shortages weigh on operating costs
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.0
Net Income: 16.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 5.19 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -0.55% < 20% (prev -0.57%; Δ 0.02% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 281.1m > Net Income 16.3m
Net Debt (535.5m) to EBITDA (121.9m): 4.39 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.97 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (22.3m) vs 12m ago -3.47% < -2%
Gross Margin: 53.78% > 18% (prev 7.76%; Δ 46.03% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 170.9% > 50% (prev 164.3%; Δ 6.61% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.13 > 6 (EBIT TTM 32.4m / Interest Expense TTM 15.2m)
Altman Z'' 3.10
A: -0.01 (Total Current Assets 706.5m - Total Current Liabilities 729.6m) / Total Assets 2.45b
B: 0.60 (Retained Earnings 1.46b / Total Assets 2.45b)
C: 0.01 (EBIT TTM 32.4m / Avg Total Assets 2.46b)
D: 1.07 (Book Value of Equity 1.27b / Total Liabilities 1.18b)
Altman-Z'' = 3.10 = A
Beneish M -3.85
DSRI: 0.99 (Receivables 463.0m/449.0m, Revenue 4.20b/4.05b)
GMI: 0.14 (GM 7.76% / 53.78%)
AQI: 0.91 (AQ_t 0.18 / AQ_t-1 0.20)
SGI: 1.04 (Revenue 4.20b / 4.05b)
TATA: -0.11 (NI 16.3m - CFO 281.1m) / TA 2.45b)
Beneish M = -3.85 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA
What is the price of ARCB shares?

As of August 25, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 134.45 with a total of 366,354 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -7.83%, over one month by -12.79%, over three months by +3.92% and over the past year by +80.44%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 126.60 (which is 5.8% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).

Is ARCB a buy, sell or hold?

ArcBest has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.69. Therefore, it is recommended to hold ARCB.

  • StrongBuy: 4
  • Buy: 2
  • Hold: 6
  • Sell: 1
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the ARCB price?
Analysts Target Price 170.8 27%
ArcBest (ARCB) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 24 August 2026
Market Cap USD = 3.14b (3.14b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 200.4857
P/E Forward = 20.79
P/S = 0.7461
P/B = 2.4741
P/EG = 0.4985
Revenue TTM = 4.20b USD
EBIT TTM = 32.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 121.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 121.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 130.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 704.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 244.2m
Net Debt = 535.5m USD (calculated: Debt 704.0m - CCE 168.4m)
Enterprise Value = 3.67b USD (3.14b + Debt 704.0m - CCE 168.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.13 (Ebit TTM 32.4m / Interest Expense TTM 15.2m)
EV/FCF = 19.09x (Enterprise Value 3.67b / FCF TTM 192.4m)
FCF Yield = 5.24% (FCF TTM 192.4m / Enterprise Value 3.67b)
FCF Margin = 4.58% (FCF TTM 192.4m / Revenue TTM 4.20b)
Net Margin = 0.39% (Net Income TTM 16.3m / Revenue TTM 4.20b)
Gross Margin = 53.78% ((Revenue TTM 4.20b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.94b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = none% (prev 0.34%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.50 (Enterprise Value 3.67b / Total Assets 2.45b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.16% (Interest Expense 15.2m / Debt 704.0m)
Taxrate = 21.13% (4.37m / 20.7m)
NOPAT = 25.6m (EBIT 32.4m * (1 - 21.13%))
Current Ratio = 0.97 (Total Current Assets 706.5m / Total Current Liabilities 729.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.56 (Debt 704.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.27b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.39 (Net Debt 535.5m / EBITDA 121.9m)
Debt / FCF = 2.78 (Net Debt 535.5m / FCF TTM 192.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.29b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.66% (Net Income 16.3m / Total Assets 2.45b)
RoE = 1.26% (Net Income TTM 16.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.29b)
RoCE = 2.29% (EBIT 32.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.29b + L.T.Debt 121.1m))
RoIC = 1.52% (NOPAT 25.6m / Invested Capital 1.69b)
WACC = 7.80% (E(3.14b)/V(3.84b) * Re(9.17%) + D(704.0m)/V(3.84b) * Rd(2.16%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 9.17% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -92.83 | Cagr: -2.33%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈141.7m ; Y1≈162.4m ; Y5≈239.0m
[DCF] Fair Price = 136.9 (EV 3.60b - Net Debt 535.5m = Equity 3.06b / Shares 22.4m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -92.75 | EPS CAGR: -27.25% | SUE: 0.54 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -85.49 | Revenue CAGR: -3.93% | SUE: 0.92 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.34 | Chg30d=+5.38% | Revisions=+27% | Analysts=13
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.81 | Chg30d=+7.87% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=+84.1% | GrowthRev=+11.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=9.49 | Chg30d=+4.89% | Revisions=+67% | GrowthEPS=+39.4% | GrowthRev=+7.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +55% (up=28, down=7)