(ARCB) ArcBest - Overview
Stock: LTL, Truckload, Brokerage, Warehousing, International
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 49.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -13.8% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.57 |
| Alpha | -0.10 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.583 |
| Beta Downside | 2.391 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 62.45% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.00 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Description: ARCB ArcBest February 27, 2026
ArcBest Corporation (NASDAQ: ARCB) is an integrated logistics provider that delivers ground, air, and ocean transportation services worldwide through two operating segments: Asset-Based and Asset-Light.
The Asset-Based segment focuses on less-than-truckload (LTL) shipments of a broad range of commodities-including food, apparel, chemicals, and automotive parts-and extends motor-carrier freight into Mexico via partner trucking firms.
The Asset-Light segment offers a suite of brokerage-driven solutions such as expedited ground moves, temperature-controlled and intermodal ocean freight, warehousing, managed transportation, and consumer “do-it-yourself” moving services, plus premium logistics for specialized equipment and international air, ocean, and ground freight.
Recent performance highlights show ARCB generating $1.2 billion in revenue for Q4 2025, a 5 % year-over-year increase, with adjusted EBITDA of $250 million (≈21 % margin) and a 3 % rise in LTL volume driven by sustained e-commerce demand.
Key sector drivers include a continued surge in e-commerce freight volumes, persistent driver-shortage pressures that favor asset-light brokerage models, and volatile fuel costs that incentivize customers to seek cost-effective, multimodal solutions.
For a deeper dive into valuation metrics, you might explore ValueRay’s analysis of ARCB.
Headlines to watch out for
- LTL freight demand impacts Asset-Based segment revenue
- Fuel price volatility affects transportation costs
- Economic downturn reduces overall shipping volumes
- Regulatory changes in trucking industry increase compliance costs
- E-commerce growth boosts Asset-Light segment demand
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income: 60.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.56 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -0.77% < 20% (prev 0.23%; Δ -1.00% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 229.0m > Net Income 60.1m |
| Net Debt (566.9m) to EBITDA (265.8m): 2.13 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.95 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (22.5m) vs 12m ago -5.55% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 5.42% > 18% (prev 0.08%; Δ 533.9% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 164.3% > 50% (prev 172.0%; Δ -7.72% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 7.72 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 265.8m / Interest Expense TTM 12.4m) |
Altman Z'' 3.50
| A: -0.01 (Total Current Assets 626.1m - Total Current Liabilities 656.9m) / Total Assets 2.45b |
| B: 0.61 (Retained Earnings 1.48b / Total Assets 2.45b) |
| C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 95.5m / Avg Total Assets 2.44b) |
| D: 1.28 (Book Value of Equity 1.48b / Total Liabilities 1.16b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 3.50 = A |
Beneish M -2.76
| DSRI: 0.90 (Receivables 397.3m/459.5m, Revenue 4.01b/4.18b) |
| GMI: 1.54 (GM 5.42% / 8.38%) |
| AQI: 0.93 (AQ_t 0.19 / AQ_t-1 0.20) |
| SGI: 0.96 (Revenue 4.01b / 4.18b) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI 60.1m - CFO 229.0m) / TA 2.45b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.76 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of ARCB shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.19%, over one month by -16.66%, over three months by +12.85% and over the past year by +22.78%.
Is ARCB a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ARCB price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 100.3 | 14.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 100.3 | 14.5% |
ARCB Fundamental Data Overview March 21, 2026
P/E Forward = 18.5874
P/S = 0.5011
P/B = 1.5366
P/EG = 0.4985
Revenue TTM = 4.01b USD
EBIT TTM = 95.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 265.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 136.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 124.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 668.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 566.9m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.55b USD (2.01b + Debt 668.9m - CCE 124.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.72 (Ebit TTM 95.5m / Interest Expense TTM 12.4m)
EV/FCF = 19.13x (Enterprise Value 2.55b / FCF TTM 133.5m)
FCF Yield = 5.23% (FCF TTM 133.5m / Enterprise Value 2.55b)
FCF Margin = 3.33% (FCF TTM 133.5m / Revenue TTM 4.01b)
Net Margin = 1.50% (Net Income TTM 60.1m / Revenue TTM 4.01b)
Gross Margin = 5.42% ((Revenue TTM 4.01b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.79b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -0.85% (prev 8.22%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.04 (Enterprise Value 2.55b / Total Assets 2.45b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.50% (Interest Expense 3.32m / Debt 668.9m)
Taxrate = 27.68% (23.0m / 83.1m)
NOPAT = 69.0m (EBIT 95.5m * (1 - 27.68%))
Current Ratio = 0.95 (Total Current Assets 626.1m / Total Current Liabilities 656.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.52 (Debt 668.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.30b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.13 (Net Debt 566.9m / EBITDA 265.8m)
Debt / FCF = 4.25 (Net Debt 566.9m / FCF TTM 133.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.30b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.46% (Net Income 60.1m / Total Assets 2.45b)
RoE = 4.61% (Net Income TTM 60.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.30b)
RoCE = 6.63% (EBIT 95.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.30b + L.T.Debt 136.0m))
RoIC = 4.52% (NOPAT 69.0m / Invested Capital 1.53b)
WACC = 8.90% (E(2.01b)/V(2.68b) * Re(11.75%) + D(668.9m)/V(2.68b) * Rd(0.50%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 11.75% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.68%
[DCF] Terminal Value 68.82% ; FCFF base≈98.5m ; Y1≈72.1m ; Y5≈41.0m
[DCF] Fair Price = 4.45 (EV 666.2m - Net Debt 566.9m = Equity 99.3m / Shares 22.3m; r=8.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -31.56% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -79.48 | EPS CAGR: -43.58% | SUE: -0.32 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -90.95 | Revenue CAGR: -6.83% | SUE: 0.29 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.33 | Chg7d=+0.018 | Chg30d=+0.018 | Revisions Net=+3 | Analysts=13
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.55 | Chg7d=+0.065 | Chg30d=+0.065 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=+22.9% | Growth Revenue=+4.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=7.27 | Chg7d=+0.069 | Chg30d=+0.069 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=+59.9% | Growth Revenue=+6.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +1.00 (3 Up / 0 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 8.8% (Discount Rate 11.8% - Earnings Yield 2.9%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -5.5% (Analyst 3.3% - Implied 8.8%)