(ARCC) Ares Capital - Ratings and Ratios
Debt, Equity, Mezzanine, Financing, Transactions
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 11.70% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 23.14% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 4.66% |
| Payout Consistency | 96.6% |
| Payout Ratio | 93.7% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 14.8% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 24.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | 2.14% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.00 |
| Alpha | -11.70 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.66 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.383 |
| Beta | 0.814 |
| Beta Downside | 0.935 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 18.76% |
| Mean DD | 3.30% |
| Median DD | 2.06% |
Description: ARCC Ares Capital October 30, 2025
Ares Capital Corporation (NASDAQ:ARCC) is a Business Development Company (BDC) that originates and manages a portfolio of middle-market credit and equity investments, including acquisition financing, mezzanine debt, restructurings, rescue capital, and leveraged buyouts.
The firm targets U.S. companies with EBITDA between $10 million and $250 million, typically deploying $20 million–$200 million per transaction (up to $400 million for larger deals) and providing debt financing of $10 million–$100 million through a range of instruments such as first-lien loans, unitranche facilities, mezzanine debt, and non-control equity.
ARCC’s sector preferences include basic and growth manufacturing, business services, consumer products, health-care products and services, and information-technology services, while it remains open to restaurants, retail, oil & gas, and broader technology opportunities.
Geographically, the firm sources deals across the Northeast, Mid-Atlantic, Southeast, Southwest, Midwest, and Western United States, leveraging its New York, Chicago, and Los Angeles offices to source and manage investments.
From a market-driven perspective, ARCC’s dividend yield has hovered around 8% in 2024, and its net asset value (NAV) per share has shown modest growth YoY despite a tightening credit environment; the BDC’s performance is sensitive to Fed policy, as higher rates increase borrowing costs but also expand the spread on its floating-rate loan portfolio.
For a deeper, data-driven look at ARCC’s valuation and risk profile, you may find ValueRay’s analytical dashboard useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 1.0
| Net Income (1.36b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 134.8m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.10pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 68.40% (prev 29.68%; Δ 38.72pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.04 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.30b <= Net Income 1.36b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (14.57b) to EBITDA (1.43b) ratio: 10.21 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 12.82 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (709.0m) change vs 12m ago 11.65% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 68.27% (prev 73.48%; Δ -5.21pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 7.76% (prev 8.75%; Δ -0.99pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 0.16 (EBITDA TTM 1.43b / Interest Expense TTM 713.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.50
| (A) 0.05 = (Total Current Assets 1.67b - Total Current Liabilities 130.0m) / Total Assets 30.81b |
| (B) 0.03 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 851.0m / Total Assets 30.81b |
| (C) 0.00 = EBIT TTM 115.0m / Avg Total Assets 28.95b |
| (D) 0.05 = Book Value of Equity 852.0m / Total Liabilities 16.48b |
| Total Rating: 0.50 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 55.62
| 1. Piotroski 1.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.50% |
| 3. FCF Margin 58.03% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.09 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 10.21 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -4.56)% |
| 7. RoE 9.84% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 64.13% |
| 9. EPS Trend 10.08% |
What is the price of ARCC shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.02%, over one month by +0.94%, over three months by -5.79% and over the past year by +1.82%.
Is ARCC a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 7
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ARCC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 22.6 | 10.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 22.6 | 10.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 23.9 | 16.5% |
ARCC Fundamental Data Overview November 26, 2025
P/E Trailing = 10.1256
P/E Forward = 10.3734
P/S = 4.7786
P/B = 0.9915
P/EG = 3.95
Beta = 0.621
Revenue TTM = 2.25b USD
EBIT TTM = 115.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.43b USD
Long Term Debt = unknown (none)
Short Term Debt = 2.42b USD (from shortTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Debt = 15.61b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 14.57b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 28.99b USD (14.42b + Debt 15.61b - CCE 1.04b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.16 (Ebit TTM 115.0m / Interest Expense TTM 713.0m)
FCF Yield = 4.50% (FCF TTM 1.30b / Enterprise Value 28.99b)
FCF Margin = 58.03% (FCF TTM 1.30b / Revenue TTM 2.25b)
Net Margin = 60.66% (Net Income TTM 1.36b / Revenue TTM 2.25b)
Gross Margin = 68.27% ((Revenue TTM 2.25b - Cost of Revenue TTM 713.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 70.23% (prev 70.29%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.94 (Enterprise Value 28.99b / Total Assets 30.81b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.25% (Interest Expense 195.0m / Debt 15.61b)
Taxrate = 6.26% (27.0m / 431.0m)
NOPAT = 107.8m (EBIT 115.0m * (1 - 6.26%))
Current Ratio = 12.82 (Total Current Assets 1.67b / Total Current Liabilities 130.0m)
Debt / Equity = 1.09 (Debt 15.61b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 14.32b)
Debt / EBITDA = 10.21 (Net Debt 14.57b / EBITDA 1.43b)
Debt / FCF = 11.17 (Net Debt 14.57b / FCF TTM 1.30b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 13.85b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.42% (Net Income 1.36b / Total Assets 30.81b)
RoE = 9.84% (Net Income TTM 1.36b / Total Stockholder Equity 13.85b)
RoCE = 0.37% (EBIT 115.0m / Capital Employed (Total Assets 30.81b - Current Liab 130.0m))
RoIC = 0.38% (NOPAT 107.8m / Invested Capital 28.19b)
WACC = 4.94% (E(14.42b)/V(30.03b) * Re(9.02%) + D(15.61b)/V(30.03b) * Rd(1.25%) * (1-Tc(0.06)))
Discount Rate = 9.02% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 9.34%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 76.52% ; FCFE base≈1.25b ; Y1≈1.40b ; Y5≈1.85b
Fair Price DCF = 37.60 (DCF Value 26.91b / Shares Outstanding 715.7m; 5y FCF grow 13.58% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 10.08 | EPS CAGR: -3.88% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 64.13 | Revenue CAGR: 7.18% | SUE: -0.50 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for ARCC Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle