(ARKO) Arko - Overview
Stock: Fuel, Merchandise, Foodservice, Tobacco, Beer
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.67% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.32% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 10.06% |
| Payout Consistency | 98.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 65.4% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 60.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -20.2% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.28 |
| Alpha | -19.19 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.178 |
| Beta Downside | 1.139 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 57.58% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.07 |
Description: ARKO Arko December 27, 2025
Arko Corp. (NASDAQ: ARKO) runs a network of U.S. convenience stores through four segments: Retail (fuel, foodservice, and general merchandise), Wholesale (fuel sales to dealers and bulk buyers), Fleet Fueling (card-lock stations and proprietary fuel cards), and GPMP (fuel distribution to its own Retail and Wholesale arms). The company is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia, and classifies under the Automotive Retail sub-industry.
As of its most recent filing, ARKO reported FY 2023 revenue of roughly $1.1 billion, with same-store sales growth of 3.2% YoY-a modest beat of the industry average of ~2.5% in a year of volatile fuel margins. The firm’s fuel margin is highly sensitive to crude-oil price fluctuations, while its foodservice and non-fuel merchandise segments have historically provided a 1.5-point earnings buffer during periods of low fuel price spreads. A broader sector driver is the gradual shift toward electric-vehicle charging infrastructure, which could compress fuel demand but also open new ancillary revenue streams for convenience-store operators that adapt early.
For a deeper, data-driven look at ARKO’s valuation dynamics, you might explore the analytics platform ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income: 18.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.85 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 3.67% < 20% (prev 3.35%; Δ 0.32% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 170.7m > Net Income 18.6m |
| Net Debt (2.27b) to EBITDA (251.3m): 9.01 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.62 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (115.2m) vs 12m ago -2.28% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 4.89% > 18% (prev 0.07%; Δ 482.3% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 215.6% > 50% (prev 243.3%; Δ -27.72% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.24 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 251.3m / Interest Expense TTM 93.8m) |
Altman Z'' 0.87
| A: 0.08 (Total Current Assets 753.2m - Total Current Liabilities 465.6m) / Total Assets 3.59b |
| B: 0.03 (Retained Earnings 103.5m / Total Assets 3.59b) |
| C: 0.03 (EBIT TTM 115.9m / Avg Total Assets 3.64b) |
| D: 0.04 (Book Value of Equity 112.6m / Total Liabilities 3.21b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 0.87 = B |
Beneish M -2.69
| DSRI: 1.09 (Receivables 112.3m/117.9m, Revenue 7.84b/8.97b) |
| GMI: 1.42 (GM 4.89% / 6.97%) |
| AQI: 1.02 (AQ_t 0.17 / AQ_t-1 0.16) |
| SGI: 0.87 (Revenue 7.84b / 8.97b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 18.6m - CFO 170.7m) / TA 3.59b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.69 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of ARKO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +25.05%, over one month by +49.89%, over three months by +67.15% and over the past year by -1.07%.
Is ARKO a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ARKO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 8.5 | 28% |
| Analysts Target Price | 8.5 | 28% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 7.4 | 11.3% |
ARKO Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/S = 0.0759
P/B = 2.1297
Revenue TTM = 7.84b USD
EBIT TTM = 115.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 251.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 874.6m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 126.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.59b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.27b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.86b USD (598.7m + Debt 2.59b - CCE 332.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.24 (Ebit TTM 115.9m / Interest Expense TTM 93.8m)
EV/FCF = 77.32x (Enterprise Value 2.86b / FCF TTM 37.0m)
FCF Yield = 1.29% (FCF TTM 37.0m / Enterprise Value 2.86b)
FCF Margin = 0.47% (FCF TTM 37.0m / Revenue TTM 7.84b)
Net Margin = 0.24% (Net Income TTM 18.6m / Revenue TTM 7.84b)
Gross Margin = 4.89% ((Revenue TTM 7.84b - Cost of Revenue TTM 7.46b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 5.49% (prev 5.69%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.80 (Enterprise Value 2.86b / Total Assets 3.59b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.91% (Interest Expense 23.5m / Debt 2.59b)
Taxrate = 14.96% (2.37m / 15.8m)
NOPAT = 98.6m (EBIT 115.9m * (1 - 14.96%))
Current Ratio = 1.62 (Total Current Assets 753.2m / Total Current Liabilities 465.6m)
Debt / Equity = 6.95 (Debt 2.59b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 373.1m)
Debt / EBITDA = 9.01 (Net Debt 2.27b / EBITDA 251.3m)
Debt / FCF = 61.29 (Net Debt 2.27b / FCF TTM 37.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 367.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.51% (Net Income 18.6m / Total Assets 3.59b)
RoE = 5.06% (Net Income TTM 18.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 367.5m)
RoCE = 9.33% (EBIT 115.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 367.5m + L.T.Debt 874.6m))
RoIC = 8.46% (NOPAT 98.6m / Invested Capital 1.16b)
WACC = 2.55% (E(598.7m)/V(3.19b) * Re(10.25%) + D(2.59b)/V(3.19b) * Rd(0.91%) * (1-Tc(0.15)))
Discount Rate = 10.25% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.62%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 80.82% ; FCFF base≈79.4m ; Y1≈52.1m ; Y5≈23.8m
Fair Price DCF = N/A (negative equity: EV 757.8m - Net Debt 2.27b = -1.51b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: -29.41 | EPS CAGR: -2.93% | SUE: 0.19 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -31.11 | Revenue CAGR: 0.44% | SUE: 0.29 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.16 | Chg30d=+0.020 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.12 | Chg30d=+0.035 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=-7.7% | Growth Revenue=-4.9%