(ASLE) AerSale - Overview
Stock: Aircraft, Engines, Parts, MRO
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 46.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.19% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.32 |
| Alpha | -5.18 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.825 |
| Beta Downside | 1.133 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 78.04% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.34 |
Description: ASLE AerSale December 30, 2025
AerSale Corp (NASDAQ:ASLE) supplies aftermarket commercial aircraft, engines, and parts to a global customer base that includes airlines, leasing firms, OEMs, government entities, and MRO providers. The business is split into two segments: Asset Management Solutions, which buys, sells, leases, and disassembles whole aircraft and engines for component recovery; and Technical Operations (TechOps), which delivers heavy-maintenance, modification, conversion, storage, and component-MRO services, including landing-gear, thrust-reverser, and hydraulic system work.
According to the most recent Form 10-K (FY 2023), AerSale generated roughly $140 million in revenue, with the TechOps segment contributing about 60 % of sales. The company reported a cash balance near $70 million and a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio below 1.0×, indicating modest leverage. Its backlog of lease-and-sale contracts was estimated at $180 million, suggesting a near-term revenue runway.
The firm’s performance is closely tied to macro-level airline capital-expenditure cycles and the aging global fleet. A key sector driver is the increasing demand for cost-effective MRO and conversion services as airlines seek to extend the life of existing airframes amid constrained new-aircraft supply and volatile fuel prices. Additionally, the growing market for cargo- and tanker-conversion projects provides upside potential, especially as e-commerce and defense logistics expand.
For a deeper, data-driven valuation of ASLE, you may find the analytics on ValueRay worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.5
| Net Income: 7.35m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 4.85 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 73.65% < 20% (prev 84.88%; Δ -11.23% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.00 > 3% & CFO 3.21m > Net Income 7.35m |
| Net Debt (152.4m) to EBITDA (35.3m): 4.32 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 4.41 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (47.2m) vs 12m ago -11.62% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 30.83% > 18% (prev 0.29%; Δ 3054 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 54.35% > 50% (prev 57.32%; Δ -2.97% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.09 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 35.3m / Interest Expense TTM 7.47m) |
Altman Z'' 4.07
| A: 0.39 (Total Current Assets 323.0m - Total Current Liabilities 73.2m) / Total Assets 646.3m |
| B: 0.22 (Retained Earnings 142.3m / Total Assets 646.3m) |
| C: 0.03 (EBIT TTM 15.6m / Avg Total Assets 623.9m) |
| D: 0.62 (Book Value of Equity 142.3m / Total Liabilities 229.2m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 4.07 = AA |
Beneish M -2.93
| DSRI: 1.38 (Receivables 48.6m/35.8m, Revenue 339.1m/344.7m) |
| GMI: 0.93 (GM 30.83% / 28.60%) |
| AQI: 0.75 (AQ_t 0.25 / AQ_t-1 0.34) |
| SGI: 0.98 (Revenue 339.1m / 344.7m) |
| TATA: 0.01 (NI 7.35m - CFO 3.21m) / TA 646.3m) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.93 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of ASLE shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.53%, over one month by +0.68%, over three months by +6.58% and over the past year by +8.60%.
Is ASLE a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ASLE price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 8 | 7.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 8 | 7.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 6.8 | -8.5% |
ASLE Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/E Forward = 9.7371
P/S = 1.0422
P/B = 0.8485
Revenue TTM = 339.1m USD
EBIT TTM = 15.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 35.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 125.3m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 5.32m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 157.6m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 152.4m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 499.3m USD (353.4m + Debt 157.6m - CCE 11.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.09 (Ebit TTM 15.6m / Interest Expense TTM 7.47m)
EV/FCF = -28.15x (Enterprise Value 499.3m / FCF TTM -17.7m)
FCF Yield = -3.55% (FCF TTM -17.7m / Enterprise Value 499.3m)
FCF Margin = -5.23% (FCF TTM -17.7m / Revenue TTM 339.1m)
Net Margin = 2.17% (Net Income TTM 7.35m / Revenue TTM 339.1m)
Gross Margin = 30.83% ((Revenue TTM 339.1m - Cost of Revenue TTM 234.6m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 30.18% (prev 32.91%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.77 (Enterprise Value 499.3m / Total Assets 646.3m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.50% (Interest Expense 2.37m / Debt 157.6m)
Taxrate = 25.34% (1.99m / 7.84m)
NOPAT = 11.7m (EBIT 15.6m * (1 - 25.34%))
Current Ratio = 4.41 (Total Current Assets 323.0m / Total Current Liabilities 73.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.38 (Debt 157.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 417.1m)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.32 (Net Debt 152.4m / EBITDA 35.3m)
Debt / FCF = -8.59 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 152.4m / FCF TTM -17.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 423.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.18% (Net Income 7.35m / Total Assets 646.3m)
RoE = 1.73% (Net Income TTM 7.35m / Total Stockholder Equity 423.8m)
RoCE = 2.84% (EBIT 15.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 423.8m + L.T.Debt 125.3m))
RoIC = 2.21% (NOPAT 11.7m / Invested Capital 528.4m)
WACC = 6.54% (E(353.4m)/V(511.0m) * Re(8.96%) + D(157.6m)/V(511.0m) * Rd(1.50%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 8.96% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -4.32%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -17.7m)
EPS Correlation: -52.11 | EPS CAGR: -43.41% | SUE: -1.15 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -31.14 | Revenue CAGR: -12.36% | SUE: -0.81 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.06 | Chg30d=+0.005 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.64 | Chg30d=+0.010 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+96.9% | Growth Revenue=+17.5%