(BILI) Bilibili - Overview
Exchange: NASDAQ •
Country: China •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US0900401060
Stock: Videos, Games, Live Broadcasting, Comics, Advertising
Total Rating 42
Risk 39
Buy Signal -0.39
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 62.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -9.64% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.20 |
| Alpha | 63.22 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.104 |
| Beta Downside | 1.650 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 64.37% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.21 |
Description: BILI Bilibili January 06, 2026
Bilibili Inc. (NASDAQ:BILI) operates a youth-focused online entertainment platform in China, delivering a mix of user-generated videos, mobile games, live streaming, audio dramas, comics, and advertising services. Founded in 2009 and headquartered in Shanghai, the company also pursues e-commerce, IP-derived merchandise, and content distribution across video, comics, and games.
As of Q4 2023, Bilibili reported roughly 240 million monthly active users (MAU), a 30% year-over-year revenue increase to ¥10.5 billion, and a narrowing net loss of ¥1.2 billion, reflecting stronger monetization of its ad and gaming segments. The business is highly sensitive to Chinese youth consumption trends, mobile-internet penetration (now above 80% in the 15-30 age cohort), and regulatory shifts affecting short-form video and gaming approvals.
For a data-driven deep-dive into BILI’s valuation assumptions and scenario analysis, check out ValueRay’s dedicated research page.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income: 770.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.21 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 35.36% < 20% (prev 3.66%; Δ 31.71% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 3.29b > Net Income 770.1m |
| Net Debt (-2.41b) to EBITDA (1.43b): -1.68 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.64 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (455.0m) vs 12m ago 8.26% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 36.36% > 18% (prev 0.30%; Δ 3606 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 82.72% > 50% (prev 79.47%; Δ 3.25% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.23 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.43b / Interest Expense TTM 130.2m) |
Altman Z'' -1.64
| A: 0.26 (Total Current Assets 27.00b - Total Current Liabilities 16.48b) / Total Assets 39.93b |
| B: -0.69 (Retained Earnings -27.61b / Total Assets 39.93b) |
| C: 0.00 (EBIT TTM 159.9m / Avg Total Assets 35.98b) |
| D: -1.09 (Book Value of Equity -27.35b / Total Liabilities 25.04b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -1.64 = D |
Beneish M -3.55
| DSRI: 0.64 (Receivables 1.14b/1.52b, Revenue 29.76b/25.45b) |
| GMI: 0.83 (GM 36.36% / 30.05%) |
| AQI: 0.78 (AQ_t 0.31 / AQ_t-1 0.40) |
| SGI: 1.17 (Revenue 29.76b / 25.45b) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI 770.1m - CFO 3.29b) / TA 39.93b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.55 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
What is the price of BILI shares?
As of February 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 31.53 with a total of 2,098,081 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -7.37%, over one month by +15.49%, over three months by +10.94% and over the past year by +74.58%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -7.37%, over one month by +15.49%, over three months by +10.94% and over the past year by +74.58%.
Is BILI a buy, sell or hold?
Bilibili has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.45.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy BILI.
- StrongBuy: 19
- Buy: 7
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the BILI price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 31.2 | -1.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 31.2 | -1.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 36.1 | 14.6% |
BILI Fundamental Data Overview February 02, 2026
Market Cap CNY = 96.41b (13.89b USD * 6.9418 USD.CNY)
P/E Trailing = 136.16
P/E Forward = 31.5457
P/S = 0.4667
P/B = 6.7422
Revenue TTM = 29.76b CNY
EBIT TTM = 159.9m CNY
EBITDA TTM = 1.43b CNY
Long Term Debt = 8.06b CNY (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.64b CNY (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 9.69b CNY (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -2.41b CNY (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 82.61b CNY (96.41b + Debt 9.69b - CCE 23.49b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.23 (Ebit TTM 159.9m / Interest Expense TTM 130.2m)
EV/FCF = 25.10x (Enterprise Value 82.61b / FCF TTM 3.29b)
FCF Yield = 3.98% (FCF TTM 3.29b / Enterprise Value 82.61b)
FCF Margin = 11.06% (FCF TTM 3.29b / Revenue TTM 29.76b)
Net Margin = 2.59% (Net Income TTM 770.1m / Revenue TTM 29.76b)
Gross Margin = 36.36% ((Revenue TTM 29.76b - Cost of Revenue TTM 18.94b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 36.67% (prev 36.47%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.07 (Enterprise Value 82.61b / Total Assets 39.93b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.43% (Interest Expense 42.1m / Debt 9.69b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 126.3m (EBIT 159.9m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 1.64 (Total Current Assets 27.00b / Total Current Liabilities 16.48b)
Debt / Equity = 0.65 (Debt 9.69b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 14.90b)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.68 (Net Debt -2.41b / EBITDA 1.43b)
Debt / FCF = -0.73 (Net Debt -2.41b / FCF TTM 3.29b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 14.39b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.14% (Net Income 770.1m / Total Assets 39.93b)
RoE = 5.35% (Net Income TTM 770.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 14.39b)
RoCE = 0.71% (EBIT 159.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 14.39b + L.T.Debt 8.06b))
RoIC = 0.58% (NOPAT 126.3m / Invested Capital 21.75b)
WACC = 9.10% (E(96.41b)/V(106.10b) * Re(9.98%) + D(9.69b)/V(106.10b) * Rd(0.43%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 9.98% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 4.73%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 77.77% ; FCFF base≈3.19b ; Y1≈3.93b ; Y5≈6.69b
Fair Price DCF = 289.2 (EV 92.39b - Net Debt -2.41b = Equity 94.80b / Shares 327.9m; r=9.10% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 92.72 | EPS CAGR: 57.51% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 83.17 | Revenue CAGR: 7.89% | SUE: 0.01 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.32 | Chg30d=+0.058 | Revisions Net=-3 | Analysts=6
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=7.91 | Chg30d=+0.003 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+37.3% | Growth Revenue=+9.5%
P/E Trailing = 136.16
P/E Forward = 31.5457
P/S = 0.4667
P/B = 6.7422
Revenue TTM = 29.76b CNY
EBIT TTM = 159.9m CNY
EBITDA TTM = 1.43b CNY
Long Term Debt = 8.06b CNY (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.64b CNY (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 9.69b CNY (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -2.41b CNY (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 82.61b CNY (96.41b + Debt 9.69b - CCE 23.49b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.23 (Ebit TTM 159.9m / Interest Expense TTM 130.2m)
EV/FCF = 25.10x (Enterprise Value 82.61b / FCF TTM 3.29b)
FCF Yield = 3.98% (FCF TTM 3.29b / Enterprise Value 82.61b)
FCF Margin = 11.06% (FCF TTM 3.29b / Revenue TTM 29.76b)
Net Margin = 2.59% (Net Income TTM 770.1m / Revenue TTM 29.76b)
Gross Margin = 36.36% ((Revenue TTM 29.76b - Cost of Revenue TTM 18.94b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 36.67% (prev 36.47%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.07 (Enterprise Value 82.61b / Total Assets 39.93b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.43% (Interest Expense 42.1m / Debt 9.69b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 126.3m (EBIT 159.9m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 1.64 (Total Current Assets 27.00b / Total Current Liabilities 16.48b)
Debt / Equity = 0.65 (Debt 9.69b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 14.90b)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.68 (Net Debt -2.41b / EBITDA 1.43b)
Debt / FCF = -0.73 (Net Debt -2.41b / FCF TTM 3.29b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 14.39b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.14% (Net Income 770.1m / Total Assets 39.93b)
RoE = 5.35% (Net Income TTM 770.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 14.39b)
RoCE = 0.71% (EBIT 159.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 14.39b + L.T.Debt 8.06b))
RoIC = 0.58% (NOPAT 126.3m / Invested Capital 21.75b)
WACC = 9.10% (E(96.41b)/V(106.10b) * Re(9.98%) + D(9.69b)/V(106.10b) * Rd(0.43%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 9.98% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 4.73%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 77.77% ; FCFF base≈3.19b ; Y1≈3.93b ; Y5≈6.69b
Fair Price DCF = 289.2 (EV 92.39b - Net Debt -2.41b = Equity 94.80b / Shares 327.9m; r=9.10% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 92.72 | EPS CAGR: 57.51% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 83.17 | Revenue CAGR: 7.89% | SUE: 0.01 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.32 | Chg30d=+0.058 | Revisions Net=-3 | Analysts=6
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=7.91 | Chg30d=+0.003 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+37.3% | Growth Revenue=+9.5%