BLMN Stock Analysis: Bloomin Brands | NASDAQ
Restaurants | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 931m USD | 12M Return: 74.1% | US0942351083 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 17.0M
EPS Trend: -94.0%
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: -75.8%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Bloomin Brands (NASDAQ: BLMN) is a Tampa, Florida-based restaurant company founded in 1988 that owns and operates a portfolio of four dining concepts in the United States and internationally. Its brands include Outback Steakhouse, Carrabbas Italian Grill, Bonefish Grill, and Flemings Prime Steakhouse & Wine Bar, spanning casual, polished-casual, and fine dining formats.
The company operates through U.S. and International Franchise segments, combining company-owned locations with a franchised distribution model that extends its brands into foreign markets. Bloomin Brands is classified in the GICS Restaurants sub-industry within Consumer Discretionary, a sector whose performance is closely tied to discretionary consumer spending, and trades as a small-cap stock with a market capitalization of roughly $710 million after its August 2012 IPO.
- Outback Steakhouse same-store sales drive consolidated revenue growth
- Beef and commodity cost inflation pressures restaurant-level margins
- Brazil international segment currency translation and demand volatility
- Debt reduction and share repurchase program execution returns capital
| Net Income: 27.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.43 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -15.44% < 20% (prev -12.07%; Δ -3.37% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 278.5m > Net Income 27.7m |
| Net Debt (3.07b) to EBITDA (233.7m): 13.12 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.25 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (86.2m) vs 12m ago 1.27% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 40.14% > 18% (prev 29.52%; Δ 10.61% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 123.9% > 50% (prev 111.5%; Δ 12.35% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.11 > 6 (EBIT TTM 52.3m / Interest Expense TTM 47.0m) |
| A: -0.20 (Total Current Assets 209.6m - Total Current Liabilities 824.0m) / Total Assets 3.12b |
| B: -0.27 (Retained Earnings -830.6m / Total Assets 3.12b) |
| C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 52.3m / Avg Total Assets 3.21b) |
| D: 0.16 (Book Value of Equity 431.8m / Total Liabilities 2.68b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -1.88 = D |
| DSRI: 0.22 (Receivables 42.0m/179.6m, Revenue 3.98b/3.69b) |
| GMI: 0.74 (GM 29.52% / 40.14%) |
| AQI: 1.09 (AQ_t 0.33 / AQ_t-1 0.31) |
| SGI: 1.08 (Revenue 3.98b / 3.69b) |
| TATA: -0.08 (NI 27.7m - CFO 278.5m) / TA 3.12b) |
| Beneish M = -3.81 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
As of August 13, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 11.39 with a total of 1,537,418 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.88%, over one month by +34.95%, over three months by +36.90% and over the past year by +74.14%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 10.50 (which is 7.8% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Bloomin Brands has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00. Therefore, it is recommended to hold BLMN.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 2
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 8.7 | -23.6% |
P/E Trailing = 37.5172
P/E Forward = 6.2461
P/S = 0.2341
P/B = 1.8745
P/EG = 1.07
Revenue TTM = 3.98b USD
EBIT TTM = 52.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 233.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 787.4m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 176.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.13b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.22b
Net Debt = 3.07b USD (calculated: Debt 3.13b - CCE 66.6m)
Enterprise Value = 4.00b USD (931.5m + Debt 3.13b - CCE 66.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.11 (Ebit TTM 52.3m / Interest Expense TTM 47.0m)
EV/FCF = 33.54x (Enterprise Value 4.00b / FCF TTM 119.2m)
FCF Yield = 2.98% (FCF TTM 119.2m / Enterprise Value 4.00b)
FCF Margin = 3.00% (FCF TTM 119.2m / Revenue TTM 3.98b)
Net Margin = 0.70% (Net Income TTM 27.7m / Revenue TTM 3.98b)
Gross Margin = 40.14% ((Revenue TTM 3.98b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.38b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 13.97% (prev 11.04%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.28 (Enterprise Value 4.00b / Total Assets 3.12b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.50% (Interest Expense 47.0m / Debt 3.13b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = 41.3m (EBIT 52.3m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 0.25 (Total Current Assets 209.6m / Total Current Liabilities 824.0m)
Debt / Equity = 7.25 (Debt 3.13b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 431.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = 13.12 (Net Debt 3.07b / EBITDA 233.7m)
Debt / FCF = 25.72 (Net Debt 3.07b / FCF TTM 119.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 376.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.86% (Net Income 27.7m / Total Assets 3.12b)
RoE = 7.35% (Net Income TTM 27.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 376.3m)
RoCE = 4.49% (EBIT 52.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 376.3m + L.T.Debt 787.4m))
RoIC = 1.72% (NOPAT 41.3m / Invested Capital 2.40b)
WACC = 3.77% (E(931.5m)/V(4.06b) * Re(12.44%) + D(3.13b)/V(4.06b) * Rd(1.50%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 12.44% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -49.19 | Cagr: -0.41%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈89.9m ; Y1≈103.1m ; Y5≈151.7m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 2.28b - Net Debt 3.07b = -783.1m; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: -94.02 | EPS CAGR: -31.76% | SUE: 1.33 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: -75.80 | Revenue CAGR: -7.47% | SUE: 0.08 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.19 | Chg30d=-0.47% | Revisions=-50% | Analysts=11
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.87 | Chg30d=-1.38% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=-23.9% | GrowthRev=+0.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.95 | Chg30d=-2.34% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=+9.7% | GrowthRev=+1.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -75% (up=0, down=9)