BLMN Stock Analysis: Bloomin Brands | NASDAQ
Restaurants | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 711m USD | 12M Return: -8.4% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 18.0M
EPS Trend: -95.7%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: -82.4%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Bloomin Brands (NASDAQ: BLMN) is a Tampa, Florida-based restaurant company founded in 1988 that owns and operates a portfolio of four dining concepts in the United States and internationally. Its brands include Outback Steakhouse, Carrabbas Italian Grill, Bonefish Grill, and Flemings Prime Steakhouse & Wine Bar, spanning casual, polished-casual, and fine dining formats.
The company operates through U.S. and International Franchise segments, combining company-owned locations with a franchised distribution model that extends its brands into foreign markets. Bloomin Brands is classified in the GICS Restaurants sub-industry within Consumer Discretionary, a sector whose performance is closely tied to discretionary consumer spending, and trades as a small-cap stock with a market capitalization of roughly $710 million after its August 2012 IPO.
- Outback Steakhouse same-store sales drive consolidated revenue growth
- Beef and commodity cost inflation pressures restaurant-level margins
- Brazil international segment currency translation and demand volatility
- Debt reduction and share repurchase program execution returns capital
| Net Income: 21.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.43 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -15.25% < 20% (prev -12.08%; Δ -3.17% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 278.5m > Net Income 21.7m |
| Net Debt (3.13b) to EBITDA (221.9m): 14.12 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.24 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (85.8m) vs 12m ago 0.73% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 54.45% > 18% (prev 13.36%; Δ 41.08% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 123.6% > 50% (prev 115.1%; Δ 8.45% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.90 > 6 (EBIT TTM 41.9m / Interest Expense TTM 46.6m) |
| A: -0.19 (Total Current Assets 195.2m - Total Current Liabilities 799.9m) / Total Assets 3.11b |
| B: -0.28 (Retained Earnings -861.9m / Total Assets 3.11b) |
| C: 0.01 (EBIT TTM 41.9m / Avg Total Assets 3.21b) |
| D: 0.15 (Book Value of Equity 395.5m / Total Liabilities 2.72b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -1.94 = D |
| DSRI: 0.23 (Receivables 36.8m/154.3m, Revenue 3.97b/3.80b) |
| GMI: 0.25 (GM 13.36% / 54.45%) |
| AQI: 1.10 (AQ_t 0.33 / AQ_t-1 0.30) |
| SGI: 1.04 (Revenue 3.97b / 3.80b) |
| TATA: -0.08 (NI 21.7m - CFO 278.5m) / TA 3.11b) |
| Beneish M = -4.26 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
As of July 16, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 8.42 with a total of 1,847,310 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +8.37%, over one month by +10.07%, over three months by +28.55% and over the past year by -8.42%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 7.80 (which is 7.4% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Bloomin Brands has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00. Therefore, it is recommended to hold BLMN.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 2
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 8.6 | 2.3% |
P/E Trailing = 33.24
P/E Forward = 6.2461
P/S = 0.174
P/B = 1.6819
P/EG = 1.07
Revenue TTM = 3.97b USD
EBIT TTM = 41.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 221.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 752.6m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 180.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.20b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.22b
Net Debt = 3.13b USD (calculated: Debt 3.20b - CCE 71.3m)
Enterprise Value = 3.84b USD (711.5m + Debt 3.20b - CCE 71.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.90 (Ebit TTM 41.9m / Interest Expense TTM 46.6m)
EV/FCF = 32.25x (Enterprise Value 3.84b / FCF TTM 119.2m)
FCF Yield = 3.10% (FCF TTM 119.2m / Enterprise Value 3.84b)
FCF Margin = 3.01% (FCF TTM 119.2m / Revenue TTM 3.97b)
Net Margin = 0.55% (Net Income TTM 21.7m / Revenue TTM 3.97b)
Gross Margin = 54.45% ((Revenue TTM 3.97b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.81b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 11.04% (prev 70.20%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.23 (Enterprise Value 3.84b / Total Assets 3.11b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.45% (Interest Expense 46.6m / Debt 3.20b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = 33.1m (EBIT 41.9m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 0.24 (Total Current Assets 195.2m / Total Current Liabilities 799.9m)
Debt / Equity = 8.10 (Debt 3.20b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 395.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 14.12 (Net Debt 3.13b / EBITDA 221.9m)
Debt / FCF = 26.28 (Net Debt 3.13b / FCF TTM 119.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 367.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.68% (Net Income 21.7m / Total Assets 3.11b)
RoE = 5.91% (Net Income TTM 21.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 367.6m)
RoCE = 3.74% (EBIT 41.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 367.6m + L.T.Debt 752.6m))
RoIC = 1.36% (NOPAT 33.1m / Invested Capital 2.42b)
WACC = 3.03% (E(711.5m)/V(3.91b) * Re(11.51%) + D(3.20b)/V(3.91b) * Rd(1.45%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 11.51% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -67.37 | Cagr: -4.99%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈89.9m ; Y1≈103.1m ; Y5≈151.7m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 2.28b - Net Debt 3.13b = -849.0m; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: -95.66 | EPS CAGR: -32.81% | SUE: 1.34 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -82.37 | Revenue CAGR: -8.42% | SUE: 0.11 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.30 | Chg30d=-0.10% | Revisions=+80% | Analysts=11
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.19 | Chg30d=+1.69% | Revisions=-80% | Analysts=11
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.88 | Chg30d=+0.03% | Revisions=+46% | GrowthEPS=-22.8% | GrowthRev=+0.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.97 | Chg30d=-0.64% | Revisions=+13% | GrowthEPS=+10.0% | GrowthRev=+1.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +16% (up=27, down=19)