(BLMN) Bloomin Brands - Overview
Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Restaurants | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 688m USD | Total Return: 0.2% in 12m
Steaks, Italian Cuisine, Seafood, Wine, Casual Dining
Total Rating 40
Safety 37
Buy Signal -0.32
Restaurants
Industry Rotation: +1.8
Industry Rotation: +1.8
Market Cap:
688M
Avg Turnover: 16.7M
Avg Turnover: 16.7M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility56.5%
VaR 5th Pctl9.18%
VaR vs Median-1.35%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.34
Rel. Str. IBD67.2
Rel. Str. Peer Group82.4
Character TTM
Beta1.461
Beta Downside1.340
Hurst Exponent0.403
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD80.50%
CAGR/Max DD-0.37
CAGR/Mean DD-0.67
EPS (Earnings per Share)
EPS CAGR: -0.39%
EPS Trend: -51.1%
EPS Trend: -51.1%
Last SUE: 0.98
Qual. Beats: 0
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue
Rev. CAGR: -1.59%
Rev. Trend: -40.4%
Rev. Trend: -40.4%
Last SUE: 0.11
Qual. Beats: 0
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
High Debt/EBITDA (8.4) with thin interest coverage (1.0)
Altman Z'' -2.40 < 1.0 - financial distress zone
Volatile Below Avwap Earnings
Tailwinds
Confidence
Description: BLMN Bloomin Brands
Bloomin Brands, Inc. is a global hospitality company headquartered in Tampa, Florida, operating a diverse portfolio of casual and fine dining brands. Its primary revenue drivers include Outback Steakhouse, Carrabbas Italian Grill, Bonefish Grill, and Flemings Prime Steakhouse & Wine Bar.
The company utilizes a dual-track business model consisting of corporate-owned locations and international franchise segments. Within the GICS Restaurants sub-industry, this multi-concept approach allows the firm to capture market share across different price points, ranging from mid-tier casual dining to high-end steakhouse experiences.
To evaluate how these specific brand segments contribute to long-term valuation, you may wish to review the detailed financial metrics on ValueRay. The casual dining sector remains highly sensitive to fluctuations in commodity costs and consumer discretionary spending patterns.
- Outback Steakhouse same-store sales growth drives overall domestic revenue performance
- Elevated beef prices and labor costs compress consolidated operating margins
- International expansion strategy in Brazil impacts long-term earnings diversification
- Digital and off-premises sales growth influences casual dining market share
- Consumer discretionary spending shifts dictate traffic trends across four core brands
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict)
5.0
| Net Income: 21.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.43 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -15.25% < 20% (prev -12.08%; Δ -3.17% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 278.5m > Net Income 21.7m |
| Net Debt (1.91b) to EBITDA (227.3m): 8.41 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.24 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (85.8m) vs 12m ago 0.73% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 54.45% > 18% (prev 0.13%; Δ 5.43k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 123.6% > 50% (prev 115.1%; Δ 8.45% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.01 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 227.3m / Interest Expense TTM 46.6m) |
Altman Z''
-2.40
| A: -0.19 (Total Current Assets 195.2m - Total Current Liabilities 799.9m) / Total Assets 3.11b |
| B: -0.28 (Retained Earnings -861.9m / Total Assets 3.11b) |
| C: 0.01 (EBIT TTM 47.2m / Avg Total Assets 3.21b) |
| D: -0.31 (Book Value of Equity -847.8m / Total Liabilities 2.72b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -2.40 = D |
Beneish M
-4.00
| DSRI: 0.23 (Receivables 36.8m/154.3m, Revenue 3.97b/3.80b) |
| GMI: 0.25 (GM 54.45% / 13.36%) |
| AQI: 1.10 (AQ_t 0.33 / AQ_t-1 0.30) |
| SGI: 1.04 (Revenue 3.97b / 3.80b) |
| TATA: -0.08 (NI 21.7m - CFO 278.5m) / TA 3.11b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -4.34 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
What is the price of BLMN shares?
As of May 21, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 7.86 with a total of 2,936,875 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.07%, over one month by +17.84%, over three months by +21.48% and over the past year by +0.22%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.07%, over one month by +17.84%, over three months by +21.48% and over the past year by +0.22%.
Is BLMN a buy, sell or hold?
Bloomin Brands has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00.
Therefor, it is recommend to hold BLMN.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 2
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the BLMN price?
| Analysts Target Price | 8.6 | 9.8% |
Bloomin Brands (BLMN) - Fundamental Data Overview
as of 17 May 2026
P/E Trailing = 33.5 P/E Forward = 6.2461
P/S = 0.1736
P/B = 1.7576
P/EG = 1.07
Revenue TTM = 3.97b USD
EBIT TTM = 47.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 227.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 787.4m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 180.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.98b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.91b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.60b USD (688.3m + Debt 1.98b - CCE 71.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.01 (Ebit TTM 47.2m / Interest Expense TTM 46.6m)
EV/FCF = 21.82x (Enterprise Value 2.60b / FCF TTM 119.2m)
FCF Yield = 4.58% (FCF TTM 119.2m / Enterprise Value 2.60b)
FCF Margin = 3.01% (FCF TTM 119.2m / Revenue TTM 3.97b)
Net Margin = 0.55% (Net Income TTM 21.7m / Revenue TTM 3.97b)
Gross Margin = 54.45% ((Revenue TTM 3.97b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.81b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 11.04% (prev 70.20%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.83 (Enterprise Value 2.60b / Total Assets 3.11b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.63% (Interest Expense 12.4m / Debt 1.98b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 37.3m (EBIT 47.2m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 0.24 (Total Current Assets 195.2m / Total Current Liabilities 799.9m)
Debt / Equity = 5.01 (Debt 1.98b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 395.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 8.41 (Net Debt 1.91b / EBITDA 227.3m)
Debt / FCF = 16.04 (Net Debt 1.91b / FCF TTM 119.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 367.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.68% (Net Income 21.7m / Total Assets 3.11b)
RoE = 5.91% (Net Income TTM 21.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 367.6m)
RoCE = 4.09% (EBIT 47.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 367.6m + L.T.Debt 787.4m))
RoIC = 2.99% (NOPAT 37.3m / Invested Capital 1.25b)
WACC = 3.23% (E(688.3m)/V(2.67b) * Re(11.12%) + D(1.98b)/V(2.67b) * Rd(0.63%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 11.12% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -37.78 | Cagr: -4.99%
[DCF] Terminal Value 83.74% ; FCFF base≈89.9m ; Y1≈71.8m ; Y5≈48.5m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 1.49b - Net Debt 1.91b = -426.9m; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: -51.07 | EPS CAGR: -0.39% | SUE: 0.98 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -40.44 | Revenue CAGR: -1.59% | SUE: 0.11 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.30 | Chg30d=+30.71% | Revisions=+75% | Analysts=13
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.19 | Chg30d=-61.39% | Revisions=-75% | Analysts=13
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.88 | Chg30d=+2.32% | Revisions=+43% | GrowthEPS=-22.8% | GrowthRev=+0.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.98 | Chg30d=+0.29% | Revisions=+12% | GrowthEPS=+11.1% | GrowthRev=+1.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +75%