BLMN Stock Analysis: Bloomin Brands | NASDAQ
Restaurants | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 852m USD | 12M Return: 30.5% | US0942351083 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 22.2M
EPS Trend: -94.0%
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: -70.2%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Bloomin Brands, Inc. (BLMN) is a multi-concept restaurant operator headquartered in Tampa, Florida, founded in 1988. The company owns and operates a portfolio of four casual, polished casual, and fine dining brands in the United States and internationally: Outback Steakhouse, Carrabbas Italian Grill, Bonefish Grill, and Flemings Prime Steakhouse & Wine Bar. Its business is organized into U.S. and International Franchise segments, with international growth driven primarily through franchising rather than company-owned locations.
The company operates within the Consumer Discretionary sector (GICS Restaurants sub-industry), a segment of the broader U.S. restaurant industry that is highly competitive and sensitive to consumer spending trends, food and labor costs, and shifts in dining preferences between dine-in and off-premise occasions. As a multi-brand operator, Bloomin Brands benefits from portfolio diversification across price points and cuisine types, though its heavy weighting toward the casual dining category exposes it to ongoing pressure from fast-casual competitors and changing consumer habits.
- Outback Steakhouse same-store sales weaken on soft consumer traffic
- Beef costs and wage inflation compress restaurant level margins
- International franchise growth accelerates as domestic demand softens
| Net Income: 27.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.88 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -15.44% < 20% (prev -12.51%; Δ -2.93% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 319.8m > Net Income 27.7m |
| Net Debt (3.06b) to EBITDA (233.7m): 13.08 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.25 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (86.2m) vs 12m ago 1.27% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 13.41% > 18% (prev 29.95%; Δ -16.54% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 123.9% > 50% (prev 107.6%; Δ 16.25% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.11 > 6 (EBIT TTM 52.3m / Interest Expense TTM 47.0m) |
| A: -0.20 (Total Current Assets 209.6m - Total Current Liabilities 824.0m) / Total Assets 3.12b |
| B: -0.27 (Retained Earnings -830.6m / Total Assets 3.12b) |
| C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 52.3m / Avg Total Assets 3.21b) |
| D: 0.16 (Book Value of Equity 431.8m / Total Liabilities 2.68b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -1.88 = D |
| DSRI: 0.21 (Receivables 42.0m/179.6m, Revenue 3.98b/3.56b) |
| GMI: 2.23 (GM 29.95% / 13.41%) |
| AQI: 1.09 (AQ_t 0.33 / AQ_t-1 0.31) |
| SGI: 1.12 (Revenue 3.98b / 3.56b) |
| TATA: -0.09 (NI 27.7m - CFO 319.8m) / TA 3.12b) |
| Beneish M = -2.43 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB |
As of October 22, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 10.05 with a total of 2,860,967 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +7.49%, over one month by +19.22%, over three months by +19.08% and over the past year by +30.52%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 9.40 (which is 6.5% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Bloomin Brands has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.27. Therefore, it is recommended to hold BLMN.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 11.9 | 18% |
P/E Trailing = 30.1515
P/E Forward = 6.1996
P/S = 0.2141
P/B = 1.6962
P/EG = 1.07
Revenue TTM = 3.98b USD
EBIT TTM = 52.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 233.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 702.8m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 176.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.12b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.21b
Net Debt = 3.06b USD (calculated: Debt 3.12b - CCE 66.6m)
Enterprise Value = 3.91b USD (851.9m + Debt 3.12b - CCE 66.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.11 (Ebit TTM 52.3m / Interest Expense TTM 47.0m)
EV/FCF = 25.22x (Enterprise Value 3.91b / FCF TTM 155.0m)
FCF Yield = 3.97% (FCF TTM 155.0m / Enterprise Value 3.91b)
FCF Margin = 3.89% (FCF TTM 155.0m / Revenue TTM 3.98b)
Net Margin = 0.70% (Net Income TTM 27.7m / Revenue TTM 3.98b)
Gross Margin = 13.41% ((Revenue TTM 3.98b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.45b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 13.97% (prev 15.40%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.25 (Enterprise Value 3.91b / Total Assets 3.12b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.51% (Interest Expense 47.0m / Debt 3.12b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = 41.3m (EBIT 52.3m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 0.25 (Total Current Assets 209.6m / Total Current Liabilities 824.0m)
Debt / Equity = 7.23 (Debt 3.12b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 431.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = 13.08 (Net Debt 3.06b / EBITDA 233.7m)
Debt / FCF = 19.72 (Net Debt 3.06b / FCF TTM 155.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 376.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.86% (Net Income 27.7m / Total Assets 3.12b)
RoE = 7.35% (Net Income TTM 27.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 376.3m)
RoCE = 4.84% (EBIT 52.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 376.3m + L.T.Debt 702.8m))
RoIC = 1.72% (NOPAT 41.3m / Invested Capital 2.40b)
WACC = 3.50% (E(851.9m)/V(3.97b) * Re(11.96%) + D(3.12b)/V(3.97b) * Rd(1.51%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 11.96% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -49.19 | Cagr: -0.41%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈120.7m ; Y1≈138.3m ; Y5≈203.6m
[DCF] Fair Price = 0.09 (EV 3.06b - Net Debt 3.06b = Equity 7.77m / Shares 85.6m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
[DCF] Fair Price = 0.09 (out of range, set to none)
EPS Correlation: -94.02 | EPS CAGR: -31.76% | SUE: 1.33 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: -70.24 | Revenue CAGR: -7.49% | SUE: 0.08 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.24 | Chg30d=-7.22% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=11
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.97 | Chg30d=+0.34% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=-15.3% | GrowthRev=+0.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.09 | Chg30d=+4.57% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+12.4% | GrowthRev=+1.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +38% (up=4, down=1)