(BLMN) Bloomin Brands - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NASDAQ • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US0942351083

Casual, Polished Casual, Fine Dining, Steakhouse, Italian

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS (Earnings per Share) of BLMN over the last years for every Quarter: "2020-09": -0.12, "2020-12": 0.02, "2021-03": 0.72, "2021-06": 0.81, "2021-09": 0.57, "2021-12": 0.6, "2022-03": 0.8, "2022-06": 0.68, "2022-09": 0.35, "2022-12": 0.68, "2023-03": 0.98, "2023-06": 0.74, "2023-09": 0.44, "2023-12": 0.75, "2024-03": 0.7, "2024-06": 0.51, "2024-09": 0.21, "2024-12": 0.22, "2025-03": 0.58, "2025-06": 0.32, "2025-09": -0.03,

Revenue

Revenue of BLMN over the last years for every Quarter: 2020-09: 771.26, 2020-12: 812.505, 2021-03: 987.473, 2021-06: 1077.366, 2021-09: 1010.463, 2021-12: 1047.083, 2022-03: 1140.535, 2022-06: 1125.162, 2022-09: 1055.763, 2022-12: 1095.048, 2023-03: 1244.746, 2023-06: 1152.694, 2023-09: 1079.833, 2023-12: 1194.197, 2024-03: 1069.073, 2024-06: 1118.866, 2024-09: 1038.771, 2024-12: 597.511, 2025-03: 1049.594, 2025-06: 1002.366, 2025-09: 928.813,
Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility 65.8%
Value at Risk 5%th 99.0%
Relative Tail Risk -8.53%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio -0.47
Alpha -62.52
Character TTM
Hurst Exponent 0.402
Beta 1.447
Beta Downside 1.362
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD 78.05%
Mean DD 33.61%
Median DD 27.78%

Description: BLMN Bloomin Brands October 22, 2025

Bloomin’ Brands, Inc. (NASDAQ:BLMN) operates a portfolio of four restaurant concepts-Outback Steakhouse, Carrabba’s Italian Grill, Bonefish Grill, and Fleming’s Prime Steakhouse & Wine Bar-through both U.S. and International Franchise segments. Founded in 1988 and headquartered in Tampa, Florida, the company runs casual to fine-dining venues across the United States and select overseas markets.

Recent performance highlights include FY 2023 comparable-store sales declining roughly 2% year-over-year, while franchise revenue now represents about 45% of total revenue, reflecting a strategic shift toward higher-margin franchising. The sector remains sensitive to consumer discretionary spending and input-cost inflation, with labor and food cost pressures compressing operating margins across the casual dining industry.

For a deeper, data-driven view of Bloomin’ Brands’ valuation dynamics, you might find the analytical tools on ValueRay useful for extending this initial assessment.

BLMN Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD 539m
Sub-Industry Restaurants
IPO / Inception 2012-08-08
Return 12m vs S&P 500 -52.4%
Analyst Rating 3.0 of 5

BLMN Dividends

Metric Value
Dividend Yield 10.87%
Yield on Cost 5y 4.70%
Yield CAGR 5y 48.02%
Payout Consistency 77.3%
Payout Ratio 63.3%

BLMN Growth Ratios

Metric Value
CAGR 3y -31.40%
CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio -0.40
CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio -0.93
Current Volume 2652.4k
Average Volume 2352.8k

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5

Net Income (-57.7m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 214.7m TTM)
FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 4.82pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue -12.14% (prev -13.30%; Δ 1.16pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA 0.08 (>3.0%) and CFO 277.3m > Net Income -57.7m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
Net Debt (2.14b) to EBITDA (214.7m) ratio: 9.98 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)
Current Ratio 0.44 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (85.1m) change vs 12m ago -1.24% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 44.75% (prev 14.90%; Δ 29.85pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 106.6% (prev 128.8%; Δ -22.16pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio 1.07 (EBITDA TTM 214.7m / Interest Expense TTM 51.2m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' -1.98

(A) -0.13 = (Total Current Assets 340.0m - Total Current Liabilities 774.4m) / Total Assets 3.28b
(B) -0.28 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -904.1m / Total Assets 3.28b
(C) 0.02 = EBIT TTM 54.6m / Avg Total Assets 3.36b
(D) -0.31 = Book Value of Equity -895.6m / Total Liabilities 2.93b
Total Rating: -1.98 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 38.95

1. Piotroski 3.50pt
2. FCF Yield 4.88%
3. FCF Margin 3.65%
4. Debt/Equity 6.42
5. Debt/Ebitda 9.98
6. ROIC - WACC (= 1.89)%
7. RoE -18.37%
8. Rev. Trend -51.68%
9. EPS Trend -77.83%

What is the price of BLMN shares?

As of November 22, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 6.35 with a total of 2,652,438 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -6.20%, over one month by -17.53%, over three months by -8.76% and over the past year by -46.56%.

Is BLMN a buy, sell or hold?

Bloomin Brands has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00. Therefor, it is recommend to hold BLMN.
  • Strong Buy: 1
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 10
  • Sell: 2
  • Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the BLMN price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 7.5 17.8%
Analysts Target Price 7.5 17.8%
ValueRay Target Price 6.2 -2.8%

BLMN Fundamental Data Overview November 20, 2025

Market Cap USD = 538.6m (538.6m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 18.0571
P/E Forward = 7.4184
P/S = 0.1363
P/B = 1.6494
P/EG = 1.07
Beta = 1.136
Revenue TTM = 3.58b USD
EBIT TTM = 54.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 214.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 962.2m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 179.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.21b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.14b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.68b USD (538.6m + Debt 2.21b - CCE 66.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.07 (Ebit TTM 54.6m / Interest Expense TTM 51.2m)
FCF Yield = 4.88% (FCF TTM 130.8m / Enterprise Value 2.68b)
FCF Margin = 3.65% (FCF TTM 130.8m / Revenue TTM 3.58b)
Net Margin = -1.61% (Net Income TTM -57.7m / Revenue TTM 3.58b)
Gross Margin = 44.75% ((Revenue TTM 3.58b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.98b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 70.38% (prev 70.24%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.82 (Enterprise Value 2.68b / Total Assets 3.28b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.50% (Interest Expense 11.1m / Debt 2.21b)
Taxrate = -5.63% (negative due to tax credits) (2.40m / -42.7m)
NOPAT = 57.7m (EBIT 54.6m * (1 - -5.63%)) [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 0.44 (Total Current Assets 340.0m / Total Current Liabilities 774.4m)
Debt / Equity = 6.42 (Debt 2.21b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 344.1m)
Debt / EBITDA = 9.98 (Net Debt 2.14b / EBITDA 214.7m)
Debt / FCF = 16.39 (Net Debt 2.14b / FCF TTM 130.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 314.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -1.76% (Net Income -57.7m / Total Assets 3.28b)
RoE = -18.37% (Net Income TTM -57.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 314.4m)
RoCE = 4.28% (EBIT 54.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 314.4m + L.T.Debt 962.2m))
RoIC = 4.54% (NOPAT 57.7m / Invested Capital 1.27b)
WACC = 2.65% (E(538.6m)/V(2.75b) * Re(11.35%) + D(2.21b)/V(2.75b) * Rd(0.50%) * (1-Tc(-0.06)))
Discount Rate = 11.35% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -5.96%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 57.16% ; FCFE base≈130.8m ; Y1≈85.9m ; Y5≈39.3m
Fair Price DCF = 5.81 (DCF Value 495.0m / Shares Outstanding 85.2m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -77.83 | EPS CAGR: -61.72% | SUE: 1.32 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -51.68 | Revenue CAGR: -5.81% | SUE: 0.10 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for BLMN Stock

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