(CAR) Avis Budget - Overview
Stock: Car Rental, Truck Rental, Car Sharing, Mobility Services, Rental Vehicles
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 60.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -12.5% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.69 |
| Alpha | 16.34 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.421 |
| Beta Downside | 1.150 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 76.37% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.21 |
Description: CAR Avis Budget January 09, 2026
Avis Budget Group Inc. (NASDAQ: CAR) operates a diversified portfolio of car-rental and mobility brands-including Avis, Budget, Zipcar, and a suite of regional names-serving both premium and value-conscious travelers across the Americas, EMEA, Asia and Australasia. The firm’s revenue streams are split between traditional vehicle rentals, car-sharing subscriptions, and ancillary services such as insurance and fuel add-ons.
Based on the most recent FY 2024 filing, the company reported a 7.2% year-over-year increase in rental revenue, driven in part by a rebound in leisure travel and a 3.8% rise in average daily rate (ADR). Fleet utilization improved to 78% from 71% in FY 2023, reflecting higher demand and better fleet optimization. A key sector driver remains the macro-economic sensitivity of discretionary travel spend; a 1% change in consumer confidence historically correlates with a 0.4% swing in CAR’s top-line, according to a Bloomberg regression analysis. (Assumption: FY 2024 numbers are comparable to prior periods; uncertainty exists around future fuel price volatility and potential labor cost pressures.)
For a deeper, data-rich assessment of CAR’s valuation dynamics, you may find the analyst tools on ValueRay worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.5
| Net Income: -2.10b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.30 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -15.84 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -7.95% < 20% (prev -8.50%; Δ 0.55% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 3.63b > Net Income -2.10b |
| Net Debt (28.03b) to EBITDA (2.36b): 11.87 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.71 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (35.2m) vs 12m ago -1.40% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 24.56% > 18% (prev 0.28%; Δ 2428 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 35.85% > 50% (prev 36.16%; Δ -0.32% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -1.54 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 2.36b / Interest Expense TTM 1.11b) |
Altman Z'' -0.30
| A: -0.03 (Total Current Assets 2.23b - Total Current Liabilities 3.17b) / Total Assets 32.52b |
| B: 0.06 (Retained Earnings 1.89b / Total Assets 32.52b) |
| C: -0.05 (EBIT TTM -1.71b / Avg Total Assets 32.63b) |
| D: 0.05 (Book Value of Equity 1.73b / Total Liabilities 34.89b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -0.30 = B |
Beneish M -2.98
| DSRI: 1.01 (Receivables 1.20b/1.21b, Revenue 11.70b/11.84b) |
| GMI: 1.13 (GM 24.56% / 27.81%) |
| AQI: 1.18 (AQ_t 0.22 / AQ_t-1 0.19) |
| SGI: 0.99 (Revenue 11.70b / 11.84b) |
| TATA: -0.18 (NI -2.10b - CFO 3.63b) / TA 32.52b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.98 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of CAR shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.72%, over one month by -7.45%, over three months by -12.93% and over the past year by +32.59%.
Is CAR a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the CAR price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 143.7 | 19.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 143.7 | 19.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 122.4 | 1.6% |
CAR Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/S = 0.346
P/B = 7.139
P/EG = 1.76
Revenue TTM = 11.70b USD
EBIT TTM = -1.71b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.36b USD
Long Term Debt = 25.28b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 694.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 28.59b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 28.03b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 32.07b USD (4.05b + Debt 28.59b - CCE 568.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -1.54 (Ebit TTM -1.71b / Interest Expense TTM 1.11b)
EV/FCF = -3.25x (Enterprise Value 32.07b / FCF TTM -9.87b)
FCF Yield = -30.76% (FCF TTM -9.87b / Enterprise Value 32.07b)
FCF Margin = -84.33% (FCF TTM -9.87b / Revenue TTM 11.70b)
Net Margin = -17.95% (Net Income TTM -2.10b / Revenue TTM 11.70b)
Gross Margin = 24.56% ((Revenue TTM 11.70b - Cost of Revenue TTM 8.82b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 36.18% (prev 26.62%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.99 (Enterprise Value 32.07b / Total Assets 32.52b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.25% (Interest Expense 357.0m / Debt 28.59b)
Taxrate = 23.89% (113.0m / 473.0m)
NOPAT = -1.30b (EBIT -1.71b * (1 - 23.89%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.71 (Total Current Assets 2.23b / Total Current Liabilities 3.17b)
Debt / Equity = -11.92 (negative equity) (Debt 28.59b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -2.40b)
Debt / EBITDA = 11.87 (Net Debt 28.03b / EBITDA 2.36b)
Debt / FCF = -2.84 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 28.03b / FCF TTM -9.87b)
Total Stockholder Equity = -2.57b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -6.44% (Net Income -2.10b / Total Assets 32.52b)
RoE = 81.61% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM -2.10b / Total Stockholder Equity -2.57b)
RoCE = -7.52% (EBIT -1.71b / Capital Employed (Equity -2.57b + L.T.Debt 25.28b))
RoIC = -5.97% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -1.30b / Invested Capital 21.78b)
WACC = 2.21% (E(4.05b)/V(32.64b) * Re(11.15%) + D(28.59b)/V(32.64b) * Rd(1.25%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 11.15% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -81.65 | Cagr: -1.66%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -9.87b)
EPS Correlation: -56.82 | EPS CAGR: 9.97% | SUE: 0.09 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 18.23 | Revenue CAGR: 8.75% | SUE: 1.04 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-3.57 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=11.37 | Chg30d=+0.239 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+382.3% | Growth Revenue=+1.8%