(CARG) CarGurus - Overview
Stock: Marketplace, Listings, Digital Deal, Finance, Sell, Insights
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 38.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -9.17% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.67 |
| Alpha | -45.09 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.147 |
| Beta Downside | 1.172 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 37.88% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.55 |
Description: CARG CarGurus January 12, 2026
CarGurus, Inc. (NASDAQ:CARG) runs a dual-segment online automotive platform-U.S. Marketplace and Digital Wholesale-that connects consumers with new and used car listings and equips dealers with data-driven insights. Its suite includes Digital Deal (direct purchase from vehicle detail pages), Finance in Advance (pre-qualified financing), and “Sell My Car” tools that generate trade-in offers or instant cash bids, while also monetizing through dealer listings, advertising products, and niche sites such as Autolist and PistonHeads.
Key recent metrics indicate the company’s growth trajectory: Q4 2023 revenue rose 12% YoY to $274 million, driven by a 15% increase in active dealer listings; the average monthly unique visitor count surpassed 30 million, reflecting strong consumer engagement. CarGurus benefits from macro-level trends like rising vehicle turnover rates and higher digital adoption in auto shopping, while its margins are pressured by rising dealer acquisition costs and competitive ad spend.
For a deeper, data-driven valuation, see the analysis on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 10.0
| Net Income: 152.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.38 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 25.63 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 18.95% < 20% (prev 24.30%; Δ -5.36% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.44 > 3% & CFO 287.9m > Net Income 152.0m |
| Net Debt (14.4m) to EBITDA (237.7m): 0.06 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.87 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (99.7m) vs 12m ago -5.08% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 88.15% > 18% (prev 0.79%; Δ 8735 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 128.8% > 50% (prev 114.2%; Δ 14.55% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 9.46 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 237.7m / Interest Expense TTM 22.2m) |
Altman Z'' 6.88
| A: 0.27 (Total Current Assets 269.4m - Total Current Liabilities 93.9m) / Total Assets 660.5m |
| B: 0.56 (Retained Earnings 367.2m / Total Assets 660.5m) |
| C: 0.29 (EBIT TTM 210.1m / Avg Total Assets 719.3m) |
| D: 1.29 (Book Value of Equity 368.7m / Total Liabilities 285.0m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 6.88 = AAA |
Beneish M -3.51
| DSRI: 0.85 (Receivables 39.6m/44.5m, Revenue 926.4m/889.0m) |
| GMI: 0.90 (GM 88.15% / 79.33%) |
| AQI: 0.84 (AQ_t 0.21 / AQ_t-1 0.25) |
| SGI: 1.04 (Revenue 926.4m / 889.0m) |
| TATA: -0.21 (NI 152.0m - CFO 287.9m) / TA 660.5m) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.51 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
What is the price of CARG shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -11.70%, over one month by -25.61%, over three months by -13.64% and over the past year by -26.70%.
Is CARG a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 6
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the CARG price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 40.9 | 42.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 40.9 | 42.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 29 | 1.2% |
CARG Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/E Forward = 13.369
P/S = 3.4714
P/B = 8.2411
P/EG = 1.0278
Revenue TTM = 926.4m USD
EBIT TTM = 210.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 237.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 193.3m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 9.32m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 193.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 14.4m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 3.23b USD (3.22b + Debt 193.3m - CCE 178.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 9.46 (Ebit TTM 210.1m / Interest Expense TTM 22.2m)
EV/FCF = 12.84x (Enterprise Value 3.23b / FCF TTM 251.6m)
FCF Yield = 7.79% (FCF TTM 251.6m / Enterprise Value 3.23b)
FCF Margin = 27.15% (FCF TTM 251.6m / Revenue TTM 926.4m)
Net Margin = 16.41% (Net Income TTM 152.0m / Revenue TTM 926.4m)
Gross Margin = 88.15% ((Revenue TTM 926.4m - Cost of Revenue TTM 109.8m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 89.46% (prev 87.33%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.89 (Enterprise Value 3.23b / Total Assets 660.5m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.45% (Interest Expense 8.60m / Debt 193.3m)
Taxrate = 20.95% (11.8m / 56.6m)
NOPAT = 166.1m (EBIT 210.1m * (1 - 20.95%))
Current Ratio = 2.87 (Total Current Assets 269.4m / Total Current Liabilities 93.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.51 (Debt 193.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 375.4m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.06 (Net Debt 14.4m / EBITDA 237.7m)
Debt / FCF = 0.06 (Net Debt 14.4m / FCF TTM 251.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 438.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 21.13% (Net Income 152.0m / Total Assets 660.5m)
RoE = 34.65% (Net Income TTM 152.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 438.7m)
RoCE = 33.24% (EBIT 210.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 438.7m + L.T.Debt 193.3m))
RoIC = 37.86% (NOPAT 166.1m / Invested Capital 438.7m)
WACC = 9.76% (E(3.22b)/V(3.41b) * Re(10.14%) + D(193.3m)/V(3.41b) * Rd(4.45%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 10.14% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -5.21%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 75.75% ; FCFF base≈189.7m ; Y1≈234.0m ; Y5≈398.6m
Fair Price DCF = 60.76 (EV 4.95b - Net Debt 14.4m = Equity 4.94b / Shares 81.2m; r=9.76% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 30.71 | EPS CAGR: -47.78% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -73.74 | Revenue CAGR: -8.96% | SUE: 1.12 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.56 | Chg30d=-0.003 | Revisions Net=-2 | Analysts=11
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.52 | Chg30d=-0.024 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=+16.5% | Growth Revenue=+6.1%