(CASY) Caseys General Stores - Overview
Stock: Pizza, Fuel, Tobacco, Snacks, Beverages
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.54% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.12% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 11.80% |
| Payout Consistency | 98.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 13.6% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 23.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -12.9% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.48 |
| Alpha | 44.90 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.481 |
| Beta Downside | 0.551 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 14.42% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 3.13 |
Description: CASY Caseys General Stores December 19, 2025
Casey’s General Stores, Inc. (NASDAQ: CASY) operates a network of roughly 1,200 convenience stores across the United States, selling a broad mix of food (pizza, donuts, breakfast items, sandwiches, and ready-to-eat meals), beverages, tobacco, automotive products, and self-service fuel, along with ancillary services such as ATMs, lottery, and car washes.
For FY 2023 the company reported revenue of about $4.3 billion, with comparable-store sales growing roughly 5.5 % year-over-year and same-store fuel sales up 3 %, reflecting resilience in both food and fuel segments despite volatile gasoline prices.
Key economic drivers include regional fuel price swings, inflationary pressure on food costs, and the broader consumer trend toward convenience-oriented, on-the-go eating; the sector also faces intense competition from national chains like 7-Eleven and Circle K, making same-store sales growth a critical performance barometer.
Analysts often watch CASY’s operating margin (≈5.5 %) and dividend yield (≈2.8 %) as gauges of cash-flow strength and shareholder return sustainability.
If you’re looking for deeper, data-driven insights on Casey’s valuation and risk profile, a quick look at ValueRay’s analyst toolkit can help you surface the most material assumptions.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income: 607.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.69 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 0.33% < 20% (prev -0.92%; Δ 1.25% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.15 > 3% & CFO 1.26b > Net Income 607.1m |
| Net Debt (2.43b) to EBITDA (1.33b): 1.82 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.05 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (37.3m) vs 12m ago -0.07% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 23.36% > 18% (prev 0.23%; Δ 2312 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 208.1% > 50% (prev 193.8%; Δ 14.26% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 8.24 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.33b / Interest Expense TTM 108.9m) |
Altman Z'' 3.05
| A: 0.01 (Total Current Assets 1.19b - Total Current Liabilities 1.14b) / Total Assets 8.59b |
| B: 0.44 (Retained Earnings 3.81b / Total Assets 8.59b) |
| C: 0.11 (EBIT TTM 896.7m / Avg Total Assets 8.16b) |
| D: 0.78 (Book Value of Equity 3.75b / Total Liabilities 4.78b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 3.05 = A |
Beneish M -3.13
| DSRI: 1.13 (Receivables 199.8m/156.4m, Revenue 16.97b/14.97b) |
| GMI: 1.00 (GM 23.36% / 23.36%) |
| AQI: 0.62 (AQ_t 0.16 / AQ_t-1 0.26) |
| SGI: 1.13 (Revenue 16.97b / 14.97b) |
| TATA: -0.08 (NI 607.1m - CFO 1.26b) / TA 8.59b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.13 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of CASY shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +8.97%, over one month by +17.32%, over three months by +26.47% and over the past year by +52.48%.
Is CASY a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 11
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the CASY price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 643.5 | -2.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 643.5 | -2.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 953.1 | 44.2% |
CASY Fundamental Data Overview February 07, 2026
P/E Forward = 34.3643
P/S = 1.4264
P/B = 6.3539
P/EG = 2.4246
Revenue TTM = 16.97b USD
EBIT TTM = 896.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.33b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.35b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 101.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.92b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.43b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 26.63b USD (24.21b + Debt 2.92b - CCE 492.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.24 (Ebit TTM 896.7m / Interest Expense TTM 108.9m)
EV/FCF = 39.04x (Enterprise Value 26.63b / FCF TTM 682.2m)
FCF Yield = 2.56% (FCF TTM 682.2m / Enterprise Value 26.63b)
FCF Margin = 4.02% (FCF TTM 682.2m / Revenue TTM 16.97b)
Net Margin = 3.58% (Net Income TTM 607.1m / Revenue TTM 16.97b)
Gross Margin = 23.36% ((Revenue TTM 16.97b - Cost of Revenue TTM 13.01b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 24.89% (prev 21.97%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.10 (Enterprise Value 26.63b / Total Assets 8.59b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.85% (Interest Expense 24.7m / Debt 2.92b)
Taxrate = 24.69% (67.7m / 274.0m)
NOPAT = 675.3m (EBIT 896.7m * (1 - 24.69%))
Current Ratio = 1.05 (Total Current Assets 1.19b / Total Current Liabilities 1.14b)
Debt / Equity = 0.77 (Debt 2.92b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.81b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.82 (Net Debt 2.43b / EBITDA 1.33b)
Debt / FCF = 3.56 (Net Debt 2.43b / FCF TTM 682.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.59b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.44% (Net Income 607.1m / Total Assets 8.59b)
RoE = 16.89% (Net Income TTM 607.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.59b)
RoCE = 15.08% (EBIT 896.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.59b + L.T.Debt 2.35b))
RoIC = 11.03% (NOPAT 675.3m / Invested Capital 6.12b)
WACC = 6.93% (E(24.21b)/V(27.12b) * Re(7.69%) + D(2.92b)/V(27.12b) * Rd(0.85%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 7.69% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.20%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 82.54% ; FCFF base≈571.7m ; Y1≈589.4m ; Y5≈663.3m
Fair Price DCF = 330.4 (EV 14.67b - Net Debt 2.43b = Equity 12.25b / Shares 37.1m; r=6.93% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 3.13% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -7.61 | EPS CAGR: -38.07% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 57.66 | Revenue CAGR: 10.98% | SUE: 0.06 | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-04-30): EPS=17.32 | Chg30d=+0.106 | Revisions Net=+5 | Growth EPS=+18.3% | Growth Revenue=+8.5%
EPS next Year (2027-04-30): EPS=19.19 | Chg30d=+0.293 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=+10.8% | Growth Revenue=+5.3%