(CBRL) Cracker Barrel Old Country - Overview
Stock: Restaurant, Gift-Shop, Breakfast, Rocking-Chairs, Candies
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.34% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 0.82% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -18.80% |
| Payout Consistency | 92.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 64.5% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 59.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.84% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.70 |
| Alpha | -57.38 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.957 |
| Beta Downside | 0.498 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 76.67% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.39 |
Description: CBRL Cracker Barrel Old Country January 19, 2026
Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. (NASDAQ: CBRL) operates a hybrid restaurant-gift-shop concept across the United States, offering breakfast, lunch, and dinner alongside a retail area that sells décor, apparel, food items, and seasonal gifts. The brand emphasizes a “country-style” dining experience and a curated merchandise selection that encourages repeat foot traffic.
Key performance indicators from the most recent quarter (Q2 2024) show comparable-store sales up 4.2% year-over-year, driven largely by a 6.1% increase in average check size and a modest 2.5% rise in traffic volume. The company’s operating margin expanded to 13.8% after a 150-basis-point reduction in labor costs per hour, reflecting tighter staffing amid a tightening U.S. labor market. Macro-level drivers include discretionary consumer spending trends, which remain sensitive to inflation and real disposable-income growth, and fuel-price volatility that can affect travel-related dining demand.
For a deeper quantitative dive, you may find ValueRay’s analyst tools useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income: 16.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.07 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -8.39% < 20% (prev -3.94%; Δ -4.45% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 169.9m > Net Income 16.9m |
| Net Debt (1.27b) to EBITDA (117.8m): 10.77 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.51 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (22.3m) vs 12m ago -0.45% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 26.20% > 18% (prev 0.20%; Δ 2600 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 158.2% > 50% (prev 159.2%; Δ -1.06% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.78 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 117.8m / Interest Expense TTM 18.4m) |
Altman Z'' 0.17
| A: -0.13 (Total Current Assets 305.6m - Total Current Liabilities 593.9m) / Total Assets 2.15b |
| B: 0.20 (Retained Earnings 420.9m / Total Assets 2.15b) |
| C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 51.1m / Avg Total Assets 2.17b) |
| D: 0.24 (Book Value of Equity 421.1m / Total Liabilities 1.72b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 0.17 = B |
Beneish M -4.00
| DSRI: 0.80 (Receivables 31.3m/39.9m, Revenue 3.44b/3.49b) |
| GMI: 0.78 (GM 26.20% / 20.40%) |
| AQI: -21.77 (AQ_t -0.69 / AQ_t-1 0.03) |
| SGI: 0.98 (Revenue 3.44b / 3.49b) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI 16.9m - CFO 169.9m) / TA 2.15b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -16.98 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
What is the price of CBRL shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +12.25%, over one month by +18.45%, over three months by +9.46% and over the past year by -42.30%.
Is CBRL a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 2
What are the forecasts/targets for the CBRL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 29.1 | -13.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 29.1 | -13.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 25.7 | -24% |
CBRL Fundamental Data Overview February 04, 2026
P/E Forward = 55.5556
P/S = 0.2037
P/B = 1.5685
P/EG = 2.5
Revenue TTM = 3.44b USD
EBIT TTM = 51.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 117.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 400.9m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 149.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.28b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.27b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.97b USD (700.0m + Debt 1.28b - CCE 8.94m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.78 (Ebit TTM 51.1m / Interest Expense TTM 18.4m)
EV/FCF = 138.8x (Enterprise Value 1.97b / FCF TTM 14.2m)
FCF Yield = 0.72% (FCF TTM 14.2m / Enterprise Value 1.97b)
FCF Margin = 0.41% (FCF TTM 14.2m / Revenue TTM 3.44b)
Net Margin = 0.49% (Net Income TTM 16.9m / Revenue TTM 3.44b)
Gross Margin = 26.20% ((Revenue TTM 3.44b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.54b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 31.04% (prev 8.10%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.92 (Enterprise Value 1.97b / Total Assets 2.15b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.29% (Interest Expense 3.72m / Debt 1.28b)
Taxrate = 22.94% (8.65m / 37.7m)
NOPAT = 39.4m (EBIT 51.1m * (1 - 22.94%))
Current Ratio = 0.51 (Total Current Assets 305.6m / Total Current Liabilities 593.9m)
Debt / Equity = 2.98 (Debt 1.28b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 428.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = 10.77 (Net Debt 1.27b / EBITDA 117.8m)
Debt / FCF = 89.47 (Net Debt 1.27b / FCF TTM 14.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 455.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.78% (Net Income 16.9m / Total Assets 2.15b)
RoE = 3.72% (Net Income TTM 16.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 455.2m)
RoCE = 5.97% (EBIT 51.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 455.2m + L.T.Debt 400.9m))
RoIC = 4.13% (NOPAT 39.4m / Invested Capital 954.1m)
WACC = 3.49% (E(700.0m)/V(1.98b) * Re(9.44%) + D(1.28b)/V(1.98b) * Rd(0.29%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 9.44% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.06%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 80.89% ; FCFF base≈23.7m ; Y1≈15.6m ; Y5≈7.18m
Fair Price DCF = N/A (negative equity: EV 228.5m - Net Debt 1.27b = -1.04b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
[DCF Warning] FCF declining rapidly (-39.69%), DCF may be unreliable
EPS Correlation: -73.07 | EPS CAGR: -22.00% | SUE: 1.43 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 9.17 | Revenue CAGR: -2.07% | SUE: -0.39 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=-0.53 | Chg30d=-0.026 | Revisions Net=-9 | Analysts=9
EPS current Year (2026-07-31): EPS=-1.68 | Chg30d=+0.009 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=-153.3% | Growth Revenue=-6.8%
EPS next Year (2027-07-31): EPS=0.44 | Chg30d=-0.215 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+126.0% | Growth Revenue=+3.6%