(CENT) Central Garden & Pet - Ratings and Ratios
Pet Supplies, Garden Products, Dog Treats, Bird Feed, Grass Seed
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 38.0% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 50.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -18.86% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.48 |
| Alpha | -28.63 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.14 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.494 |
| Beta | 0.612 |
| Beta Downside | 0.367 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 38.77% |
| Mean DD | 15.00% |
| Median DD | 15.26% |
Description: CENT Central Garden & Pet November 10, 2025
Central Garden & Pet Company (NASDAQ:CENT) designs, manufactures, and distributes a broad portfolio of lawn-and-garden and pet-care products across the United States, operating through two distinct segments: Pet and Garden. The Pet segment, which accounts for roughly 60 % of total revenue, includes dog and cat treats, toys, bedding, grooming supplies, aquatics, small-animal accessories, equine products, and health-care items sold under brands such as K & H, Nylabone, and Kaytee. The Garden segment, contributing about 40 % of revenue, offers seed, fertilizer, pest control, bird-feeding accessories, and decorative outdoor items under the Ferry-Morse, Pennington, and Sevin names.
In FY 2023 the company generated approximately $2.3 billion in revenue with an operating margin near 10 %, and its Q2 2024 earnings per share were $0.41, reflecting modest top-line growth despite a higher-inflation environment. The pet-care market continues to expand at a 5-6 % compound annual growth rate, driven by increasing discretionary spending on premium pet products, while the garden segment is more cyclical, tied to housing starts, weather patterns, and DIY home-improvement trends.
Key economic drivers for CENT include consumer confidence (which influences discretionary pet and garden spending), input-cost volatility for raw materials such as plastics and chemicals, and the competitive dynamics of big-box retailers versus direct-to-consumer e-commerce channels. A recent shift toward online sales has accelerated growth for the company’s e-commerce partners, but also pressures margin compression due to higher fulfillment costs.
For a deeper dive into CENT’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, the ValueRay platform offers a granular, data-driven view worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (162.8m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 187.7m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.08 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -1.90pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 45.94% (prev 42.85%; Δ 3.09pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 (>3.0%) and CFO 332.5m > Net Income 162.8m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (557.8m) to EBITDA (325.0m) ratio: 1.72 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 3.67 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (62.4m) change vs 12m ago -6.60% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 31.87% (prev 29.23%; Δ 2.64pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 88.64% (prev 91.55%; Δ -2.91pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 4.63 (EBITDA TTM 325.0m / Interest Expense TTM 57.7m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 4.62
| (A) 0.40 = (Total Current Assets 1.98b - Total Current Liabilities 538.8m) / Total Assets 3.56b |
| (B) 0.28 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.02b / Total Assets 3.56b |
| (C) 0.08 = EBIT TTM 267.4m / Avg Total Assets 3.53b |
| (D) 0.51 = Book Value of Equity 1.01b / Total Liabilities 1.98b |
| Total Rating: 4.62 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 62.69
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 10.99% |
| 3. FCF Margin 9.30% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.91 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.72 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 2.01)% |
| 7. RoE 10.45% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -7.37% |
| 9. EPS Trend -2.40% |
What is the price of CENT shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.18%, over one month by +5.83%, over three months by -5.81% and over the past year by -16.05%.
Is CENT a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the CENT price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 42.3 | 26.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 42.3 | 26.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 32.8 | -2.2% |
CENT Fundamental Data Overview December 06, 2025
P/E Trailing = 13.1529
P/E Forward = 12.5313
P/S = 0.6681
P/B = 1.335
P/EG = 2.56
Beta = 0.612
Revenue TTM = 3.13b USD
EBIT TTM = 267.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 325.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.19b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 56.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.44b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 557.8m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.65b USD (2.09b + Debt 1.44b - CCE 882.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.63 (Ebit TTM 267.4m / Interest Expense TTM 57.7m)
FCF Yield = 10.99% (FCF TTM 291.1m / Enterprise Value 2.65b)
FCF Margin = 9.30% (FCF TTM 291.1m / Revenue TTM 3.13b)
Net Margin = 5.20% (Net Income TTM 162.8m / Revenue TTM 3.13b)
Gross Margin = 31.87% ((Revenue TTM 3.13b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.13b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 28.98% (prev 34.55%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.74 (Enterprise Value 2.65b / Total Assets 3.56b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.00% (Interest Expense 14.4m / Debt 1.44b)
Taxrate = 25.86% (-3.42m / -13.2m)
NOPAT = 198.2m (EBIT 267.4m * (1 - 25.86%))
Current Ratio = 3.67 (Total Current Assets 1.98b / Total Current Liabilities 538.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.91 (Debt 1.44b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.58b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.72 (Net Debt 557.8m / EBITDA 325.0m)
Debt / FCF = 1.92 (Net Debt 557.8m / FCF TTM 291.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.56b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.57% (Net Income 162.8m / Total Assets 3.56b)
RoE = 10.45% (Net Income TTM 162.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.56b)
RoCE = 9.72% (EBIT 267.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.56b + L.T.Debt 1.19b))
RoIC = 7.21% (NOPAT 198.2m / Invested Capital 2.75b)
WACC = 5.20% (E(2.09b)/V(3.53b) * Re(8.27%) + D(1.44b)/V(3.53b) * Rd(1.00%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 8.27% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 8.11%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 76.20% ; FCFE base≈315.4m ; Y1≈290.8m ; Y5≈262.3m
Fair Price DCF = 468.6 (DCF Value 4.52b / Shares Outstanding 9.65m; 5y FCF grow -9.81% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -2.40 | EPS CAGR: -22.74% | SUE: 1.14 | # QB: 4
Revenue Correlation: -7.37 | Revenue CAGR: 0.67% | SUE: 0.72 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.10 | Chg30d=+0.056 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=5
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=2.77 | Chg30d=+0.033 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+1.6% | Growth Revenue=+0.5%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=2.96 | Chg30d=+0.036 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+6.7% | Growth Revenue=+2.1%
Additional Sources for CENT Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle