(CHEF) The Chefs Warehouse - Overview
Stock: Specialty Food, Center-Of-The-Plate, Meat, Dairy, Seafood
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 38.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.08% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.55 |
| Alpha | 8.40 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.732 |
| Beta Downside | 0.891 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 53.19% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.40 |
Description: CHEF The Chefs Warehouse January 12, 2026
The Chefs Warehouse, Inc. (NASDAQ: CHEF) distributes specialty food and center-of-the-plate products across the United States, Canada, and the Middle East, serving independent restaurants, fine-dining venues, hotels, culinary schools, and specialty retailers. Its catalog includes artisan charcuterie, specialty cheeses, truffles, caviar, premium oils, custom-cut beef, hormone-free poultry, and a broadline line of staples such as butter, eggs, and flour.
Founded in 1985 and headquartered in Ridgefield, Connecticut, CHEF operates a B2B distribution network while also selling center-of-the-plate items directly to consumers via mail order and e-commerce. The company’s revenue for FY 2023 was approximately $1.1 billion, reflecting a 5 % year-over-year increase driven by strong demand for premium foodservice ingredients as the restaurant sector rebounds from pandemic-related disruptions.
Key performance indicators show an inventory turnover of roughly 4.2×, indicating efficient stock management, while EBITDA margin hovered near 3 %, modest but improving as the firm leverages higher-margin specialty lines. Macro-level drivers include rising consumer spending on premium dining experiences, persistent inflationary pressure on commodity inputs, and supply-chain constraints that favor distributors with diversified sourcing.
For a deeper quantitative view of CHEF’s valuation metrics, the ValueRay platform offers a concise dashboard worth checking.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income: 74.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.24 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 11.46% < 20% (prev 9.79%; Δ 1.68% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 128.4m > Net Income 74.6m |
| Net Debt (889.1m) to EBITDA (222.9m): 3.99 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.14 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (45.8m) vs 12m ago -0.31% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 24.22% > 18% (prev 0.24%; Δ 2398 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 219.0% > 50% (prev 209.2%; Δ 9.78% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.41 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 222.9m / Interest Expense TTM 43.5m) |
Altman Z'' 2.57
| A: 0.24 (Total Current Assets 869.0m - Total Current Liabilities 405.7m) / Total Assets 1.92b |
| B: 0.09 (Retained Earnings 180.0m / Total Assets 1.92b) |
| C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 148.3m / Avg Total Assets 1.84b) |
| D: 0.13 (Book Value of Equity 177.2m / Total Liabilities 1.34b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 2.57 = A |
Beneish M -3.10
| DSRI: 0.95 (Receivables 347.5m/334.4m, Revenue 4.04b/3.71b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 24.22% / 24.03%) |
| AQI: 0.89 (AQ_t 0.27 / AQ_t-1 0.30) |
| SGI: 1.09 (Revenue 4.04b / 3.71b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 74.6m - CFO 128.4m) / TA 1.92b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.10 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of CHEF shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.99%, over one month by +9.64%, over three months by +4.73% and over the past year by +19.18%.
Is CHEF a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 6
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the CHEF price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 77.1 | 15.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 77.1 | 15.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 75.6 | 13.4% |
CHEF Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/E Forward = 28.8184
P/S = 0.6346
P/B = 4.4422
P/EG = 3.2
Revenue TTM = 4.04b USD
EBIT TTM = 148.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 222.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 711.7m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 45.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 954.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 889.1m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 3.45b USD (2.56b + Debt 954.1m - CCE 65.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.41 (Ebit TTM 148.3m / Interest Expense TTM 43.5m)
EV/FCF = 39.85x (Enterprise Value 3.45b / FCF TTM 86.6m)
FCF Yield = 2.51% (FCF TTM 86.6m / Enterprise Value 3.45b)
FCF Margin = 2.14% (FCF TTM 86.6m / Revenue TTM 4.04b)
Net Margin = 1.85% (Net Income TTM 74.6m / Revenue TTM 4.04b)
Gross Margin = 24.22% ((Revenue TTM 4.04b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.06b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 24.20% (prev 24.58%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.80 (Enterprise Value 3.45b / Total Assets 1.92b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.10% (Interest Expense 10.5m / Debt 954.1m)
Taxrate = 32.58% (9.25m / 28.4m)
NOPAT = 100.0m (EBIT 148.3m * (1 - 32.58%))
Current Ratio = 2.14 (Total Current Assets 869.0m / Total Current Liabilities 405.7m)
Debt / Equity = 1.65 (Debt 954.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 576.6m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.99 (Net Debt 889.1m / EBITDA 222.9m)
Debt / FCF = 10.26 (Net Debt 889.1m / FCF TTM 86.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 553.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.04% (Net Income 74.6m / Total Assets 1.92b)
RoE = 13.48% (Net Income TTM 74.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 553.4m)
RoCE = 11.73% (EBIT 148.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 553.4m + L.T.Debt 711.7m))
RoIC = 7.90% (NOPAT 100.0m / Invested Capital 1.27b)
WACC = 6.48% (E(2.56b)/V(3.52b) * Re(8.61%) + D(954.1m)/V(3.52b) * Rd(1.10%) * (1-Tc(0.33)))
Discount Rate = 8.61% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.02%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 85.28% ; FCFF base≈75.3m ; Y1≈85.1m ; Y5≈115.3m
Fair Price DCF = 48.01 (EV 2.84b - Net Debt 889.1m = Equity 1.95b / Shares 40.7m; r=6.48% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.26% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 1.37 | EPS CAGR: -29.10% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 90.98 | Revenue CAGR: 17.48% | SUE: 1.98 | # QB: 4
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.28 | Chg30d=-0.005 | Revisions Net=+2 | Analysts=6
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.11 | Chg30d=-0.029 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+13.6% | Growth Revenue=+7.2%