(CSX) CSX - Overview
Stock: Rail, Intermodal, Bulk, Chemicals, Automotive
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.59% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.88% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -8.66% |
| Payout Consistency | 96.9% |
| Payout Ratio | 33.8% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 19.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -2.64% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.80 |
| Alpha | 8.52 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.710 |
| Beta Downside | 0.697 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 29.44% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.28 |
Description: CSX CSX January 29, 2026
CSX Corporation (NASDAQ:CSX) operates a 20,000-mile rail network across 26 eastern U.S. states, the District of Columbia, and the Canadian provinces of Ontario and Quebec, complemented by a trucking segment that handles intermodal transfers, drayage, and bulk-commodity moves. The firm transports a broad mix of goods-including chemicals, agricultural products, automotive parts, forest products, fertilizers, metals, and coal-to industrial users and export terminals, while also offering storage and distribution services for automotive manufacturers and non-rail-served customers.
Key recent metrics (FY 2025): revenue of $13.2 billion, an operating ratio of 60.5 % (down 1 ppt year-over-year, indicating improved cost efficiency), and net income of $2.1 billion (EPS $6.80). Intermodal volume grew 4 % YoY, driven by sustained demand for containerized consumer goods, whereas coal shipments fell 7 % as utilities pivot toward renewable generation. The fleet now includes roughly 3,500 locomotives, and main-line capacity utilization hovers near 95 %, reflecting tight market conditions in the eastern freight corridor.
If you want a data-rich side-by-side comparison of CSX’s valuation and performance drivers against other rail peers, a quick look on ValueRay can be a useful next step.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5
| Net Income: 2.89b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.70 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -26.74% < 20% (prev -3.14%; Δ -23.60% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 4.62b > Net Income 2.89b |
| Net Debt (17.50b) to EBITDA (5.87b): 2.98 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.15 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.86b) vs 12m ago -2.97% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 33.25% > 18% (prev 0.37%; Δ 3288 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 32.60% > 50% (prev 34.00%; Δ -1.40% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.12 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 5.87b / Interest Expense TTM 844.0m) |
Altman Z'' 1.19
| A: -0.09 (Total Current Assets 675.0m - Total Current Liabilities 4.44b) / Total Assets 43.68b |
| B: 0.23 (Retained Earnings 10.19b / Total Assets 43.68b) |
| C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 3.48b / Avg Total Assets 43.22b) |
| D: 0.43 (Book Value of Equity 13.16b / Total Liabilities 30.52b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 1.19 = BB |
What is the price of CSX shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.93%, over one month by +9.02%, over three months by +9.67% and over the past year by +22.35%.
Is CSX a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 11
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 11
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the CSX price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 39.9 | 1.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 39.9 | 1.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 42.2 | 7.8% |
CSX Fundamental Data Overview February 02, 2026
P/E Forward = 20.4082
P/S = 4.9954
P/B = 5.3444
P/EG = 3.2101
Revenue TTM = 14.09b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.48b USD
EBITDA TTM = 5.87b USD
Long Term Debt = 18.55b USD (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 608.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Debt = 18.16b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 17.50b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 87.89b USD (70.40b + Debt 18.16b - CCE 675.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.12 (Ebit TTM 3.48b / Interest Expense TTM 844.0m)
EV/FCF = 23.27x (Enterprise Value 87.89b / FCF TTM 3.78b)
FCF Yield = 4.30% (FCF TTM 3.78b / Enterprise Value 87.89b)
FCF Margin = 26.80% (FCF TTM 3.78b / Revenue TTM 14.09b)
Net Margin = 20.50% (Net Income TTM 2.89b / Revenue TTM 14.09b)
Gross Margin = 33.25% ((Revenue TTM 14.09b - Cost of Revenue TTM 9.41b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 31.64% (prev 34.88%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.01 (Enterprise Value 87.89b / Total Assets 43.68b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.17% (Interest Expense 213.0m / Debt 18.16b)
Taxrate = 21.74% (200.0m / 920.0m)
NOPAT = 2.72b (EBIT 3.48b * (1 - 21.74%))
Current Ratio = 0.15 (Total Current Assets 675.0m / Total Current Liabilities 4.44b)
Debt / Equity = 1.38 (Debt 18.16b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 13.16b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.98 (Net Debt 17.50b / EBITDA 5.87b)
Debt / FCF = 4.63 (Net Debt 17.50b / FCF TTM 3.78b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 12.62b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.68% (Net Income 2.89b / Total Assets 43.68b)
RoE = 22.90% (Net Income TTM 2.89b / Total Stockholder Equity 12.62b)
RoCE = 11.16% (EBIT 3.48b / Capital Employed (Equity 12.62b + L.T.Debt 18.55b))
RoIC = 8.62% (NOPAT 2.72b / Invested Capital 31.58b)
WACC = 6.97% (E(70.40b)/V(88.56b) * Re(8.53%) + D(18.16b)/V(88.56b) * Rd(1.17%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 8.53% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.70%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 81.19% ; FCFF base≈3.45b ; Y1≈3.24b ; Y5≈3.02b
Fair Price DCF = 26.68 (EV 67.18b - Net Debt 17.50b = Equity 49.69b / Shares 1.86b; r=6.97% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -7.90% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -58.93 | EPS CAGR: 0.0% | SUE: -1.02 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -47.24 | Revenue CAGR: 0.73% | SUE: -1.20 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.40 | Chg30d=-0.024 | Revisions Net=-7 | Analysts=22
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.85 | Chg30d=-0.052 | Revisions Net=-19 | Growth EPS=+14.8% | Growth Revenue=+2.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.09 | Chg30d=-0.039 | Revisions Net=-10 | Growth EPS=+13.0% | Growth Revenue=+4.6%