(CURI) Curiositystream - Overview
Stock: Documentary, Streaming, Subscription, Licensing
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 8.62% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.43% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 406.67% |
| Payout Consistency | 83.3% |
| Payout Ratio | - |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 72.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -15.9% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.68 |
| Alpha | 8.77 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.273 |
| Beta Downside | 0.928 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 75.41% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.42 |
Description: CURI Curiositystream December 29, 2025
CuriosityStream Inc. (NASDAQ:CURI) is a U.S.-based media and entertainment firm that creates and distributes factual-focused video and audio content-spanning science, history, nature, technology and lifestyle-through both direct subscription-video-on-demand (SVoD) channels and third-party distribution partners. Its library is delivered to a wide array of internet-connected devices, from smart TVs and set-top boxes to mobile phones and gaming consoles.
As of the most recent quarterly filing (Q3 2024), the company reported roughly 1.2 million paid subscribers worldwide, with an average revenue per user (ARPU) of $6.80 and a churn rate near 6% YoY-both metrics that are modestly above the industry median for niche streaming services. EBITDA margin improved to 12% after a cost-optimization program, while free cash flow turned positive for the first time in 2022, indicating a potential shift toward sustainable profitability.
Key drivers for CuriosityStream’s outlook include: (1) the continued “cord-cutting” trend that expands the addressable market for low-cost, ad-free streaming; (2) rising consumer appetite for educational content, which is less price-elastic than premium entertainment; and (3) partnership dynamics-especially bulk licensing deals with telecoms and smart-TV manufacturers-that can boost subscriber acquisition without proportionally increasing marketing spend. Conversely, heightened competition from larger platforms (e.g., Netflix, Disney+) and potential macro-economic headwinds (inflation-driven discretionary spending cuts) introduce downside risk.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of CuriosityStream’s valuation relative to peers, you may find the analyst tools on ValueRay useful for building a more granular financial model.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income: -5.45m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.16 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 13.19 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 21.84% < 20% (prev 35.80%; Δ -13.95% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.16 > 3% & CFO 12.1m > Net Income -5.45m |
| Net Debt (-10.1m) to EBITDA (8.66m): -1.17 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.62 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (57.4m) vs 12m ago 7.07% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 54.50% > 18% (prev 0.48%; Δ 5401 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 82.08% > 50% (prev 59.13%; Δ 22.95% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -15.48 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 8.66m / Interest Expense TTM 439.0k) |
Altman Z'' -15.00
| A: 0.19 (Total Current Assets 38.0m - Total Current Liabilities 23.5m) / Total Assets 74.7m |
| B: -4.38 (Retained Earnings -327.1m / Total Assets 74.7m) |
| C: -0.08 (EBIT TTM -6.79m / Avg Total Assets 81.1m) |
| D: -11.89 (Book Value of Equity -327.1m / Total Liabilities 27.5m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -26.04 = D |
Beneish M -2.75
| DSRI: 1.59 (Receivables 9.20m/4.50m, Revenue 66.6m/51.8m) |
| GMI: 0.89 (GM 54.50% / 48.40%) |
| AQI: 0.87 (AQ_t 0.45 / AQ_t-1 0.51) |
| SGI: 1.29 (Revenue 66.6m / 51.8m) |
| TATA: -0.24 (NI -5.45m - CFO 12.1m) / TA 74.7m) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.75 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of CURI shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -11.29%, over one month by -7.04%, over three months by -11.20% and over the past year by +32.26%.
Is CURI a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the CURI price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 6.3 | 91.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 6.3 | 91.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 5 | 50.3% |
CURI Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/S = 3.2566
P/B = 4.5953
Revenue TTM = 66.6m USD
EBIT TTM = -6.79m USD
EBITDA TTM = 8.66m USD
Long Term Debt = 3.99m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 420.0k USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.99m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -10.1m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 193.1m USD (216.9m + Debt 3.99m - CCE 27.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -15.48 (Ebit TTM -6.79m / Interest Expense TTM 439.0k)
EV/FCF = 16.03x (Enterprise Value 193.1m / FCF TTM 12.0m)
FCF Yield = 6.24% (FCF TTM 12.0m / Enterprise Value 193.1m)
FCF Margin = 18.09% (FCF TTM 12.0m / Revenue TTM 66.6m)
Net Margin = -8.19% (Net Income TTM -5.45m / Revenue TTM 66.6m)
Gross Margin = 54.50% ((Revenue TTM 66.6m - Cost of Revenue TTM 30.3m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 58.67% (prev 53.38%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.58 (Enterprise Value 193.1m / Total Assets 74.7m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 11.00% (Interest Expense 439.0k / Debt 3.99m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -5.37m (EBIT -6.79m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.62 (Total Current Assets 38.0m / Total Current Liabilities 23.5m)
Debt / Equity = 0.08 (Debt 3.99m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 47.2m)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.17 (Net Debt -10.1m / EBITDA 8.66m)
Debt / FCF = -0.84 (Net Debt -10.1m / FCF TTM 12.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 53.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -6.72% (Net Income -5.45m / Total Assets 74.7m)
RoE = -10.24% (Net Income TTM -5.45m / Total Stockholder Equity 53.2m)
RoCE = -11.87% (EBIT -6.79m / Capital Employed (Equity 53.2m + L.T.Debt 3.99m))
RoIC = -10.08% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -5.37m / Invested Capital 53.2m)
WACC = 10.57% (E(216.9m)/V(220.9m) * Re(10.60%) + D(3.99m)/V(220.9m) * Rd(11.00%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 10.60% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 4.00%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 59.62% ; FCFF base≈8.26m ; Y1≈5.42m ; Y5≈2.47m
Fair Price DCF = 0.75 (EV 33.7m - Net Debt -10.1m = Equity 43.8m / Shares 58.3m; r=10.57% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 2.90% )
[DCF Warning] FCF declining rapidly (-40.0%), DCF may be unreliable
EPS Correlation: 67.49 | EPS CAGR: 26.79% | SUE: 0.40 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -42.05 | Revenue CAGR: -10.02% | SUE: 1.71 | # QB: 2
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.06 | Chg30d=-0.070 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.04 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+144.4% | Growth Revenue=+9.4%