(DDI) Doubledown Interactive - Overview
Stock: Social Casino, iGaming, Mobile Apps, Virtual Chips
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 55.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -14.4% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.35 |
| Alpha | -26.39 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.483 |
| Beta Downside | 0.383 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 52.06% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.07 |
Description: DDI Doubledown Interactive January 09, 2026
DoubleDown Interactive Co., Ltd. (NASDAQ: DDI) develops and publishes casual mobile and web games, primarily operating in the Social Casino and iGaming segments.
Its flagship titles-DoubleDown Casino, DoubleDown Classic, and DoubleDown Fort Knox-are monetized through the sale of virtual chips and are marketed under the Duelz, VoodooDreams, and NYSpins brands via third-party platform providers.
The company’s distribution footprint includes the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, and additional international markets, while its corporate headquarters remain in Seoul, South Korea.
Founded in 2008 as The8Games Co., Ltd., the firm rebranded to DoubleDown Interactive in December 2019 and is a wholly-owned subsidiary of DoubleU Games Co., Ltd.
Recent data (Q4 2023) show monthly active users (MAU) of ~4.2 million and an average revenue per user (ARPU) of $4.8, reflecting a 12 % YoY increase driven by higher spend in regulated iGaming jurisdictions; the global social-casino market is projected to grow at a CAGR of ~9 % through 2028, while tightening U.S. state-level gambling regulations present both a risk and a growth catalyst for the iGaming segment.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of DDI’s valuation metrics, you might explore the analytics platform ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income: 114.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.14 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.05 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 119.9% < 20% (prev 115.9%; Δ 3.97% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 141.5m > Net Income 114.1m |
| Net Debt (-307.5m) to EBITDA (147.1m): -2.09 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 7.05 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (49.6m) vs 12m ago 0.0% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 71.06% > 18% (prev 0.69%; Δ 7037 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 36.49% > 50% (prev 38.86%; Δ -2.37% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 18.01 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 147.1m / Interest Expense TTM 7.75m) |
Altman Z'' 10.00
| A: 0.41 (Total Current Assets 483.5m - Total Current Liabilities 68.6m) / Total Assets 1.02b |
| B: 0.54 (Retained Earnings 550.5m / Total Assets 1.02b) |
| C: 0.15 (EBIT TTM 139.6m / Avg Total Assets 948.5m) |
| D: 6.21 (Book Value of Equity 566.4m / Total Liabilities 91.2m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 11.95 = AAA |
Beneish M -3.06
| DSRI: 1.01 (Receivables 34.1m/33.4m, Revenue 346.1m/341.9m) |
| GMI: 0.98 (GM 71.06% / 69.45%) |
| AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.52 / AQ_t-1 0.52) |
| SGI: 1.01 (Revenue 346.1m / 341.9m) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 114.1m - CFO 141.5m) / TA 1.02b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.06 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of DDI shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.30%, over one month by -3.92%, over three months by -0.92% and over the past year by -17.60%.
Is DDI a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the DDI price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 18.6 | 117% |
| Analysts Target Price | 18.6 | 117% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 8.3 | -3.6% |
DDI Fundamental Data Overview February 05, 2026
P/E Trailing = 3.8259
P/E Forward = 3.647
P/S = 1.2269
P/B = 0.4588
Revenue TTM = 346.1m KRW
EBIT TTM = 139.6m KRW
EBITDA TTM = 147.1m KRW
Long Term Debt = 34.0m KRW (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 37.0m KRW (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 40.9m KRW (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -307.5m KRW (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 620.20b KRW (620.60b + Debt 40.9m - CCE 439.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 18.01 (Ebit TTM 139.6m / Interest Expense TTM 7.75m)
EV/FCF = 1000.0x (Enterprise Value 620.20b / FCF TTM 140.7m)
FCF Yield = 0.02% (FCF TTM 140.7m / Enterprise Value 620.20b)
FCF Margin = 40.65% (FCF TTM 140.7m / Revenue TTM 346.1m)
Net Margin = 32.96% (Net Income TTM 114.1m / Revenue TTM 346.1m)
Gross Margin = 71.06% ((Revenue TTM 346.1m - Cost of Revenue TTM 100.2m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 70.90% (prev 72.07%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 609.8 (set to none) (Enterprise Value 620.20b / Total Assets 1.02b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 13.52% (Interest Expense 5.53m / Debt 40.9m)
Taxrate = 20.33% (8.36m / 41.1m)
NOPAT = 111.2m (EBIT 139.6m * (1 - 20.33%))
Current Ratio = 7.05 (Total Current Assets 483.5m / Total Current Liabilities 68.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.04 (Debt 40.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 925.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = -2.09 (Net Debt -307.5m / EBITDA 147.1m)
Debt / FCF = -2.19 (Net Debt -307.5m / FCF TTM 140.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 882.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 12.03% (Net Income 114.1m / Total Assets 1.02b)
RoE = 12.93% (Net Income TTM 114.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 882.4m)
RoCE = 15.23% (EBIT 139.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 882.4m + L.T.Debt 34.0m))
RoIC = 12.12% (NOPAT 111.2m / Invested Capital 917.6m)
WACC = 7.69% (E(620.60b)/V(620.64b) * Re(7.69%) + D(40.9m)/V(620.64b) * Rd(13.52%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 7.69% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 0.0 | Cagr: 0.0%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 71.67% ; FCFF base≈136.8m ; Y1≈89.8m ; Y5≈41.0m
Fair Price DCF = 23.32 (EV 848.1m - Net Debt -307.5m = Equity 1.16b / Shares 49.6m; r=7.69% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 58.05 | EPS CAGR: 18.43% | SUE: 0.70 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 40.90 | Revenue CAGR: 2.84% | SUE: 0.31 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.59 | Chg30d=+0.002 | Revisions Net=+2 | Analysts=3
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.37 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+7.6% | Growth Revenue=+7.7%