(EXC) Exelon - Overview
Stock: Electricity Distribution, Gas Distribution, Power Transmission
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.61% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 6.12% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 1.09% |
| Payout Consistency | 94.5% |
| Payout Ratio | 73.7% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 18.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -1.11% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.48 |
| Alpha | 7.81 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.003 |
| Beta Downside | 0.028 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 20.82% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.33 |
Description: EXC Exelon January 28, 2026
Exelon Corp. (NASDAQ: EXC) is a U.S.–based utility holding company that owns and operates regulated electricity and natural-gas distribution and transmission assets, serving residential, commercial, industrial, government, public-authority, electric-railroad and transportation customers across multiple states.
Key recent metrics (Q4 2025 / 2025 full-year):
• Adjusted earnings per share ≈ $4.20, up 5% YoY, reflecting modest load growth and cost-pass-through of higher natural-gas prices.
• Dividend yield ≈ 4.2% with a 5-year payout ratio of ~70%, indicating a stable cash-flow profile typical of regulated utilities.
• Regulated rate base ≈ $65 billion, growing ~2% annually, driven by ongoing grid-modernization and renewable-integration projects.
Sector drivers that materially affect Exelon’s outlook include:
• Federal and state climate policies accelerating the shift toward low-carbon generation, prompting capital-intensive upgrades to transmission and distribution networks.
• Interest-rate environment: higher rates increase the cost of utility-issued debt, potentially pressuring credit metrics and dividend sustainability.
• Natural-gas price volatility, which influences wholesale procurement costs for its gas-fired generation fleet and can affect regulated rates after cost-recovery reviews.
For a deeper quantitative breakdown, consult ValueRay’s analyst toolkit for EXC.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income: 2.82b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.01 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -2.45% < 20% (prev 2.79%; Δ -5.24% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 6.44b > Net Income 2.82b |
| Net Debt (47.48b) to EBITDA (8.94b): 5.31 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.94 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.01b) vs 12m ago 0.90% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 42.48% > 18% (prev 0.41%; Δ 4208 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 22.15% > 50% (prev 21.61%; Δ 0.53% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.60 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 8.94b / Interest Expense TTM 2.05b) |
Altman Z'' 0.85
| A: -0.01 (Total Current Assets 9.23b - Total Current Liabilities 9.82b) / Total Assets 113.54b |
| B: 0.07 (Retained Earnings 7.39b / Total Assets 113.54b) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 5.31b / Avg Total Assets 109.80b) |
| D: 0.33 (Book Value of Equity 28.24b / Total Liabilities 85.43b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 0.85 = B |
Beneish M -3.05
| DSRI: 1.03 (Receivables 4.00b/3.66b, Revenue 24.32b/22.93b) |
| GMI: 0.96 (GM 42.48% / 40.72%) |
| AQI: 0.97 (AQ_t 0.20 / AQ_t-1 0.20) |
| SGI: 1.06 (Revenue 24.32b / 22.93b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 2.82b - CFO 6.44b) / TA 113.54b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.05 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of EXC shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.00%, over one month by +1.12%, over three months by -2.17% and over the past year by +11.73%.
Is EXC a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 2
- StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the EXC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 48.8 | 10% |
| Analysts Target Price | 48.8 | 10% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 47 | 6.1% |
EXC Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/E Forward = 15.873
P/S = 1.8599
P/B = 1.6444
P/EG = 2.0601
Revenue TTM = 24.32b USD
EBIT TTM = 5.31b USD
EBITDA TTM = 8.94b USD
Long Term Debt = 46.67b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 3.25b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 49.53b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 47.48b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 92.71b USD (45.23b + Debt 49.53b - CCE 2.05b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.60 (Ebit TTM 5.31b / Interest Expense TTM 2.05b)
EV/FCF = -58.12x (Enterprise Value 92.71b / FCF TTM -1.59b)
FCF Yield = -1.72% (FCF TTM -1.59b / Enterprise Value 92.71b)
FCF Margin = -6.56% (FCF TTM -1.59b / Revenue TTM 24.32b)
Net Margin = 11.60% (Net Income TTM 2.82b / Revenue TTM 24.32b)
Gross Margin = 42.48% ((Revenue TTM 24.32b - Cost of Revenue TTM 13.99b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 43.07% (prev 40.72%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.82 (Enterprise Value 92.71b / Total Assets 113.54b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.09% (Interest Expense 538.0m / Debt 49.53b)
Taxrate = 15.05% (155.0m / 1.03b)
NOPAT = 4.51b (EBIT 5.31b * (1 - 15.05%))
Current Ratio = 0.94 (Total Current Assets 9.23b / Total Current Liabilities 9.82b)
Debt / Equity = 1.76 (Debt 49.53b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 28.11b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.31 (Net Debt 47.48b / EBITDA 8.94b)
Debt / FCF = -29.77 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 47.48b / FCF TTM -1.59b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 27.57b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.57% (Net Income 2.82b / Total Assets 113.54b)
RoE = 10.23% (Net Income TTM 2.82b / Total Stockholder Equity 27.57b)
RoCE = 7.16% (EBIT 5.31b / Capital Employed (Equity 27.57b + L.T.Debt 46.67b))
RoIC = 5.94% (NOPAT 4.51b / Invested Capital 75.99b)
WACC = 3.31% (E(45.23b)/V(94.76b) * Re(5.93%) + D(49.53b)/V(94.76b) * Rd(1.09%) * (1-Tc(0.15)))
Discount Rate = 5.93% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.70%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -1.59b)
EPS Correlation: -13.28 | EPS CAGR: -47.24% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 13.31 | Revenue CAGR: -9.21% | SUE: 0.48 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.84 | Chg30d=+0.001 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=4
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.83 | Chg30d=-0.001 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+4.7% | Growth Revenue=+3.7%