FCFS Stock Analysis: FirstCash | NASDAQ

Credit Services | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 8.785m USD | 12M Return: 56% | US33768G1076 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Pawn Lending, Collateral Loans, Retail Financing, Used Merchandise
Total Rating 65
Safety 81
Buy Signal 0.33
Credit Services
Industry Rotation: -8.3
Market Cap: 8.78B
Avg Turnover: 90.0M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility28.4%
VaR 5th Pctl4.66%
VaR vs Median-0.44%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.49
Rel. Str. IBD65.7
Rel. Str. Peer Group61.1
Character TTM
Beta0.528
Beta Downside0.415
Hurst Exponent0.293
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD23.38%
CAGR/Max DD1.44
CAGR/Mean DD5.11
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of FCFS over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.71, "2021-09": 0.84, "2021-12": 1.52, "2022-03": 1.18, "2022-06": 1.08, "2022-09": 1.3, "2022-12": 1.65, "2023-03": 1.25, "2023-06": 1.22, "2023-09": 1.56, "2023-12": 2.04, "2024-03": 1.55, "2024-06": 1.37, "2024-09": 1.67, "2024-12": 2.12, "2025-03": 2.07, "2025-06": 1.79, "2025-09": 2.26, "2025-12": 2.64, "2026-03": 2.69, "2026-06": 2.5,
EPS CAGR: 21.87%
EPS Trend: 98.2%
Last SUE: 0.73
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of FCFS over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 389.578, 2021-09: 399.674, 2021-12: 501.774, 2022-03: 659.839, 2022-06: 647.616, 2022-09: 672.143, 2022-12: 749.344, 2023-03: 762.739, 2023-06: 750.622, 2023-09: 786.301, 2023-12: 852.134, 2024-03: 836.37, 2024-06: 831.012, 2024-09: 837.321, 2024-12: 883.811, 2025-03: 836.423, 2025-06: 830.622, 2025-09: 935.579, 2025-12: 1058.419, 2026-03: 1051.651, 2026-06: 1074.688,
Rev. CAGR: 9.30%
Rev. Trend: 93.9%
Last SUE: 1.48
Qual. Beats: 4

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan +2.9% 22
Feb +0.1% 5
Mar +5.0% 21
Apr +6.0% 57
May -1.7% 31
Jun -2.4% 21
Jul -0.3% 15
Aug +2.0% 18
Sep -2.1% 25
Oct -3.7% 29
Nov -0.7% 2
Dec -3.6% 19

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: FCFS FirstCash

FirstCash Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: FCFS) is a Fort Worth, Texas-based consumer finance company that operates retail pawn stores across the United States, Mexico, the rest of Latin America, and the United Kingdom, organized into four segments: U.S. Pawn, Latin America Pawn, U.K. Pawn, and Retail POS Payment Solutions. The company serves cash and credit-constrained consumers through a dual-revenue pawn model that lends money against pledged personal property such as jewelry, electronics, tools, appliances, sporting goods, and musical instruments, and then resells merchandise acquired through collateral forfeitures. FirstCash was incorporated in 1988 and has traded on the NASDAQ since 1991, adopting its current holding-company name in December 2021.

Beyond its core pawn operations, FirstCash provides retail point-of-sale payment solutions, including lease-to-own (LTO) products and other retail financing options distributed through traditional and e-commerce merchant partners. Pawn lending is a form of non-recourse, small-dollar short-term credit in which the pledged item itself serves as collateral, allowing lenders like FirstCash to mitigate default risk through resale of the collateral rather than collection actions, which distinguishes the segment from most other consumer finance subsectors.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Gold price strength lifts pawn merchandise gross margins
  • Latin America pawn segment fuels same-store revenue growth
  • Retail POS payment solutions segment scales with LTO demand
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.5
Net Income: 388.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.11 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.28 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 38.97% < 20% (prev 30.93%; Δ 8.03% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 672.9m > Net Income 388.1m
Net Debt (2.89b) to EBITDA (1.18b): 2.45 < 3
Current Ratio: 4.89 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (44.2m) vs 12m ago -1.61% < -2%
Gross Margin: 48.92% > 18% (prev 51.00%; Δ -2.08% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 82.41% > 50% (prev 75.06%; Δ 7.35% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.86 > 6 (EBIT TTM 669.1m / Interest Expense TTM 137.7m)
Altman Z'' 4.68
A: 0.29 (Total Current Assets 2.02b - Total Current Liabilities 413.1m) / Total Assets 5.49b
B: 0.33 (Retained Earnings 1.83b / Total Assets 5.49b)
C: 0.13 (EBIT TTM 669.1m / Avg Total Assets 5.00b)
D: 0.73 (Book Value of Equity 2.32b / Total Liabilities 3.16b)
Altman-Z'' = 4.68 = AA
Beneish M -2.72
DSRI: 1.21 (Receivables 1.15b/781.3m, Revenue 4.12b/3.39b)
GMI: 1.04 (GM 51.00% / 48.92%)
AQI: 0.90 (AQ_t 0.41 / AQ_t-1 0.45)
SGI: 1.22 (Revenue 4.12b / 3.39b)
TATA: -0.05 (NI 388.1m - CFO 672.9m) / TA 5.49b)
Beneish M = -2.72 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of FCFS shares?

As of August 13, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 213.97 with a total of 402,404 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.88%, over one month by -0.31%, over three months by -7.02% and over the past year by +56.00%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 195.30 (which is 8.7% or 2.3 ATR below the current price).

Is FCFS a buy, sell or hold?

FirstCash has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.20. Therefore, it is recommended to buy FCFS.

  • StrongBuy: 3
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 2
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the FCFS price?
Analysts Target Price 240.5 12.4%
FirstCash (FCFS) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 10 August 2026
Market Cap USD = 8.78b (8.78b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 23.0683
P/E Forward = 18.3486
P/S = 2.132
P/B = 3.7798
P/EG = 1.1676
Revenue TTM = 4.12b USD
EBIT TTM = 669.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.18b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.21b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 111.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.06b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 356.8m
Net Debt = 2.89b USD (calculated: Debt 3.06b - CCE 172.3m)
Enterprise Value = 11.7b USD (8.78b + Debt 3.06b - CCE 172.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.86 (Ebit TTM 669.1m / Interest Expense TTM 137.7m)
EV/FCF = 19.58x (Enterprise Value 11.7b / FCF TTM 596.2m)
FCF Yield = 5.11% (FCF TTM 596.2m / Enterprise Value 11.7b)
FCF Margin = 14.47% (FCF TTM 596.2m / Revenue TTM 4.12b)
Net Margin = 9.42% (Net Income TTM 388.1m / Revenue TTM 4.12b)
Gross Margin = 48.92% ((Revenue TTM 4.12b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.10b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 46.64% (prev 48.58%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.13 (Enterprise Value 11.7b / Total Assets 5.49b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.50% (Interest Expense 137.7m / Debt 3.06b)
Taxrate = 26.40% (139.2m / 527.4m)
NOPAT = 492.4m (EBIT 669.1m * (1 - 26.40%))
Current Ratio = 4.89 (Total Current Assets 2.02b / Total Current Liabilities 413.1m)
Debt / Equity = 1.32 (Debt 3.06b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.32b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.45 (Net Debt 2.89b / EBITDA 1.18b)
Debt / FCF = 4.84 (Net Debt 2.89b / FCF TTM 596.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.27b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.76% (Net Income 388.1m / Total Assets 5.49b)
RoE = 17.07% (Net Income TTM 388.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.27b)
RoCE = 14.93% (EBIT 669.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.27b + L.T.Debt 2.21b))
RoIC = 9.83% (NOPAT 492.4m / Invested Capital 5.01b)
WACC = 6.67% (E(8.78b)/V(11.8b) * Re(7.84%) + D(3.06b)/V(11.8b) * Rd(4.50%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 7.84% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -91.54 | Cagr: -1.12%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈559.1m ; Y1≈640.9m ; Y5≈943.2m
[DCF] Fair Price = 260.7 (EV 14.2b - Net Debt 2.89b = Equity 11.3b / Shares 43.4m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 98.24 | EPS CAGR: 21.87% | SUE: 0.73 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 93.88 | Revenue CAGR: 9.30% | SUE: 1.48 | # QB: 4
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.74 | Chg30d=+0.37% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=5
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=11.29 | Chg30d=+3.37% | Revisions=+29% | GrowthEPS=+28.8% | GrowthRev=+19.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=13.05 | Chg30d=+4.27% | Revisions=+62% | GrowthEPS=+15.6% | GrowthRev=+9.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +44% (up=10, down=3)