(GCT) GigaCloud Technology - Overview
Stock: GigaCloud Marketplace, B2B Ecommerce, Large Parcel, Furniture, Fitness Equipment
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 77.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.18% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.27 |
| Alpha | 77.18 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.609 |
| Beta Downside | 1.578 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 73.16% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.40 |
Description: GCT GigaCloud Technology January 21, 2026
GigaCloud Technology Inc. (NASDAQ:GCT) operates a B2B e-commerce platform that links Asian manufacturers with resellers in the U.S., Europe, and Asia, focusing on large-parcel categories such as furniture, home appliances, and fitness equipment. The end-to-end marketplace combines product discovery, payment processing, and logistics coordination, enabling cross-border transactions through a single user interface. The company, originally Oriental Standard Human Resources Holdings Ltd., rebranded in February 2021 and is headquartered in El Monte, California.
Key industry drivers that could affect GCT’s outlook include: (1) the global large-parcel e-commerce market, which is projected to grow at a 9-12% CAGR through 2028 as consumers increasingly purchase bulky goods online; (2) freight-forwarding rates, which have risen 15-20% year-over-year in 2023 due to container shortages, potentially boosting GCT’s logistics-service margins; and (3) GCT’s FY 2023 revenue reportedly exceeded $40 million with a gross margin around 22% (based on the latest 10-K filing, subject to verification). These figures suggest the firm is scaling but remains sensitive to macro-shipping costs and currency fluctuations.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of GCT’s valuation metrics and risk profile, you may find ValueRay’s analytical tools worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 9.0
| Net Income: 129.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.17 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 5.29 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 26.36% < 20% (prev 25.26%; Δ 1.10% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.17 > 3% & CFO 194.7m > Net Income 129.8m |
| Net Debt (127.1m) to EBITDA (156.6m): 0.81 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.08 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (37.6m) vs 12m ago -9.16% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 23.12% > 18% (prev 0.26%; Δ 2286 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 111.3% > 50% (prev 103.4%; Δ 7.89% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 955.0 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 156.6m / Interest Expense TTM 155.0k) |
Altman Z'' 4.48
| A: 0.29 (Total Current Assets 622.0m - Total Current Liabilities 299.6m) / Total Assets 1.12b |
| B: 0.34 (Retained Earnings 377.5m / Total Assets 1.12b) |
| C: 0.13 (EBIT TTM 148.0m / Avg Total Assets 1.10b) |
| D: 0.57 (Book Value of Equity 381.3m / Total Liabilities 666.8m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 4.48 = AA |
Beneish M -2.99
| DSRI: 0.87 (Receivables 59.8m/62.5m, Revenue 1.22b/1.11b) |
| GMI: 1.13 (GM 23.12% / 26.13%) |
| AQI: 1.02 (AQ_t 0.04 / AQ_t-1 0.04) |
| SGI: 1.10 (Revenue 1.22b / 1.11b) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI 129.8m - CFO 194.7m) / TA 1.12b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.99 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of GCT shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.80%, over one month by -1.71%, over three months by +58.09% and over the past year by +102.36%.
Is GCT a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the GCT price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 37.3 | -7.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 37.3 | -7.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 51.7 | 28.4% |
GCT Fundamental Data Overview February 01, 2026
P/E Forward = 11.6279
P/S = 1.2298
P/B = 3.2972
P/EG = 0.3699
Revenue TTM = 1.22b USD
EBIT TTM = 148.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 156.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 461.7m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 100.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 462.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 127.1m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.60b USD (1.50b + Debt 462.0m - CCE 365.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 955.0 (Ebit TTM 148.0m / Interest Expense TTM 155.0k)
EV/FCF = 8.51x (Enterprise Value 1.60b / FCF TTM 188.1m)
FCF Yield = 11.75% (FCF TTM 188.1m / Enterprise Value 1.60b)
FCF Margin = 15.38% (FCF TTM 188.1m / Revenue TTM 1.22b)
Net Margin = 10.62% (Net Income TTM 129.8m / Revenue TTM 1.22b)
Gross Margin = 23.12% ((Revenue TTM 1.22b - Cost of Revenue TTM 940.2m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 23.16% (prev 23.85%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.42 (Enterprise Value 1.60b / Total Assets 1.12b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.02% (Interest Expense 71.0k / Debt 462.0m)
Taxrate = 15.57% (6.86m / 44.0m)
NOPAT = 125.0m (EBIT 148.0m * (1 - 15.57%))
Current Ratio = 2.08 (Total Current Assets 622.0m / Total Current Liabilities 299.6m)
Debt / Equity = 1.01 (Debt 462.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 457.3m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.81 (Net Debt 127.1m / EBITDA 156.6m)
Debt / FCF = 0.68 (Net Debt 127.1m / FCF TTM 188.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 426.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 11.82% (Net Income 129.8m / Total Assets 1.12b)
RoE = 30.43% (Net Income TTM 129.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 426.7m)
RoCE = 16.66% (EBIT 148.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 426.7m + L.T.Debt 461.7m))
RoIC = 29.29% (NOPAT 125.0m / Invested Capital 426.7m)
WACC = 9.06% (E(1.50b)/V(1.97b) * Re(11.84%) + D(462.0m)/V(1.97b) * Rd(0.02%) * (1-Tc(0.16)))
Discount Rate = 11.84% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 81.65 | Cagr: 30.70%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 77.89% ; FCFF base≈161.9m ; Y1≈199.8m ; Y5≈340.2m
Fair Price DCF = 158.8 (EV 4.73b - Net Debt 127.1m = Equity 4.60b / Shares 29.0m; r=9.06% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 56.46 | EPS CAGR: -19.91% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 95.63 | Revenue CAGR: 36.28% | SUE: 2.97 | # QB: 2
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.81 | Chg30d=-0.025 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.00 | Chg30d=+0.315 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+8.4% | Growth Revenue=+6.3%