GCT Stock Analysis: GigaCloud Technology | NASDAQ
Software - Infrastructure | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 1.227m USD | 12M Return: 65.6% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 22.7M
EPS Trend: 84.6%
Qual. Beats: 5
Rev. Trend: 93.7%
Qual. Beats: 4
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 3.9 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
GigaCloud Technology Inc. (NASDAQ: GCT) is a U.S.-headquartered company that operates a B2B ecommerce marketplace focused on large parcel merchandise, connecting manufacturers in Asia with resellers in the United States, Asia, and Europe. Its GigaCloud Marketplace integrates product discovery, payments, and logistics into a single platform supporting cross-border transactions in categories such as furniture, home appliances, and fitness equipment. The company was incorporated in 2006, is based in El Monte, California, was renamed from Oriental Standard Human Resources Holdings Limited in February 2021, and listed on NASDAQ in August 2022.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (GICS Sub-Industry: Distributors), GigaCloud operates as a digital-first wholesale distributor, a model that layers marketplace and logistics services onto traditional bulk-goods sourcing. Large parcel merchandise-such as furniture and fitness equipment-typically carries elevated freight and handling requirements, which is why end-to-end logistics integration is a central part of the platforms value proposition for cross-border resellers.
- Large parcel furniture category drives marketplace GMV growth
- US tariffs on Chinese imports pressure cross-border transaction margins
- Active reseller count expansion accelerates marketplace revenue growth
| Net Income: 148.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.12 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.52 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 26.57% < 20% (prev 24.32%; Δ 2.25% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 159.5m > Net Income 148.3m |
| Net Debt (111.7m) to EBITDA (183.7m): 0.61 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.07 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (36.8m) vs 12m ago -8.39% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 23.43% > 18% (prev 23.90%; Δ -0.46% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 118.7% > 50% (prev 108.3%; Δ 10.36% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 319.0 > 6 (EBIT TTM 175.2m / Interest Expense TTM 549k) |
| A: 0.30 (Total Current Assets 708.9m - Total Current Liabilities 342.9m) / Total Assets 1.23b |
| B: 0.35 (Retained Earnings 433.5m / Total Assets 1.23b) |
| C: 0.15 (EBIT TTM 175.2m / Avg Total Assets 1.16b) |
| D: 0.71 (Book Value of Equity 510.3m / Total Liabilities 719.9m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 4.86 = AA |
| DSRI: 1.07 (Receivables 83.5m/67.0m, Revenue 1.38b/1.18b) |
| GMI: 1.02 (GM 23.90% / 23.43%) |
| AQI: 1.07 (AQ_t 0.04 / AQ_t-1 0.04) |
| SGI: 1.17 (Revenue 1.38b / 1.18b) |
| TATA: -0.01 (NI 148.3m - CFO 159.5m) / TA 1.23b) |
| Beneish M = -2.79 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 09, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 33.74 with a total of 484,603 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.77%, over one month by +6.40%, over three months by -25.93% and over the past year by +65.55%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 29.20 (which is 13.5% or 2.7 ATR below the current price).
GigaCloud Technology has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy GCT.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 56.8 | 68.2% |
P/E Trailing = 8.6385
P/E Forward = 7.9554
P/S = 0.8906
P/B = 2.3725
P/EG = 0.3699
Revenue TTM = 1.38b USD
EBIT TTM = 175.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 183.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 368.2m USD (estimated: total debt 474.9m - short term 106.7m)
Short Term Debt = 106.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 474.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 474.9m already included)
Net Debt = 111.7m USD (calculated: Debt 474.9m - CCE 363.2m)
Enterprise Value = 1.34b USD (1.23b + Debt 474.9m - CCE 363.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 319.0 (Ebit TTM 175.2m / Interest Expense TTM 549k)
EV/FCF = 8.95x (Enterprise Value 1.34b / FCF TTM 149.5m)
FCF Yield = 11.17% (FCF TTM 149.5m / Enterprise Value 1.34b)
FCF Margin = 10.86% (FCF TTM 149.5m / Revenue TTM 1.38b)
Net Margin = 10.77% (Net Income TTM 148.3m / Revenue TTM 1.38b)
Gross Margin = 23.43% ((Revenue TTM 1.38b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.05b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 23.88% (prev 22.87%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.09 (Enterprise Value 1.34b / Total Assets 1.23b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.12% (Interest Expense 549k / Debt 474.9m)
Taxrate = 15.04% (26.3m / 174.6m)
NOPAT = 148.8m (EBIT 175.2m * (1 - 15.04%))
Current Ratio = 2.07 (Total Current Assets 708.9m / Total Current Liabilities 342.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.93 (Debt 474.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 510.3m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.61 (Net Debt 111.7m / EBITDA 183.7m)
Debt / FCF = 0.75 (Net Debt 111.7m / FCF TTM 149.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 471.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 12.78% (Net Income 148.3m / Total Assets 1.23b)
RoE = 31.48% (Net Income TTM 148.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 471.2m)
RoCE = 20.87% (EBIT 175.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 471.2m + L.T.Debt 368.2m))
RoIC = 16.09% (NOPAT 148.8m / Invested Capital 925.1m)
WACC = 9.61% (E(1.23b)/V(1.70b) * Re(13.29%) + D(474.9m)/V(1.70b) * Rd(0.12%) * (1-Tc(0.15)))
Discount Rate = 13.29% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -64.44 | Cagr: -4.62%
[DCF] Terminal Value 72.29% ; FCFF base≈145.0m ; Y1≈155.5m ; Y5≈187.7m
[DCF] Fair Price = 77.07 (EV 2.37b - Net Debt 111.7m = Equity 2.25b / Shares 29.3m; r=9.61% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 8.16% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 84.59 | EPS CAGR: 46.60% | SUE: 3.02 | # QB: 5
Revenue Correlation: 93.71 | Revenue CAGR: 39.55% | SUE: 0.90 | # QB: 4
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.02 | Chg30d=-4.67% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=2
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.11 | Chg30d=-3.46% | Revisions=-40% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.54 | Chg30d=+1.34% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+6.5% | GrowthRev=+16.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=4.93 | Chg30d=+1.86% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+8.7% | GrowthRev=+8.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +18% (up=5, down=3)