GCT Stock Analysis: GigaCloud Technology | NASDAQ
Software - Infrastructure | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 2.062m USD | 12M Return: 111.2% | KYG386441037 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 37.2M
EPS Trend: 86.0%
Qual. Beats: 6
Rev. Trend: 92.9%
Qual. Beats: 5
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Seasonality 4.1 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
GigaCloud Technology Inc. (NASDAQ: GCT) operates a B2B ecommerce marketplace focused on large parcel merchandise, connecting manufacturers-primarily in Asia-with resellers across the United States, Asia, and Europe. Its platform integrates the full transaction lifecycle, from product discovery through payments and logistics, serving categories such as furniture, home appliances, and fitness equipment. The company was originally incorporated in 2006 as Oriental Standard Human Resources Holdings Limited, adopted its current name in February 2021, went public in August 2022, and is headquartered in El Monte, California. Within the Consumer Discretionary sector, GigaCloud sits in the Distributors sub-industry, employing an asset-light, marketplace-based business model that earns revenue largely from transaction fees and value-added services rather than from holding inventory itself-a structure common among digital commerce platforms intermediating cross-border trade.
- GigaCloud Marketplace GMV growth drives third-party seller expansion
- Furniture and large parcel category demand recovery boosts transaction volume
- Cross-border Asia to US shipping cost volatility pressures gross margins
- Competition from Amazon Business and Wayfair intensifies in B2B large parcel
- Capital allocation focused on logistics infrastructure investment over near-term buybacks
| Net Income: 156.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.12 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.62 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 25.98% < 20% (prev 25.42%; Δ 0.56% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 169.3m > Net Income 156.1m |
| Net Debt (127.7m) to EBITDA (192.8m): 0.66 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.09 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (36.5m) vs 12m ago -4.10% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 23.96% > 18% (prev 23.70%; Δ 0.26% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 124.5% > 50% (prev 110.2%; Δ 14.23% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 295.6 > 6 (EBIT TTM 184.2m / Interest Expense TTM 623k) |
| A: 0.30 (Total Current Assets 730.2m - Total Current Liabilities 349.3m) / Total Assets 1.27b |
| B: 0.35 (Retained Earnings 440.9m / Total Assets 1.27b) |
| C: 0.16 (EBIT TTM 184.2m / Avg Total Assets 1.18b) |
| D: 0.72 (Book Value of Equity 534.0m / Total Liabilities 739.7m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 4.90 = AA |
| DSRI: 1.07 (Receivables 91.7m/69.4m, Revenue 1.47b/1.19b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 23.70% / 23.96%) |
| AQI: 1.07 (AQ_t 0.04 / AQ_t-1 0.04) |
| SGI: 1.23 (Revenue 1.47b / 1.19b) |
| TATA: -0.01 (NI 156.1m - CFO 169.3m) / TA 1.27b) |
| Beneish M = -2.77 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of October 15, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 57.75 with a total of 820,423 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.20%, over one month by +9.50%, over three months by +63.14% and over the past year by +111.15%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 52.80 (which is 8.6% or 2.1 ATR below the current price).
GigaCloud Technology has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy GCT.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 61.3 | 6.2% |
P/E Trailing = 13.715
P/E Forward = 11.0011
P/S = 1.406
P/B = 3.5107
P/EG = 0.3699
Revenue TTM = 1.47b USD
EBIT TTM = 184.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 192.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 384.9m USD (estimated: total debt 506.3m - short term 121.4m)
Short Term Debt = 121.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 506.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 506.3m already included)
Net Debt = 127.7m USD (calculated: Debt 506.3m - CCE 378.6m)
Enterprise Value = 2.19b USD (2.06b + Debt 506.3m - CCE 378.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 295.6 (Ebit TTM 184.2m / Interest Expense TTM 623k)
EV/FCF = 13.89x (Enterprise Value 2.19b / FCF TTM 157.6m)
FCF Yield = 7.20% (FCF TTM 157.6m / Enterprise Value 2.19b)
FCF Margin = 10.75% (FCF TTM 157.6m / Revenue TTM 1.47b)
Net Margin = 10.65% (Net Income TTM 156.1m / Revenue TTM 1.47b)
Gross Margin = 23.96% ((Revenue TTM 1.47b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.12b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 25.64% (prev 23.88%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.72 (Enterprise Value 2.19b / Total Assets 1.27b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.12% (Interest Expense 623k / Debt 506.3m)
Taxrate = 14.94% (27.4m / 183.6m)
NOPAT = 156.7m (EBIT 184.2m * (1 - 14.94%))
Current Ratio = 2.09 (Total Current Assets 730.2m / Total Current Liabilities 349.3m)
Debt / Equity = 0.95 (Debt 506.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 534.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.66 (Net Debt 127.7m / EBITDA 192.8m)
Debt / FCF = 0.81 (Net Debt 127.7m / FCF TTM 157.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 496.9m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 13.25% (Net Income 156.1m / Total Assets 1.27b)
RoE = 31.42% (Net Income TTM 156.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 496.9m)
RoCE = 20.89% (EBIT 184.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 496.9m + L.T.Debt 384.9m))
RoIC = 16.11% (NOPAT 156.7m / Invested Capital 972.5m)
WACC = 10.45% (E(2.06b)/V(2.57b) * Re(12.99%) + D(506.3m)/V(2.57b) * Rd(0.12%) * (1-Tc(0.15)))
Discount Rate = 12.99% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -93.96 | Cagr: -4.93%
[DCF] Terminal Value 67.96% ; FCFF base≈159.5m ; Y1≈156.3m ; Y5≈157.5m
[DCF] Fair Price = 58.62 (EV 1.82b - Net Debt 127.7m = Equity 1.69b / Shares 28.8m; r=10.45% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -2.93% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 85.98 | EPS CAGR: 31.04% | SUE: 1.63 | # QB: 6
Revenue Correlation: 92.94 | Revenue CAGR: 33.37% | SUE: 2.75 | # QB: 5
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.28 | Chg30d=+16.36% | Revisions=-40% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.92 | Chg30d=+17.70% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+15.5% | GrowthRev=+21.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=5.82 | Chg30d=+20.50% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+18.3% | GrowthRev=+8.2%