(ICFI) ICF International - Overview
Stock: Consulting, Implementation, Analytics, Cybersecurity, Communications
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.64% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 0.69% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 0.00% |
| Payout Consistency | 96.1% |
| Payout Ratio | 10.6% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 33.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -6.80% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.64 |
| Alpha | -32.51 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.274 |
| Beta Downside | -0.030 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 56.30% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.10 |
Description: ICFI ICF International January 15, 2026
ICF International, Inc. (NASDAQ: ICFI) delivers management, technology, and policy consulting services to government and commercial clients worldwide. Its offerings span research on policy and market trends, data-driven analytics, strategic planning, cyber-security, IT modernization, and communications support across energy, environment, health, infrastructure, and security sectors.
Key metrics that investors watch include FY 2023 revenue of roughly $1.3 billion, an operating margin near 8 %, and a backlog of multi-year contracts estimated at $2 billion, which provides visibility into future cash flow. The company’s growth is closely tied to U.S. federal spending trends-particularly the Inflation Reduction Act’s climate and clean-energy allocations and the bipartisan infrastructure law-both of which have accelerated demand for consulting, data analytics, and cyber-security services.
For a deeper quantitative view, consider reviewing ValueRay’s analyst models on ICFI to assess how these macro drivers may impact the stock’s upside potential.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income: 98.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.37 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 8.60% < 20% (prev 4.26%; Δ 4.34% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 161.6m > Net Income 98.8m |
| Net Debt (620.0m) to EBITDA (208.8m): 2.97 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.41 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (18.5m) vs 12m ago -2.03% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 37.23% > 18% (prev 0.37%; Δ 3686 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 92.98% > 50% (prev 98.70%; Δ -5.72% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 5.05 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 208.8m / Interest Expense TTM 30.1m) |
Altman Z'' 3.35
| A: 0.08 (Total Current Assets 569.0m - Total Current Liabilities 403.4m) / Total Assets 2.11b |
| B: 0.45 (Retained Earnings 941.3m / Total Assets 2.11b) |
| C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 151.8m / Avg Total Assets 2.07b) |
| D: 0.85 (Book Value of Equity 927.3m / Total Liabilities 1.09b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 3.35 = A |
Beneish M -3.01
| DSRI: 1.12 (Receivables 495.9m/460.7m, Revenue 1.93b/2.00b) |
| GMI: 0.98 (GM 37.23% / 36.63%) |
| AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.65 / AQ_t-1 0.66) |
| SGI: 0.96 (Revenue 1.93b / 2.00b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 98.8m - CFO 161.6m) / TA 2.11b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.01 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of ICFI shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -6.63%, over one month by -1.86%, over three months by +7.06% and over the past year by -24.20%.
Is ICFI a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ICFI price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 108.8 | 24.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 108.8 | 24.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 86.6 | -0.6% |
ICFI Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/E Forward = 13.1406
P/S = 0.8928
P/B = 1.6787
P/EG = 1.881
Revenue TTM = 1.93b USD
EBIT TTM = 151.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 208.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 449.4m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 21.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 623.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 620.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.34b USD (1.72b + Debt 623.9m - CCE 3.99m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.05 (Ebit TTM 151.8m / Interest Expense TTM 30.1m)
EV/FCF = 16.59x (Enterprise Value 2.34b / FCF TTM 141.0m)
FCF Yield = 6.03% (FCF TTM 141.0m / Enterprise Value 2.34b)
FCF Margin = 7.32% (FCF TTM 141.0m / Revenue TTM 1.93b)
Net Margin = 5.13% (Net Income TTM 98.8m / Revenue TTM 1.93b)
Gross Margin = 37.23% ((Revenue TTM 1.93b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.21b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 37.57% (prev 37.33%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.11 (Enterprise Value 2.34b / Total Assets 2.11b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.26% (Interest Expense 7.86m / Debt 623.9m)
Taxrate = 22.70% (6.98m / 30.7m)
NOPAT = 117.4m (EBIT 151.8m * (1 - 22.70%))
Current Ratio = 1.41 (Total Current Assets 569.0m / Total Current Liabilities 403.4m)
Debt / Equity = 0.61 (Debt 623.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.02b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.97 (Net Debt 620.0m / EBITDA 208.8m)
Debt / FCF = 4.40 (Net Debt 620.0m / FCF TTM 141.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 994.0m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.77% (Net Income 98.8m / Total Assets 2.11b)
RoE = 9.94% (Net Income TTM 98.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 994.0m)
RoCE = 10.52% (EBIT 151.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 994.0m + L.T.Debt 449.4m))
RoIC = 8.09% (NOPAT 117.4m / Invested Capital 1.45b)
WACC = 5.34% (E(1.72b)/V(2.34b) * Re(6.92%) + D(623.9m)/V(2.34b) * Rd(1.26%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 6.92% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.32%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 87.05% ; FCFF base≈149.8m ; Y1≈161.5m ; Y5≈198.7m
Fair Price DCF = 285.2 (EV 5.88b - Net Debt 620.0m = Equity 5.26b / Shares 18.4m; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 8.81% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -20.08 | EPS CAGR: -44.12% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 65.03 | Revenue CAGR: 4.97% | SUE: -3.68 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.70 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=-3 | Analysts=3
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=7.10 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=-4 | Growth EPS=+5.0% | Growth Revenue=+2.5%