(JAKK) JAKKS Pacific - Overview
Exchange: NASDAQ •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US47012E4035
Stock: Toys, Costumes, Ride-Ons, Furniture, Games
Total Rating 32
Risk 83
Buy Signal -0.61
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 5.10% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 11.95% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | % |
| Payout Consistency | 18.1% |
| Payout Ratio | 55.6% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 50.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -16.4% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.94 |
| Alpha | -63.83 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.591 |
| Beta Downside | 1.748 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 57.34% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.01 |
Description: JAKK JAKKS Pacific December 31, 2025
JAKKS Pacific Inc. (NASDAQ:JAKK) designs, manufactures and markets a broad portfolio of licensed and proprietary toys, kids’ furniture, costumes and related consumer products. The business is split into two segments-Toys/Consumer Products and Costumes-and reaches customers through a mix of in-house sales teams and independent representatives across mass-market retailers, specialty toy stores and wholesale channels.
Key data points to consider: FY 2023 revenue was approximately **$399 million**, with a **gross margin of roughly 38%**, reflecting the high-cost structure of licensed inventory. The company’s performance is highly sensitive to **seasonal demand cycles** (e.g., Halloween costume sales) and **consumer discretionary spending**, which tend to contract during periods of elevated inflation or economic uncertainty. Additionally, JAKKS has been accelerating its **e-commerce fulfillment capabilities**, a sector-wide driver that has helped offset slower foot-traffic in traditional brick-and-mortar outlets.
If you want a more granular, data-driven assessment of JAKK’s valuation and risk profile, ValueRay’s analytical tools can provide the deeper insight you need.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income: 6.08m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 12.60 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 23.30% < 20% (prev 18.96%; Δ 4.34% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 29.4m > Net Income 6.08m |
| Net Debt (30.7m) to EBITDA (19.8m): 1.55 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.74 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (11.4m) vs 12m ago 1.31% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 31.54% > 18% (prev 0.31%; Δ 3123 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 113.8% > 50% (prev 131.3%; Δ -17.45% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 16.55 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 19.8m / Interest Expense TTM 559.0k) |
Altman Z'' 1.50
| A: 0.28 (Total Current Assets 314.8m - Total Current Liabilities 181.0m) / Total Assets 485.3m |
| B: -0.07 (Retained Earnings -32.9m / Total Assets 485.3m) |
| C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 9.25m / Avg Total Assets 504.6m) |
| D: -0.20 (Book Value of Equity -45.2m / Total Liabilities 229.4m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 1.50 = BB |
Beneish M -3.31
| DSRI: 0.84 (Receivables 204.7m/293.5m, Revenue 574.3m/687.7m) |
| GMI: 0.97 (GM 31.54% / 30.69%) |
| AQI: 1.07 (AQ_t 0.21 / AQ_t-1 0.20) |
| SGI: 0.84 (Revenue 574.3m / 687.7m) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 6.08m - CFO 29.4m) / TA 485.3m) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.31 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of JAKK shares?
As of February 08, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 18.10 with a total of 102,319 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.93%, over one month by +3.84%, over three months by +9.69% and over the past year by -42.22%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.93%, over one month by +3.84%, over three months by +9.69% and over the past year by -42.22%.
Is JAKK a buy, sell or hold?
JAKKS Pacific has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.50.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy JAKK.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the JAKK price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 28.5 | 57.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 28.5 | 57.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 17 | -6% |
JAKK Fundamental Data Overview February 05, 2026
P/E Trailing = 38.4043
P/E Forward = 6.0168
P/S = 0.3542
P/B = 0.7949
P/EG = 2.37
Revenue TTM = 574.3m USD
EBIT TTM = 9.25m USD
EBITDA TTM = 19.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 56.6m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 13.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 56.6m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 30.7m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 230.6m USD (203.4m + Debt 56.6m - CCE 29.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 16.55 (Ebit TTM 9.25m / Interest Expense TTM 559.0k)
EV/FCF = 13.09x (Enterprise Value 230.6m / FCF TTM 17.6m)
FCF Yield = 7.64% (FCF TTM 17.6m / Enterprise Value 230.6m)
FCF Margin = 3.07% (FCF TTM 17.6m / Revenue TTM 574.3m)
Net Margin = 1.06% (Net Income TTM 6.08m / Revenue TTM 574.3m)
Gross Margin = 31.54% ((Revenue TTM 574.3m - Cost of Revenue TTM 393.2m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 32.03% (prev 32.66%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.48 (Enterprise Value 230.6m / Total Assets 485.3m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.18% (Interest Expense 102.0k / Debt 56.6m)
Taxrate = 33.08% (9.83m / 29.7m)
NOPAT = 6.19m (EBIT 9.25m * (1 - 33.08%))
Current Ratio = 1.74 (Total Current Assets 314.8m / Total Current Liabilities 181.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.22 (Debt 56.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 255.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.55 (Net Debt 30.7m / EBITDA 19.8m)
Debt / FCF = 1.74 (Net Debt 30.7m / FCF TTM 17.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 241.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.20% (Net Income 6.08m / Total Assets 485.3m)
RoE = 2.51% (Net Income TTM 6.08m / Total Stockholder Equity 241.8m)
RoCE = 3.10% (EBIT 9.25m / Capital Employed (Equity 241.8m + L.T.Debt 56.6m))
RoIC = 2.56% (NOPAT 6.19m / Invested Capital 241.8m)
WACC = 9.24% (E(203.4m)/V(260.0m) * Re(11.78%) + D(56.6m)/V(260.0m) * Rd(0.18%) * (1-Tc(0.33)))
Discount Rate = 11.78% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 6.43%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 64.81% ; FCFF base≈17.6m ; Y1≈11.6m ; Y5≈5.28m
Fair Price DCF = 4.81 (EV 84.9m - Net Debt 30.7m = Equity 54.2m / Shares 11.3m; r=9.24% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -6.06 | EPS CAGR: 5.47% | SUE: 1.49 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -15.32 | Revenue CAGR: 3.16% | SUE: -1.16 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.03 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.77 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+229.8% | Growth Revenue=+6.5%
P/E Forward = 6.0168
P/S = 0.3542
P/B = 0.7949
P/EG = 2.37
Revenue TTM = 574.3m USD
EBIT TTM = 9.25m USD
EBITDA TTM = 19.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 56.6m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 13.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 56.6m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 30.7m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 230.6m USD (203.4m + Debt 56.6m - CCE 29.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 16.55 (Ebit TTM 9.25m / Interest Expense TTM 559.0k)
EV/FCF = 13.09x (Enterprise Value 230.6m / FCF TTM 17.6m)
FCF Yield = 7.64% (FCF TTM 17.6m / Enterprise Value 230.6m)
FCF Margin = 3.07% (FCF TTM 17.6m / Revenue TTM 574.3m)
Net Margin = 1.06% (Net Income TTM 6.08m / Revenue TTM 574.3m)
Gross Margin = 31.54% ((Revenue TTM 574.3m - Cost of Revenue TTM 393.2m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 32.03% (prev 32.66%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.48 (Enterprise Value 230.6m / Total Assets 485.3m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.18% (Interest Expense 102.0k / Debt 56.6m)
Taxrate = 33.08% (9.83m / 29.7m)
NOPAT = 6.19m (EBIT 9.25m * (1 - 33.08%))
Current Ratio = 1.74 (Total Current Assets 314.8m / Total Current Liabilities 181.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.22 (Debt 56.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 255.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.55 (Net Debt 30.7m / EBITDA 19.8m)
Debt / FCF = 1.74 (Net Debt 30.7m / FCF TTM 17.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 241.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.20% (Net Income 6.08m / Total Assets 485.3m)
RoE = 2.51% (Net Income TTM 6.08m / Total Stockholder Equity 241.8m)
RoCE = 3.10% (EBIT 9.25m / Capital Employed (Equity 241.8m + L.T.Debt 56.6m))
RoIC = 2.56% (NOPAT 6.19m / Invested Capital 241.8m)
WACC = 9.24% (E(203.4m)/V(260.0m) * Re(11.78%) + D(56.6m)/V(260.0m) * Rd(0.18%) * (1-Tc(0.33)))
Discount Rate = 11.78% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 6.43%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 64.81% ; FCFF base≈17.6m ; Y1≈11.6m ; Y5≈5.28m
Fair Price DCF = 4.81 (EV 84.9m - Net Debt 30.7m = Equity 54.2m / Shares 11.3m; r=9.24% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -6.06 | EPS CAGR: 5.47% | SUE: 1.49 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -15.32 | Revenue CAGR: 3.16% | SUE: -1.16 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.03 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.77 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+229.8% | Growth Revenue=+6.5%