(KHC) Kraft Heinz - Overview
Stock: Condiments, Cheese, Meals, Beverages, Coffee
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 5.74% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 5.95% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 0.00% |
| Payout Consistency | 95.1% |
| Payout Ratio | 83.3% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 26.7% |
| Relative Tail Risk | 0.59% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.43 |
| Alpha | -15.43 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.225 |
| Beta Downside | 0.053 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 37.71% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.28 |
Description: KHC Kraft Heinz December 17, 2025
The Kraft Heinz Company (NASDAQ: KHC) manufactures and markets a broad portfolio of food and beverage products-including condiments, cheese, meals, meats, coffee, and snack items-under iconic brands such as Kraft, Heinz, Oscar Mayer, Philadelphia, and Lunchables. Its distribution network spans company-owned sales forces, independent brokers, and a wide array of retail and food-service channels, from grocery chains and mass merchants to e-commerce platforms and institutional accounts.
Key performance indicators (as of FY 2024) show revenue of roughly $27 billion with an adjusted EBITDA margin near 13 %, reflecting modest pricing power amid rising commodity costs for dairy and meat. The packaged-foods sector is currently pressured by inflation-driven consumer price sensitivity and a shift toward private-label and “better-for-you” products, while supply-chain resilience and scale remain competitive advantages for KHC.
For a deeper quantitative view, consider reviewing ValueRay’s analyst toolkit to extend your research.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income: -4.37b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.06 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 4.47% < 20% (prev 1.81%; Δ 2.66% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 4.47b > Net Income -4.37b |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 1.13 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.19b) vs 12m ago -1.98% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 33.65% > 18% (prev 0.35%; Δ 3330 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 29.56% > 50% (prev 29.50%; Δ 0.06% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -5.86 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -4.67b / Interest Expense TTM 958.0m) |
Altman Z'' -0.76
| A: 0.01 (Total Current Assets 9.99b - Total Current Liabilities 8.86b) / Total Assets 81.69b |
| B: -0.06 (Retained Earnings -5.28b / Total Assets 81.69b) |
| C: -0.07 (EBIT TTM -5.62b / Avg Total Assets 85.13b) |
| D: -0.19 (Book Value of Equity -7.65b / Total Liabilities 40.12b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -0.76 = CCC |
Beneish M -3.10
| DSRI: 1.08 (Receivables 2.25b/2.18b, Revenue 25.16b/26.13b) |
| GMI: 1.03 (GM 33.65% / 34.60%) |
| AQI: 0.96 (AQ_t 0.79 / AQ_t-1 0.83) |
| SGI: 0.96 (Revenue 25.16b / 26.13b) |
| TATA: -0.11 (NI -4.37b - CFO 4.47b) / TA 81.69b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.10 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of KHC shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.79%, over one month by +4.81%, over three months by +5.53% and over the past year by -9.98%.
Is KHC a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 16
- Sell: 2
- StrongSell: 2
What are the forecasts/targets for the KHC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 26.5 | 7.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 26.5 | 7.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 24.8 | 0.7% |
KHC Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/S = 1.1167
P/B = 0.6608
P/EG = 0.9453
Revenue TTM = 25.16b USD
EBIT TTM = -5.62b USD
EBITDA TTM = -4.67b USD
Long Term Debt = 19.29b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.91b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 21.19b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 19.05b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 46.16b USD (28.10b + Debt 21.19b - CCE 3.13b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -5.86 (Ebit TTM -5.62b / Interest Expense TTM 958.0m)
EV/FCF = 12.71x (Enterprise Value 46.16b / FCF TTM 3.63b)
FCF Yield = 7.87% (FCF TTM 3.63b / Enterprise Value 46.16b)
FCF Margin = 14.43% (FCF TTM 3.63b / Revenue TTM 25.16b)
Net Margin = -17.35% (Net Income TTM -4.37b / Revenue TTM 25.16b)
Gross Margin = 33.65% ((Revenue TTM 25.16b - Cost of Revenue TTM 16.70b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 31.91% (prev 34.13%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.57 (Enterprise Value 46.16b / Total Assets 81.69b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.13% (Interest Expense 240.0m / Debt 21.19b)
Taxrate = 24.04% (194.0m / 807.0m)
NOPAT = -4.27b (EBIT -5.62b * (1 - 24.04%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.13 (Total Current Assets 9.99b / Total Current Liabilities 8.86b)
Debt / Equity = 0.51 (Debt 21.19b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 41.45b)
Debt / EBITDA = -4.08 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 19.05b / EBITDA -4.67b)
Debt / FCF = 5.25 (Net Debt 19.05b / FCF TTM 3.63b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 45.36b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -5.13% (Net Income -4.37b / Total Assets 81.69b)
RoE = -9.62% (Net Income TTM -4.37b / Total Stockholder Equity 45.36b)
RoCE = -8.69% (EBIT -5.62b / Capital Employed (Equity 45.36b + L.T.Debt 19.29b))
RoIC = -6.43% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -4.27b / Invested Capital 66.33b)
WACC = 4.22% (E(28.10b)/V(49.29b) * Re(6.75%) + D(21.19b)/V(49.29b) * Rd(1.13%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 6.75% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.88%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 87.18% ; FCFF base≈3.38b ; Y1≈3.70b ; Y5≈4.69b
Fair Price DCF = 100.9 (EV 138.43b - Net Debt 19.05b = Equity 119.38b / Shares 1.18b; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 10.77% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -38.69 | EPS CAGR: -45.34% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -35.06 | Revenue CAGR: -1.93% | SUE: -0.11 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.59 | Chg30d=-0.001 | Revisions Net=-2 | Analysts=11
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.49 | Chg30d=-0.023 | Revisions Net=-4 | Growth EPS=-1.3% | Growth Revenue=-0.0%