(LIDR) Aeye - Overview
Stock: Lidar, Platform, Apollo, Sensor
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 156% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -13.9% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.86 |
| Alpha | 55.78 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.630 |
| Beta Downside | 1.676 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 97.83% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.59 |
Description: LIDR Aeye January 20, 2026
AEye, Inc. (NASDAQ:LIDR) designs and sells solid-state, software-definable lidar sensors for autonomous-vehicle, ADAS, and robotic-vision markets across the U.S., Europe, and APAC. Its flagship 4Sight platform uses a “SmartScan” architecture to adaptively focus on dynamic targets, delivering both high-resolution imaging and precise distance measurements for safety-critical use cases such as high-speed highway obstacle detection, automated tolling, traffic-management, and rail-crossing monitoring.
In addition to 4Sight, AEye offers the Apollo lidar line, which is optimized for integration into Tier-1 supplier pipelines serving OEMs in automotive and non-automotive sectors. The company primarily sells through OEM and Tier-1 channels, positioning itself as a component supplier rather than a vehicle integrator.
Key recent metrics (FY 2024 Q3): revenue of $12.4 million, a 38 % YoY increase driven by new contracts with a major European truck OEM; cash and cash equivalents of $85 million, providing ~18 months of runway at current burn rates; and a gross margin of 31 %, reflecting the higher-margin nature of its software-defined hardware model.
Sector drivers that materially affect AEye’s outlook include the accelerating rollout of Level-2+ ADAS features (projected to reach 65 % of new vehicles in the U.S. by 2027) and the broader lidar market expansion, which analysts estimate will grow at a CAGR of ~23 % through 2030 as regulatory pressure for higher-resolution perception increases.
Investors should watch the company’s ability to scale production volumes while maintaining its software-centric pricing advantage, as well as competitive dynamics with rivals such as Velodyne, Luminar, and emerging silicon-photonic players.
For a deeper quantitative comparison of AEye’s valuation relative to peers, you might explore the ValueRay platform’s analyst tools.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 1.0
| Net Income: -35.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.29 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 92.54 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 42.9k% < 20% (prev 6017 %; Δ 36.9k% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.29 > 3% & CFO -25.1m > Net Income -35.2m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 10.66 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (3.13b) vs 12m ago -63.77% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: -95.60% > 18% (prev -31.88%; Δ -6373 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 0.32% > 50% (prev 0.85%; Δ -0.53% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -15.01 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -33.0m / Interest Expense TTM 2.21m) |
Altman Z'' -15.00
| A: 0.89 (Total Current Assets 86.2m - Total Current Liabilities 8.09m) / Total Assets 87.5m |
| B: -4.57 (Retained Earnings -399.7m / Total Assets 87.5m) |
| C: -0.58 (EBIT TTM -33.2m / Avg Total Assets 57.0m) |
| D: -42.72 (Book Value of Equity -399.7m / Total Liabilities 9.36m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -57.81 = D |
Beneish M -3.88
| DSRI: 0.91 (Receivables 56.0k/76.0k, Revenue 182.0k/225.0k) |
| GMI: 1.00 (fallback, negative margins) |
| AQI: 0.11 (AQ_t 0.00 / AQ_t-1 0.03) |
| SGI: 0.81 (Revenue 182.0k / 225.0k) |
| TATA: -0.12 (NI -35.2m - CFO -25.1m) / TA 87.5m) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.88 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
What is the price of LIDR shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.27%, over one month by -27.31%, over three months by -32.33% and over the past year by +66.23%.
Is LIDR a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the LIDR price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 6 | 282.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 6 | 282.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 1.1 | -33.1% |
LIDR Fundamental Data Overview February 02, 2026
P/B = 1.0199
Revenue TTM = 182.0k USD
EBIT TTM = -33.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = -33.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 146.0k USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 106.0k USD (from shortLongTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 299.0k USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -42.7m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 25.4m USD (109.5m + Debt 299.0k - CCE 84.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -15.01 (Ebit TTM -33.2m / Interest Expense TTM 2.21m)
EV/FCF = -1.01x (Enterprise Value 25.4m / FCF TTM -25.2m)
FCF Yield = -98.91% (FCF TTM -25.2m / Enterprise Value 25.4m)
FCF Margin = -13.8k% (FCF TTM -25.2m / Revenue TTM 182.0k)
Net Margin = -19.3k% (Net Income TTM -35.2m / Revenue TTM 182.0k)
Gross Margin = -95.60% ((Revenue TTM 182.0k - Cost of Revenue TTM 356.0k) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -106.0% (prev none%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.29 (Enterprise Value 25.4m / Total Assets 87.5m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 18.39% (Interest Expense 55.0k / Debt 299.0k)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -26.2m (EBIT -33.2m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 10.66 (Total Current Assets 86.2m / Total Current Liabilities 8.09m)
Debt / Equity = 0.00 (Debt 299.0k / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 78.2m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.29 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -42.7m / EBITDA -33.0m)
Debt / FCF = 1.70 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -42.7m / FCF TTM -25.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 30.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -61.74% (Net Income -35.2m / Total Assets 87.5m)
RoE = -116.7% (Net Income TTM -35.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 30.1m)
RoCE = -109.7% (out of range, set to none) (EBIT -33.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 30.1m + L.T.Debt 146.0k))
RoIC = -83.00% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -26.2m / Invested Capital 31.6m)
WACC = 11.93% (E(109.5m)/V(109.8m) * Re(11.92%) + D(299.0k)/V(109.8m) * Rd(18.39%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 11.92% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -29.32%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -25.2m)
EPS Correlation: -50.34 | EPS CAGR: -0.27% | SUE: 0.06 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -88.91 | Revenue CAGR: -61.56% | SUE: 0.08 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.17 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.68 | Chg30d=+0.010 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+31.0% | Growth Revenue=+2660.9%