(LILAK) Liberty Latin America C - Overview
Stock: Internet, Mobile, Video, Voice, Data
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 40.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -4.87% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.61 |
| Alpha | 12.43 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.707 |
| Beta Downside | 1.091 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 57.17% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.08 |
Description: LILAK Liberty Latin America C January 16, 2026
Liberty Latin America Ltd. (NASDAQ:LILAK) operates a diversified telecom platform across 30 markets in the Caribbean and Latin America, delivering fixed-line, mobile, broadband, video, and enterprise-grade services through brands such as C&W Business, Liberty, Flow, and +movil. Its assets include a subsea and terrestrial fiber-optic network that underpins both consumer connectivity and high-value business solutions for SMEs, multinational firms, and government agencies.
Key performance indicators as of the latest quarter show a 5.2% YoY growth in Adjusted EBITDA and a subscriber base of roughly 12 million mobile lines, with average revenue per user (ARPU) trending upward at 3.4% due to higher data consumption. The business is sensitive to regional macro-drivers: (1) Caribbean tourism rebounds, boosting demand for mobile data; (2) Panama’s Canal expansion and related logistics traffic, which increase demand for enterprise connectivity; and (3) the rollout of 5G spectrum in Puerto Rico and Panama, expected to lift data-intensive service margins. A base-rate analysis of the regional telecom market suggests a median EBITDA margin of ~30%, giving Liberty a modest upside if it can capture additional market share.
For a deeper, data-driven view of Liberty Latin America’s valuation and risk profile, you may find the analytics on ValueRay worth a quick look.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income: -734.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.95 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 5.93% < 20% (prev 2.66%; Δ 3.27% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 726.3m > Net Income -734.4m |
| Net Debt (8.20b) to EBITDA (885.9m): 9.26 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.14 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (199.9m) vs 12m ago 1.47% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 72.53% > 18% (prev 0.66%; Δ 7187 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 35.79% > 50% (prev 35.12%; Δ 0.67% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -0.02 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 885.9m / Interest Expense TTM 644.4m) |
Altman Z'' -1.40
| A: 0.02 (Total Current Assets 2.08b - Total Current Liabilities 1.81b) / Total Assets 12.05b |
| B: -0.34 (Retained Earnings -4.16b / Total Assets 12.05b) |
| C: -0.00 (EBIT TTM -12.4m / Avg Total Assets 12.39b) |
| D: -0.39 (Book Value of Equity -4.28b / Total Liabilities 10.89b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -1.40 = CCC |
Beneish M -3.24
| DSRI: 1.02 (Receivables 927.9m/920.0m, Revenue 4.43b/4.47b) |
| GMI: 0.91 (GM 72.53% / 66.10%) |
| AQI: 0.97 (AQ_t 0.50 / AQ_t-1 0.52) |
| SGI: 0.99 (Revenue 4.43b / 4.47b) |
| TATA: -0.12 (NI -734.4m - CFO 726.3m) / TA 12.05b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.24 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of LILAK shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.86%, over one month by +13.32%, over three months by -5.94% and over the past year by +23.55%.
Is LILAK a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the LILAK price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 8.9 | 9.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 8.9 | 9.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 8.2 | 0.9% |
LILAK Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/S = 0.3515
P/B = 2.4766
P/EG = 0.83
Revenue TTM = 4.43b USD
EBIT TTM = -12.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 885.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 7.83b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 545.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 8.80b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 8.20b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 9.76b USD (1.56b + Debt 8.80b - CCE 596.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.02 (Ebit TTM -12.4m / Interest Expense TTM 644.4m)
EV/FCF = 31.19x (Enterprise Value 9.76b / FCF TTM 313.0m)
FCF Yield = 3.21% (FCF TTM 313.0m / Enterprise Value 9.76b)
FCF Margin = 7.06% (FCF TTM 313.0m / Revenue TTM 4.43b)
Net Margin = -16.57% (Net Income TTM -734.4m / Revenue TTM 4.43b)
Gross Margin = 72.53% ((Revenue TTM 4.43b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.22b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 77.74% (prev 67.93%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.81 (Enterprise Value 9.76b / Total Assets 12.05b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.87% (Interest Expense 164.3m / Debt 8.80b)
Taxrate = 20.50% (4.10m / 20.0m)
NOPAT = -9.86m (EBIT -12.4m * (1 - 20.50%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.14 (Total Current Assets 2.08b / Total Current Liabilities 1.81b)
Debt / Equity = 13.99 (Debt 8.80b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 628.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = 9.26 (Net Debt 8.20b / EBITDA 885.9m)
Debt / FCF = 26.21 (Net Debt 8.20b / FCF TTM 313.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 845.0m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -5.93% (Net Income -734.4m / Total Assets 12.05b)
RoE = -86.91% (Net Income TTM -734.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 845.0m)
RoCE = -0.14% (EBIT -12.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 845.0m + L.T.Debt 7.83b))
RoIC = -0.11% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -9.86m / Invested Capital 9.02b)
WACC = 2.54% (E(1.56b)/V(10.36b) * Re(8.52%) + D(8.80b)/V(10.36b) * Rd(1.87%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 8.52% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -1.18%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 87.62% ; FCFF base≈271.7m ; Y1≈312.6m ; Y5≈438.3m
Fair Price DCF = 29.44 (EV 12.88b - Net Debt 8.20b = Equity 4.68b / Shares 158.9m; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 17.66% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -28.09 | EPS CAGR: -4.04% | SUE: -0.14 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -80.40 | Revenue CAGR: -3.65% | SUE: 1.86 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.13 | Chg30d=+0.158 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.26 | Chg30d=-0.224 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+110.3% | Growth Revenue=-0.8%