LSTR Stock Analysis: Landstar System | NASDAQ
Integrated Freight & Logistics | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 5.728m USD | 12M Return: 9.9% | US5150981018 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 51.5M
EPS Trend: -84.5%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: -15.5%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Landstar System, Inc. (NASDAQ: LSTR) is a U.S.-based provider of transportation management solutions operating across the United States, Canada, Mexico, and select international markets. Founded in 1988 and headquartered in Jacksonville, Florida, the company is classified within the Industrials sector under the Cargo Ground Transportation sub-industry and trades as a mid-cap stock with a market capitalization of approximately $5.6 billion.
The company operates through two segments: Transportation Logistics and Insurance. The Transportation Logistics segment offers a broad suite of services, including truckload, less-than-truckload, rail intermodal, air and ocean cargo, expedited freight delivery, heavy-haul/specialized transport, hazardous materials handling, cold chain/temperature-controlled shipping, U.S.-Canada and U.S.-Mexico cross-border services, intra-Mexico and intra-Canada transport, project cargo, and customs brokerage. It also provides transportation services to other logistics providers, such as third-party logistics firms and less-than-truckload carriers. Customers span industries including automotive parts and assemblies, consumer durables, building products, metals, chemicals, foodstuffs, heavy machinery, retail, electronics, military equipment, and general commodities.
The Insurance segment delivers risk and claims management services and reinsures risks associated with the companys independent contractor network. Landstar distributes its services through a network of agents, third-party capacity providers, and employees. Notably, Landstar operates an asset-light business model, relying primarily on independent owner-operator truck drivers and third-party capacity rather than owning its own fleet of trucks, which is a defining characteristic of non-asset-based freight brokers in the logistics industry.
- Truckload volume and pricing trends signal freight demand
- Insurance segment underwriting margins and claims costs fluctuate
- Cross-border US-Mexico Canada trade volumes shift with manufacturing reshoring
- Fuel surcharges and carrier capacity tightness pressure gross margins
- Capital return through buybacks and dividends supports shareholder yield
| Net Income: 160.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.10 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.62 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 11.45% < 20% (prev 13.07%; Δ -1.62% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 189.9m > Net Income 160.4m |
| Net Debt (-132.8m) to EBITDA (253.2m): -0.52 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.79 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (33.9m) vs 12m ago -2.05% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 12.71% > 18% (prev 17.90%; Δ -5.20% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 304.9% > 50% (prev 288.2%; Δ 16.74% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 109.7 > 6 (EBIT TTM 211.9m / Interest Expense TTM 1.93m) |
| A: 0.34 (Total Current Assets 1.37b - Total Current Liabilities 765.8m) / Total Assets 1.81b |
| B: 1.63 (Retained Earnings 2.95b / Total Assets 1.81b) |
| C: 0.12 (EBIT TTM 211.9m / Avg Total Assets 1.73b) |
| D: 0.85 (Book Value of Equity 830.0m / Total Liabilities 977.7m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 9.22 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.17 (Receivables 970.3m/752.4m, Revenue 5.29b/4.79b) |
| GMI: 1.41 (GM 17.90% / 12.71%) |
| AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.09 / AQ_t-1 0.09) |
| SGI: 1.10 (Revenue 5.29b / 4.79b) |
| TATA: -0.02 (NI 160.4m - CFO 189.9m) / TA 1.81b) |
| Beneish M = -2.45 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB |
As of October 29, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 138.80 with a total of 1,333,303 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -18.96%, over one month by -16.09%, over three months by -24.93% and over the past year by +9.85%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 133.30 (which is 4% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Landstar System has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.22. Therefore, it is recommended to hold LSTR.
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 12
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 2
| Analysts Target Price | 187.7 | 35.2% |
P/E Trailing = 43.839
P/E Forward = 22.0751
P/S = 1.1466
P/B = 6.6993
P/EG = 0.8928
Revenue TTM = 5.29b USD
EBIT TTM = 211.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 253.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 56.9m USD (estimated: total debt 151.4m - short term 94.5m)
Short Term Debt = 94.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 218.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 66.8m
Net Debt = -132.8m USD (calculated: Debt 218.2m - CCE 351.0m)
Enterprise Value = 5.60b USD (5.73b + Debt 218.2m - CCE 351.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 109.7 (Ebit TTM 211.9m / Interest Expense TTM 1.93m)
EV/FCF = 31.85x (Enterprise Value 5.60b / FCF TTM 175.6m)
FCF Yield = 3.14% (FCF TTM 175.6m / Enterprise Value 5.60b)
FCF Margin = 3.32% (FCF TTM 175.6m / Revenue TTM 5.29b)
Net Margin = 3.03% (Net Income TTM 160.4m / Revenue TTM 5.29b)
Gross Margin = 12.71% ((Revenue TTM 5.29b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.62b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 4.19% (prev 13.20%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.10 (Enterprise Value 5.60b / Total Assets 1.81b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.89% (Interest Expense 1.93m / Debt 218.2m)
Taxrate = 24.57% (52.2m / 212.6m)
NOPAT = 159.8m (EBIT 211.9m * (1 - 24.57%))
Current Ratio = 1.79 (Total Current Assets 1.37b / Total Current Liabilities 765.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.26 (Debt 218.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 830.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.52 (Net Debt -132.8m / EBITDA 253.2m)
Debt / FCF = -0.76 (Net Debt -132.8m / FCF TTM 175.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 815.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 9.24% (Net Income 160.4m / Total Assets 1.81b)
RoE = 19.67% (Net Income TTM 160.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 815.3m)
RoCE = 24.29% (EBIT 211.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 815.3m + L.T.Debt 56.9m))
RoIC = 18.33% (NOPAT 159.8m / Invested Capital 872.0m)
WACC = 7.89% (E(5.73b)/V(5.95b) * Re(8.16%) + D(218.2m)/V(5.95b) * Rd(0.89%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 8.16% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -98.66 | Cagr: -2.25%
[DCF] Terminal Value 74.47% ; FCFF base≈180.8m ; Y1≈171.2m ; Y5≈161.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = 78.78 (EV 2.54b - Net Debt -132.8m = Equity 2.67b / Shares 33.9m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -6.80% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -84.50 | EPS CAGR: -14.99% | SUE: 2.17 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -15.53 | Revenue CAGR: -0.67% | SUE: 0.37 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2027-03-31): EPS=1.62 | Chg30d=+2.92% | Revisions=+17% | Analysts=9
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.93 | Chg30d=+0.32% | Revisions=-8% | GrowthEPS=+47.5% | GrowthRev=+17.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=7.66 | Chg30d=+0.22% | Revisions=+8% | GrowthEPS=+29.2% | GrowthRev=+11.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +4% (up=11, down=10)