(LSTR) Landstar System - Ratings and Ratios
Truckload, Ltl, Intermodal, Air, Ocean, Insurance
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.34% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.72% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 5.08% |
| Payout Consistency | 87.6% |
| Payout Ratio | 68.4% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 28.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 43.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -6.33% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.25 |
| Alpha | -20.88 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.05 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.461 |
| Beta | 0.753 |
| Beta Downside | 0.628 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 38.75% |
| Mean DD | 14.64% |
| Median DD | 10.45% |
Description: LSTR Landstar System January 08, 2026
Landstar System, Inc. (NASDAQ:LSTR) delivers a broad suite of transportation-management services across North America and beyond, organized into two primary segments: Transportation Logistics and Insurance. The Logistics arm handles truckload, LTL, rail intermodal, air and ocean freight, expedited and heavy-haul moves, as well as cross-border and customs brokerage for industries ranging from automotive to military equipment. The Insurance segment underwrites risk for the company’s independent contractor network and offers claims-management services.
Key operational metrics that analysts watch include the company’s FY 2023 revenue of roughly $5 billion, an operating ratio hovering near 89 % (indicating tight cost control relative to freight revenue), and a growing fleet of over 10,000 contracted owner-operators. Recent quarterly filings show a 4 % YoY increase in average spot rates, reflecting tighter capacity in the U.S. truckload market, while fuel-price exposure remains mitigated by a hedging program that cut fuel cost variance by about 15 % year-to-date.
Macro-level drivers for Landstar are the sustained rise in e-commerce volumes, which boost demand for time-critical and LTL shipments, and the ongoing labor shortage in the trucking industry that favors asset-light models like Landstar’s independent-contractor network. Additionally, intermodal growth-fuelled by rail capacity constraints-offers incremental revenue opportunities through the company’s rail-intermodal contracts.
For a deeper quantitative view, you might explore ValueRay’s LSTR dashboard, which aggregates recent financial and operational metrics.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income (137.3m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 287.4m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.12 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -4.01pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 13.07% (prev 14.89%; Δ -1.81pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 (>3.0%) and CFO 213.3m > Net Income 137.3m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-250.1m) to EBITDA (227.2m) ratio: -1.10 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.01 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (34.6m) change vs 12m ago -2.37% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 17.90% (prev 20.53%; Δ -2.62pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 280.1% (prev 274.8%; Δ 5.37pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 43.25 (EBITDA TTM 227.2m / Interest Expense TTM 4.13m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 12.82
| (A) 0.38 = (Total Current Assets 1.25b - Total Current Liabilities 619.1m) / Total Assets 1.66b |
| (B) 1.75 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.91b / Total Assets 1.66b |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: 1.75 — check mapping/units |
| (C) 0.10 = EBIT TTM 178.6m / Avg Total Assets 1.71b |
| (D) 3.75 = Book Value of Equity 2.90b / Total Liabilities 773.5m |
| Total Rating: 12.82 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 56.20
| 1. Piotroski 7.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.26% |
| 3. FCF Margin 4.15% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.14 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -1.10 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 4.87)% |
| 7. RoE 14.78% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -90.24% |
| 9. EPS Trend -90.10% |
What is the price of LSTR shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.26%, over one month by +5.96%, over three months by +18.37% and over the past year by -6.92%.
Is LSTR a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 16
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the LSTR price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 134.3 | -11.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 134.3 | -11.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 154.8 | 1.5% |
LSTR Fundamental Data Overview January 02, 2026
P/E Forward = 25.2525
P/S = 1.0389
P/B = 5.6102
P/EG = 2.2031
Beta = 0.85
Revenue TTM = 4.79b USD
EBIT TTM = 178.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 227.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 77.1m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 77.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 125.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -250.1m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 4.67b USD (4.98b + Debt 125.1m - CCE 434.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 43.25 (Ebit TTM 178.6m / Interest Expense TTM 4.13m)
FCF Yield = 4.26% (FCF TTM 198.9m / Enterprise Value 4.67b)
FCF Margin = 4.15% (FCF TTM 198.9m / Revenue TTM 4.79b)
Net Margin = 2.87% (Net Income TTM 137.3m / Revenue TTM 4.79b)
Gross Margin = 17.90% ((Revenue TTM 4.79b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.93b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 13.17% (prev 20.02%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.81 (Enterprise Value 4.67b / Total Assets 1.66b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.17% (Interest Expense 217.0k / Debt 125.1m)
Taxrate = 25.83% (6.75m / 26.1m)
NOPAT = 132.4m (EBIT 178.6m * (1 - 25.83%))
Current Ratio = 2.01 (Total Current Assets 1.25b / Total Current Liabilities 619.1m)
Debt / Equity = 0.14 (Debt 125.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 888.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.10 (Net Debt -250.1m / EBITDA 227.2m)
Debt / FCF = -1.26 (Net Debt -250.1m / FCF TTM 198.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 928.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.03% (Net Income 137.3m / Total Assets 1.66b)
RoE = 14.78% (Net Income TTM 137.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 928.4m)
RoCE = 17.76% (EBIT 178.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 928.4m + L.T.Debt 77.1m))
RoIC = 13.44% (NOPAT 132.4m / Invested Capital 985.1m)
WACC = 8.58% (E(4.98b)/V(5.10b) * Re(8.79%) + D(125.1m)/V(5.10b) * Rd(0.17%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 8.79% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.72%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.93% ; FCFF base≈231.6m ; Y1≈172.5m ; Y5≈101.5m
Fair Price DCF = 58.24 (EV 1.75b - Net Debt -250.1m = Equity 2.00b / Shares 34.3m; r=8.58% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -30.21% → 3.0% )
[DCF Warning] FCF declining rapidly (-30.21%), DCF may be unreliable
EPS Correlation: -90.10 | EPS CAGR: -56.43% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -90.24 | Revenue CAGR: -11.99% | SUE: 0.07 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.19 | Chg30d=+0.002 | Revisions Net=-4 | Analysts=12
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.47 | Chg30d=-0.005 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+21.0% | Growth Revenue=+5.4%
Additional Sources for LSTR Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle