(LSTR) Landstar System - Ratings and Ratios
Truckload, Ltl, Intermodal, Air, Ocean, Insurance
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.66% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.54% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 5.08% |
| Payout Consistency | 87.6% |
| Payout Ratio | 68.4% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 28.7% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 44.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -6.42% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.35 |
| Alpha | -23.44 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.05 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.437 |
| Beta | 0.764 |
| Beta Downside | 0.614 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 38.75% |
| Mean DD | 14.89% |
| Median DD | 10.65% |
Description: LSTR Landstar System January 08, 2026
Landstar System, Inc. (NASDAQ:LSTR) delivers a broad suite of transportation-management services across North America and beyond, organized into two primary segments: Transportation Logistics and Insurance. The Logistics arm handles truckload, LTL, rail intermodal, air and ocean freight, expedited and heavy-haul moves, as well as cross-border and customs brokerage for industries ranging from automotive to military equipment. The Insurance segment underwrites risk for the company’s independent contractor network and offers claims-management services.
Key operational metrics that analysts watch include the company’s FY 2023 revenue of roughly $5 billion, an operating ratio hovering near 89 % (indicating tight cost control relative to freight revenue), and a growing fleet of over 10,000 contracted owner-operators. Recent quarterly filings show a 4 % YoY increase in average spot rates, reflecting tighter capacity in the U.S. truckload market, while fuel-price exposure remains mitigated by a hedging program that cut fuel cost variance by about 15 % year-to-date.
Macro-level drivers for Landstar are the sustained rise in e-commerce volumes, which boost demand for time-critical and LTL shipments, and the ongoing labor shortage in the trucking industry that favors asset-light models like Landstar’s independent-contractor network. Additionally, intermodal growth-fuelled by rail capacity constraints-offers incremental revenue opportunities through the company’s rail-intermodal contracts.
For a deeper quantitative view, you might explore ValueRay’s LSTR dashboard, which aggregates recent financial and operational metrics.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5
| Net Income: 137.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.12 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -4.01 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 13.07% < 20% (prev 14.89%; Δ -1.81% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 213.3m > Net Income 137.3m |
| Net Debt (-250.1m) to EBITDA (227.2m): -1.10 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.01 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (34.6m) vs 12m ago -2.37% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 17.90% > 18% (prev 0.21%; Δ 1770 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 280.1% > 50% (prev 274.8%; Δ 5.37% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 43.25 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 227.2m / Interest Expense TTM 4.13m) |
Altman Z'' 10.00
| A: 0.38 (Total Current Assets 1.25b - Total Current Liabilities 619.1m) / Total Assets 1.66b |
| B: 1.75 (Retained Earnings 2.91b / Total Assets 1.66b) |
| C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 178.6m / Avg Total Assets 1.71b) |
| D: 3.75 (Book Value of Equity 2.90b / Total Liabilities 773.5m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 12.82 = AAA |
Beneish M -2.91
| DSRI: 1.02 (Receivables 752.4m/746.2m, Revenue 4.79b/4.83b) |
| GMI: 1.15 (GM 17.90% / 20.53%) |
| AQI: 1.04 (AQ_t 0.09 / AQ_t-1 0.09) |
| SGI: 0.99 (Revenue 4.79b / 4.83b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 137.3m - CFO 213.3m) / TA 1.66b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.91 = A |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 56.58
| 1. Piotroski: 7.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield: 3.90% |
| 3. FCF Margin: 4.15% |
| 4. Debt/Equity: 0.14 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda: -1.10 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC: 4.91% |
| 7. RoE: 14.78% |
| 8. Revenue Trend: -90.24% |
| 9. EPS Trend: -90.10% |
What is the price of LSTR shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.25%, over one month by +7.69%, over three months by +20.50% and over the past year by -10.43%.
Is LSTR a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 16
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the LSTR price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 150.3 | -2.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 150.3 | -2.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 160.4 | 4.2% |
LSTR Fundamental Data Overview January 17, 2026
P/E Forward = 27.8552
P/S = 1.1279
P/B = 5.9696
P/EG = 2.4287
Revenue TTM = 4.79b USD
EBIT TTM = 178.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 227.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 77.1m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 77.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 125.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -250.1m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 5.10b USD (5.41b + Debt 125.1m - CCE 434.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 43.25 (Ebit TTM 178.6m / Interest Expense TTM 4.13m)
EV/FCF = 25.63x (Enterprise Value 5.10b / FCF TTM 198.9m)
FCF Yield = 3.90% (FCF TTM 198.9m / Enterprise Value 5.10b)
FCF Margin = 4.15% (FCF TTM 198.9m / Revenue TTM 4.79b)
Net Margin = 2.87% (Net Income TTM 137.3m / Revenue TTM 4.79b)
Gross Margin = 17.90% ((Revenue TTM 4.79b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.93b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 13.17% (prev 20.02%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.07 (Enterprise Value 5.10b / Total Assets 1.66b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.17% (Interest Expense 217.0k / Debt 125.1m)
Taxrate = 25.83% (6.75m / 26.1m)
NOPAT = 132.4m (EBIT 178.6m * (1 - 25.83%))
Current Ratio = 2.01 (Total Current Assets 1.25b / Total Current Liabilities 619.1m)
Debt / Equity = 0.14 (Debt 125.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 888.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.10 (Net Debt -250.1m / EBITDA 227.2m)
Debt / FCF = -1.26 (Net Debt -250.1m / FCF TTM 198.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 928.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.03% (Net Income 137.3m / Total Assets 1.66b)
RoE = 14.78% (Net Income TTM 137.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 928.4m)
RoCE = 17.76% (EBIT 178.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 928.4m + L.T.Debt 77.1m))
RoIC = 13.44% (NOPAT 132.4m / Invested Capital 985.1m)
WACC = 8.54% (E(5.41b)/V(5.53b) * Re(8.73%) + D(125.1m)/V(5.53b) * Rd(0.17%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 8.73% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.72%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.69% ; FCFF base≈231.6m ; Y1≈172.4m ; Y5≈101.2m
Fair Price DCF = 57.82 (EV 1.74b - Net Debt -250.1m = Equity 1.99b / Shares 34.3m; r=8.54% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -30.21% → 2.90% )
[DCF Warning] FCF declining rapidly (-30.21%), DCF may be unreliable
EPS Correlation: -90.10 | EPS CAGR: -56.43% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -90.24 | Revenue CAGR: -11.99% | SUE: 0.07 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.18 | Chg30d=-0.013 | Revisions Net=-4 | Analysts=13
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.47 | Chg30d=+0.004 | Revisions Net=+3 | Growth EPS=+21.0% | Growth Revenue=+5.7%
Additional Sources for LSTR Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle