LSTR Stock Analysis: Landstar System | NASDAQ
Integrated Freight & Logistics | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 5.614m USD | 12M Return: 40.9% | US5150981018 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 55.0M
EPS Trend: -95.8%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -69.4%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Landstar System, Inc. (NASDAQ: LSTR) is a U.S.-based provider of transportation management solutions operating across the United States, Canada, Mexico, and select international markets. Founded in 1988 and headquartered in Jacksonville, Florida, the company is classified within the Industrials sector under the Cargo Ground Transportation sub-industry and trades as a mid-cap stock with a market capitalization of approximately $5.6 billion.
The company operates through two segments: Transportation Logistics and Insurance. The Transportation Logistics segment offers a broad suite of services, including truckload, less-than-truckload, rail intermodal, air and ocean cargo, expedited freight delivery, heavy-haul/specialized transport, hazardous materials handling, cold chain/temperature-controlled shipping, U.S.-Canada and U.S.-Mexico cross-border services, intra-Mexico and intra-Canada transport, project cargo, and customs brokerage. It also provides transportation services to other logistics providers, such as third-party logistics firms and less-than-truckload carriers. Customers span industries including automotive parts and assemblies, consumer durables, building products, metals, chemicals, foodstuffs, heavy machinery, retail, electronics, military equipment, and general commodities.
The Insurance segment delivers risk and claims management services and reinsures risks associated with the companys independent contractor network. Landstar distributes its services through a network of agents, third-party capacity providers, and employees. Notably, Landstar operates an asset-light business model, relying primarily on independent owner-operator truck drivers and third-party capacity rather than owning its own fleet of trucks, which is a defining characteristic of non-asset-based freight brokers in the logistics industry.
- Truckload volume and pricing trends signal freight demand
- Insurance segment underwriting margins and claims costs fluctuate
- Cross-border US-Mexico Canada trade volumes shift with manufacturing reshoring
- Fuel surcharges and carrier capacity tightness pressure gross margins
- Capital return through buybacks and dividends supports shareholder yield
| Net Income: 131.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.10 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.01 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 11.98% < 20% (prev 12.87%; Δ -0.89% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 189.9m > Net Income 131.7m |
| Net Debt (-142.3m) to EBITDA (242.4m): -0.59 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.82 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (33.9m) vs 12m ago -2.68% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 15.40% > 18% (prev 19.62%; Δ -4.22% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 289.6% > 50% (prev 282.5%; Δ 7.01% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 111.6 > 6 (EBIT TTM 199.4m / Interest Expense TTM 1.79m) |
| A: 0.34 (Total Current Assets 1.32b - Total Current Liabilities 723.9m) / Total Assets 1.74b |
| B: 1.67 (Retained Earnings 2.91b / Total Assets 1.74b) |
| C: 0.12 (EBIT TTM 199.4m / Avg Total Assets 1.72b) |
| D: 0.92 (Book Value of Equity 836.7m / Total Liabilities 905.8m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 9.45 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.23 (Receivables 914.2m/717.2m, Revenue 4.98b/4.80b) |
| GMI: 1.27 (GM 19.62% / 15.40%) |
| AQI: 0.94 (AQ_t 0.10 / AQ_t-1 0.10) |
| SGI: 1.04 (Revenue 4.98b / 4.80b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 131.7m - CFO 189.9m) / TA 1.74b) |
| Beneish M = -2.60 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of October 01, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 168.65 with a total of 409,766 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.00%, over one month by -6.64%, over three months by -18.27% and over the past year by +40.93%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 160.30 (which is 5% or 1.8 ATR below the current price).
Landstar System has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.06. Therefore, it is recommended to hold LSTR.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 13
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 193.9 | 15% |
P/E Trailing = 42.8523
P/E Forward = 22.5225
P/S = 1.1237
P/B = 6.8387
P/EG = 0.9114
Revenue TTM = 4.98b USD
EBIT TTM = 199.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 242.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 42.1m USD (estimated: total debt 138.6m - short term 96.5m)
Short Term Debt = 96.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 205.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 66.8m
Net Debt = -142.3m USD (calculated: Debt 205.4m - CCE 347.7m)
Enterprise Value = 5.47b USD (5.61b + Debt 205.4m - CCE 347.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 111.6 (Ebit TTM 199.4m / Interest Expense TTM 1.79m)
EV/FCF = 31.15x (Enterprise Value 5.47b / FCF TTM 175.6m)
FCF Yield = 3.21% (FCF TTM 175.6m / Enterprise Value 5.47b)
FCF Margin = 3.52% (FCF TTM 175.6m / Revenue TTM 4.98b)
Net Margin = 2.64% (Net Income TTM 131.7m / Revenue TTM 4.98b)
Gross Margin = 15.40% ((Revenue TTM 4.98b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.22b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 13.20% (prev 22.56%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.14 (Enterprise Value 5.47b / Total Assets 1.74b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.87% (Interest Expense 1.79m / Debt 205.4m)
Taxrate = 24.12% (41.9m / 173.6m)
NOPAT = 151.3m (EBIT 199.4m * (1 - 24.12%))
Current Ratio = 1.82 (Total Current Assets 1.32b / Total Current Liabilities 723.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.25 (Debt 205.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 836.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.59 (Net Debt -142.3m / EBITDA 242.4m)
Debt / FCF = -0.81 (Net Debt -142.3m / FCF TTM 175.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 830.0m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.65% (Net Income 131.7m / Total Assets 1.74b)
RoE = 15.87% (Net Income TTM 131.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 830.0m)
RoCE = 22.87% (EBIT 199.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 830.0m + L.T.Debt 42.1m))
RoIC = 17.48% (NOPAT 151.3m / Invested Capital 866.0m)
WACC = 8.39% (E(5.61b)/V(5.82b) * Re(8.67%) + D(205.4m)/V(5.82b) * Rd(0.87%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 8.67% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -98.72 | Cagr: -2.29%
[DCF] Terminal Value 74.33% ; FCFF base≈180.8m ; Y1≈171.2m ; Y5≈161.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = 78.60 (EV 2.53b - Net Debt -142.3m = Equity 2.67b / Shares 33.9m; r=8.39% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -6.80% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -95.80 | EPS CAGR: -20.63% | SUE: 0.16 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -69.38 | Revenue CAGR: -4.35% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.65 | Chg30d=+0.04% | Revisions=+82% | Analysts=17
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.91 | Chg30d=-0.14% | Revisions=+61% | GrowthEPS=+47.0% | GrowthRev=+16.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=7.65 | Chg30d=+0.04% | Revisions=+63% | GrowthEPS=+29.3% | GrowthRev=+11.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +77% (up=41, down=4)