LSTR Stock Analysis: Landstar System | NASDAQ
Integrated Freight & Logistics | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 6.288m USD | 12M Return: 32.2% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 86.3M
EPS Trend: -95.8%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -69.4%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Landstar System, Inc. (LSTR) is a Jacksonville, Florida-based transportation management company founded in 1988 and listed on NASDAQ since 1993. Operating within the Industrials sector (Cargo Ground Transportation), it serves customers in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and internationally through two segments: Transportation Logistics and Insurance.
The Transportation Logistics segment offers a broad range of freight services, including truckload, less-than-truckload, rail intermodal, air and ocean cargo, expedited delivery, heavy-haul/specialized, hazardous materials, cold chain, cross-border, project cargo, and customs brokerage. It serves diverse end markets such as automotive, consumer durables, building products, metals, chemicals, foodstuffs, heavy machinery, retail, electronics, and military equipment.
The Insurance segment provides risk and claims management services and reinsures the risks of the companys independent contractors. Notably, Landstar operates an asset-light business model, sourcing capacity primarily through its network of independent agents and third-party capacity providers rather than owning a large fleet of trucks, which is a defining feature of its operations within the ground transportation sector.
- Truckload rates decline as freight demand softens
- Insurance segment margins face pressure from rising claims
- AB5-style contractor regulations threaten asset-light business model
- Capital returns through buybacks support earnings per share
| Net Income: 131.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.13 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.20 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 11.98% < 20% (prev 12.87%; Δ -0.89% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 247.4m > Net Income 131.7m |
| Net Debt (-139.8m) to EBITDA (242.4m): -0.58 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.82 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (33.9m) vs 12m ago -2.68% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 15.40% > 18% (prev 19.62%; Δ -4.22% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 289.6% > 50% (prev 282.5%; Δ 7.01% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 111.6 > 6 (EBIT TTM 199.4m / Interest Expense TTM 1.79m) |
| A: 0.34 (Total Current Assets 1.32b - Total Current Liabilities 723.9m) / Total Assets 1.74b |
| B: 1.67 (Retained Earnings 2.91b / Total Assets 1.74b) |
| C: 0.12 (EBIT TTM 199.4m / Avg Total Assets 1.72b) |
| D: 0.92 (Book Value of Equity 836.7m / Total Liabilities 905.8m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 9.45 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.23 (Receivables 914.2m/717.2m, Revenue 4.98b/4.80b) |
| GMI: 1.27 (GM 19.62% / 15.40%) |
| AQI: 0.94 (AQ_t 0.10 / AQ_t-1 0.10) |
| SGI: 1.04 (Revenue 4.98b / 4.80b) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI 131.7m - CFO 247.4m) / TA 1.74b) |
| Beneish M = -2.60 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 30, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 177.83 with a total of 887,567 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -15.35%, over one month by -14.87%, over three months by -3.45% and over the past year by +32.17%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 169.30 (which is 4.8% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Landstar System has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.06. Therefore, it is recommended to hold LSTR.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 13
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 196.6 | 10.6% |
P/E Trailing = 51.1934
P/E Forward = 34.1297
P/S = 1.3166
P/B = 8.1358
P/EG = 1.4067
Revenue TTM = 4.98b USD
EBIT TTM = 199.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 242.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 42.1m USD (estimated: total debt 138.6m - short term 96.5m)
Short Term Debt = 96.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 207.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 69.3m
Net Debt = -139.8m USD (calculated: Debt 207.9m - CCE 347.7m)
Enterprise Value = 6.15b USD (6.29b + Debt 207.9m - CCE 347.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 111.6 (Ebit TTM 199.4m / Interest Expense TTM 1.79m)
EV/FCF = 26.32x (Enterprise Value 6.15b / FCF TTM 233.6m)
FCF Yield = 3.80% (FCF TTM 233.6m / Enterprise Value 6.15b)
FCF Margin = 4.69% (FCF TTM 233.6m / Revenue TTM 4.98b)
Net Margin = 2.64% (Net Income TTM 131.7m / Revenue TTM 4.98b)
Gross Margin = 15.40% ((Revenue TTM 4.98b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.22b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 13.20% (prev 22.56%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.53 (Enterprise Value 6.15b / Total Assets 1.74b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.86% (Interest Expense 1.79m / Debt 207.9m)
Taxrate = 24.12% (41.9m / 173.6m)
NOPAT = 151.3m (EBIT 199.4m * (1 - 24.12%))
Current Ratio = 1.82 (Total Current Assets 1.32b / Total Current Liabilities 723.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.25 (Debt 207.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 836.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.58 (Net Debt -139.8m / EBITDA 242.4m)
Debt / FCF = -0.60 (Net Debt -139.8m / FCF TTM 233.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 830.0m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.65% (Net Income 131.7m / Total Assets 1.74b)
RoE = 15.87% (Net Income TTM 131.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 830.0m)
RoCE = 22.87% (EBIT 199.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 830.0m + L.T.Debt 42.1m))
RoIC = 17.48% (NOPAT 151.3m / Invested Capital 866.0m)
WACC = 8.14% (E(6.29b)/V(6.50b) * Re(8.39%) + D(207.9m)/V(6.50b) * Rd(0.86%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 8.39% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -98.72 | Cagr: -2.29%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.97% ; FCFF base≈229.9m ; Y1≈238.7m ; Y5≈270.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = 127.2 (EV 4.18b - Net Debt -139.8m = Equity 4.32b / Shares 33.9m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 4.09% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -95.80 | EPS CAGR: -20.63% | SUE: 0.16 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -69.38 | Revenue CAGR: -4.35% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.59 | Chg30d=+6.14% | Revisions=+50% | Analysts=15
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.83 | Chg30d=+2.80% | Revisions=+38% | GrowthEPS=+44.9% | GrowthRev=+10.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=7.46 | Chg30d=+5.04% | Revisions=+38% | GrowthEPS=+28.0% | GrowthRev=+11.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +56% (up=11, down=2)