(LSTR) Landstar System - Overview
Stock: Truckload, Ltl, Intermodal, Air, Ocean, Insurance
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.66% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.79% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 5.08% |
| Payout Consistency | 87.6% |
| Payout Ratio | 58.9% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 27.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -6.84% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.28 |
| Alpha | -25.06 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.777 |
| Beta Downside | 0.646 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 38.75% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.11 |
Description: LSTR Landstar System January 08, 2026
Landstar System, Inc. (NASDAQ:LSTR) delivers a broad suite of transportation-management services across North America and beyond, organized into two primary segments: Transportation Logistics and Insurance. The Logistics arm handles truckload, LTL, rail intermodal, air and ocean freight, expedited and heavy-haul moves, as well as cross-border and customs brokerage for industries ranging from automotive to military equipment. The Insurance segment underwrites risk for the company’s independent contractor network and offers claims-management services.
Key operational metrics that analysts watch include the company’s FY 2023 revenue of roughly $5 billion, an operating ratio hovering near 89 % (indicating tight cost control relative to freight revenue), and a growing fleet of over 10,000 contracted owner-operators. Recent quarterly filings show a 4 % YoY increase in average spot rates, reflecting tighter capacity in the U.S. truckload market, while fuel-price exposure remains mitigated by a hedging program that cut fuel cost variance by about 15 % year-to-date.
Macro-level drivers for Landstar are the sustained rise in e-commerce volumes, which boost demand for time-critical and LTL shipments, and the ongoing labor shortage in the trucking industry that favors asset-light models like Landstar’s independent-contractor network. Additionally, intermodal growth-fuelled by rail capacity constraints-offers incremental revenue opportunities through the company’s rail-intermodal contracts.
For a deeper quantitative view, you might explore ValueRay’s LSTR dashboard, which aggregates recent financial and operational metrics.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5
| Net Income: 115.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.12 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.33 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 10.96% < 20% (prev 13.38%; Δ -2.42% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 213.3m > Net Income 115.0m |
| Net Debt (-368.4m) to EBITDA (227.0m): -1.62 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.75 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (34.2m) vs 12m ago -3.15% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 15.37% > 18% (prev 0.20%; Δ 1517 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 275.5% > 50% (prev 266.6%; Δ 8.90% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 53.05 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 227.0m / Interest Expense TTM 3.40m) |
Altman Z'' 10.00
| A: 0.32 (Total Current Assets 1.22b - Total Current Liabilities 695.8m) / Total Assets 1.64b |
| B: 1.74 (Retained Earnings 2.85b / Total Assets 1.64b) |
| C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 180.6m / Avg Total Assets 1.72b) |
| D: 3.39 (Book Value of Equity 2.85b / Total Liabilities 840.3m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 12.03 = AAA |
Beneish M -2.83
| DSRI: 1.01 (Receivables 722.9m/731.0m, Revenue 4.75b/4.83b) |
| GMI: 1.31 (GM 15.37% / 20.17%) |
| AQI: 0.96 (AQ_t 0.10 / AQ_t-1 0.10) |
| SGI: 0.98 (Revenue 4.75b / 4.83b) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI 115.0m - CFO 213.3m) / TA 1.64b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.83 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of LSTR shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.98%, over one month by +4.27%, over three months by +21.15% and over the past year by -8.29%.
Is LSTR a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 16
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the LSTR price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 151.1 | 1.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 151.1 | 1.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 152 | 1.8% |
LSTR Fundamental Data Overview January 31, 2026
P/E Forward = 27.027
P/S = 1.0739
P/B = 6.4204
P/EG = 2.3582
Revenue TTM = 4.75b USD
EBIT TTM = 180.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 227.0m USD
Long Term Debt = unknown (0.0)
Short Term Debt = 28.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 28.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -368.4m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 4.68b USD (5.11b + Debt 28.3m - CCE 452.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 53.05 (Ebit TTM 180.6m / Interest Expense TTM 3.40m)
EV/FCF = 23.56x (Enterprise Value 4.68b / FCF TTM 198.9m)
FCF Yield = 4.25% (FCF TTM 198.9m / Enterprise Value 4.68b)
FCF Margin = 4.19% (FCF TTM 198.9m / Revenue TTM 4.75b)
Net Margin = 2.42% (Net Income TTM 115.0m / Revenue TTM 4.75b)
Gross Margin = 15.37% ((Revenue TTM 4.75b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.02b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 9.36% (prev 13.17%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.86 (Enterprise Value 4.68b / Total Assets 1.64b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.85% (Interest Expense 240.0k / Debt 28.3m)
Taxrate = 16.58% (5.37m / 32.4m)
NOPAT = 150.7m (EBIT 180.6m * (1 - 16.58%))
Current Ratio = 1.75 (Total Current Assets 1.22b / Total Current Liabilities 695.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.04 (Debt 28.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 795.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.62 (Net Debt -368.4m / EBITDA 227.0m)
Debt / FCF = -1.85 (Net Debt -368.4m / FCF TTM 198.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 884.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.67% (Net Income 115.0m / Total Assets 1.64b)
RoE = 13.01% (Net Income TTM 115.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 884.2m)
RoCE = 20.43% (EBIT 180.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 884.2m + L.T.Debt 0.0))
RoIC = 15.55% (NOPAT 150.7m / Invested Capital 968.9m)
WACC = 8.74% (E(5.11b)/V(5.14b) * Re(8.78%) + D(28.3m)/V(5.14b) * Rd(0.85%) * (1-Tc(0.17)))
Discount Rate = 8.78% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.25%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 69.87% ; FCFF base≈231.6m ; Y1≈172.4m ; Y5≈101.2m
Fair Price DCF = 60.16 (EV 1.68b - Net Debt -368.4m = Equity 2.05b / Shares 34.1m; r=8.74% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -30.21% → 2.90% )
[DCF Warning] FCF declining rapidly (-30.21%), DCF may be unreliable
EPS Correlation: -95.92 | EPS CAGR: -32.87% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -87.23 | Revenue CAGR: -12.90% | SUE: -0.36 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.12 | Chg30d=-0.069 | Revisions Net=-3 | Analysts=14
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.29 | Chg30d=-0.184 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=+31.6% | Growth Revenue=+5.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=6.72 | Chg30d=-0.182 | Revisions Net=+5 | Growth EPS=+27.1% | Growth Revenue=+9.5%