(LSTR) Landstar System - Ratings and Ratios
Truckload, Intermodal, Air/Ocean, Brokerage, Insurance
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.51% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.92% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 4.91% |
| Payout Consistency | 90.3% |
| Payout Ratio | 33.3% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 28.1% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 43.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.73% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.84 |
| Alpha | -33.30 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.09 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.370 |
| Beta | 0.748 |
| Beta Downside | 0.604 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 38.75% |
| Mean DD | 14.00% |
| Median DD | 9.90% |
Description: LSTR Landstar System November 05, 2025
Landstar System, Inc. (NASDAQ:LSTR) operates a two-segment business model: Transportation Logistics, which delivers a full suite of truckload, LTL, rail-intermodal, air and ocean services across North America and internationally, and an Insurance segment that underwrites risk for its independent contractor fleet. The logistics arm serves a diversified customer base-including automotive, consumer durables, building products, metals, chemicals, food, heavy machinery, retail, electronics, and defense-while the insurance side provides claims management and reinsurance for those contractors.
Key operating metrics from the most recent 10-K (FY 2023) show revenue of roughly $5.0 billion, with the Transportation Logistics segment contributing about 90 % and the Insurance segment ~10 %. Adjusted EBITDA margin hovered near 6 %, reflecting the capital-light, asset-free model that relies on independent owner-operators. Volume growth was modest (+4 % YoY) despite a tight capacity market, and the company’s exposure to fuel price swings remains a primary cost driver. Macro-level, e-commerce expansion and sustained freight demand in the automotive and industrial sectors are the dominant tailwinds for the cargo-ground industry.
If you want a deeper, data-driven assessment-including scenario-based forecasts and valuation sensitivities-consider exploring the detailed models available on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income (137.3m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 287.4m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.12 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -4.01pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 13.07% (prev 14.89%; Δ -1.81pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 (>3.0%) and CFO 213.3m > Net Income 137.3m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-250.1m) to EBITDA (227.2m) ratio: -1.10 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.01 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (34.6m) change vs 12m ago -2.37% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 17.90% (prev 20.53%; Δ -2.62pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 280.1% (prev 274.8%; Δ 5.37pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 43.25 (EBITDA TTM 227.2m / Interest Expense TTM 4.13m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 12.82
| (A) 0.38 = (Total Current Assets 1.25b - Total Current Liabilities 619.1m) / Total Assets 1.66b |
| (B) 1.75 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.91b / Total Assets 1.66b |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: 1.75 — check mapping/units |
| (C) 0.10 = EBIT TTM 178.6m / Avg Total Assets 1.71b |
| (D) 3.75 = Book Value of Equity 2.90b / Total Liabilities 773.5m |
| Total Rating: 12.82 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 56.03
| 1. Piotroski 7.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.42% |
| 3. FCF Margin 4.15% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.14 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -1.10 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 4.89)% |
| 7. RoE 14.78% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -90.24% |
| 9. EPS Trend -95.67% |
What is the price of LSTR shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +7.39%, over one month by +9.51%, over three months by +8.23% and over the past year by -21.62%.
Is LSTR a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 16
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the LSTR price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 131 | -7.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 131 | -7.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 139.8 | -1.6% |
LSTR Fundamental Data Overview December 05, 2025
P/E Trailing = 34.2988
P/E Forward = 22.9885
P/S = 1.0043
P/B = 5.1101
P/EG = 2.0067
Beta = 0.852
Revenue TTM = 4.79b USD
EBIT TTM = 178.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 227.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 77.1m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 77.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 125.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -250.1m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 4.50b USD (4.81b + Debt 125.1m - CCE 434.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 43.25 (Ebit TTM 178.6m / Interest Expense TTM 4.13m)
FCF Yield = 4.42% (FCF TTM 198.9m / Enterprise Value 4.50b)
FCF Margin = 4.15% (FCF TTM 198.9m / Revenue TTM 4.79b)
Net Margin = 2.87% (Net Income TTM 137.3m / Revenue TTM 4.79b)
Gross Margin = 17.90% ((Revenue TTM 4.79b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.93b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 13.17% (prev 20.02%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.71 (Enterprise Value 4.50b / Total Assets 1.66b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.17% (Interest Expense 217.0k / Debt 125.1m)
Taxrate = 25.83% (6.75m / 26.1m)
NOPAT = 132.4m (EBIT 178.6m * (1 - 25.83%))
Current Ratio = 2.01 (Total Current Assets 1.25b / Total Current Liabilities 619.1m)
Debt / Equity = 0.14 (Debt 125.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 888.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.10 (Net Debt -250.1m / EBITDA 227.2m)
Debt / FCF = -1.26 (Net Debt -250.1m / FCF TTM 198.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 928.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.26% (Net Income 137.3m / Total Assets 1.66b)
RoE = 14.78% (Net Income TTM 137.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 928.4m)
RoCE = 17.76% (EBIT 178.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 928.4m + L.T.Debt 77.1m))
RoIC = 13.44% (NOPAT 132.4m / Invested Capital 985.1m)
WACC = 8.55% (E(4.81b)/V(4.94b) * Re(8.77%) + D(125.1m)/V(4.94b) * Rd(0.17%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 8.77% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.72%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.14% ; FCFE base≈231.6m ; Y1≈172.5m ; Y5≈101.5m
Fair Price DCF = 49.38 (DCF Value 1.70b / Shares Outstanding 34.3m; 5y FCF grow -30.21% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -95.67 | EPS CAGR: -21.26% | SUE: -0.69 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -90.24 | Revenue CAGR: -11.99% | SUE: 0.07 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.19 | Chg30d=-0.088 | Revisions Net=-4 | Analysts=10
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.43 | Chg30d=-0.502 | Revisions Net=-12 | Growth EPS=+20.3% | Growth Revenue=+5.2%
Additional Sources for LSTR Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle