(LUNR) Intuitive Machines - Ratings and Ratios
Lunar Lander, Payload Delivery, Data Services, Lunar Infrastructure
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 110% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 150% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -16.66% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.03 |
| Alpha | -66.66 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.459 |
| Beta | 2.714 |
| Beta Downside | 2.683 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 97.43% |
| Mean DD | 83.10% |
| Median DD | 89.87% |
Description: LUNR Intuitive Machines November 16, 2025
Intuitive Machines, Inc. (NASDAQ:LUNR) designs, builds, and operates a portfolio of space-based products and services in the United States, covering payload delivery (satellites, scientific instruments, cargo), rideshare missions, and lunar surface access, as well as data-transmission and autonomous-infrastructure capabilities that rely on AI-driven command, control, communications, reconnaissance, and prospecting.
The company’s flagship hardware includes the Nova-C lunar lander-flight-proven and scalable for the emerging lunar economy-Micro-Nova, a propulsive drone capable of landing, deploying, and hopping on the IM-2 mission, and Nova-D, a transport vehicle intended for critical payloads such as fission surface-power systems, lunar rovers, and terrain vehicles. Complementary services comprise a lunar data network for tracking and communications, supported by a constellation of dedicated satellites.
Intuitive Machines serves a mixed client base: U.S. government agencies (NASA, Department of Defense, national-security space programs, and state governments), commercial customers, and international partners seeking lunar-related capabilities.
Key recent metrics: FY 2023 revenue reached approximately $38 million, with cash and cash equivalents of about $210 million, giving the firm roughly 18 months of runway at current burn rates. In March 2024 the company secured a $140 million NASA contract to deliver multiple Nova-C landers under the Artemis program, positioning it to capture a share of the projected $5 billion lunar-economy market by 2030. The broader space-logistics sector is expected to grow at a CAGR of 7 % through 2034, driven by increased government funding for lunar exploration and rising commercial demand for rideshare and in-orbit servicing.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of LUNR’s valuation dynamics, you may find the analytical tools on ValueRay worth exploring.
LUNR Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 1,029m |
| Sub-Industry | Aerospace & Defense |
| IPO / Inception | 2021-11-17 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -44.1% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.0 of 5 |
LUNR Dividends
Currently no dividends paidLUNR Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | -1.93% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | -0.02 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | -0.02 |
| Current Volume | 4863.7k |
| Average Volume | 6281.5k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 1.0
| Net Income (-208.6m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 13.2m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 32.69pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 254.2% (prev 35.85%; Δ 218.3pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.01 (>3.0%) and CFO -8.99m > Net Income -208.6m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 6.28 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (117.8m) change vs 12m ago 47.08% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 22.68% (prev 0.80%; Δ 21.88pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 45.04% (prev 90.53%; Δ -45.49pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -22.19 (EBITDA TTM -58.0m / Interest Expense TTM 2.74m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.67
| (A) 0.74 = (Total Current Assets 666.0m - Total Current Liabilities 106.0m) / Total Assets 753.5m |
| (B) -0.49 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -370.7m / Total Assets 753.5m |
| (C) -0.12 = EBIT TTM -60.7m / Avg Total Assets 489.2m |
| (D) -0.73 = Book Value of Equity -370.6m / Total Liabilities 509.7m |
| Total Rating: 1.67 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 42.35
| 1. Piotroski 1.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -5.13% |
| 3. FCF Margin -18.11% |
| 4. Debt/Equity -0.93 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 4.32 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 3.34)% |
| 7. RoE 43.77% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 67.00% |
| 9. EPS Trend -19.75% |
What is the price of LUNR shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.84%, over one month by -26.58%, over three months by +5.98% and over the past year by -36.04%.
Is LUNR a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the LUNR price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 15.5 | 65.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 15.5 | 65.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 9.1 | -2.9% |
LUNR Fundamental Data Overview November 22, 2025
P/S = 4.6765
Beta = 1.418
Revenue TTM = 220.3m USD
EBIT TTM = -60.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = -58.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 334.8m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 6.29m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 371.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -250.7m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 777.8m USD (1.03b + Debt 371.2m - CCE 622.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -22.19 (Ebit TTM -60.7m / Interest Expense TTM 2.74m)
FCF Yield = -5.13% (FCF TTM -39.9m / Enterprise Value 777.8m)
FCF Margin = -18.11% (FCF TTM -39.9m / Revenue TTM 220.3m)
Net Margin = -94.70% (Net Income TTM -208.6m / Revenue TTM 220.3m)
Gross Margin = 22.68% ((Revenue TTM 220.3m - Cost of Revenue TTM 170.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 21.75% (prev -23.54%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.03 (Enterprise Value 777.8m / Total Assets 753.5m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.36% (Interest Expense 1.34m / Debt 371.2m)
Taxrate = 0.05% (-5000 / -9.96m)
NOPAT = -60.7m (EBIT -60.7m * (1 - 0.05%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 6.28 (Total Current Assets 666.0m / Total Current Liabilities 106.0m)
Debt / Equity = -0.93 (negative equity) (Debt 371.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -397.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.32 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -250.7m / EBITDA -58.0m)
Debt / FCF = 6.28 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -250.7m / FCF TTM -39.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -476.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -27.69% (Net Income -208.6m / Total Assets 753.5m)
RoE = 43.77% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM -208.6m / Total Stockholder Equity -476.7m)
RoCE = 42.81% (negative capital employed) (EBIT -60.7m / Capital Employed (Equity -476.7m + L.T.Debt 334.8m))
RoIC = 15.20% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -60.7m / Invested Capital -399.2m)
WACC = 11.87% (E(1.03b)/V(1.40b) * Re(16.02%) + D(371.2m)/V(1.40b) * Rd(0.36%) * (1-Tc(0.00)))
Discount Rate = 16.02% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 136.7%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -39.9m)
EPS Correlation: -19.75 | EPS CAGR: -1.29% | SUE: -0.03 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 67.00 | Revenue CAGR: 12.44% | SUE: 0.00 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for LUNR Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle