LUNR Stock Analysis: Intuitive Machines | NASDAQ

Lunar Landers, Hopping Drones, Payload Transport, Data Networks

Total Rating 13

Safety 31

Buy Signal -0.49

Aerospace & Defense
Industry Rotation: +10.0

Market Cap: 2.10B
Avg Turnover: 125M

Risk 3d forecast

Volatility111%

VaR 5^th Pctl17.1%

VaR vs Median-6.15%

Reward TTM

Sharpe Ratio0.94

Rel. Str. IBD46.6

Rel. Str. Peer Group50

Character TTM

Beta4.765

Beta Downside3.779

Hurst Exponent0.466

Drawdowns 3y

Max DD75.15%

CAGR/Max DD0.33

CAGR/Mean DD0.56

EPS (Earnings per Share)

Last SUE: 0.01
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 60.63%
Rev. Trend: 91.5%

Last SUE: -1.83
Qual. Beats: -2

Warnings

Negative Equity With Losses

Strong Share Dilution

Interest Coverage Ratio Critical

Beneish M-Score Likely Earnings Manipulation

Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone

Extended 1w

Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

Confidence

Seasonality

Not enough history

Description: LUNR Intuitive Machines

Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) is a U.S.-based space infrastructure and services company headquartered in Houston, Texas, founded in 2013. The company provides three main service categories: payload delivery and rideshare services to destinations in space, including the lunar surface; data transmission services that use AI for command, control, communications, reconnaissance, and prospecting; and infrastructure-as-a-service solutions covering navigation, maintenance, scientific data collection, and system health monitoring.

The company develops a family of lunar landers and mobility vehicles, including the Nova-C lunar lander, the Micro Nova Hopper (a propulsive drone designed to hop across the lunar surface), and the Nova-D, which is built to transport larger payloads such as fission surface power systems, lunar terrain vehicles, and rovers. The company also operates a lunar data network and serves U.S. government customers (including NASA, national security space, the Department of Defense, and state governments) as well as commercial and international clients.

LUNR is listed on NASDAQ and operates within the Aerospace & Defense sub-industry of the Industrials sector, a segment that has seen increased demand driven by both government lunar programs and the growth of the commercial space economy. The companys business model combines hardware development (landers and rovers) with recurring service revenue from data transmission, payload delivery, and infrastructure offerings, positioning it across multiple points of the emerging lunar supply chain.

Headlines to Watch Out For

NASA contract wins dominate backlog and revenue mix
Nova-C lander mission success drives stock momentum
Competition from SpaceX pressures lunar payload pricing

Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 2.0

Net Income: -123.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.48 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 26.87% < 20% (prev 153.2%; Δ -126.3% < -1%)
CFO/TA -0.05 > 3% & CFO -88.5m > Net Income -123.0m
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 1.22 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (147.9m) vs 12m ago 38.10% < -2%
Gross Margin: 25.70% > 18% (prev 17.86%; Δ 7.85% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 30.14% > 50% (prev 43.49%; Δ -13.35% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -35.29 > 6 (EBIT TTM -147.4m / Interest Expense TTM 4.18m)

Altman Z'' -1.47

A: 0.05 (Total Current Assets 505.3m - Total Current Liabilities 415.5m) / Total Assets 1.72b
B: -0.18 (Retained Earnings -300.8m / Total Assets 1.72b)
C: -0.13 (EBIT TTM -147.4m / Avg Total Assets 1.11b)
D: -0.33 (Book Value of Equity -327.5m / Total Liabilities 986.8m)
Altman-Z'' = -1.47 = CCC

Beneish M 1.00

DSRI: 2.42 (Receivables 153.8m/41.4m, Revenue 334.3m/217.5m)
GMI: 0.69 (GM 17.86% / 25.70%)
AQI: 455.9 (AQ_t 0.53 / AQ_t-1 0.00)
SGI: 1.54 (Revenue 334.3m / 217.5m)
TATA: -0.02 (NI -123.0m - CFO -88.5m) / TA 1.72b)
Beneish M = 268.0 (Cap -4..+1) = D

What is the price of LUNR shares?

As of August 08, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 16.40 with a total of 11,759,341 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +32.90%, over one month by -8.12%, over three months by -31.98% and over the past year by +63.18%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 14.70 (which is 10.4% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).

Is LUNR a buy, sell or hold?

Intuitive Machines has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy LUNR.

StrongBuy: 4
Buy: 1
Hold: 2
Sell: 1
StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the LUNR price?

Analysts Target Price	39.2	139.1%

Intuitive Machines (LUNR) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 05 August 2026

Market Cap USD = 2.10b (2.10b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 3333.3333
P/S = 6.2882
Revenue TTM = 334.3m USD
EBIT TTM = -147.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = -131.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 335.8m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 27.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 516.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 90.5m
Net Debt = 285.3m USD (calculated: Debt 516.9m - CCE 231.6m)
Enterprise Value = 2.39b USD (2.10b + Debt 516.9m - CCE 231.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -35.29 (Ebit TTM -147.4m / Interest Expense TTM 4.18m)
EV/FCF = -17.82x (Enterprise Value 2.39b / FCF TTM -134.0m)
FCF Yield = -5.61% (FCF TTM -134.0m / Enterprise Value 2.39b)
FCF Margin = -40.07% (FCF TTM -134.0m / Revenue TTM 334.3m)
Net Margin = -36.80% (Net Income TTM -123.0m / Revenue TTM 334.3m)
Gross Margin = 25.70% ((Revenue TTM 334.3m - Cost of Revenue TTM 248.3m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 39.00% (prev 30.24%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.39 (Enterprise Value 2.39b / Total Assets 1.72b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.81% (Interest Expense 4.18m / Debt 516.9m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -116.5m (EBIT -147.4m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.22 (Total Current Assets 505.3m / Total Current Liabilities 415.5m)
Debt / Equity = -1.58 (negative equity) (Debt 516.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -327.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = -2.17 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 285.3m / EBITDA -131.4m)
Debt / FCF = -2.13 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 285.3m / FCF TTM -134.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -462.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -11.09% (Net Income -123.0m / Total Assets 1.72b)
RoE = 26.62% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM -123.0m / Total Stockholder Equity -462.1m)
RoCE = 116.7% (negative capital employed) (EBIT -147.4m / Capital Employed (Equity -462.1m + L.T.Debt 335.8m))
RoIC = -8.87% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -116.5m / Invested Capital 1.31b)
WACC = 18.38% (E(2.10b)/V(2.62b) * Re(22.74%) + D(516.9m)/V(2.62b) * Rd(0.81%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 22.74% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 96.47 | Cagr: 137.9%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -134.0m)
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.01 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 91.45 | Revenue CAGR: 60.63% | SUE: -1.83 | # QB: -2
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=-0.07 | Chg30d=+19.26% | Revisions=-50% | Analysts=2
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.06 | Chg30d=+18.14% | Revisions=-40% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.22 | Chg30d=+41.33% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+45.1% | GrowthRev=+352.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-0.05 | Chg30d=+58.33% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+77.3% | GrowthRev=+21.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -62% (up=0, down=5)