LUNR Stock Analysis: Intuitive Machines | NASDAQ

Lunar Landers, Hopping Drones, Payload Transport, Data Networks

Total Rating 18

Safety 32

Buy Signal -1.64

Aerospace & Defense
Industry Rotation: -11.5

Market Cap: 2.47B
Avg Turnover: 140M

Risk 3d forecast

Volatility78.1%

VaR 5^th Pctl12.0%

VaR vs Median-6.69%

Reward TTM

Sharpe Ratio1.00

Rel. Str. IBD16.5

Rel. Str. Peer Group41.4

Character TTM

Beta4.549

Beta Downside3.926

Hurst Exponent0.512

Drawdowns 3y

Max DD75.08%

CAGR/Max DD0.65

CAGR/Mean DD1.22

EPS (Earnings per Share)

Last SUE: -0.45
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 67.82%
Rev. Trend: 91.5%

Last SUE: -1.66
Qual. Beats: -3

Warnings

Negative Equity With Losses

Strong Share Dilution

Interest Coverage Ratio Critical

Beneish M-Score Likely Earnings Manipulation

Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone

Choppy

Below Avwap Earnings

Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 4.8 years of data

Jan +6.8% 39

Feb +20.9% 0

Mar -26.5% 0

Apr -6.6% 20

May +11.0% 21

Jun -23.2% 23

Jul -2.4% 0

Aug -10.6% 0

Sep +12.8% 12

Oct -4.3% 13

Nov +2.0% 18

Dec +0.4% 18

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: LUNR Intuitive Machines

Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) is a U.S.-based space infrastructure and services company headquartered in Houston, Texas, founded in 2013. The company provides three main service categories: payload delivery and rideshare services to destinations in space, including the lunar surface; data transmission services that use AI for command, control, communications, reconnaissance, and prospecting; and infrastructure-as-a-service solutions covering navigation, maintenance, scientific data collection, and system health monitoring.

The company develops a family of lunar landers and mobility vehicles, including the Nova-C lunar lander, the Micro Nova Hopper (a propulsive drone designed to hop across the lunar surface), and the Nova-D, which is built to transport larger payloads such as fission surface power systems, lunar terrain vehicles, and rovers. The company also operates a lunar data network and serves U.S. government customers (including NASA, national security space, the Department of Defense, and state governments) as well as commercial and international clients.

LUNR is listed on NASDAQ and operates within the Aerospace & Defense sub-industry of the Industrials sector, a segment that has seen increased demand driven by both government lunar programs and the growth of the commercial space economy. The companys business model combines hardware development (landers and rovers) with recurring service revenue from data transmission, payload delivery, and infrastructure offerings, positioning it across multiple points of the emerging lunar supply chain.

Headlines to Watch Out For

NASA contract wins dominate backlog and revenue mix
Nova-C lander mission success drives stock momentum
Competition from SpaceX pressures lunar payload pricing

Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 1.5

Net Income: -130.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.10 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.64 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 53.66% < 20% (prev 127.9%; Δ -74.22% < -1%)
CFO/TA -0.07 > 3% & CFO -129.0m > Net Income -130.9m
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 1.66 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (162.2m) vs 12m ago 51.45% < -2%
Gross Margin: 27.26% > 18% (prev 18.86%; Δ 8.41% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 41.48% > 50% (prev 47.59%; Δ -6.11% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -12.46 > 6 (EBIT TTM -167.6m / Interest Expense TTM 13.4m)

Altman Z'' -0.62

A: 0.14 (Total Current Assets 662.8m - Total Current Liabilities 399.8m) / Total Assets 1.89b
B: -0.14 (Retained Earnings -257.1m / Total Assets 1.89b)
C: -0.14 (EBIT TTM -167.6m / Avg Total Assets 1.18b)
D: -0.13 (Book Value of Equity -283.7m / Total Liabilities 2.17b)
Altman-Z'' = -0.62 = B

Beneish M 1.00

DSRI: 1.32 (Receivables 119.7m/42.0m, Revenue 490.1m/226.4m)
GMI: 0.69 (GM 18.86% / 27.26%)
AQI: 440.9 (AQ_t 0.47 / AQ_t-1 0.00)
SGI: 2.17 (Revenue 490.1m / 226.4m)
TATA: -0.00 (NI -130.9m - CFO -129.0m) / TA 1.89b)
Beneish M = 258.7 (Cap -4..+1) = D

What is the price of LUNR shares?

As of September 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 14.81 with a total of 4,489,008 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.64%, over one month by +6.09%, over three months by -55.96% and over the past year by +75.89%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 13.40 (which is 9.5% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).

Is LUNR a buy, sell or hold?

Intuitive Machines has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy LUNR.

StrongBuy: 4
Buy: 1
Hold: 2
Sell: 1
StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the LUNR price?

Analysts Target Price	29.3	97.5%

Intuitive Machines (LUNR) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 07 September 2026

Market Cap USD = 2.47b (2.47b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 3333.3333
P/S = 5.0317
Revenue TTM = 490.1m USD
EBIT TTM = -167.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = -77.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 335.3m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 25.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 520.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 90.5m
Net Debt = 153.0m USD (calculated: Debt 520.3m - CCE 367.4m)
Enterprise Value = 2.62b USD (2.47b + Debt 520.3m - CCE 367.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -12.46 (Ebit TTM -167.6m / Interest Expense TTM 13.4m)
EV/FCF = -13.75x (Enterprise Value 2.62b / FCF TTM -190.5m)
FCF Yield = -7.27% (FCF TTM -190.5m / Enterprise Value 2.62b)
FCF Margin = -38.87% (FCF TTM -190.5m / Revenue TTM 490.1m)
Net Margin = -26.70% (Net Income TTM -130.9m / Revenue TTM 490.1m)
Gross Margin = 27.26% ((Revenue TTM 490.1m - Cost of Revenue TTM 356.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 17.40% (prev 39.00%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.39 (Enterprise Value 2.62b / Total Assets 1.89b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.58% (Interest Expense 13.4m / Debt 520.3m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -132.4m (EBIT -167.6m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.66 (Total Current Assets 662.8m / Total Current Liabilities 399.8m)
Debt / Equity = -1.83 (negative equity) (Debt 520.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -283.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.99 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 153.0m / EBITDA -77.0m)
Debt / FCF = -0.80 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 153.0m / FCF TTM -190.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -439.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -11.08% (Net Income -130.9m / Total Assets 1.89b)
RoE = 29.79% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM -130.9m / Total Stockholder Equity -439.3m)
RoCE = 161.1% (negative capital employed) (EBIT -167.6m / Capital Employed (Equity -439.3m + L.T.Debt 335.3m))
RoIC = -8.90% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -132.4m / Invested Capital 1.49b)
WACC = 18.51% (E(2.47b)/V(2.99b) * Re(21.98%) + D(520.3m)/V(2.99b) * Rd(2.58%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 21.98% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 96.51 | Cagr: 93.76%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -190.5m)
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -0.45 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 91.54 | Revenue CAGR: 67.82% | SUE: -1.66 | # QB: -3
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.11 | Chg30d=-79.17% | Revisions=-40% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.52 | Chg30d=-136.36% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=-29.7% | GrowthRev=+336.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-0.15 | Chg30d=-210.00% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+70.2% | GrowthRev=+28.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -40% (up=0, down=2)