MDB Stock Analysis: MongoDB | NASDAQ

Software - Infrastructure | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 28.791m USD | 12M Return: 11.6% | US60937P1066 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Cloud Database, Enterprise Server, Open-Source Edition, Consulting
Total Rating 55
Safety 87
Buy Signal 0.02
Software - Infrastructure
Industry Rotation: +10.6
Market Cap: 28.8B
Avg Turnover: 805M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility65.6%
VaR 5th Pctl9.27%
VaR vs Median-10.5%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.45
Rel. Str. IBD58.4
Rel. Str. Peer Group37.5
Character TTM
Beta2.311
Beta Downside2.738
Hurst Exponent0.433
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD70.88%
CAGR/Max DD0.00
CAGR/Mean DD0.00
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of MDB over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-10": -0.11, "2022-01": -0.09, "2022-04": 0.2, "2022-07": -0.23, "2022-10": 0.23, "2023-01": 0.57, "2023-04": 0.56, "2023-07": 0.93, "2023-10": 0.96, "2024-01": 0.86, "2024-04": 0.51, "2024-07": 0.7, "2024-10": 1.16, "2025-01": 1.28, "2025-04": 1, "2025-07": 1, "2025-10": 1.32, "2026-01": 1.65, "2026-04": -0.45, "2026-07": 0.54,
EPS CAGR: 10.01%
EPS Trend: 48.7%
Last SUE: 1.92
Qual. Beats: 1
Revenue Revenue of MDB over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-10: 226.893, 2022-01: 266.494, 2022-04: 285.447, 2022-07: 303.66, 2022-10: 333.621, 2023-01: 361.312, 2023-04: 368.28, 2023-07: 423.791, 2023-10: 432.938, 2024-01: 458.002, 2024-04: 450.561, 2024-07: 478.109, 2024-10: 529.375, 2025-01: 548.398, 2025-04: 549.014, 2025-07: 591.402, 2025-10: 628.309, 2026-01: 695.072, 2026-04: 687.616, 2026-07: 771.773,
Rev. CAGR: 21.86%
Rev. Trend: 99.8%
Last SUE: 4.00
Qual. Beats: 16

Warnings

P/E Ratio 497.2
Fakeout
Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

Confidence

Seasonality 8.9 years of data

Jan +0.9% 11
Feb -2.7% 19
Mar -14.8% 16
Apr -0.6% 17
May +2.7% 2
Jun +6.8% 20
Jul +0.0% 5
Aug +3.8% 27
Sep -7.3% 43
Oct -0.9% 15
Nov +2.0% 0
Dec -1.8% 0

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: MDB MongoDB

MongoDB, Inc. (NASDAQ: MDB) is a U.S.-based software company that provides a general purpose database platform used by developers and enterprises worldwide. The company was incorporated in 2007 (originally as 10gen) and is headquartered in New York, NY, with its 2017 IPO listing it in the large-cap range.

Its product lineup centers on a freemium, open-source business model: Community Server is free-to-download and serves as the on-ramp for developers; MongoDB Enterprise Advanced is the paid, commercially supported database server for on-premises, cloud, or hybrid deployments; and MongoDB Atlas is the hosted multi-cloud Database-as-a-Service (DBaaS) offering. The company also generates revenue from professional services such as consulting and training.

As part of the Information Technology sector (Internet Services & Infrastructure sub-industry), MongoDB operates in the competitive data management and cloud services market, where its document-based NoSQL database and multi-cloud Atlas deployment are positioned as alternatives to traditional relational database systems. Customers are able to run Atlas across major public cloud providers, reflecting a multi-cloud approach that distinguishes it from single-cloud-platform vendors.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Atlas cloud revenue growth outpaces on-premise decline
  • AI workload adoption boosts MongoDB Atlas consumption
  • Competition from Snowflake and AWS intensifies in database market
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 6.0
Net Income: 58.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.18 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 10.89 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 89.25% < 20% (prev 108.0%; Δ -18.71% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.18 > 3% & CFO 674.9m > Net Income 58.9m
Net Debt (-2.38b) to EBITDA (112.2m): -21.23 < 3
Current Ratio: 4.87 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (82.0m) vs 12m ago 1.13% < -2%
Gross Margin: 72.69% > 18% (prev 72.33%; Δ 0.36% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 76.03% > 50% (prev 62.62%; Δ 13.41% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 27.69 > 6 (EBIT TTM 77.3m / Interest Expense TTM 2.79m)
Altman Z'' 6.77
A: 0.66 (Total Current Assets 3.13b - Total Current Liabilities 642.4m) / Total Assets 3.78b
B: -0.49 (Retained Earnings -1.87b / Total Assets 3.78b)
C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 77.3m / Avg Total Assets 3.66b)
D: 3.74 (Book Value of Equity 2.98b / Total Liabilities 797.7m)
Altman-Z'' = 6.77 = AAA
Beneish M -2.84
DSRI: 1.04 (Receivables 458.2m/349.7m, Revenue 2.78b/2.22b)
GMI: 1.00 (GM 72.33% / 72.69%)
AQI: 0.98 (AQ_t 0.16 / AQ_t-1 0.16)
SGI: 1.25 (Revenue 2.78b / 2.22b)
TATA: -0.16 (NI 58.9m - CFO 674.9m) / TA 3.78b)
Beneish M = -2.84 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of MDB shares?

As of October 06, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 359.23 with a total of 2,943,019 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +7.34%, over one month by +0.91%, over three months by +0.37% and over the past year by +11.59%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 326.10 (which is 9.2% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).

Is MDB a buy, sell or hold?

MongoDB has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.37. Therefore, it is recommended to buy MDB.

  • StrongBuy: 24
  • Buy: 8
  • Hold: 9
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the MDB price?
Analysts Target Price 446.5 24.3%
MongoDB (MDB) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 05 October 2026
Market Cap USD = 28.8b (28.8b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 497.1666
P/E Forward = 70.4225
P/S = 10.3463
P/B = 11.5796
P/EG = 1.6716
Revenue TTM = 2.78b USD
EBIT TTM = 77.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 112.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 19.2m USD (estimated: total debt 28.6m - short term 9.37m)
Short Term Debt = 9.37m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 28.6m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 28.6m already included)
Net Debt = -2.38b USD (calculated: Debt 28.6m - CCE 2.41b)
Enterprise Value = 26.4b USD (28.8b + Debt 28.6m - CCE 2.41b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 27.69 (Ebit TTM 77.3m / Interest Expense TTM 2.79m)
EV/FCF = 39.57x (Enterprise Value 26.4b / FCF TTM 667.3m)
FCF Yield = 2.53% (FCF TTM 667.3m / Enterprise Value 26.4b)
FCF Margin = 23.98% (FCF TTM 667.3m / Revenue TTM 2.78b)
Net Margin = 2.12% (Net Income TTM 58.9m / Revenue TTM 2.78b)
Gross Margin = 72.69% ((Revenue TTM 2.78b - Cost of Revenue TTM 760.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 73.83% (prev 72.16%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 6.99 (Enterprise Value 26.4b / Total Assets 3.78b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 9.76% (Interest Expense 2.79m / Debt 28.6m)
Taxrate = 21.98% (16.6m / 75.5m)
NOPAT = 60.3m (EBIT 77.3m * (1 - 21.98%))
Current Ratio = 4.87 (Total Current Assets 3.13b / Total Current Liabilities 642.4m)
Debt / Equity = 0.01 (Debt 28.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.98b)
Debt / EBITDA = -21.23 (Net Debt -2.38b / EBITDA 112.2m)
Debt / FCF = -3.57 (Net Debt -2.38b / FCF TTM 667.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.94b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.61% (Net Income 58.9m / Total Assets 3.78b)
RoE = 2.00% (Net Income TTM 58.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.94b)
RoCE = 2.61% (EBIT 77.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.94b + L.T.Debt 19.2m))
RoIC = 2.01% (NOPAT 60.3m / Invested Capital 3.01b)
WACC = 14.10% (E(28.8b)/V(28.8b) * Re(14.11%) + D(28.6m)/V(28.8b) * Rd(9.76%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 14.11% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 73.84 | Cagr: 5.31%
[DCF] Terminal Value 61.65% ; FCFF base≈496.4m ; Y1≈569.0m ; Y5≈837.4m
[DCF] Fair Price = 106.8 (EV 6.20b - Net Debt -2.38b = Equity 8.59b / Shares 80.4m; r=14.10% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 48.68 | EPS CAGR: 10.01% | SUE: 1.92 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 99.81 | Revenue CAGR: 21.86% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 16
EPS current Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=1.61 | Chg30d=+0.30% | Revisions=+75% | Analysts=35
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=6.55 | Chg30d=+0.13% | Revisions=+85% | GrowthEPS=+31.9% | GrowthRev=+22.9%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=7.86 | Chg30d=+1.25% | Revisions=+87% | GrowthEPS=+19.9% | GrowthRev=+18.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +87% (up=94, down=5)