(MNRO) Monro Muffler Brake - Overview
Stock: Tires, Brakes, Exhaust, Alignment, Maintenance
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 6.38% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.15% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 3.39% |
| Payout Consistency | 98.1% |
| Payout Ratio | 1.6% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 43.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.80% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.45 |
| Alpha | 4.40 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.723 |
| Beta Downside | 0.364 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 75.78% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.31 |
Description: MNRO Monro Muffler Brake December 28, 2025
Monro, Inc. (NASDAQ: MNRO) operates a network of retail tire and automotive service centers across the United States, offering tire sales, brake and exhaust repairs, suspension work, and routine maintenance for passenger cars, light trucks, and vans. Its storefronts trade under multiple brands, including Monro Auto Service, Mr. Tire, Car-X, and Tire Barn Warehouse, reflecting a multi-banner strategy that targets both price-sensitive and convenience-oriented customers.
In its most recent fiscal year (2023), Monro reported revenue of approximately $2.4 billion, with comparable-store sales increasing about 5 percent year-over-year and an adjusted EBITDA margin near 7 percent-both modestly above the historical industry average. The company’s capital allocation plan emphasizes incremental store openings (≈ 30 new locations in 2023) and a focus on higher-margin service lanes, which together drive earnings per share growth of roughly 12 percent on a diluted basis.
Key economic drivers for Monro include the aging U.S. vehicle fleet-over 115 million light vehicles are 10 years or older, creating steady demand for replacement tires and repair services-and consumer discretionary spending trends, which are sensitive to interest-rate movements and employment levels. On a sector level, the “tire-replacement cycle” of roughly 50,000 miles per set and rising vehicle-miles-traveled (VMT) post-pandemic support a resilient revenue base for automotive retail chains.
For a deeper, data-rich assessment of Monro’s valuation metrics and peer comparison, you might explore the analyst tools on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income: -12.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.06 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -23.30% < 20% (prev -19.34%; Δ -3.96% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 77.1m > Net Income -12.5m |
| Net Debt (480.8m) to EBITDA (64.8m): 7.42 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.45 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (31.4m) vs 12m ago 0.42% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 34.77% > 18% (prev 0.36%; Δ 3441 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 72.74% > 50% (prev 72.48%; Δ 0.26% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.09 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 64.8m / Interest Expense TTM 17.6m) |
Altman Z'' 0.75
| A: -0.17 (Total Current Assets 228.8m - Total Current Liabilities 503.3m) / Total Assets 1.57b |
| B: 0.38 (Retained Earnings 597.2m / Total Assets 1.57b) |
| C: 0.00 (EBIT TTM 1.64m / Avg Total Assets 1.62b) |
| D: 0.62 (Book Value of Equity 594.2m / Total Liabilities 965.0m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 0.75 = B |
Beneish M -2.94
| DSRI: 1.13 (Receivables 16.1m/14.7m, Revenue 1.18b/1.21b) |
| GMI: 1.02 (GM 34.77% / 35.56%) |
| AQI: 1.06 (AQ_t 0.49 / AQ_t-1 0.46) |
| SGI: 0.97 (Revenue 1.18b / 1.21b) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI -12.5m - CFO 77.1m) / TA 1.57b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.94 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of MNRO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +12.18%, over one month by +2.74%, over three months by +22.30% and over the past year by +13.42%.
Is MNRO a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the MNRO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 20.8 | -0.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 20.8 | -0.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 20.8 | -1.2% |
MNRO Fundamental Data Overview January 31, 2026
P/S = 0.482
P/B = 0.9424
P/EG = 2.0544
Revenue TTM = 1.18b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.64m USD
EBITDA TTM = 64.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 45.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 76.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 485.8m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 480.8m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.05b USD (568.0m + Debt 485.8m - CCE 4.91m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.09 (Ebit TTM 1.64m / Interest Expense TTM 17.6m)
EV/FCF = 21.13x (Enterprise Value 1.05b / FCF TTM 49.6m)
FCF Yield = 4.73% (FCF TTM 49.6m / Enterprise Value 1.05b)
FCF Margin = 4.21% (FCF TTM 49.6m / Revenue TTM 1.18b)
Net Margin = -1.06% (Net Income TTM -12.5m / Revenue TTM 1.18b)
Gross Margin = 34.77% ((Revenue TTM 1.18b - Cost of Revenue TTM 768.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 34.89% (prev 35.69%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.67 (Enterprise Value 1.05b / Total Assets 1.57b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.83% (Interest Expense 4.04m / Debt 485.8m)
Taxrate = 23.60% (3.44m / 14.6m)
NOPAT = 1.25m (EBIT 1.64m * (1 - 23.60%))
Current Ratio = 0.45 (Total Current Assets 228.8m / Total Current Liabilities 503.3m)
Debt / Equity = 0.80 (Debt 485.8m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 604.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = 7.42 (Net Debt 480.8m / EBITDA 64.8m)
Debt / FCF = 9.69 (Net Debt 480.8m / FCF TTM 49.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 608.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -0.77% (Net Income -12.5m / Total Assets 1.57b)
RoE = -2.06% (Net Income TTM -12.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 608.1m)
RoCE = 0.25% (EBIT 1.64m / Capital Employed (Equity 608.1m + L.T.Debt 45.0m))
RoIC = 0.19% (NOPAT 1.25m / Invested Capital 667.5m)
WACC = 4.92% (E(568.0m)/V(1.05b) * Re(8.58%) + D(485.8m)/V(1.05b) * Rd(0.83%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 8.58% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -1.23%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 83.73% ; FCFF base≈58.0m ; Y1≈46.2m ; Y5≈31.1m
Fair Price DCF = 15.84 (EV 956.4m - Net Debt 480.8m = Equity 475.5m / Shares 30.0m; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -24.25% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -52.94 | EPS CAGR: -5.78% | SUE: 0.14 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -89.50 | Revenue CAGR: -2.93% | SUE: -0.30 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.23 | Chg30d=+0.018 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2027-03-31): EPS=0.71 | Chg30d=+0.012 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+27.9% | Growth Revenue=+1.6%