(NFLX) Netflix - Overview
Stock: Tv Series, Films, Games
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 31.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.63% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.61 |
| Alpha | -31.63 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.765 |
| Beta Downside | 0.752 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 40.30% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.83 |
Description: NFLX Netflix January 26, 2026
Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ: NFLX) is a U.S.–based entertainment-streaming company that delivers TV series, documentaries, feature films and interactive games in multiple languages to members via internet-connected devices. The service is available in roughly 190 countries, and the firm has been publicly traded since its 1997 incorporation, with headquarters in Los Gatos, California.
As of the Q4 2025 earnings release (May 2025), Netflix reported 236 million total paid memberships, a 2.8 % year-over-year increase driven primarily by growth in its ad-supported tier (which added 7.1 million new users). Monthly average revenue per paying user (ARPU) rose to $15.21, up 3.4 % YoY, reflecting higher ad-tier pricing and modest price hikes on the premium tier. Free cash flow for the quarter was $2.1 billion, a 12 % improvement over Q4 2024, indicating better cost discipline after the 2023-24 content-spending surge.
Key sector drivers affecting Netflix’s outlook include: (1) the continued shift toward hybrid subscription-plus-advertising models across the streaming industry, which is expanding total addressable market size by an estimated 5 % annually; (2) intensifying competition from both global players (e.g., Disney+, Amazon Prime Video) and region-specific services, pressuring churn rates that have stabilized around 2.1 % per month; and (3) macro-economic headwinds such as slower discretionary spending in major markets, which historically correlate with a 0.5 % dip in subscriber growth for every 1 % decline in U.S. consumer confidence.
For a deeper quantitative dive into Netflix’s valuation dynamics, consider exploring the analytics on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 9.0
| Net Income: 10.85b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.16 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.69 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 4.46% < 20% (prev 6.01%; Δ -1.55% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.31 > 3% & CFO 17.47b > Net Income 10.85b |
| Net Debt (5.43b) to EBITDA (22.83b): 0.24 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.19 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (4.22b) vs 12m ago -3.56% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 48.31% > 18% (prev 0.46%; Δ 4785 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 83.72% > 50% (prev 72.72%; Δ 11.00% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 12.17 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 22.83b / Interest Expense TTM 835.6m) |
Altman Z'' 5.77
| A: 0.04 (Total Current Assets 13.02b - Total Current Liabilities 10.98b) / Total Assets 55.60b |
| B: 0.76 (Retained Earnings 42.28b / Total Assets 55.60b) |
| C: 0.19 (EBIT TTM 10.17b / Avg Total Assets 54.61b) |
| D: 1.71 (Book Value of Equity 49.57b / Total Liabilities 28.98b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 5.77 = AAA |
Beneish M -3.17
| DSRI: 0.87 (Receivables 2.03b/1.99b, Revenue 45.72b/39.00b) |
| GMI: 0.95 (GM 48.31% / 46.06%) |
| AQI: 1.01 (AQ_t 0.73 / AQ_t-1 0.73) |
| SGI: 1.17 (Revenue 45.72b / 39.00b) |
| TATA: -0.12 (NI 10.85b - CFO 17.47b) / TA 55.60b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.17 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of NFLX shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.55%, over one month by -9.32%, over three months by -25.07% and over the past year by -19.07%.
Is NFLX a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 25
- Buy: 7
- Hold: 16
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the NFLX price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 111.8 | 36.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 111.8 | 36.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 88.8 | 8.1% |
NFLX Fundamental Data Overview February 07, 2026
P/E Forward = 25.3807
P/S = 7.5923
P/B = 12.7162
P/EG = 1.6995
Revenue TTM = 45.72b USD
EBIT TTM = 10.17b USD
EBITDA TTM = 22.83b USD
Long Term Debt = 13.46b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 998.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 14.46b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = 5.43b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 353.68b USD (343.04b + Debt 14.46b - CCE 3.82b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 12.17 (Ebit TTM 10.17b / Interest Expense TTM 835.6m)
EV/FCF = 40.78x (Enterprise Value 353.68b / FCF TTM 8.67b)
FCF Yield = 2.45% (FCF TTM 8.67b / Enterprise Value 353.68b)
FCF Margin = 18.97% (FCF TTM 8.67b / Revenue TTM 45.72b)
Net Margin = 23.74% (Net Income TTM 10.85b / Revenue TTM 45.72b)
Gross Margin = 48.31% ((Revenue TTM 45.72b - Cost of Revenue TTM 23.63b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 45.87% (prev 45.87%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 6.36 (Enterprise Value 353.68b / Total Assets 55.60b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.62% (Interest Expense 234.4m / Debt 14.46b)
Taxrate = 12.62% (349.2m / 2.77b)
NOPAT = 8.89b (EBIT 10.17b * (1 - 12.62%))
Current Ratio = 1.19 (Total Current Assets 13.02b / Total Current Liabilities 10.98b)
Debt / Equity = 0.54 (Debt 14.46b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 26.62b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.24 (Net Debt 5.43b / EBITDA 22.83b)
Debt / FCF = 0.63 (Net Debt 5.43b / FCF TTM 8.67b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 25.39b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 19.87% (Net Income 10.85b / Total Assets 55.60b)
RoE = 42.75% (Net Income TTM 10.85b / Total Stockholder Equity 25.39b)
RoCE = 26.17% (EBIT 10.17b / Capital Employed (Equity 25.39b + L.T.Debt 13.46b))
RoIC = 22.22% (NOPAT 8.89b / Invested Capital 39.99b)
WACC = 8.43% (E(343.04b)/V(357.50b) * Re(8.73%) + D(14.46b)/V(357.50b) * Rd(1.62%) * (1-Tc(0.13)))
Discount Rate = 8.73% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.08%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 79.86% ; FCFF base≈7.97b ; Y1≈9.83b ; Y5≈16.75b
Fair Price DCF = 60.11 (EV 260.13b - Net Debt 5.43b = Equity 254.70b / Shares 4.24b; r=8.43% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 48.52 | EPS CAGR: 13.35% | SUE: 0.17 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 97.37 | Revenue CAGR: 12.04% | SUE: 0.34 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.76 | Chg30d=-0.046 | Revisions Net=-14 | Analysts=30
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.12 | Chg30d=-0.116 | Revisions Net=-23 | Growth EPS=+23.4% | Growth Revenue=+13.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.82 | Chg30d=-0.095 | Revisions Net=-12 | Growth EPS=+22.2% | Growth Revenue=+11.6%