(NTNX) Nutanix - Overview
Stock: Hyperconverged, Cloud Platform, Storage, Kubernetes, Database
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 47.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -10.2% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -1.05 |
| Alpha | -61.64 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.193 |
| Beta Downside | 1.403 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 55.63% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.22 |
Description: NTNX Nutanix December 19, 2025
Nutanix, Inc. (NASDAQ: NTNX) delivers an enterprise-cloud platform that spans North America, Europe, APAC, the Middle East, Latin America and Africa, offering a suite of hyper-converged infrastructure (HCI) software and services designed to enable hybrid-multicloud deployments.
The core offering includes the Nutanix Cloud Platform (AOS, AHV, and data services for Kubernetes), software-defined networking (Flow), unified management (Prism, Cloud Manager, Central), and a range of storage solutions (Files, Objects, Volumes) plus AI/ML inference (Enterprise AI, GPT-in-a-Box) and cyber-resilience (Data Lens).
Beyond software, Nutanix provides professional services-support, consulting, and implementation-to verticals such as financial services, retail, manufacturing, public sector, automotive, healthcare, media, technology and telecommunications.
Key recent metrics (FY 2023): revenue of $1.86 billion, up ~7 % YoY, with a subscription-revenue mix now exceeding 55 % of total sales, reflecting the industry shift toward recurring-revenue models. The company’s gross margin has stabilized around 71 %, and free cash flow turned positive in Q4 2023 after several quarters of negative cash conversion.
Sector drivers that materially affect Nutanix’s outlook include: (1) the accelerating corporate migration to hybrid-multicloud architectures, projected to grow at a CAGR of ~14 % through 2028; (2) tightening data-center capex budgets that favor software-defined solutions over traditional siloed hardware; and (3) rising demand for container-native storage and AI inference at the edge, where Nutanix’s Kubernetes Platform and Enterprise AI are positioned as differentiators.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, you may want to explore ValueRay’s analyst toolkit.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income: 220.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.23 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -5.04 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 47.34% < 20% (prev 6.81%; Δ 40.52% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.26 > 3% & CFO 856.5m > Net Income 220.5m |
| Net Debt (700.1m) to EBITDA (306.7m): 2.28 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.89 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (296.5m) vs 12m ago 2.66% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 87.03% > 18% (prev 0.85%; Δ 8617 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 95.09% > 50% (prev 102.2%; Δ -7.08% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 11.85 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 306.7m / Interest Expense TTM 19.7m) |
Altman Z'' -3.04
| A: 0.37 (Total Current Assets 2.64b - Total Current Liabilities 1.40b) / Total Assets 3.32b |
| B: -1.47 (Retained Earnings -4.87b / Total Assets 3.32b) |
| C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 233.8m / Avg Total Assets 2.75b) |
| D: -1.22 (Book Value of Equity -4.87b / Total Liabilities 3.99b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -3.04 = D |
Beneish M -3.10
| DSRI: 1.39 (Receivables 335.9m/206.2m, Revenue 2.62b/2.23b) |
| GMI: 0.98 (GM 87.03% / 85.42%) |
| AQI: 0.49 (AQ_t 0.13 / AQ_t-1 0.26) |
| SGI: 1.17 (Revenue 2.62b / 2.23b) |
| TATA: -0.19 (NI 220.5m - CFO 856.5m) / TA 3.32b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.10 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of NTNX shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.36%, over one month by -22.68%, over three months by -41.48% and over the past year by -43.18%.
Is NTNX a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 8
- Buy: 7
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the NTNX price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 66 | 63.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 66 | 63.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 37 | -8% |
NTNX Fundamental Data Overview February 07, 2026
P/E Forward = 20.9205
P/S = 3.9658
P/EG = 0.9962
Revenue TTM = 2.62b USD
EBIT TTM = 233.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 306.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.35b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 24.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.48b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 700.1m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 9.80b USD (10.38b + Debt 1.48b - CCE 2.06b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.85 (Ebit TTM 233.8m / Interest Expense TTM 19.7m)
EV/FCF = 12.68x (Enterprise Value 9.80b / FCF TTM 772.8m)
FCF Yield = 7.89% (FCF TTM 772.8m / Enterprise Value 9.80b)
FCF Margin = 29.52% (FCF TTM 772.8m / Revenue TTM 2.62b)
Net Margin = 8.43% (Net Income TTM 220.5m / Revenue TTM 2.62b)
Gross Margin = 87.03% ((Revenue TTM 2.62b - Cost of Revenue TTM 339.6m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 86.96% (prev 87.17%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.95 (Enterprise Value 9.80b / Total Assets 3.32b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.05% (Interest Expense 745.0k / Debt 1.48b)
Taxrate = 5.30% (3.48m / 65.6m)
NOPAT = 221.4m (EBIT 233.8m * (1 - 5.30%))
Current Ratio = 1.89 (Total Current Assets 2.64b / Total Current Liabilities 1.40b)
Debt / Equity = -2.21 (negative equity) (Debt 1.48b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -668.6m)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.28 (Net Debt 700.1m / EBITDA 306.7m)
Debt / FCF = 0.91 (Net Debt 700.1m / FCF TTM 772.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -720.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.01% (Net Income 220.5m / Total Assets 3.32b)
RoE = -30.61% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 220.5m / Total Stockholder Equity -720.6m)
RoCE = 37.43% (EBIT 233.8m / Capital Employed (Equity -720.6m + L.T.Debt 1.35b))
RoIC = 35.55% (NOPAT 221.4m / Invested Capital 622.6m)
WACC = 9.03% (E(10.38b)/V(11.86b) * Re(10.31%) + D(1.48b)/V(11.86b) * Rd(0.05%) * (1-Tc(0.05)))
Discount Rate = 10.31% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 10.81%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 77.99% ; FCFF base≈710.5m ; Y1≈876.5m ; Y5≈1.49b
Fair Price DCF = 74.54 (EV 20.86b - Net Debt 700.1m = Equity 20.16b / Shares 270.4m; r=9.03% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 63.05 | EPS CAGR: 8.10% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 96.78 | Revenue CAGR: 13.79% | SUE: -1.86 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=0.43 | Chg30d=-0.002 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=15
EPS current Year (2026-07-31): EPS=1.81 | Chg30d=+0.014 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+11.8% | Growth Revenue=+12.0%
EPS next Year (2027-07-31): EPS=2.18 | Chg30d=+0.003 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+20.4% | Growth Revenue=+14.2%