(NUVL) Nuvalent - Overview
Stock: Ros1 Inhibitor, Alk Inhibitor, Her2 Inhibitor
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 47.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -4.86% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.53 |
| Alpha | 1.68 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.924 |
| Beta Downside | 0.527 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 47.12% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.15 |
Description: NUVL Nuvalent January 09, 2026
Nuvalent Inc. (NASDAQ:NUVL) is a clinical-stage biopharma based in Cambridge, MA, focused on next-generation, brain-penetrant tyrosine-kinase inhibitors (TKIs) for oncogenic drivers that commonly develop resistance and central-nervous-system (CNS) complications.
Its lead candidates are:
- NVL-520: a ROS1-selective inhibitor currently in the Phase 2 portion of the ARROS-1 trial, targeting ROS1-positive non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients who face resistance and brain metastases. ROS1 rearrangements occur in ~1-2% of NSCLC (~10 k patients annually in the U.S.), representing a niche but high-unmet-need market.
- NVL-655: a brain-penetrant ALK inhibitor in Phase 2 (ALKOVE-1), designed to overcome resistance and CNS toxicity seen with earlier-generation ALK TKIs. ALK alterations affect ~5% of NSCLC (~30 k U.S. patients), and CNS metastases are present in >30% of advanced cases.
- NVL-330: a HER2-exon 20-selective, brain-penetrant inhibitor in Phase 1a/1b, aimed at HER2-driven tumors (including HER2-mutant NSCLC) where off-target EGFR inhibition drives dose-limiting toxicities. HER2-exon 20 mutations represent ~2% of NSCLC (~10 k patients) and have limited targeted options.
Financially, Nuvalent reported cash and cash equivalents of roughly **$140 million** in its latest 10-Q (Q2 2024), giving it a runway into 2026 at its current burn rate of ~**$30 million per year**. The company raised **$150 million** in a 2023 private placement, underscoring investor confidence in its CNS-penetrant strategy, a sector trend where biotech firms have seen an average 8% YoY increase in R&D spend and premium valuation multiples for late-stage oncology assets.
Given the modest prevalence but high unmet need of ROS1, ALK, and HER2-ex20 driven NSCLC, Nuvalent’s focus on CNS-active, resistance-bypassing TKIs aligns with a broader market shift toward precision oncology therapies that can address brain metastases-a key driver of overall survival and quality of life.
For a deeper, data-driven valuation of Nuvalent’s pipeline and cash runway, the ValueRay platform offers a concise analyst-grade model worth reviewing.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 0.0
| Net Income: error (cannot be calculated; needs Net Income TTM and Revenue TTM) |
| FCF/TA: -0.27 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -14.04 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: error (cannot be calculated; needs Current Assets/Liabilities and Revenue current+prev) |
| CFO/TA -0.27 > 3% & CFO -263.9m > Net Income -381.4m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 10.73 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (72.1m) vs 12m ago 9.84% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: error (current vs previous; cannot be calculated due to missing/invalid data or negative margin) |
| Asset Turnover: 0.0% > 50% (prev 0.0%; Δ 0.0% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -1.53 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -408.0m / Interest Expense TTM 22.0m) |
Altman Z'' -3.89
| A: 0.89 (Total Current Assets 956.9m - Total Current Liabilities 89.2m) / Total Assets 979.9m |
| B: -0.87 (Retained Earnings -853.7m / Total Assets 979.9m) |
| C: -0.03 (EBIT TTM -33.7m / Avg Total Assets 1.08b) |
| D: -6.33 (Book Value of Equity -851.3m / Total Liabilities 134.5m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -3.89 = D |
What is the price of NUVL shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.68%, over one month by +6.57%, over three months by +8.05% and over the past year by +19.48%.
Is NUVL a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 8
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the NUVL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 141.7 | 36.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 141.7 | 36.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 143 | 38.1% |
NUVL Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
Revenue TTM = 0.0 USD
EBIT TTM = -33.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = -408.0m USD
Long Term Debt = unknown (none)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = unknown
Net Debt = -115.8m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 6.54b USD (7.48b + (null Debt) - CCE 943.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -1.53 (Ebit TTM -33.7m / Interest Expense TTM 22.0m)
EV/FCF = -24.78x (Enterprise Value 6.54b / FCF TTM -263.9m)
FCF Yield = -4.04% (FCF TTM -263.9m / Enterprise Value 6.54b)
FCF Margin = unknown (Revenue TTM is 0 or missing)
Net Margin = unknown
Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 0.0 - Cost of Revenue TTM 0.0) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 6.67 (Enterprise Value 6.54b / Total Assets 979.9m)
Interest Expense / Debt = unknown (Interest Expense 10.2m / Debt none)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -26.6m (EBIT -33.7m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 10.73 (Total Current Assets 956.9m / Total Current Liabilities 89.2m)
Debt / Equity = unknown (Debt none)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.28 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -115.8m / EBITDA -408.0m)
Debt / FCF = 0.44 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -115.8m / FCF TTM -263.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 966.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -35.18% (Net Income -381.4m / Total Assets 979.9m)
RoE = -39.47% (Net Income TTM -381.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 966.5m)
RoCE = -3.78% (EBIT -33.7m / Capital Employed (Total Assets 979.9m - Current Liab 89.2m))
RoIC = -2.76% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -26.6m / Invested Capital 966.5m)
WACC = 9.32% (E(7.48b)/V(7.48b) * Re(9.32%) + (debt-free company))
Discount Rate = 9.32% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 7.71%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -263.9m)
EPS Correlation: -53.73 | EPS CAGR: 6.29% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 42.01 | Revenue CAGR: 89.54% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-1.45 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=-4 | Analysts=8
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-5.60 | Chg30d=+0.024 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=-1.9% | Growth Revenue=+0.0%