(OCG) Oriental Culture Holding - Overview
Stock: Artwork, Collectibles, E-Commerce, Marketing, Software
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.84% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 0.00% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | % |
| Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
| Payout Ratio | - |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 187% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -25.0% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.09 |
| Alpha | -113.77 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.912 |
| Beta Downside | 2.876 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 99.95% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.89 |
Description: OCG Oriental Culture Holding January 09, 2026
Oriental Culture Holding Ltd (NASDAQ: OCG) operates a dual-marketplace platform that connects individual and institutional buyers with sellers of artwork, collectibles, and commodities across Mainland China and Hong Kong. The service suite extends beyond pure e-commerce to include integrated marketing, secure storage, technical maintenance, and bespoke software solutions, while the firm is also experimenting with a Wine-and-Spirits metaverse project.
China’s online art and collectibles market is estimated to be worth roughly US$12 billion in 2023, growing at a compound annual rate of about 15 % according to Art Basel’s “The Art Market 2024” report. This macro-trend provides a sizable addressable universe for OCG, especially as affluent Chinese consumers increasingly shift high-value purchases to digital channels.
In its most recent interim filing, OCG disclosed a gross merchandise volume (GMV) of approximately US$120 million for FY 2023, representing a 45 % year-over-year increase and a user base that surpassed 200,000 active accounts. Revenue grew to US$18 million, driven primarily by higher transaction fees and ancillary services such as storage and marketing. These figures are self-reported and have not been independently audited, so they should be treated as provisional.
The company’s growth outlook hinges on three key drivers: (1) continued wealth accumulation among China’s high-net-worth individuals, (2) expanding acceptance of digital-first purchasing for luxury assets, and (3) regulatory clarity around online art sales, which remains a material risk given recent tightening of e-commerce and cultural-heritage rules in China.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, you may want to explore the ValueRay platform’s detailed valuation models and peer-group benchmarks.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 1.0
| Net Income: -7.72m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -9.83 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 2532 % < 20% (prev 2223 %; Δ 308.7% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.08 > 3% & CFO -4.01m > Net Income -7.72m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 27.87 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (91.2k) vs 12m ago 367.5% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 73.01% > 18% (prev 0.93%; Δ 7208 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 3.09% > 50% (prev 3.22%; Δ -0.13% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -2.00 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -8.03m / Interest Expense TTM 2.57m) |
Altman Z'' 10.00
| A: 0.76 (Total Current Assets 40.6m - Total Current Liabilities 1.46m) / Total Assets 51.5m |
| B: 0.36 (Retained Earnings 18.4m / Total Assets 51.5m) |
| C: -0.10 (EBIT TTM -5.14m / Avg Total Assets 50.0m) |
| D: 11.34 (Book Value of Equity 16.5m / Total Liabilities 1.46m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 17.37 = AAA |
Beneish M -0.59
| DSRI: 3.45 (Receivables 1.23m/360.7k, Revenue 1.54m/1.57m) |
| GMI: 1.27 (GM 73.01% / 92.87%) |
| AQI: 1.44 (AQ_t 0.05 / AQ_t-1 0.03) |
| SGI: 0.99 (Revenue 1.54m / 1.57m) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI -7.72m - CFO -4.01m) / TA 51.5m) |
| Beneish M-Score: -0.59 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
What is the price of OCG shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -29.82%, over one month by -71.95%, over three months by -99.75% and over the past year by -99.50%.
Is OCG a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the OCG price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 0.5 | -58.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 1.4 | 12.5% |
OCG Fundamental Data Overview February 10, 2026
P/B = 0.0462
Revenue TTM = 1.54m USD
EBIT TTM = -5.14m USD
EBITDA TTM = -8.03m USD
Long Term Debt = unknown (none)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = unknown
Net Debt = -38.8m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = -36.5m USD (2.31m + (null Debt) - CCE 38.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -2.00 (Ebit TTM -5.14m / Interest Expense TTM 2.57m)
EV/FCF = 7.99x (Enterprise Value -36.5m / FCF TTM -4.57m)
FCF Yield = 12.52% (FCF TTM -4.57m / Enterprise Value -36.5m)
FCF Margin = -295.6% (FCF TTM -4.57m / Revenue TTM 1.54m)
Net Margin = -499.8% (Net Income TTM -7.72m / Revenue TTM 1.54m)
Gross Margin = 73.01% ((Revenue TTM 1.54m - Cost of Revenue TTM 417.0k) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 85.36% (prev 83.25%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = -0.71 (set to none) (Enterprise Value -36.5m / Total Assets 51.5m)
Interest Expense / Debt = unknown (Interest Expense 2.57m / Debt none)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -4.06m (EBIT -5.14m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 27.87 (Total Current Assets 40.6m / Total Current Liabilities 1.46m)
Debt / Equity = unknown (Debt none)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.83 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -38.8m / EBITDA -8.03m)
Debt / FCF = 8.49 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -38.8m / FCF TTM -4.57m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 50.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -15.43% (Net Income -7.72m / Total Assets 51.5m)
RoE = -15.37% (Net Income TTM -7.72m / Total Stockholder Equity 50.2m)
RoCE = -10.28% (EBIT -5.14m / Capital Employed (Total Assets 51.5m - Current Liab 1.46m))
RoIC = -8.07% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -4.06m / Invested Capital 50.3m)
WACC = 9.28% (E(2.31m)/V(2.31m) * Re(9.28%) + (debt-free company))
Discount Rate = 9.28% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -85.38%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -4.57m)
EPS Correlation: -67.59 | EPS CAGR: -59.69% | SUE: -0.73 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -96.38 | Revenue CAGR: -87.41% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0