(ON) ON Semiconductor - Ratings and Ratios
Power Semiconductors, Analog Ics, Image Sensors
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 47.5% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 72.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -6.80% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.05 |
| Alpha | -42.40 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.06 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.529 |
| Beta | 1.944 |
| Beta Downside | 1.980 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 70.44% |
| Mean DD | 32.76% |
| Median DD | 34.31% |
Description: ON ON Semiconductor December 19, 2025
ON Semiconductor (NASDAQ: ON) supplies intelligent sensing and power-management semiconductors across North America, Europe and Asia, organized into three operating groups: Power Solutions (discrete, module and integrated devices for switching, conditioning and protection), Analog & Mixed-Signal (power-management ICs, sensor interfaces and voltage-regulation products for automotive, industrial, computing and mobile markets) and Intelligent Sensing (CMOS image sensors, image-signal processors, single-photon detectors and actuator drivers for autofocus and stabilization).
Key recent metrics show the company generated roughly $9.5 billion of revenue in FY 2023, with a gross margin of about 38 % and R&D spending near 5 % of sales-both above the industry median, reflecting its focus on automotive-grade power solutions and advanced imaging. The firm’s growth is tightly linked to the electric-vehicle (EV) rollout and the broader shift toward higher-efficiency power electronics, which together drive a multi-year CAGR of ~12 % in its automotive power-management segment.
Given ON’s exposure to the accelerating EV market, its relatively high R&D intensity, and the ongoing global semiconductor supply constraints, analysts should monitor automotive order backlogs and inventory levels as leading indicators of near-term earnings momentum.
For a deeper quantitative dive, you might explore ON’s valuation metrics on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (319.1m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 371.3m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.13 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 3.74pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 82.75% (prev 59.86%; Δ 22.90pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.78b > Net Income 319.1m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (1.16b) to EBITDA (1.06b) ratio: 1.09 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 5.23 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (408.0m) change vs 12m ago -5.49% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 35.75% (prev 45.80%; Δ -10.05pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 45.95% (prev 52.99%; Δ -7.04pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 6.18 (EBITDA TTM 1.06b / Interest Expense TTM 68.9m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 6.47
| (A) 0.39 = (Total Current Assets 6.33b - Total Current Liabilities 1.21b) / Total Assets 13.01b |
| (B) 0.62 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 8.06b / Total Assets 13.01b |
| (C) 0.03 = EBIT TTM 425.6m / Avg Total Assets 13.47b |
| (D) 1.58 = Book Value of Equity 8.01b / Total Liabilities 5.08b |
| Total Rating: 6.47 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 44.89
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 7.06% |
| 3. FCF Margin 26.51% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.46 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.09 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -7.95)% |
| 7. RoE 3.91% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -76.73% |
| 9. EPS Trend -78.57% |
What is the price of ON shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.22%, over one month by +18.22%, over three months by +7.20% and over the past year by -17.14%.
Is ON a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 14
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 13
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ON price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 58.7 | 6.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 58.7 | 6.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 54.7 | -0.9% |
ON Fundamental Data Overview December 16, 2025
P/E Trailing = 75.2877
P/E Forward = 19.0476
P/S = 3.6325
P/B = 2.7974
P/EG = 1.7489
Beta = 1.571
Revenue TTM = 6.19b USD
EBIT TTM = 425.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.06b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.35b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 35.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.63b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.16b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 23.24b USD (22.48b + Debt 3.63b - CCE 2.87b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.18 (Ebit TTM 425.6m / Interest Expense TTM 68.9m)
FCF Yield = 7.06% (FCF TTM 1.64b / Enterprise Value 23.24b)
FCF Margin = 26.51% (FCF TTM 1.64b / Revenue TTM 6.19b)
Net Margin = 5.16% (Net Income TTM 319.1m / Revenue TTM 6.19b)
Gross Margin = 35.75% ((Revenue TTM 6.19b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.98b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 37.86% (prev 37.58%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.79 (Enterprise Value 23.24b / Total Assets 13.01b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.49% (Interest Expense 17.7m / Debt 3.63b)
Taxrate = 6.48% (17.7m / 273.0m)
NOPAT = 398.0m (EBIT 425.6m * (1 - 6.48%))
Current Ratio = 5.23 (Total Current Assets 6.33b / Total Current Liabilities 1.21b)
Debt / Equity = 0.46 (Debt 3.63b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 7.91b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.09 (Net Debt 1.16b / EBITDA 1.06b)
Debt / FCF = 0.71 (Net Debt 1.16b / FCF TTM 1.64b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 8.17b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.45% (Net Income 319.1m / Total Assets 13.01b)
RoE = 3.91% (Net Income TTM 319.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 8.17b)
RoCE = 3.69% (EBIT 425.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 8.17b + L.T.Debt 3.35b))
RoIC = 3.46% (NOPAT 398.0m / Invested Capital 11.52b)
WACC = 11.41% (E(22.48b)/V(26.11b) * Re(13.18%) + D(3.63b)/V(26.11b) * Rd(0.49%) * (1-Tc(0.06)))
Discount Rate = 13.18% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.65%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 63.02% ; FCFE base≈1.48b ; Y1≈1.57b ; Y5≈1.87b
Fair Price DCF = 40.13 (DCF Value 16.15b / Shares Outstanding 402.4m; 5y FCF grow 6.62% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -78.57 | EPS CAGR: -13.60% | SUE: 1.57 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -76.73 | Revenue CAGR: -4.54% | SUE: 1.44 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.61 | Chg30d=-0.010 | Revisions Net=-4 | Analysts=28
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.92 | Chg30d=-0.014 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+25.1% | Growth Revenue=+5.4%
Additional Sources for ON Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle