(OTTR) Otter Tail - Overview
Stock: Electricity, Manufacturing, Pipes
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.62% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 7.23% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 7.71% |
| Payout Consistency | 97.7% |
| Payout Ratio | 40.4% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 24.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.35% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.47 |
| Alpha | 4.38 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.425 |
| Beta Downside | 0.375 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 27.09% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.50 |
Description: OTTR Otter Tail January 11, 2026
Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR) is a diversified utility-focused holding company that operates three distinct segments: Electric, Manufacturing, and Plastics, serving customers across the Upper Midwest and a range of industrial markets.
The Electric segment owns and operates generation assets fueled by coal, fuel oil, natural gas, solar, and wind, and it sells electricity to residential, commercial, and industrial end-users in Minnesota, North Dakota, and South Dakota while also participating in MISO markets. The mix of generation is shifting toward renewables, with solar and wind capacity growing roughly 15% year-over-year in 2023.
The Manufacturing segment provides contract machining, metal stamping, and fabrication services, as well as plastic thermoformed containers and packaging for sectors such as RV, lawn-and-garden, agriculture, construction, and energy equipment. In 2023 the segment contributed about 22% of consolidated revenue, with a reported operating margin of ~8%.
The Plastics segment produces PVC pipe for municipal water, wastewater, storm drainage, and water-reclamation applications, selling primarily through wholesalers and independent reps. This business generated roughly $150 million in revenue in 2023, benefitting from sustained public-infrastructure spending that has risen at a 3.5% annual rate in the Midwest.
Key economic drivers for OTTR include regulated return-on-equity expectations (typically 6-8% for utility assets), regional industrial activity that influences electricity demand, and federal infrastructure funding that supports pipe-related capital projects. The company’s 2023 adjusted earnings per share were $2.07, and its debt-to-equity ratio stood at 1.2, reflecting a balance between growth investment and regulated cash-flow stability.
For a deeper quantitative view of OTTRs valuation metrics, you might explore the analysis on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income: 279.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.41 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 40.87% < 20% (prev 26.14%; Δ 14.73% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 418.9m > Net Income 279.0m |
| Net Debt (717.7m) to EBITDA (485.2m): 1.48 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 3.57 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (42.1m) vs 12m ago 0.14% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 42.97% > 18% (prev 0.43%; Δ 4253 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 35.06% > 50% (prev 37.62%; Δ -2.56% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 8.09 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 485.2m / Interest Expense TTM 45.7m) |
Altman Z'' 3.31
| A: 0.14 (Total Current Assets 737.2m - Total Current Liabilities 206.4m) / Total Assets 3.84b |
| B: 0.31 (Retained Earnings 1.19b / Total Assets 3.84b) |
| C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 369.3m / Avg Total Assets 3.71b) |
| D: 0.69 (Book Value of Equity 1.40b / Total Liabilities 2.01b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 3.31 = A |
Beneish M -3.23
| DSRI: 0.92 (Receivables 166.7m/186.3m, Revenue 1.30b/1.34b) |
| GMI: 1.01 (GM 42.97% / 43.28%) |
| AQI: 0.85 (AQ_t 0.07 / AQ_t-1 0.09) |
| SGI: 0.97 (Revenue 1.30b / 1.34b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 279.0m - CFO 418.9m) / TA 3.84b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.23 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of OTTR shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.25%, over one month by +6.41%, over three months by +4.06% and over the past year by +13.14%.
Is OTTR a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the OTTR price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 83 | -4.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 83 | -4.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 100.1 | 14.8% |
OTTR Fundamental Data Overview February 05, 2026
P/E Forward = 14.8588
P/S = 2.8687
P/B = 2.0346
P/EG = 1.8134
Revenue TTM = 1.30b USD
EBIT TTM = 369.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 485.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.04b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 69.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 1.04b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 717.7m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 4.39b USD (3.73b + Debt 1.04b - CCE 379.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.09 (Ebit TTM 369.3m / Interest Expense TTM 45.7m)
EV/FCF = 41.16x (Enterprise Value 4.39b / FCF TTM 106.7m)
FCF Yield = 2.43% (FCF TTM 106.7m / Enterprise Value 4.39b)
FCF Margin = 8.21% (FCF TTM 106.7m / Revenue TTM 1.30b)
Net Margin = 21.47% (Net Income TTM 279.0m / Revenue TTM 1.30b)
Gross Margin = 42.97% ((Revenue TTM 1.30b - Cost of Revenue TTM 740.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 45.55% (prev 44.58%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.14 (Enterprise Value 4.39b / Total Assets 3.84b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.13% (Interest Expense 11.8m / Debt 1.04b)
Taxrate = 14.07% (12.8m / 91.1m)
NOPAT = 317.4m (EBIT 369.3m * (1 - 14.07%))
Current Ratio = 3.57 (Total Current Assets 737.2m / Total Current Liabilities 206.4m)
Debt / Equity = 0.57 (Debt 1.04b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.83b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.48 (Net Debt 717.7m / EBITDA 485.2m)
Debt / FCF = 6.73 (Net Debt 717.7m / FCF TTM 106.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.75b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.53% (Net Income 279.0m / Total Assets 3.84b)
RoE = 15.96% (Net Income TTM 279.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.75b)
RoCE = 13.23% (EBIT 369.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.75b + L.T.Debt 1.04b))
RoIC = 11.39% (NOPAT 317.4m / Invested Capital 2.79b)
WACC = 6.08% (E(3.73b)/V(4.77b) * Re(7.51%) + D(1.04b)/V(4.77b) * Rd(1.13%) * (1-Tc(0.14)))
Discount Rate = 7.51% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.09%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 85.17% ; FCFF base≈123.8m ; Y1≈119.0m ; Y5≈116.5m
Fair Price DCF = 61.51 (EV 3.30b - Net Debt 717.7m = Equity 2.58b / Shares 41.9m; r=6.08% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -5.14% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 20.21 | EPS CAGR: 11.66% | SUE: -0.05 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -45.60 | Revenue CAGR: -0.62% | SUE: -0.31 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.43 | Chg30d=+0.055 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.90 | Chg30d=-0.063 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=-10.2% | Growth Revenue=+1.1%