(PCH) PotlatchDeltic - Overview
Stock: Timber, Lumber, Plywood, Land, Real-Estate
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 4.35% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 4.61% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -24.94% |
| Payout Consistency | 85.4% |
| Payout Ratio | 2.3% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 26.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.31% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.00 |
| Alpha | -13.47 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.634 |
| Beta Downside | 0.691 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 27.87% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.02 |
Description: PCH PotlatchDeltic January 12, 2026
PotlatchDeltic Corp (NASDAQ:PCH) is a timber-focused REIT that controls roughly 2.1 million acres across the southeastern U.S. and Idaho, and, through its taxable REIT subsidiary, runs six sawmills, a plywood mill, and a mixed-use real-estate development platform, while also offering a rural timberland sales program. The company emphasizes sustainable forest management and corporate responsibility.
Key operating metrics: • FY 2023 sawmill net earnings were $115 million, a 9 % increase YoY, driven by higher lumber prices and improved capacity utilization. • The average timberland price per acre rose to $3,850 in Q4 2023, reflecting strong demand from both domestic construction and export markets. • Timber REITs are sensitive to interest-rate movements; the sector’s dividend yield averaged 5.2 % in 2023, offering a hedge against modest rate hikes, while overall housing starts-a leading demand driver for softwood-expanded 3 % year-over-year.
For a deeper quantitative dive, you might explore PotlatchDeltic’s financials and valuation metrics on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income: 64.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.95 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 11.26% < 20% (prev 5.79%; Δ 5.47% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 201.1m > Net Income 64.2m |
| Net Debt (946.3m) to EBITDA (197.3m): 4.80 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.96 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (77.9m) vs 12m ago -1.75% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 15.71% > 18% (prev 0.10%; Δ 1561 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 34.43% > 50% (prev 32.00%; Δ 2.42% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.69 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 197.3m / Interest Expense TTM 34.2m) |
Altman Z'' -0.49
| A: 0.04 (Total Current Assets 255.8m - Total Current Liabilities 130.2m) / Total Assets 3.17b |
| B: -0.18 (Retained Earnings -575.1m / Total Assets 3.17b) |
| C: 0.03 (EBIT TTM 92.0m / Avg Total Assets 3.24b) |
| D: -0.33 (Book Value of Equity -417.1m / Total Liabilities 1.27b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -0.49 = B |
Beneish M -3.28
| DSRI: 1.11 (Receivables 34.7m/29.6m, Revenue 1.12b/1.06b) |
| GMI: 0.62 (GM 15.71% / 9.67%) |
| AQI: 1.01 (AQ_t 0.79 / AQ_t-1 0.78) |
| SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 1.12b / 1.06b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 64.2m - CFO 201.1m) / TA 3.17b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.28 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of PCH shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.00%, over one month by +3.55%, over three months by +4.36% and over the past year by -3.54%.
Is PCH a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the PCH price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 47.4 | 13.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 47.4 | 13.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 44.8 | 7.4% |
PCH Fundamental Data Overview February 07, 2026
P/E Forward = 64.1026
P/S = 2.8959
P/B = 1.6937
P/EG = 4.36
Revenue TTM = 1.12b USD
EBIT TTM = 92.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 197.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.01b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 27.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.04b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 946.3m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 4.18b USD (3.23b + Debt 1.04b - CCE 88.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.69 (Ebit TTM 92.0m / Interest Expense TTM 34.2m)
EV/FCF = 31.78x (Enterprise Value 4.18b / FCF TTM 131.4m)
FCF Yield = 3.15% (FCF TTM 131.4m / Enterprise Value 4.18b)
FCF Margin = 11.78% (FCF TTM 131.4m / Revenue TTM 1.12b)
Net Margin = 5.76% (Net Income TTM 64.2m / Revenue TTM 1.12b)
Gross Margin = 15.71% ((Revenue TTM 1.12b - Cost of Revenue TTM 940.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 18.16% (prev 12.97%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.32 (Enterprise Value 4.18b / Total Assets 3.17b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.11% (Interest Expense 11.5m / Debt 1.04b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 72.7m (EBIT 92.0m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 1.96 (Total Current Assets 255.8m / Total Current Liabilities 130.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.54 (Debt 1.04b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.91b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.80 (Net Debt 946.3m / EBITDA 197.3m)
Debt / FCF = 7.20 (Net Debt 946.3m / FCF TTM 131.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.97b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.98% (Net Income 64.2m / Total Assets 3.17b)
RoE = 3.26% (Net Income TTM 64.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.97b)
RoCE = 3.09% (EBIT 92.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.97b + L.T.Debt 1.01b))
RoIC = 2.42% (NOPAT 72.7m / Invested Capital 3.00b)
WACC = 6.46% (E(3.23b)/V(4.27b) * Re(8.25%) + D(1.04b)/V(4.27b) * Rd(1.11%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.25% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.10%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 77.80% ; FCFF base≈81.4m ; Y1≈53.4m ; Y5≈24.4m
Fair Price DCF = N/A (negative equity: EV 662.0m - Net Debt 946.3m = -284.3m; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: -61.47 | EPS CAGR: -73.10% | SUE: 2.07 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -24.43 | Revenue CAGR: 6.46% | SUE: 1.87 | # QB: 6
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.12 | Chg30d=-0.030 | Revisions Net=-2 | Analysts=3
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.81 | Chg30d=+0.027 | Revisions Net=-4 | Growth EPS=+24.5% | Growth Revenue=-1.4%