PEP Stock Analysis: PepsiCo | NASDAQ
Beverages - Non-Alcoholic | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 197.140m USD | 12M Return: 10.8% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 1.36B
EPS Trend: -56.6%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 87.7%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
PepsiCo, Inc. (NASDAQ: PEP) is a global manufacturer, marketer, distributor, and seller of convenient foods and beverages, organized into six reportable segments: PepsiCo Foods North America, PepsiCo Beverages North America, International Beverages Franchise, Europe/Middle East/Africa, Latin America Foods, and Asia Pacific Foods. Founded in 1898 and headquartered in Purchase, New York, the company offers a wide portfolio including cereals, chips, dips, granola bars, refrigerated spreads, beverage concentrates, fountain syrups, ready-to-drink tea and coffee, SodaStream sparkling water makers, and dairy products sold under regional brands such as Agusha, Chudo, and Domik v Derevne.
Distribution is carried out through a multi-channel network serving wholesale distributors, foodservice operators, grocery, drug and convenience stores, discount and dollar stores, mass merchandisers, membership clubs, hard discounters, e-commerce retailers, and authorized independent bottlers, using a mix of direct-store-delivery (DSD), customer warehouse, and third-party distributor networks, as well as direct-to-consumer e-commerce. The DSD model, in which sales reps replenish retail shelves directly, is a hallmark of the soft drinks and non-alcoholic beverages sub-industry and helps secure frequent restocking and in-store visibility.
PepsiCo is classified in the Consumer Staples sector and the Soft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages sub-industry, placing it in a defensive segment with relatively stable demand across economic cycles. Its dual exposure to both food and beverages is unusual among major packaged-goods peers, which typically focus on one category or the other, providing diversification across multiple consumption occasions.
- Frito-Lay volume growth drives North America snacks segment revenue
- GLP-1 drug adoption threatens salty snack consumption demand
- Emerging markets FX volatility pressures international beverage margins
| Net Income: 8.74b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.41 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -3.73% < 20% (prev -8.50%; Δ 4.77% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 13.1b > Net Income 8.74b |
| Net Debt (42.6b) to EBITDA (16.3b): 2.62 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.90 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.37b) vs 12m ago -0.22% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 54.06% > 18% (prev 54.53%; Δ -0.47% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 88.38% > 50% (prev 91.44%; Δ -3.06% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 10.39 > 6 (EBIT TTM 12.0b / Interest Expense TTM 1.16b) |
| A: -0.03 (Total Current Assets 30.9b - Total Current Liabilities 34.5b) / Total Assets 111b |
| B: 0.66 (Retained Earnings 73.2b / Total Assets 111b) |
| C: 0.11 (EBIT TTM 12.0b / Avg Total Assets 108b) |
| D: 0.24 (Book Value of Equity 21.4b / Total Liabilities 89.1b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.95 = A |
| DSRI: 0.99 (Receivables 12.2b/12.4b, Revenue 95.4b/96.3b) |
| GMI: 1.01 (GM 54.53% / 54.06%) |
| AQI: 0.36 (AQ_t 0.16 / AQ_t-1 0.46) |
| SGI: 0.99 (Revenue 95.4b / 96.3b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 8.74b - CFO 13.1b) / TA 111b) |
| Beneish M = -3.42 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 05, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 144.22 with a total of 13,041,800 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.37%, over one month by +2.24%, over three months by -7.01% and over the past year by +10.75%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 139.80 (which is 3.1% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
PepsiCo has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.35. Therefore, it is recommended to hold PEP.
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 16
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 166.8 | 15.7% |
P/E Trailing = 22.6405
P/E Forward = 16.4204
P/S = 2.0654
P/B = 9.0227
P/EG = 1.5198
Revenue TTM = 95.4b USD
EBIT TTM = 12.0b USD
EBITDA TTM = 16.3b USD
Long Term Debt = 42.6b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 10.2b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 53.4b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 719.0m
Net Debt = 42.6b USD (calculated: Debt 53.4b - CCE 10.8b)
Enterprise Value = 240b USD (197b + Debt 53.4b - CCE 10.8b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 10.39 (Ebit TTM 12.0b / Interest Expense TTM 1.16b)
EV/FCF = 27.12x (Enterprise Value 240b / FCF TTM 8.84b)
FCF Yield = 3.69% (FCF TTM 8.84b / Enterprise Value 240b)
FCF Margin = 9.26% (FCF TTM 8.84b / Revenue TTM 95.4b)
Net Margin = 9.16% (Net Income TTM 8.74b / Revenue TTM 95.4b)
Gross Margin = 54.06% ((Revenue TTM 95.4b - Cost of Revenue TTM 43.9b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 55.19% (prev 53.23%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.17 (Enterprise Value 240b / Total Assets 111b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.17% (Interest Expense 1.16b / Debt 53.4b)
Taxrate = 19.15% (2.08b / 10.9b)
NOPAT = 9.73b (EBIT 12.0b * (1 - 19.15%))
Current Ratio = 0.90 (Total Current Assets 30.9b / Total Current Liabilities 34.5b)
Debt / Equity = 2.50 (Debt 53.4b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 21.4b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.62 (Net Debt 42.6b / EBITDA 16.3b)
Debt / FCF = 4.82 (Net Debt 42.6b / FCF TTM 8.84b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 19.9b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.10% (Net Income 8.74b / Total Assets 111b)
RoE = 43.94% (Net Income TTM 8.74b / Total Stockholder Equity 19.9b)
RoCE = 19.26% (EBIT 12.0b / Capital Employed (Equity 19.9b + L.T.Debt 42.6b))
RoIC = 11.93% (NOPAT 9.73b / Invested Capital 81.5b)
WACC = 4.93% (E(197b)/V(251b) * Re(5.79%) + D(53.4b)/V(251b) * Rd(2.17%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Discount Rate = 5.79% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -96.61 | Cagr: -0.32%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.83% ; FCFF base≈9.27b ; Y1≈8.46b ; Y5≈7.42b
[DCF] Fair Price = 55.04 (EV 118b - Net Debt 42.6b = Equity 75.2b / Shares 1.37b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -10.77% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -56.62 | EPS CAGR: -5.60% | SUE: 0.14 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 87.70 | Revenue CAGR: 3.00% | SUE: 0.29 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=2.21 | Chg30d=-1.10% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=16
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.43 | Chg30d=-0.38% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=16
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=8.64 | Chg30d=-0.21% | Revisions=-17% | GrowthEPS=+6.2% | GrowthRev=+5.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=9.09 | Chg30d=-0.61% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=+5.2% | GrowthRev=+3.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -55% (up=1, down=7)