PEP Stock Analysis: PepsiCo | NASDAQ

Beverages - Non-Alcoholic | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 171.570m USD | 12M Return: -8.6% | US7134481081 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Beverages, Snacks, Cereals, Dairy
Total Rating 43
Safety 82
Buy Signal -1.34
Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
Industry Rotation: -3.9
Market Cap: 172B
Avg Turnover: 1.17B
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility18.3%
VaR 5th Pctl3.10%
VaR vs Median2.52%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.52
Rel. Str. IBD17.7
Rel. Str. Peer Group13.6
Character TTM
Beta-0.204
Beta Downside-0.035
Hurst Exponent0.504
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD27.52%
CAGR/Max DD-0.20
CAGR/Mean DD-0.47
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of PEP over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 1.79, "2021-12": 1.53, "2022-03": 1.29, "2022-06": 1.86, "2022-09": 1.97, "2022-12": 1.67, "2023-03": 1.5, "2023-06": 2.09, "2023-09": 2.25, "2023-12": 1.78, "2024-03": 1.61, "2024-06": 2.28, "2024-09": 2.31, "2024-12": 1.96, "2025-03": 1.48, "2025-06": 2.12, "2025-09": 2.29, "2025-12": 2.26, "2026-03": 1.61, "2026-06": 2.2,
EPS CAGR: 3.12%
EPS Trend: 84.9%
Last SUE: 0.23
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of PEP over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 20189, 2021-12: 25248, 2022-03: 16200, 2022-06: 20225, 2022-09: 21971, 2022-12: 27996, 2023-03: 17846, 2023-06: 22322, 2023-09: 23453, 2023-12: 27850, 2024-03: 18250, 2024-06: 22501, 2024-09: 23319, 2024-12: 27784, 2025-03: 22726, 2025-06: 22726, 2025-09: 23937, 2025-12: 29343, 2026-03: 19443, 2026-06: 24181,
Rev. CAGR: 2.79%
Rev. Trend: 85.5%
Last SUE: 0.12
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan -0.6% 19
Feb -0.9% 5
Mar +1.5% 18
Apr +0.4% 29
May -1.6% 39
Jun +0.5% 17
Jul +2.9% 35
Aug -1.2% 20
Sep -2.4% 46
Oct -1.4% 13
Nov +1.3% 14
Dec -0.2% 16

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: PEP PepsiCo

PepsiCo, Inc. is a global manufacturer, marketer, distributor, and seller of convenient foods and beverages, operating through six reportable segments: PepsiCo Foods North America, PepsiCo Beverages North America, International Beverages Franchise, Europe Middle East and Africa, Latin America Foods, and Asia Pacific Foods. Its product portfolio spans cereals, chips, dips, granola bars, oatmeal, pasta, rice, syrups and mixes, refrigerated spreads, beverage concentrates, fountain syrups, ready-to-drink tea and coffee, as well as SodaStream sparkling water makers and dairy products marketed under regional brands such as Agusha, Chudo, and Domik v Derevne.

The company distributes its products through a multi-channel network that combines direct-store-delivery, customer warehouse, and third-party distributor systems, reaching wholesale distributors, foodservice operators, grocery, drug, convenience, discount/dollar, mass merchandisers, membership stores, hard discounters, authorized independent bottlers, and e-commerce retailers.

As a large-cap Consumer Staples issuer classified within the Soft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages sub-industry, PepsiCo benefits from the defensive characteristics typical of the sector, including relatively stable demand and pricing power tied to recognized brand portfolios. The company was founded in 1898 and is headquartered in Purchase, New York.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • GLP-1 drug adoption pressures snack and beverage volumes
  • Frito-Lay pricing power sustains North America Foods margins
  • International emerging markets drive volume and revenue growth
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.5
Net Income: 10.5b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.57 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -2.41% < 20% (prev -8.48%; Δ 6.07% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 13.5b > Net Income 10.5b
Net Debt (43.2b) to EBITDA (18.6b): 2.32 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.93 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.37b) vs 12m ago -0.36% < -2%
Gross Margin: 53.96% > 18% (prev 54.24%; Δ -0.28% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 89.09% > 50% (prev 91.66%; Δ -2.56% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 12.66 > 6 (EBIT TTM 14.3b / Interest Expense TTM 1.13b)
Altman Z'' 3.16
A: -0.02 (Total Current Assets 32.8b - Total Current Liabilities 35.1b) / Total Assets 112b
B: 0.66 (Retained Earnings 74.1b / Total Assets 112b)
C: 0.13 (EBIT TTM 14.3b / Avg Total Assets 109b)
D: 0.25 (Book Value of Equity 22.1b / Total Liabilities 89.9b)
Altman-Z'' = 3.16 = A
Beneish M -2.97
DSRI: 1.09 (Receivables 13.5b/12.4b, Revenue 96.9b/96.6b)
GMI: 1.01 (GM 54.24% / 53.96%)
AQI: 0.96 (AQ_t 0.44 / AQ_t-1 0.46)
SGI: 1.00 (Revenue 96.9b / 96.6b)
TATA: -0.03 (NI 10.5b - CFO 13.5b) / TA 112b)
Beneish M = -2.97 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of PEP shares?

As of October 08, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 123.73 with a total of 13,263,972 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.36%, over one month by -10.63%, over three months by -13.75% and over the past year by -8.56%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 120.80 (which is 2.4% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is PEP a buy, sell or hold?

PepsiCo has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.25. Therefore, it is recommended to hold PEP.

  • StrongBuy: 3
  • Buy: 2
  • Hold: 18
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the PEP price?
Analysts Target Price 149.4 20.7%
PepsiCo (PEP) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 03 October 2026
Market Cap USD = 172b (172b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 16.6138
P/E Forward = 14.8588
P/S = 1.7705
P/B = 8.2976
P/EG = 1.376
Revenue TTM = 96.9b USD
EBIT TTM = 14.3b USD
EBITDA TTM = 18.6b USD
Long Term Debt = 42.6b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 10.6b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 53.9b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 719.0m
Net Debt = 43.2b USD (calculated: Debt 53.9b - CCE 10.7b)
Enterprise Value = 215b USD (172b + Debt 53.9b - CCE 10.7b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 12.66 (Ebit TTM 14.3b / Interest Expense TTM 1.13b)
EV/FCF = 23.14x (Enterprise Value 215b / FCF TTM 9.28b)
FCF Yield = 4.32% (FCF TTM 9.28b / Enterprise Value 215b)
FCF Margin = 9.58% (FCF TTM 9.28b / Revenue TTM 96.9b)
Net Margin = 10.82% (Net Income TTM 10.5b / Revenue TTM 96.9b)
Gross Margin = 53.96% ((Revenue TTM 96.9b - Cost of Revenue TTM 44.6b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 54.22% (prev 55.19%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.91 (Enterprise Value 215b / Total Assets 112b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.09% (Interest Expense 1.13b / Debt 53.9b)
Taxrate = 20.06% (2.64b / 13.2b)
NOPAT = 11.4b (EBIT 14.3b * (1 - 20.06%))
Current Ratio = 0.93 (Total Current Assets 32.8b / Total Current Liabilities 35.1b)
Debt / Equity = 2.44 (Debt 53.9b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 22.1b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.32 (Net Debt 43.2b / EBITDA 18.6b)
Debt / FCF = 4.66 (Net Debt 43.2b / FCF TTM 9.28b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 20.8b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 9.64% (Net Income 10.5b / Total Assets 112b)
RoE = 50.36% (Net Income TTM 10.5b / Total Stockholder Equity 20.8b)
RoCE = 22.51% (EBIT 14.3b / Capital Employed (Equity 20.8b + L.T.Debt 42.6b))
RoIC = 13.78% (NOPAT 11.4b / Invested Capital 82.8b)
WACC = 4.41% (E(172b)/V(226b) * Re(5.27%) + D(53.9b)/V(226b) * Rd(2.09%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 5.27% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -98.04 | Cagr: -0.36%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈8.39b ; Y1≈9.62b ; Y5≈14.2b
[DCF] Fair Price = 124.4 (EV 213b - Net Debt 43.2b = Equity 170b / Shares 1.37b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 84.87 | EPS CAGR: 3.12% | SUE: 0.23 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 85.52 | Revenue CAGR: 2.79% | SUE: 0.12 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.30 | Chg30d=-0.14% | Revisions=-83% | Analysts=17
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=8.55 | Chg30d=-0.07% | Revisions=-77% | GrowthEPS=+5.1% | GrowthRev=+5.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=8.92 | Chg30d=-0.59% | Revisions=-78% | GrowthEPS=+4.3% | GrowthRev=+2.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -88% (up=2, down=52)