(PTC) PTC - Ratings and Ratios
CAD, PLM, IIoT, AR, SLM
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 24.8% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 38.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -4.98% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.36 |
| Alpha | -25.40 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.39 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.503 |
| Beta | 0.966 |
| Beta Downside | 1.059 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 32.27% |
| Mean DD | 7.06% |
| Median DD | 5.35% |
Description: PTC PTC October 14, 2025
PTC Inc. (NASDAQ:PTC) is a global software provider that delivers a portfolio of product-development and service-management solutions. Its flagship PLM suite, Windchill, supports end-to-end product lifecycle data sharing and collaboration across distributed teams. Complementary offerings include ThingWorx (Industrial IoT), ServiceMax (service-lifecycle management), Arena (cloud PLM), Codebeamer (ALM), Servigistics (service-parts management), FlexPLM (merchandising), Kepware (industrial connectivity), Creo (3-D CAD), Onshape (SaaS CAD), Vuforia (augmented reality), and Arbortext (technical publishing). The company serves manufacturers, service providers, and supply-chain partners in the Americas, Europe, and Asia-Pacific.
Key metrics from PTC’s most recent fiscal year (FY 2024) show total revenue of $1.71 billion, a 9 % year-over-year increase driven primarily by growth in subscription-based ARR (annual recurring revenue) which rose to $1.2 billion, up 12 % YoY. Gross margin expanded to 77 % as the mix shifted toward higher-margin SaaS and cloud services. The PLM market is projected to grow at a 9-10 % CAGR through 2028, propelled by accelerating digital-transformation initiatives and demand for IoT-enabled product intelligence-both core to PTC’s roadmap. Additionally, the industrial AR segment, anchored by Vuforia, is expected to expand at ~15 % CAGR, reflecting broader adoption of immersive technologies in manufacturing and field service.
For a deeper quantitative view of PTC’s valuation and risk profile, you may find ValueRay’s analyst dashboard a useful next step.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income (741.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 164.4m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.13 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.49pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 5.33% (prev -16.03%; Δ 21.36pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 (>3.0%) and CFO 867.7m > Net Income 741.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (1.19b) to EBITDA (1.12b) ratio: 1.05 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.12 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (120.7m) change vs 12m ago -0.06% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 83.33% (prev 80.65%; Δ 2.68pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 42.14% (prev 36.01%; Δ 6.13pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 12.85 (EBITDA TTM 1.12b / Interest Expense TTM 77.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.95
| (A) 0.02 = (Total Current Assets 1.38b - Total Current Liabilities 1.24b) / Total Assets 6.62b |
| (B) 0.31 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.08b / Total Assets 6.62b |
| (C) 0.15 = EBIT TTM 989.6m / Avg Total Assets 6.50b |
| (D) 0.72 = Book Value of Equity 2.00b / Total Liabilities 2.79b |
| Total Rating: 2.95 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 85.91
| 1. Piotroski 7.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.88% |
| 3. FCF Margin 31.27% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.36 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.05 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 7.57)% |
| 7. RoE 21.24% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 84.30% |
| 9. EPS Trend 55.72% |
What is the price of PTC shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.43%, over one month by -1.21%, over three months by -14.19% and over the past year by -12.57%.
Is PTC a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 10
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the PTC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 216.2 | 22.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 216.2 | 22.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 174.3 | -1% |
PTC Fundamental Data Overview December 10, 2025
P/E Trailing = 28.6388
P/E Forward = 29.3255
P/S = 7.6274
P/B = 5.417
P/EG = 1.6813
Beta = 1.03
Revenue TTM = 2.74b USD
EBIT TTM = 989.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.12b USD
Long Term Debt = 1.17b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 49.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.37b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.19b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 22.08b USD (20.89b + Debt 1.37b - CCE 184.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 12.85 (Ebit TTM 989.6m / Interest Expense TTM 77.0m)
FCF Yield = 3.88% (FCF TTM 856.7m / Enterprise Value 22.08b)
FCF Margin = 31.27% (FCF TTM 856.7m / Revenue TTM 2.74b)
Net Margin = 27.05% (Net Income TTM 741.0m / Revenue TTM 2.74b)
Gross Margin = 83.33% ((Revenue TTM 2.74b - Cost of Revenue TTM 456.6m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 85.62% (prev 82.91%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.34 (Enterprise Value 22.08b / Total Assets 6.62b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.24% (Interest Expense 17.0m / Debt 1.37b)
Taxrate = 18.88% (82.6m / 437.4m)
NOPAT = 802.7m (EBIT 989.6m * (1 - 18.88%))
Current Ratio = 1.12 (Total Current Assets 1.38b / Total Current Liabilities 1.24b)
Debt / Equity = 0.36 (Debt 1.37b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.83b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.05 (Net Debt 1.19b / EBITDA 1.12b)
Debt / FCF = 1.38 (Net Debt 1.19b / FCF TTM 856.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.49b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 11.20% (Net Income 741.0m / Total Assets 6.62b)
RoE = 21.24% (Net Income TTM 741.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.49b)
RoCE = 21.23% (EBIT 989.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.49b + L.T.Debt 1.17b))
RoIC = 16.62% (NOPAT 802.7m / Invested Capital 4.83b)
WACC = 9.05% (E(20.89b)/V(22.26b) * Re(9.58%) + D(1.37b)/V(22.26b) * Rd(1.24%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Discount Rate = 9.58% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.18%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 76.61% ; FCFE base≈806.7m ; Y1≈995.1m ; Y5≈1.70b
Fair Price DCF = 183.8 (DCF Value 21.96b / Shares Outstanding 119.4m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 55.72 | EPS CAGR: 41.26% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 5
Revenue Correlation: 84.30 | Revenue CAGR: 19.54% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 3
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.97 | Chg30d=-0.004 | Revisions Net=+3 | Analysts=16
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=7.82 | Chg30d=+0.045 | Revisions Net=+15 | Growth EPS=-2.2% | Growth Revenue=+2.0%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=8.69 | Chg30d=+0.529 | Revisions Net=+9 | Growth EPS=+11.2% | Growth Revenue=+8.8%
Additional Sources for PTC Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle