PTON Stock Analysis: Peloton Interactive | NASDAQ
Leisure | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 2.379m USD | 12M Return: -33.4% | US70614W1009 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 49.8M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -96.5%
Qual. Beats: 2
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 6.8 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Peloton Interactive, Inc. (NASDAQ: PTON) is a connected fitness and wellness company that designs, manufactures, and distributes exercise equipment including the Peloton Bike, Bike+, Tread, Tread+, and Row. The company complements its hardware with a subscription-based model offering all-access, rental, and Peloton App memberships, creating a recurring revenue stream tied to its installed base of equipment. Distribution occurs through e-commerce, inside sales, retail showrooms, and third-party retailers, with additional revenue generated through equipment leasing. Founded in 2012 and headquartered in New York, Peloton operates primarily in North America with international expansion, and is classified within the Consumer Disconnected sector under the Leisure Products sub-industry.
- Connected Fitness subscriber growth and churn trends
- Hardware pricing cuts drive Bike and Tread demand
- Cost restructuring accelerates path to profitability amid competition
| Net Income: 63.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.19 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.96 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 39.43% < 20% (prev 25.44%; Δ 13.99% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.20 > 3% & CFO 404.5m > Net Income 63.2m |
| Net Debt (2.07b) to EBITDA (236.1m): 8.77 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.84 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (521.2m) vs 12m ago 29.52% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 52.60% > 18% (prev 50.92%; Δ 1.69% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 117.0% > 50% (prev 117.2%; Δ -0.20% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.51 > 6 (EBIT TTM 186.9m / Interest Expense TTM 123.8m) |
| A: 0.47 (Total Current Assets 1.49b - Total Current Liabilities 525.0m) / Total Assets 2.06b |
| B: -2.69 (Retained Earnings -5.54b / Total Assets 2.06b) |
| C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 186.9m / Avg Total Assets 2.09b) |
| D: -0.06 (Book Value of Equity -139.7m / Total Liabilities 2.20b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -5.17 = D |
| DSRI: 0.83 (Receivables 82.5m/101.2m, Revenue 2.45b/2.49b) |
| GMI: 0.97 (GM 50.92% / 52.60%) |
| AQI: 1.11 (AQ_t 0.06 / AQ_t-1 0.05) |
| SGI: 0.98 (Revenue 2.45b / 2.49b) |
| TATA: -0.17 (NI 63.2m - CFO 404.5m) / TA 2.06b) |
| Beneish M = -3.16 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of August 18, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 5.63 with a total of 3,982,116 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.88%, over one month by -10.49%, over three months by +6.23% and over the past year by -33.37%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 5.20 (which is 7.6% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).
Peloton Interactive has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.81. Therefore, it is recommended to buy PTON.
- StrongBuy: 9
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 11
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 8 | 42.6% |
P/E Trailing = 38.7143
P/E Forward = 18.3824
P/S = 0.9725
P/B = 100.1757
Revenue TTM = 2.45b USD
EBIT TTM = 186.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 236.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.29b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 72.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.12b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 410.2m
Net Debt = 2.07b USD (calculated: Debt 2.12b - CCE 49.8m)
Enterprise Value = 4.45b USD (2.38b + Debt 2.12b - CCE 49.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.51 (Ebit TTM 186.9m / Interest Expense TTM 123.8m)
EV/FCF = 11.27x (Enterprise Value 4.45b / FCF TTM 394.6m)
FCF Yield = 8.87% (FCF TTM 394.6m / Enterprise Value 4.45b)
FCF Margin = 16.13% (FCF TTM 394.6m / Revenue TTM 2.45b)
Net Margin = 2.58% (Net Income TTM 63.2m / Revenue TTM 2.45b)
Gross Margin = 52.60% ((Revenue TTM 2.45b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.16b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 56.66% (prev 51.86%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.16 (Enterprise Value 4.45b / Total Assets 2.06b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.84% (Interest Expense 123.8m / Debt 2.12b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = 147.7m (EBIT 186.9m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 2.84 (Total Current Assets 1.49b / Total Current Liabilities 525.0m)
Debt / Equity = -15.17 (negative equity) (Debt 2.12b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -139.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = 8.77 (Net Debt 2.07b / EBITDA 236.1m)
Debt / FCF = 5.25 (Net Debt 2.07b / FCF TTM 394.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -306.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.02% (Net Income 63.2m / Total Assets 2.06b)
RoE = -20.60% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 63.2m / Total Stockholder Equity -306.8m)
RoCE = 19.03% (EBIT 186.9m / Capital Employed (Equity -306.8m + L.T.Debt 1.29b))
RoIC = 9.50% (NOPAT 147.7m / Invested Capital 1.55b)
WACC = 7.96% (E(2.38b)/V(4.50b) * Re(10.95%) + D(2.12b)/V(4.50b) * Rd(5.84%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 10.95% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 86.64 | Cagr: 16.73%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈366.2m ; Y1≈419.8m ; Y5≈617.9m
[DCF] Fair Price = 17.09 (EV 9.30b - Net Debt 2.07b = Equity 7.23b / Shares 423.0m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.21 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -96.46 | Revenue CAGR: -5.25% | SUE: 0.88 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.11 | Chg30d=-0.09% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=10
EPS next Quarter (2026-12-31): EPS=0.02 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=10
EPS current Year (2027-06-30): EPS=0.31 | Chg30d=+12.97% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+124.0% | GrowthRev=-3.0%
EPS next Year (2028-06-30): EPS=0.35 | Chg30d=-4.19% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+10.2% | GrowthRev=-0.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +62% (up=5, down=0)