(PTON) Peloton Interactive - NASDAQ
Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Leisure | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 2.481m USD | Total Return: -10.5% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 58.9M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -97.5%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality
Peloton Interactive, Inc. (NASDAQ: PTON) is a connected fitness and wellness company that designs, manufactures, and distributes exercise equipment including the Peloton Bike, Bike+, Tread, Tread+, and Row. The company complements its hardware with a subscription-based model offering all-access, rental, and Peloton App memberships, creating a recurring revenue stream tied to its installed base of equipment. Distribution occurs through e-commerce, inside sales, retail showrooms, and third-party retailers, with additional revenue generated through equipment leasing. Founded in 2012 and headquartered in New York, Peloton operates primarily in North America with international expansion, and is classified within the Consumer Disconnected sector under the Leisure Products sub-industry.
- Connected Fitness subscriber growth and churn trends
- Hardware pricing cuts drive Bike and Tread demand
- Cost restructuring accelerates path to profitability amid competition
| Net Income: 23.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.19 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 7.39 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 25.92% < 20% (prev 20.91%; Δ 5.00% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.19 > 3% & CFO 413.7m > Net Income 23.2m |
| Net Debt (958.4m) to EBITDA (217.5m): 4.41 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.79 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (433.3m) vs 12m ago 9.97% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 51.96% > 18% (prev 49.54%; Δ 2.41% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 116.7% > 50% (prev 122.4%; Δ -5.70% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.20 > 6 (EBIT TTM 150.8m / Interest Expense TTM 125.7m) |
| A: 0.30 (Total Current Assets 1.44b - Total Current Liabilities 803.9m) / Total Assets 2.13b |
| B: -2.64 (Retained Earnings -5.60b / Total Assets 2.13b) |
| C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 150.8m / Avg Total Assets 2.10b) |
| D: -0.16 (Book Value of Equity -413.8m / Total Liabilities 2.54b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -6.33 = D |
| DSRI: 1.12 (Receivables 101.2m/93.6m, Revenue 2.45b/2.53b) |
| GMI: 0.95 (GM 49.54% / 51.96%) |
| AQI: 0.92 (AQ_t 0.05 / AQ_t-1 0.06) |
| SGI: 0.97 (Revenue 2.45b / 2.53b) |
| TATA: -0.18 (NI 23.2m - CFO 413.7m) / TA 2.13b) |
| Beneish M = -3.06 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of June 29, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 5.72 with a total of 14,048,684 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.87%, over one month by -0.87%, over three months by +40.54% and over the past year by -10.49%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 5.10 (which is 10.8% or 2 ATR below the current price).
Peloton Interactive has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.81. Therefore, it is recommended to buy PTON.
- StrongBuy: 9
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 11
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 8.1 | 41.4% |
P/E Trailing = 95.5
P/E Forward = 19.084
P/S = 1.0147
P/B = 100.1757
Revenue TTM = 2.45b USD
EBIT TTM = 150.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 217.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.29b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 278.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.00b USD (corrected: LT Debt 1.29b + ST Debt 278.6m) + Leases 429.9m
Net Debt = 958.4m USD (calculated: Debt 2.00b - CCE 1.04b)
Enterprise Value = 3.44b USD (2.48b + Debt 2.00b - CCE 1.04b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.20 (Ebit TTM 150.8m / Interest Expense TTM 125.7m)
EV/FCF = 8.57x (Enterprise Value 3.44b / FCF TTM 401.4m)
FCF Yield = 11.67% (FCF TTM 401.4m / Enterprise Value 3.44b)
FCF Margin = 16.42% (FCF TTM 401.4m / Revenue TTM 2.45b)
Net Margin = 0.95% (Net Income TTM 23.2m / Revenue TTM 2.45b)
Gross Margin = 51.96% ((Revenue TTM 2.45b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.17b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 51.86% (prev 50.48%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.62 (Enterprise Value 3.44b / Total Assets 2.13b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.29% (Interest Expense 125.7m / Debt 2.00b)
Taxrate = 7.97% (2.00m / 25.1m)
NOPAT = 138.8m (EBIT 150.8m * (1 - 7.97%))
Current Ratio = 1.79 (Total Current Assets 1.44b / Total Current Liabilities 803.9m)
Debt / Equity = -4.83 (negative equity) (Debt 2.00b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -413.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.41 (Net Debt 958.4m / EBITDA 217.5m)
Debt / FCF = 2.39 (Net Debt 958.4m / FCF TTM 401.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -375.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.11% (Net Income 23.2m / Total Assets 2.13b)
RoE = -6.18% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 23.2m / Total Stockholder Equity -375.3m)
RoCE = 16.50% (EBIT 150.8m / Capital Employed (Equity -375.3m + L.T.Debt 1.29b))
RoIC = 9.39% (NOPAT 138.8m / Invested Capital 1.48b)
WACC = 9.37% (E(2.48b)/V(4.48b) * Re(12.26%) + D(2.00b)/V(4.48b) * Rd(6.29%) * (1-Tc(0.08)))
Discount Rate = 12.26% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 95.56 | Cagr: 8.27%
[DCF] Terminal Value 74.73% ; FCFF base≈335.8m ; Y1≈384.9m ; Y5≈566.5m
[DCF] Fair Price = 15.01 (EV 7.22b - Net Debt 958.4m = Equity 6.26b / Shares 417.2m; r=9.37% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -97.51 | Revenue CAGR: -5.49% | SUE: 0.88 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.11 | Chg30d=+2.39% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=8
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=0.13 | Chg30d=+1.08% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=+143.6% | GrowthRev=-2.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -50%