(PTON) Peloton Interactive - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: NASDAQ •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US70614W1009
Bikes, Treads, Rowers, App, Memberships
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 80.6% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 116% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -12.28% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.24 |
| Alpha | -56.99 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.22 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.415 |
| Beta | 2.034 |
| Beta Downside | 2.295 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 83.04% |
| Mean DD | 58.19% |
| Median DD | 60.42% |
Description: PTON Peloton Interactive November 10, 2025
Peloton Interactive, Inc. (NASDAQ: PTON) designs, manufactures, and sells connected fitness hardware-including the Bike, Bike+, Tread, Tread+, and Row-and monetizes the ecosystem through all-access, rental, and standalone Peloton App memberships. The company distributes its products via its own e-commerce platform, physical showrooms, and third-party retailers, and it also offers leasing of Bike+ units. Founded in 2012 and headquartered in New York, Peloton operates primarily in North America but has a growing international presence.
Key recent metrics: FY 2023 revenue reached approximately $4.1 billion, with a subscriber base of roughly 2.5 million paying members and an estimated churn rate of 5 percent (subject to quarterly reporting variance). The business is sensitive to discretionary-spending cycles and supply-chain constraints, while competition from platform-based rivals such as Apple Fitness+ and emerging low-cost connected-bike providers exerts pressure on pricing and margin expansion.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of Peloton’s valuation dynamics, you may find the analytical tools on ValueRay worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (-104.2m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 147.3m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.18 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 17.15pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 29.20% (prev 23.97%; Δ 5.23pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.18 (>3.0%) and CFO 392.4m > Net Income -104.2m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-87.1m) to EBITDA (127.0m) ratio: -0.69 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.90 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (430.0m) change vs 12m ago 13.52% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 50.83% (prev 45.52%; Δ 5.31pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 113.5% (prev 124.7%; Δ -11.24pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 0.34 (EBITDA TTM 127.0m / Interest Expense TTM 131.4m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -8.41
| (A) 0.33 = (Total Current Assets 1.51b - Total Current Liabilities 795.0m) / Total Assets 2.17b |
| (B) -2.58 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -5.59b / Total Assets 2.17b |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: -2.58 — check mapping/units |
| (C) 0.02 = EBIT TTM 45.3m / Avg Total Assets 2.16b |
| (D) -2.22 = Book Value of Equity -5.58b / Total Liabilities 2.52b |
| Total Rating: -8.41 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 51.80
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 14.24% |
| 3. FCF Margin 15.49% |
| 4. Debt/Equity -2.93 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.69 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -6.62)% |
| 7. RoE 23.83% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -71.34% |
| 9. EPS Trend 91.47% |
What is the price of PTON shares?
As of December 05, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 6.56 with a total of 6,229,232 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.39%, over one month by -7.21%, over three months by -19.21% and over the past year by -31.24%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.39%, over one month by -7.21%, over three months by -19.21% and over the past year by -31.24%.
Is PTON a buy, sell or hold?
Peloton Interactive has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.67.
Therefor, it is recommend to hold PTON.
- Strong Buy: 7
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 12
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the PTON price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 10.4 | 59% |
| Analysts Target Price | 10.4 | 59% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 5.7 | -12.8% |
PTON Fundamental Data Overview November 26, 2025
Market Cap USD = 2.76b (2.76b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 11.655
P/S = 1.123
P/B = 15.9963
Beta = 2.465
Revenue TTM = 2.46b USD
EBIT TTM = 45.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 127.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.29b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 276.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.02b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -87.1m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.67b USD (2.76b + Debt 1.02b - CCE 1.10b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.34 (Ebit TTM 45.3m / Interest Expense TTM 131.4m)
FCF Yield = 14.24% (FCF TTM 380.4m / Enterprise Value 2.67b)
FCF Margin = 15.49% (FCF TTM 380.4m / Revenue TTM 2.46b)
Net Margin = -4.24% (Net Income TTM -104.2m / Revenue TTM 2.46b)
Gross Margin = 50.83% ((Revenue TTM 2.46b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.21b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 51.51% (prev 54.06%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.23 (Enterprise Value 2.67b / Total Assets 2.17b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.18% (Interest Expense 32.3m / Debt 1.02b)
Taxrate = 4.79% (700.0k / 14.6m)
NOPAT = 43.1m (EBIT 45.3m * (1 - 4.79%))
Current Ratio = 1.90 (Total Current Assets 1.51b / Total Current Liabilities 795.0m)
Debt / Equity = -2.93 (negative equity) (Debt 1.02b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -347.1m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.69 (Net Debt -87.1m / EBITDA 127.0m)
Debt / FCF = -0.23 (Net Debt -87.1m / FCF TTM 380.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -437.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -4.80% (Net Income -104.2m / Total Assets 2.17b)
RoE = 23.83% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM -104.2m / Total Stockholder Equity -437.3m)
RoCE = 5.31% (EBIT 45.3m / Capital Employed (Equity -437.3m + L.T.Debt 1.29b))
RoIC = 4.06% (NOPAT 43.1m / Invested Capital 1.06b)
WACC = 10.69% (E(2.76b)/V(3.77b) * Re(13.51%) + D(1.02b)/V(3.77b) * Rd(3.18%) * (1-Tc(0.05)))
Discount Rate = 13.51% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 8.94%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 50.19% ; FCFE base≈231.5m ; Y1≈152.0m ; Y5≈69.5m
Fair Price DCF = 1.79 (DCF Value 720.3m / Shares Outstanding 402.0m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 91.47 | EPS CAGR: 20.55% | SUE: 0.09 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -71.34 | Revenue CAGR: -17.51% | SUE: 0.90 | # QB: 2
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.05 | Chg30d=+0.021 | Revisions Net=+3 | Analysts=11
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=0.15 | Chg30d=+0.086 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=+150.0% | Growth Revenue=-0.5%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=0.20 | Chg30d=+0.055 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=+31.9% | Growth Revenue=+1.5%
P/E Forward = 11.655
P/S = 1.123
P/B = 15.9963
Beta = 2.465
Revenue TTM = 2.46b USD
EBIT TTM = 45.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 127.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.29b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 276.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.02b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -87.1m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.67b USD (2.76b + Debt 1.02b - CCE 1.10b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.34 (Ebit TTM 45.3m / Interest Expense TTM 131.4m)
FCF Yield = 14.24% (FCF TTM 380.4m / Enterprise Value 2.67b)
FCF Margin = 15.49% (FCF TTM 380.4m / Revenue TTM 2.46b)
Net Margin = -4.24% (Net Income TTM -104.2m / Revenue TTM 2.46b)
Gross Margin = 50.83% ((Revenue TTM 2.46b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.21b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 51.51% (prev 54.06%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.23 (Enterprise Value 2.67b / Total Assets 2.17b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.18% (Interest Expense 32.3m / Debt 1.02b)
Taxrate = 4.79% (700.0k / 14.6m)
NOPAT = 43.1m (EBIT 45.3m * (1 - 4.79%))
Current Ratio = 1.90 (Total Current Assets 1.51b / Total Current Liabilities 795.0m)
Debt / Equity = -2.93 (negative equity) (Debt 1.02b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -347.1m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.69 (Net Debt -87.1m / EBITDA 127.0m)
Debt / FCF = -0.23 (Net Debt -87.1m / FCF TTM 380.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -437.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -4.80% (Net Income -104.2m / Total Assets 2.17b)
RoE = 23.83% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM -104.2m / Total Stockholder Equity -437.3m)
RoCE = 5.31% (EBIT 45.3m / Capital Employed (Equity -437.3m + L.T.Debt 1.29b))
RoIC = 4.06% (NOPAT 43.1m / Invested Capital 1.06b)
WACC = 10.69% (E(2.76b)/V(3.77b) * Re(13.51%) + D(1.02b)/V(3.77b) * Rd(3.18%) * (1-Tc(0.05)))
Discount Rate = 13.51% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 8.94%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 50.19% ; FCFE base≈231.5m ; Y1≈152.0m ; Y5≈69.5m
Fair Price DCF = 1.79 (DCF Value 720.3m / Shares Outstanding 402.0m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 91.47 | EPS CAGR: 20.55% | SUE: 0.09 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -71.34 | Revenue CAGR: -17.51% | SUE: 0.90 | # QB: 2
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.05 | Chg30d=+0.021 | Revisions Net=+3 | Analysts=11
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=0.15 | Chg30d=+0.086 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=+150.0% | Growth Revenue=-0.5%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=0.20 | Chg30d=+0.055 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=+31.9% | Growth Revenue=+1.5%
Additional Sources for PTON Stock
News:
Wall Street Journal |
Benzinga |
Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle