PTON Stock Analysis: Peloton Interactive | NASDAQ
Leisure | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 2.159m USD | 12M Return: -39.9% | US70614W1009 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 43.7M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -96.5%
Qual. Beats: 2
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Peloton Interactive, Inc. is a U.S.-based connected fitness company that designs and sells exercise equipment-including indoor bikes, treadmills, and rowers-alongside a content-based membership subscription service. Founded in 2012 and headquartered in New York, the company operates across North America and select international markets, distributing its products through e-commerce, third-party retail, owned showrooms, and a commercial sales channel that serves gyms and hospitality through its Precor-branded equipment.
The business follows a hardware-plus-subscription model: customers purchase or rent connected equipment and then pay recurring fees for access to live and on-demand fitness classes via the Peloton App or all-access membership. This approach ties the company to the broader Consumer Discretionary leisure products category, where demand is sensitive to discretionary consumer spending and home-fitness trends. Since its 2019 IPO on the NASDAQ, Peloton has positioned itself as a direct-to-consumer brand competing in both the at-home fitness equipment and digital fitness content markets.
- Connected fitness subscribers decline pressures subscription revenue growth
- Hardware pricing competition compresses gross margins across bike and treadmill lineup
- Commercial and Precor segment expansion diversifies revenue beyond consumer market
| Net Income: 63.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.18 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.15 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 39.43% < 20% (prev 25.44%; Δ 13.99% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.19 > 3% & CFO 387.7m > Net Income 63.2m |
| Net Debt (2.07b) to EBITDA (236.1m): 8.77 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.84 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (521.2m) vs 12m ago 29.52% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 52.60% > 18% (prev 50.92%; Δ 1.69% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 117.0% > 50% (prev 117.2%; Δ -0.20% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.51 > 6 (EBIT TTM 186.9m / Interest Expense TTM 123.8m) |
| A: 0.47 (Total Current Assets 1.49b - Total Current Liabilities 525.0m) / Total Assets 2.06b |
| B: -2.69 (Retained Earnings -5.54b / Total Assets 2.06b) |
| C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 186.9m / Avg Total Assets 2.09b) |
| D: -0.06 (Book Value of Equity -139.7m / Total Liabilities 2.20b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -5.17 = D |
| DSRI: 0.83 (Receivables 82.5m/101.2m, Revenue 2.45b/2.49b) |
| GMI: 0.97 (GM 50.92% / 52.60%) |
| AQI: 1.11 (AQ_t 0.06 / AQ_t-1 0.05) |
| SGI: 0.98 (Revenue 2.45b / 2.49b) |
| TATA: -0.16 (NI 63.2m - CFO 387.7m) / TA 2.06b) |
| Beneish M = -3.16 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of October 06, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 5.01 with a total of 8,413,723 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.38%, over one month by -0.60%, over three months by -14.65% and over the past year by -39.93%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 4.70 (which is 6.2% or 1.6 ATR below the current price).
Peloton Interactive has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.65. Therefore, it is recommended to hold PTON.
- StrongBuy: 8
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 7.9 | 57.7% |
P/E Trailing = 35.1429
P/E Forward = 4.2772
P/S = 0.8828
P/B = 100.1757
Revenue TTM = 2.45b USD
EBIT TTM = 186.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 236.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.29b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 72.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.12b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 410.2m
Net Debt = 2.07b USD (calculated: Debt 2.12b - CCE 49.8m)
Enterprise Value = 4.23b USD (2.16b + Debt 2.12b - CCE 49.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.51 (Ebit TTM 186.9m / Interest Expense TTM 123.8m)
EV/FCF = 11.19x (Enterprise Value 4.23b / FCF TTM 377.8m)
FCF Yield = 8.93% (FCF TTM 377.8m / Enterprise Value 4.23b)
FCF Margin = 15.45% (FCF TTM 377.8m / Revenue TTM 2.45b)
Net Margin = 2.58% (Net Income TTM 63.2m / Revenue TTM 2.45b)
Gross Margin = 52.60% ((Revenue TTM 2.45b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.16b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 56.66% (prev 51.86%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.06 (Enterprise Value 4.23b / Total Assets 2.06b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.84% (Interest Expense 123.8m / Debt 2.12b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = 147.7m (EBIT 186.9m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 2.84 (Total Current Assets 1.49b / Total Current Liabilities 525.0m)
Debt / Equity = -15.17 (negative equity) (Debt 2.12b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -139.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = 8.77 (Net Debt 2.07b / EBITDA 236.1m)
Debt / FCF = 5.48 (Net Debt 2.07b / FCF TTM 377.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -306.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.02% (Net Income 63.2m / Total Assets 2.06b)
RoE = -20.60% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 63.2m / Total Stockholder Equity -306.8m)
RoCE = 19.03% (EBIT 186.9m / Capital Employed (Equity -306.8m + L.T.Debt 1.29b))
RoIC = 9.50% (NOPAT 147.7m / Invested Capital 1.55b)
WACC = 7.88% (E(2.16b)/V(4.28b) * Re(11.09%) + D(2.12b)/V(4.28b) * Rd(5.84%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 11.09% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 86.64 | Cagr: 16.73%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈356.2m ; Y1≈408.3m ; Y5≈600.9m
[DCF] Fair Price = 16.48 (EV 9.04b - Net Debt 2.07b = Equity 6.97b / Shares 423.0m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.21 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -96.46 | Revenue CAGR: -5.25% | SUE: 0.88 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.11 | Chg30d=-2.07% | Revisions=-29% | Analysts=11
EPS next Quarter (2026-12-31): EPS=0.02 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+50% | Analysts=11
EPS current Year (2027-06-30): EPS=0.32 | Chg30d=+1.18% | Revisions=+67% | GrowthEPS=+126.7% | GrowthRev=-3.3%
EPS next Year (2028-06-30): EPS=0.35 | Chg30d=+1.21% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+10.2% | GrowthRev=-0.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +46% (up=16, down=5)