(PTON) Peloton Interactive - Overview
Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Leisure | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 2.291m USD | Total Return: -15.9% in 12m
Stationary Bikes, Treadmills, Rowing Machines, Fitness Memberships
Total Rating 28
Safety 32
Buy Signal -0.28
Leisure
Industry Rotation: +4.1
Industry Rotation: +4.1
Market Cap:
2.29B
Avg Turnover: 60.2M
Avg Turnover: 60.2M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility78.1%
VaR 5th Pctl12.3%
VaR vs Median-4.13%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.02
Rel. Str. IBD24.6
Rel. Str. Peer Group19.4
Character TTM
Beta1.859
Beta Downside2.475
Hurst Exponent0.431
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD70.55%
CAGR/Max DD-0.14
CAGR/Mean DD-0.24
EPS (Earnings per Share)
EPS CAGR: 224.69%
EPS Trend: 89.2%
EPS Trend: 89.2%
Last SUE: 0.18
Qual. Beats: 0
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue
Rev. CAGR: -1.93%
Rev. Trend: -46.6%
Rev. Trend: -46.6%
Last SUE: 0.88
Qual. Beats: 0
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
P/E ratio 88.2
Altman Z'' -8.47 < 1.0 - financial distress zone
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Description: PTON Peloton Interactive
Peloton Interactive, Inc. (PTON) operates within the Leisure Products sub-industry, specializing in the connected fitness and wellness market. The company’s business model integrates hardware sales of stationary bikes, treadmills, and rowers with a recurring subscription-based service model that provides digital content to users. This dual-revenue approach is common among high-end fitness technology firms seeking to increase customer lifetime value through ongoing engagement.
The firm distributes its products through a multi-channel strategy including direct-to-consumer e-commerce, physical showrooms, and third-party retail partnerships. In addition to direct sales, Peloton has expanded its market reach by offering equipment rental programs and tiered app-based memberships that do not require proprietary hardware. For a deeper look into the companys valuation metrics, consider reviewing the latest data on ValueRay.
Headquartered in New York, Peloton serves both domestic and international markets. The connected fitness sector is characterized by high initial customer acquisition costs and a reliance on content production to maintain subscriber retention rates. The company continues to evolve its offerings to include diverse wellness services beyond traditional cardio equipment.
- Subscription revenue growth and churn rates determine long-term valuation
- Expansion of third-party retail partnerships impacts hardware sales volume
- Cost restructuring and debt refinancing efforts influence free cash flow
- Connected fitness hardware demand faces saturation in core markets
- App membership conversion rates drive high-margin services revenue growth
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict)
5.0
| Net Income: 23.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.19 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 7.39 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 25.92% < 20% (prev 20.91%; Δ 5.00% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.19 > 3% & CFO 413.7m > Net Income 23.2m |
| Net Debt (-9.80m) to EBITDA (217.5m): -0.05 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.79 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (433.3m) vs 12m ago 9.97% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 51.96% > 18% (prev 0.50%; Δ 5.15k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 116.7% > 50% (prev 122.4%; Δ -5.70% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.20 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 217.5m / Interest Expense TTM 125.7m) |
Altman Z''
-8.47
| A: 0.30 (Total Current Assets 1.44b - Total Current Liabilities 803.9m) / Total Assets 2.13b |
| B: -2.64 (Retained Earnings -5.60b / Total Assets 2.13b) |
| C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 150.8m / Avg Total Assets 2.10b) |
| D: -2.20 (Book Value of Equity -5.60b / Total Liabilities 2.54b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -8.47 = D |
Beneish M
-3.23
| DSRI: 1.12 (Receivables 101.2m/93.6m, Revenue 2.45b/2.53b) |
| GMI: 0.95 (GM 51.96% / 49.54%) |
| AQI: 0.92 (AQ_t 0.05 / AQ_t-1 0.06) |
| SGI: 0.97 (Revenue 2.45b / 2.53b) |
| TATA: -0.18 (NI 23.2m - CFO 413.7m) / TA 2.13b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.23 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of PTON shares?
As of May 18, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 5.29 with a total of 10,698,747 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -7.03%, over one month by +3.73%, over three months by +26.25% and over the past year by -15.90%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -7.03%, over one month by +3.73%, over three months by +26.25% and over the past year by -15.90%.
Is PTON a buy, sell or hold?
Peloton Interactive has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.67.
Therefor, it is recommend to hold PTON.
- StrongBuy: 7
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 12
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the PTON price?
| Analysts Target Price | 8 | 50.7% |
Peloton Interactive (PTON) - Fundamental Data Overview
as of 18 May 2026
P/E Trailing = 88.1667 P/E Forward = 16.2602
P/S = 0.9367
P/B = 100.1757
Revenue TTM = 2.45b USD
EBIT TTM = 150.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 217.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.29b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 278.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.57b USD (corrected: LT Debt 1.29b + ST Debt 278.6m)
Net Debt = -9.80m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.82b USD (2.29b + Debt 1.57b - CCE 1.04b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.20 (Ebit TTM 150.8m / Interest Expense TTM 125.7m)
EV/FCF = 7.02x (Enterprise Value 2.82b / FCF TTM 401.4m)
FCF Yield = 14.24% (FCF TTM 401.4m / Enterprise Value 2.82b)
FCF Margin = 16.42% (FCF TTM 401.4m / Revenue TTM 2.45b)
Net Margin = 0.95% (Net Income TTM 23.2m / Revenue TTM 2.45b)
Gross Margin = 51.96% ((Revenue TTM 2.45b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.17b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 51.86% (prev 50.48%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.33 (Enterprise Value 2.82b / Total Assets 2.13b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.91% (Interest Expense 30.0m / Debt 1.57b)
Taxrate = 1.49% (400k / 26.9m)
NOPAT = 148.6m (EBIT 150.8m * (1 - 1.49%))
Current Ratio = 1.79 (Total Current Assets 1.44b / Total Current Liabilities 803.9m)
Debt / Equity = -3.79 (negative equity) (Debt 1.57b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -413.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.05 (Net Debt -9.80m / EBITDA 217.5m)
Debt / FCF = -0.02 (Net Debt -9.80m / FCF TTM 401.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -375.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.11% (Net Income 23.2m / Total Assets 2.13b)
RoE = -6.18% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 23.2m / Total Stockholder Equity -375.3m)
RoCE = 16.50% (EBIT 150.8m / Capital Employed (Equity -375.3m + L.T.Debt 1.29b))
RoIC = 13.30% (NOPAT 148.6m / Invested Capital 1.12b)
WACC = 8.20% (E(2.29b)/V(3.86b) * Re(12.52%) + D(1.57b)/V(3.86b) * Rd(1.91%) * (1-Tc(0.01)))
Discount Rate = 12.52% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 95.56 | Cagr: 8.27%
[DCF] Terminal Value 69.78% ; FCFF base≈335.8m ; Y1≈220.4m ; Y5≈100.8m
[DCF] Fair Price = 4.65 (EV 1.93b - Net Debt -9.80m = Equity 1.94b / Shares 417.2m; r=8.20% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 89.24 | EPS CAGR: 224.7% | SUE: 0.18 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -46.62 | Revenue CAGR: -1.93% | SUE: 0.88 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.11 | Chg30d=-4.04% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=7
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=0.13 | Chg30d=-15.64% | Revisions=-54% | GrowthEPS=+144.0% | GrowthRev=-2.3%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=0.27 | Chg30d=-3.99% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+102.3% | GrowthRev=+0.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -54%