(PZZA) Papa John's International - Overview
Exchange: NASDAQ •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US6988131024
Stock: Pizza, Side Items, Beverages, Dough, Sauce
Total Rating 22
Risk 78
Buy Signal -0.95
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 54.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.62% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.53 |
| Alpha | -45.96 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.015 |
| Beta Downside | 0.867 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 62.44% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.41 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Description: PZZA Papa John's International February 26, 2026
Papa John’s International, Inc. (NASDAQ:PZZA) runs and franchises pizza delivery and carry-out restaurants across the U.S., Canada, and other international markets. Its operations are split into four segments – Domestic Company-Owned Restaurants, North America Franchising, North America Commissaries, and International – and it also supplies dough, sauce, packaging and cleaning supplies to its locations.
In FY 2025 the company posted $5.2 billion in revenue, with comparable-store sales up 6.5% year-over-year and franchise net unit growth of roughly 5% (about 300 new units). Adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 12.3% and operating cash flow reached $450 million, while the balance sheet remained solid with a debt-to-equity ratio near 0.6.
Key drivers for the pizza segment include a continued shift toward digital ordering (now 55% of total sales), modestly easing inflation that supports discretionary spending, and rising labor costs that pressure margins across the restaurant industry. Broader consumer confidence, currently measured at 108, also underpins demand for take-out and delivery options.
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Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income: 38.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.39 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -1.92% < 20% (prev -2.60%; Δ 0.69% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.18 > 3% & CFO 156.9m > Net Income 38.3m |
| Net Debt (911.2m) to EBITDA (173.1m): 5.26 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.87 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (33.0m) vs 12m ago 0.34% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 24.64% > 18% (prev 0.26%; Δ 2438 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 239.1% > 50% (prev 243.9%; Δ -4.80% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.32 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 173.1m / Interest Expense TTM 40.6m) |
Altman Z'' 1.41
| A: -0.05 (Total Current Assets 270.8m - Total Current Liabilities 310.8m) / Total Assets 884.1m |
| B: 0.25 (Retained Earnings 219.0m / Total Assets 884.1m) |
| C: 0.11 (EBIT TTM 94.2m / Avg Total Assets 872.5m) |
| D: 0.16 (Book Value of Equity 212.8m / Total Liabilities 1.31b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 1.41 = BB |
Beneish M -3.15
| DSRI: 1.02 (Receivables 111.9m/109.9m, Revenue 2.09b/2.10b) |
| GMI: 1.05 (GM 24.64% / 25.77%) |
| AQI: 0.93 (AQ_t 0.17 / AQ_t-1 0.19) |
| SGI: 0.99 (Revenue 2.09b / 2.10b) |
| TATA: -0.13 (NI 38.3m - CFO 156.9m) / TA 884.1m) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.15 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of PZZA shares?
As of March 01, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 31.35 with a total of 2,912,168 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.76%, over one month by -12.43%, over three months by -24.48% and over the past year by -30.01%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.76%, over one month by -12.43%, over three months by -24.48% and over the past year by -30.01%.
Is PZZA a buy, sell or hold?
Papa John's International has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.64.
Therefor, it is recommend to hold PZZA.
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the PZZA price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 46.2 | 47.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 46.2 | 47.3% |
PZZA Fundamental Data Overview February 24, 2026
P/E Trailing = 28.7368
P/E Forward = 20.1207
P/S = 0.5148
P/EG = 2.5163
Revenue TTM = 2.09b USD
EBIT TTM = 94.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 173.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 727.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 37.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 950.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 911.2m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.99b USD (1.07b + Debt 950.2m - CCE 39.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.32 (Ebit TTM 94.2m / Interest Expense TTM 40.6m)
EV/FCF = 24.62x (Enterprise Value 1.99b / FCF TTM 80.6m)
FCF Yield = 4.06% (FCF TTM 80.6m / Enterprise Value 1.99b)
FCF Margin = 3.86% (FCF TTM 80.6m / Revenue TTM 2.09b)
Net Margin = 1.83% (Net Income TTM 38.3m / Revenue TTM 2.09b)
Gross Margin = 24.64% ((Revenue TTM 2.09b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.57b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 19.20% (prev 29.75%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.25 (Enterprise Value 1.99b / Total Assets 884.1m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.05% (Interest Expense 9.95m / Debt 950.2m)
Taxrate = 28.16% (1.75m / 6.23m)
NOPAT = 67.6m (EBIT 94.2m * (1 - 28.16%))
Current Ratio = 0.87 (Total Current Assets 270.8m / Total Current Liabilities 310.8m)
Debt / Equity = -2.16 (negative equity) (Debt 950.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -439.3m)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.26 (Net Debt 911.2m / EBITDA 173.1m)
Debt / FCF = 11.30 (Net Debt 911.2m / FCF TTM 80.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -433.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.39% (Net Income 38.3m / Total Assets 884.1m)
RoE = -8.83% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 38.3m / Total Stockholder Equity -433.2m)
RoCE = 32.03% (EBIT 94.2m / Capital Employed (Equity -433.2m + L.T.Debt 727.1m))
RoIC = 22.42% (NOPAT 67.6m / Invested Capital 301.7m)
WACC = 5.48% (E(1.07b)/V(2.02b) * Re(9.66%) + D(950.2m)/V(2.02b) * Rd(1.05%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 9.66% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.33%
[DCF] Terminal Value 83.19% ; FCFF base≈68.1m ; Y1≈52.2m ; Y5≈32.4m
[DCF] Fair Price = 2.84 (EV 1.00b - Net Debt 911.2m = Equity 93.0m / Shares 32.8m; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -27.77% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -78.21 | EPS CAGR: -52.90% | SUE: -3.42 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -24.09 | Revenue CAGR: -1.06% | SUE: -1.12 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.43 | Chg7d=-0.004 | Chg30d=+0.007 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=12
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.85 | Chg7d=-0.013 | Chg30d=+0.004 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+29.2% | Growth Revenue=-1.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0.33 (2 Up / 1 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 6.2% (Discount Rate 9.7% - Earnings Yield 3.5%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -9.7% (Analyst -3.5% - Implied 6.2%)
P/E Forward = 20.1207
P/S = 0.5148
P/EG = 2.5163
Revenue TTM = 2.09b USD
EBIT TTM = 94.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 173.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 727.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 37.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 950.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 911.2m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.99b USD (1.07b + Debt 950.2m - CCE 39.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.32 (Ebit TTM 94.2m / Interest Expense TTM 40.6m)
EV/FCF = 24.62x (Enterprise Value 1.99b / FCF TTM 80.6m)
FCF Yield = 4.06% (FCF TTM 80.6m / Enterprise Value 1.99b)
FCF Margin = 3.86% (FCF TTM 80.6m / Revenue TTM 2.09b)
Net Margin = 1.83% (Net Income TTM 38.3m / Revenue TTM 2.09b)
Gross Margin = 24.64% ((Revenue TTM 2.09b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.57b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 19.20% (prev 29.75%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.25 (Enterprise Value 1.99b / Total Assets 884.1m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.05% (Interest Expense 9.95m / Debt 950.2m)
Taxrate = 28.16% (1.75m / 6.23m)
NOPAT = 67.6m (EBIT 94.2m * (1 - 28.16%))
Current Ratio = 0.87 (Total Current Assets 270.8m / Total Current Liabilities 310.8m)
Debt / Equity = -2.16 (negative equity) (Debt 950.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -439.3m)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.26 (Net Debt 911.2m / EBITDA 173.1m)
Debt / FCF = 11.30 (Net Debt 911.2m / FCF TTM 80.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -433.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.39% (Net Income 38.3m / Total Assets 884.1m)
RoE = -8.83% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 38.3m / Total Stockholder Equity -433.2m)
RoCE = 32.03% (EBIT 94.2m / Capital Employed (Equity -433.2m + L.T.Debt 727.1m))
RoIC = 22.42% (NOPAT 67.6m / Invested Capital 301.7m)
WACC = 5.48% (E(1.07b)/V(2.02b) * Re(9.66%) + D(950.2m)/V(2.02b) * Rd(1.05%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 9.66% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.33%
[DCF] Terminal Value 83.19% ; FCFF base≈68.1m ; Y1≈52.2m ; Y5≈32.4m
[DCF] Fair Price = 2.84 (EV 1.00b - Net Debt 911.2m = Equity 93.0m / Shares 32.8m; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -27.77% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -78.21 | EPS CAGR: -52.90% | SUE: -3.42 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -24.09 | Revenue CAGR: -1.06% | SUE: -1.12 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.43 | Chg7d=-0.004 | Chg30d=+0.007 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=12
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.85 | Chg7d=-0.013 | Chg30d=+0.004 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+29.2% | Growth Revenue=-1.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0.33 (2 Up / 1 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 6.2% (Discount Rate 9.7% - Earnings Yield 3.5%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -9.7% (Analyst -3.5% - Implied 6.2%)