(PZZA) Papa John's International - Ratings and Ratios
Pizza, Dipping Sauces, Breadsticks, Desserts, Wings
PZZA EPS (Earnings per Share)
PZZA Revenue
Description: PZZA Papa John's International
Papa Johns International Inc (NASDAQ:PZZA) is a US-based restaurant chain operator with a market capitalization of $1.44 billion. The companys stock is classified as common stock and operates within the Restaurants GICS sub-industry.
To evaluate PZZAs financial health, we can examine its income tax expense on a yearly basis. A thorough analysis of this metric can reveal trends in the companys profitability and tax management strategies. Key drivers influencing income tax expense include changes in pre-tax income, tax rates, and legislative reforms.
From a valuation perspective, PZZAs price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 19.34, while its forward P/E is 24.45. These metrics indicate that investors are willing to pay a premium for the companys expected future earnings growth. To contextualize this, we can compare PZZAs P/E to industry averages and assess its historical P/E trends.
Key performance indicators (KPIs) to monitor PZZAs financial performance include same-store sales growth, system-wide sales, and operating margin expansion. Economic drivers influencing the companys success comprise consumer spending habits, competitive landscape, and macroeconomic conditions such as GDP growth and inflation rates.
To further deconstruct PZZAs financials, we can analyze its return on equity (ROE), although the provided data indicates that this metric is not available. Instead, we can focus on other profitability metrics, such as net income margin and operating cash flow generation. By examining these KPIs and economic drivers, we can better understand the underlying factors influencing PZZAs stock performance.
PZZA Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 1,551m |
| Sub-Industry | Restaurants |
| IPO / Inception | 1993-06-08 |
PZZA Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | -31.7% |
| Fundamental | 51.4% |
| Dividend Rating | 74.4% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -10.6% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.64 of 5 |
PZZA Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 3.78% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.55% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 19.58% |
| Payout Consistency | 99.2% |
| Payout Ratio | 100.6% |
PZZA Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 45.6% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 2.4% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | -86% |
| CAGR 5y | -9.95% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | -0.15 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | -0.29 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.18 |
| Alpha | -15.00 |
| Beta | 1.091 |
| Volatility | 45.58% |
| Current Volume | 3958.3k |
| Average Volume 20d | 879.2k |
| Stop Loss | 46.7 (-4.1%) |
| Signal | 1.22 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income (75.1m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 125.1m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -1.88pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -2.59% (prev -2.34%; Δ -0.25pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.15 (>3.0%) and CFO 131.5m > Net Income 75.1m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (933.4m) to EBITDA (215.3m) ratio: 4.34 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.82 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (33.0m) change vs 12m ago 0.35% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 24.23% (prev 17.82%; Δ 6.41pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 241.2% (prev 252.4%; Δ -11.17pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 3.49 (EBITDA TTM 215.3m / Interest Expense TTM 41.3m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.74
| (A) -0.06 = (Total Current Assets 238.8m - Total Current Liabilities 292.7m) / Total Assets 890.4m |
| (B) 0.26 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 229.9m / Total Assets 890.4m |
| (C) 0.17 = EBIT TTM 144.0m / Avg Total Assets 864.4m |
| (D) 0.17 = Book Value of Equity 224.4m / Total Liabilities 1.31b |
| Total Rating: 1.74 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 51.40
| 1. Piotroski 3.0pt = -2.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.33% = 1.17 |
| 3. FCF Margin 2.78% = 0.69 |
| 4. Debt/Equity -2.24 = -2.50 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 4.34 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 26.56)% = 12.50 |
| 7. RoE -17.59% = -2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 1.53% = 0.12 |
| 9. EPS Trend -71.46% = -3.57 |
What is the price of PZZA shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +9.30%, over one month by -1.89%, over three months by +4.81% and over the past year by +2.59%.
Is Papa John's International a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of PZZA is around 45.47 USD . This means that PZZA is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -6.59%.
Is PZZA a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the PZZA price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 52.1 | 7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 52.1 | 7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 49.8 | 2.3% |
Last update: 2025-10-06 02:01
PZZA Fundamental Data Overview
P/E Trailing = 20.7632
P/E Forward = 20.1207
P/S = 0.7438
P/EG = 2.5163
Beta = 1.091
Revenue TTM = 2.09b USD
EBIT TTM = 144.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 215.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 726.3m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 37.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 966.7m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 933.4m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.48b USD (1.55b + Debt 966.7m - CCE 33.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.49 (Ebit TTM 144.0m / Interest Expense TTM 41.3m)
FCF Yield = 2.33% (FCF TTM 57.9m / Enterprise Value 2.48b)
FCF Margin = 2.78% (FCF TTM 57.9m / Revenue TTM 2.09b)
Net Margin = 3.60% (Net Income TTM 75.1m / Revenue TTM 2.09b)
Gross Margin = 24.23% ((Revenue TTM 2.09b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.58b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 17.88% (prev 29.29%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.79 (Enterprise Value 2.48b / Total Assets 890.4m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.10% (Interest Expense 10.6m / Debt 966.7m)
Taxrate = 30.45% (4.24m / 13.9m)
NOPAT = 100.1m (EBIT 144.0m * (1 - 30.45%))
Current Ratio = 0.82 (Total Current Assets 238.8m / Total Current Liabilities 292.7m)
Debt / Equity = -2.24 (negative equity) (Debt 966.7m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -432.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.34 (Net Debt 933.4m / EBITDA 215.3m)
Debt / FCF = 16.12 (Net Debt 933.4m / FCF TTM 57.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -427.0m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.43% (Net Income 75.1m / Total Assets 890.4m)
RoE = -17.59% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 75.1m / Total Stockholder Equity -427.0m)
RoCE = 48.12% (EBIT 144.0m / Capital Employed (Equity -427.0m + L.T.Debt 726.3m))
RoIC = 33.04% (NOPAT 100.1m / Invested Capital 303.1m)
WACC = 6.48% (E(1.55b)/V(2.52b) * Re(10.04%) + D(966.7m)/V(2.52b) * Rd(1.10%) * (1-Tc(0.30)))
Discount Rate = 10.04% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.21%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 62.10% ; FCFE base≈62.8m ; Y1≈41.4m ; Y5≈19.1m
Fair Price DCF = 8.50 (DCF Value 278.3m / Shares Outstanding 32.8m; 5y FCF grow -39.76% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -71.46 | EPS CAGR: -60.47% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 1.53 | Revenue CAGR: 1.31% | SUE: 0.91 | # QB: 1
Additional Sources for PZZA Stock
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