(PZZA) Papa John's International - Ratings and Ratios
Pizza, Dough, Sauce, Beverages, Supplies
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 4.37% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.60% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 19.58% |
| Payout Consistency | 99.2% |
| Payout Ratio | 107.0% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 53.8% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 82.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -6.84% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.00 |
| Alpha | -25.71 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.27 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.540 |
| Beta | 0.819 |
| Beta Downside | 1.064 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 66.25% |
| Mean DD | 35.90% |
| Median DD | 40.89% |
Description: PZZA Papa John's International November 12, 2025
Papa Johns International, Inc. (NASDAQ:PZZA) operates and franchises pizza delivery and carry-out restaurants under the Papa John’s brand across the United States, Canada, and other international markets. The business is organized into four reporting segments: Domestic Company-Owned Restaurants, North America Franchising, North America Commissaries, and International, each contributing to revenue through restaurant sales, franchise fees, and supply-chain services such as sauce, dough, and cleaning supplies.
Key performance indicators from the most recent FY 2023 filing show a 4.2% same-store sales growth in the United States, a franchisee base of approximately 5,200 locations, and an average unit volume (AUV) of roughly $1.1 million per restaurant. The company’s operating margin improved to 8.5% after a cost-saving initiative that reduced commodity input prices (e.g., cheese and wheat) by 3% year-over-year.
Economic drivers that materially affect Papa John’s include discretionary consumer spending trends, labor cost inflation, and the price volatility of core ingredients. On the sector side, the acceleration of digital ordering and third-party delivery partnerships continues to boost order frequency and average ticket size, a trend that the firm has leveraged through its proprietary online platform and loyalty program.
Given these dynamics, a deeper dive into Papa John’s valuation metrics-such as price-to-sales, franchise royalty yields, and cash-flow conversion-can be efficiently explored on ValueRay, where you’ll find the data and tools needed to test these assumptions further.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.0
| Net Income (38.3m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 125.2m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.09 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 3.39pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -1.92% (prev -2.60%; Δ 0.69pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.18 (>3.0%) and CFO 156.9m > Net Income 38.3m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (911.2m) to EBITDA (173.1m) ratio: 5.26 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.87 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (33.0m) change vs 12m ago 0.34% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 24.64% (prev 25.77%; Δ -1.13pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 239.1% (prev 243.9%; Δ -4.80pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.32 (EBITDA TTM 173.1m / Interest Expense TTM 40.6m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.41
| (A) -0.05 = (Total Current Assets 270.8m - Total Current Liabilities 310.8m) / Total Assets 884.1m |
| (B) 0.25 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 219.0m / Total Assets 884.1m |
| (C) 0.11 = EBIT TTM 94.2m / Avg Total Assets 872.5m |
| (D) 0.16 = Book Value of Equity 212.8m / Total Liabilities 1.31b |
| Total Rating: 1.41 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 50.26
| 1. Piotroski 2.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.60% |
| 3. FCF Margin 3.86% |
| 4. Debt/Equity -2.16 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 5.26 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 16.85)% |
| 7. RoE -8.83% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -23.98% |
| 9. EPS Trend -74.64% |
What is the price of PZZA shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.52%, over one month by -18.05%, over three months by -10.75% and over the past year by -11.72%.
Is PZZA a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the PZZA price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 47.8 | 13.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 47.8 | 13.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 38.6 | -8.3% |
PZZA Fundamental Data Overview November 26, 2025
P/E Trailing = 35.5
P/E Forward = 19.5695
P/S = 0.636
P/EG = 2.4459
Beta = 1.132
Revenue TTM = 2.09b USD
EBIT TTM = 94.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 173.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 727.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 37.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 950.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 911.2m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.24b USD (1.33b + Debt 950.2m - CCE 39.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.32 (Ebit TTM 94.2m / Interest Expense TTM 40.6m)
FCF Yield = 3.60% (FCF TTM 80.6m / Enterprise Value 2.24b)
FCF Margin = 3.86% (FCF TTM 80.6m / Revenue TTM 2.09b)
Net Margin = 1.83% (Net Income TTM 38.3m / Revenue TTM 2.09b)
Gross Margin = 24.64% ((Revenue TTM 2.09b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.57b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 19.20% (prev 29.75%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.53 (Enterprise Value 2.24b / Total Assets 884.1m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.05% (Interest Expense 9.95m / Debt 950.2m)
Taxrate = 28.16% (1.75m / 6.23m)
NOPAT = 67.6m (EBIT 94.2m * (1 - 28.16%))
Current Ratio = 0.87 (Total Current Assets 270.8m / Total Current Liabilities 310.8m)
Debt / Equity = -2.16 (negative equity) (Debt 950.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -439.3m)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.26 (Net Debt 911.2m / EBITDA 173.1m)
Debt / FCF = 11.30 (Net Debt 911.2m / FCF TTM 80.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -433.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.33% (Net Income 38.3m / Total Assets 884.1m)
RoE = -8.83% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 38.3m / Total Stockholder Equity -433.2m)
RoCE = 32.03% (EBIT 94.2m / Capital Employed (Equity -433.2m + L.T.Debt 727.1m))
RoIC = 22.42% (NOPAT 67.6m / Invested Capital 301.7m)
WACC = 5.58% (E(1.33b)/V(2.28b) * Re(9.03%) + D(950.2m)/V(2.28b) * Rd(1.05%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 9.03% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.33%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 69.71% ; FCFE base≈68.1m ; Y1≈52.2m ; Y5≈32.5m
Fair Price DCF = 15.77 (DCF Value 517.1m / Shares Outstanding 32.8m; 5y FCF grow -27.77% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -74.64 | EPS CAGR: -20.32% | SUE: -1.29 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -23.98 | Revenue CAGR: -1.06% | SUE: -1.12 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for PZZA Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle