(QMCO) Quantum - Overview
Stock: Storage, Software, Backup, Archive, Tape
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 238% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -20.6% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.47 |
| Alpha | -101.01 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 2.143 |
| Beta Downside | 1.897 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 92.98% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.45 |
Description: QMCO Quantum December 22, 2025
Quantum Corporation (NASDAQ: QMCO) designs, manufactures, and services storage and data-management solutions for unstructured data, serving customers across the Americas, EMEA, and APAC. Its portfolio spans all-flash file and object storage (Myriad), video-surveillance platforms, hybrid flash/disk systems (StorNext), media asset management (CatDV), scalable object storage (ActiveScale), backup appliances (DXi), and long-term tape archiving (Scalar), plus associated services and Quantum-as-a-Service offerings.
The company targets high-growth workloads such as AI/ML, data analytics, and media production, where demand for low-latency, high-capacity storage is expanding. In Q3 2024 Quantum reported revenue of roughly $215 million, up about 15 % year-over-year, driven largely by increased sales of Myriad and ActiveScale to hyperscalers and enterprise AI teams. The firm’s backlog exceeded $500 million, indicating strong forward-order flow despite ongoing supply-chain constraints in NAND and tape media.
Sector-wide, the global data-storage market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 9-10 % through 2029, propelled by exponential growth in video content, edge-AI deployments, and regulatory pressure for secure long-term archiving. Quantum’s partnership with Entanglement, Inc. positions it to tap emerging post-quantum security and data-sovereignty niches, which could become material differentiators as enterprises adopt quantum-resistant solutions.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of Quantum’s valuation and risk profile, consider exploring the detailed analyst models on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.0
| Net Income: -144.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.31 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -17.69 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -58.48% < 20% (prev -9.03%; Δ -49.46% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.28 > 3% & CFO -38.9m > Net Income -144.4m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 0.37 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (11.3m) vs 12m ago 135.1% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 38.84% > 18% (prev 0.39%; Δ 3845 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 172.3% > 50% (prev 174.8%; Δ -2.49% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -4.35 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -112.1m / Interest Expense TTM 26.4m) |
Altman Z'' -15.00
| A: -1.10 (Total Current Assets 90.1m - Total Current Liabilities 241.7m) / Total Assets 137.7m |
| B: -7.31 (Retained Earnings -1.01b / Total Assets 137.7m) |
| C: -0.76 (EBIT TTM -115.1m / Avg Total Assets 150.4m) |
| D: -3.38 (Book Value of Equity -1.01b / Total Liabilities 298.2m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -39.73 = D |
Beneish M -3.91
| DSRI: 0.95 (Receivables 43.9m/51.1m, Revenue 259.2m/285.2m) |
| GMI: 1.01 (GM 38.84% / 39.24%) |
| AQI: 1.01 (AQ_t 0.21 / AQ_t-1 0.21) |
| SGI: 0.91 (Revenue 259.2m / 285.2m) |
| TATA: -0.77 (NI -144.4m - CFO -38.9m) / TA 137.7m) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.91 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
What is the price of QMCO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.00%, over one month by -26.28%, over three months by -26.83% and over the past year by -70.40%.
Is QMCO a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the QMCO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 11.5 | 95.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 11.5 | 95.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 3.6 | -39.6% |
QMCO Fundamental Data Overview February 05, 2026
P/S = 0.3977
Revenue TTM = 259.2m USD
EBIT TTM = -115.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = -112.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 8.60m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 99.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 108.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 93.6m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 187.8m USD (94.2m + Debt 108.2m - CCE 14.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -4.35 (Ebit TTM -115.1m / Interest Expense TTM 26.4m)
EV/FCF = -4.45x (Enterprise Value 187.8m / FCF TTM -42.2m)
FCF Yield = -22.49% (FCF TTM -42.2m / Enterprise Value 187.8m)
FCF Margin = -16.29% (FCF TTM -42.2m / Revenue TTM 259.2m)
Net Margin = -55.70% (Net Income TTM -144.4m / Revenue TTM 259.2m)
Gross Margin = 38.84% ((Revenue TTM 259.2m - Cost of Revenue TTM 158.6m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 37.55% (prev 35.33%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.36 (Enterprise Value 187.8m / Total Assets 137.7m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.75% (Interest Expense 6.23m / Debt 108.2m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -90.9m (EBIT -115.1m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.37 (Total Current Assets 90.1m / Total Current Liabilities 241.7m)
Debt / Equity = -0.67 (negative equity) (Debt 108.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -160.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.83 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 93.6m / EBITDA -112.1m)
Debt / FCF = -2.22 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 93.6m / FCF TTM -42.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -158.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -96.00% (Net Income -144.4m / Total Assets 137.7m)
RoE = 91.06% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM -144.4m / Total Stockholder Equity -158.6m)
RoCE = 76.72% (negative capital employed) (EBIT -115.1m / Capital Employed (Equity -158.6m + L.T.Debt 8.60m))
RoIC = 203.4% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -90.9m / Invested Capital -44.7m)
WACC = 8.86% (E(94.2m)/V(202.4m) * Re(13.81%) + D(108.2m)/V(202.4m) * Rd(5.75%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 13.81% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 53.36%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -42.2m)
EPS Correlation: -76.83 | EPS CAGR: -80.13% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -88.71 | Revenue CAGR: -10.57% | SUE: 0.17 | # QB: 0
EPS next Year (2027-03-31): EPS=-0.56 | Chg30d=-1.870 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=+71.0% | Growth Revenue=+5.3%