(REKR) Rekor Systems - Overview
Stock: Command, Discover, Scout, Edge Series
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 79.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.27% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.57 |
| Alpha | -93.75 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 2.200 |
| Beta Downside | 2.078 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 83.26% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.24 |
Description: REKR Rekor Systems January 18, 2026
Rekor Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ: REKR) delivers a portfolio of hardware and software solutions that capture, analyze, and act on roadway and vehicle data for public-safety, urban-mobility, and transportation-management customers across the United States and select international markets.
The core offerings include the Rekor One intelligence engine, Rekor Command traffic-management platform, Rekor Discover mobility analytics, Rekor Scout public-safety tools, and AI-driven vehicle/license-plate recognition products such as Rekor CarCheck and the Edge family (Max, Pro, Flex) that span fixed, standalone, and portable deployments.
Key market signals that could influence REKR’s growth trajectory: (1) the intelligent transportation systems (ITS) market is projected to expand at a ~9% CAGR through 2030, driven by federal infrastructure spending and state-level smart-city initiatives; (2) REKR reported Q4 2023 revenue of $12.4 million, up 28% YoY, with a 62% gross margin, indicating improving pricing power and cost efficiencies; (3) recent contracts with two major metropolitan police departments and a pilot with a regional DOT suggest expanding adoption, though the company’s reliance on a limited number of large contracts adds concentration risk.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of REKR’s valuation assumptions, you may find ValueRay’s analytical framework useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.5
| Net Income: -44.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.35 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.09 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 14.19% < 20% (prev -16.86%; Δ 31.06% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.31 > 3% & CFO -25.5m > Net Income -44.0m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 1.45 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (125.6m) vs 12m ago 40.72% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 53.94% > 18% (prev 0.44%; Δ 5350 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 53.83% > 50% (prev 43.30%; Δ 10.53% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -17.87 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -34.8m / Interest Expense TTM 2.35m) |
Altman Z'' -15.00
| A: 0.09 (Total Current Assets 22.5m - Total Current Liabilities 15.5m) / Total Assets 81.0m |
| B: -3.50 (Retained Earnings -283.8m / Total Assets 81.0m) |
| C: -0.46 (EBIT TTM -41.9m / Avg Total Assets 91.1m) |
| D: -6.38 (Book Value of Equity -283.8m / Total Liabilities 44.5m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -20.65 = D |
Beneish M -2.91
| DSRI: 1.59 (Receivables 12.6m/7.07m, Revenue 49.0m/43.8m) |
| GMI: 0.82 (GM 53.94% / 44.14%) |
| AQI: 0.90 (AQ_t 0.48 / AQ_t-1 0.53) |
| SGI: 1.12 (Revenue 49.0m / 43.8m) |
| TATA: -0.23 (NI -44.0m - CFO -25.5m) / TA 81.0m) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.91 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of REKR shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -15.32%, over one month by -39.35%, over three months by -56.48% and over the past year by -62.25%.
Is REKR a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the REKR price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 4 | 325.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 4 | 325.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 0.8 | -16% |
REKR Fundamental Data Overview February 02, 2026
P/B = 4.1238
Revenue TTM = 49.0m USD
EBIT TTM = -41.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = -34.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 14.9m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 3.08m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 29.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 26.8m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 177.9m USD (151.1m + Debt 29.9m - CCE 3.16m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -17.87 (Ebit TTM -41.9m / Interest Expense TTM 2.35m)
EV/FCF = -6.27x (Enterprise Value 177.9m / FCF TTM -28.4m)
FCF Yield = -15.96% (FCF TTM -28.4m / Enterprise Value 177.9m)
FCF Margin = -57.90% (FCF TTM -28.4m / Revenue TTM 49.0m)
Net Margin = -89.82% (Net Income TTM -44.0m / Revenue TTM 49.0m)
Gross Margin = 53.94% ((Revenue TTM 49.0m - Cost of Revenue TTM 22.6m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 63.40% (prev 49.47%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.20 (Enterprise Value 177.9m / Total Assets 81.0m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.90% (Interest Expense 568.0k / Debt 29.9m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -33.1m (EBIT -41.9m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.45 (Total Current Assets 22.5m / Total Current Liabilities 15.5m)
Debt / Equity = 0.82 (Debt 29.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 36.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.77 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 26.8m / EBITDA -34.8m)
Debt / FCF = -0.94 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 26.8m / FCF TTM -28.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 34.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -48.34% (Net Income -44.0m / Total Assets 81.0m)
RoE = -126.4% (Net Income TTM -44.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 34.8m)
RoCE = -84.30% (EBIT -41.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 34.8m + L.T.Debt 14.9m))
RoIC = -65.88% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -33.1m / Invested Capital 50.3m)
WACC = 11.95% (E(151.1m)/V(181.0m) * Re(14.02%) + D(29.9m)/V(181.0m) * Rd(1.90%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 14.02% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 34.77%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -28.4m)
EPS Correlation: 60.35 | EPS CAGR: 10.67% | SUE: 0.50 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 86.83 | Revenue CAGR: 48.91% | SUE: 0.82 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.04 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.04 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+80.0% | Growth Revenue=+21.0%