RGTI Stock Analysis: Rigetti Computing | NASDAQ

Computer Hardware | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 6.473m USD | 12M Return: 33.4% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Quantum Computers, Quantum Processing Units, Cloud Services, Foundry Services
Total Rating 23
Safety 35
Buy Signal -1.15
Computer Hardware
Industry Rotation: -73.9
Market Cap: 6.47B
Avg Turnover: 759M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility94.5%
VaR 5th Pctl14.6%
VaR vs Median-6.13%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.77
Rel. Str. IBD25
Rel. Str. Peer Group39.7
Character TTM
Beta2.549
Beta Downside1.222
Hurst Exponent0.468
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD78.83%
CAGR/Max DD1.75
CAGR/Mean DD2.70
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of RGTI over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": -0.0567, "2021-09": 0.1082, "2021-12": -0.5619, "2022-03": -0.3286, "2022-06": -0.09, "2022-09": -0.16, "2022-12": -0.1876, "2023-03": -0.19, "2023-06": -0.13, "2023-09": -0.17, "2023-12": -0.0411, "2024-03": -0.14, "2024-06": -0.07, "2024-09": -0.0787, "2024-12": -0.68, "2025-03": -0.0759, "2025-06": -0.0536, "2025-09": -0.03, "2025-12": -0.03, "2026-03": -0.0614,
Last SUE: -0.12
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of RGTI over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 1.54, 2021-09: 2.919, 2021-12: 1.377, 2022-03: 2.104, 2022-06: 2.134, 2022-09: 2.804, 2022-12: 6.06, 2023-03: 2.201, 2023-06: 3.327, 2023-09: 3.105, 2023-12: 3.376, 2024-03: 3.052, 2024-06: 3.086, 2024-09: 2.378, 2024-12: 2.274, 2025-03: 1.472, 2025-06: 1.801, 2025-09: 1.947, 2025-12: 1.868, 2026-03: 4.4,
Rev. CAGR: -21.50%
Rev. Trend: -87.3%
Last SUE: 0.69
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Beneish M-Score Likely Earnings Manipulation
Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 5.2 years of data

Jan +2.8% 0
Feb -2.7% 0
Mar -8.0% 0
Apr +10.7% 0
May +37.9% 38
Jun +0.9% 0
Jul +18.5% 41
Aug -6.4% 34
Sep -15.0% 14
Oct +20.2% 16
Nov -18.1% 0
Dec -10.6% 14

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: RGTI Rigetti Computing

Rigetti Computing (RGTI) designs, builds, and operates full-stack quantum computers based on superconducting quantum processors, serving commercial, government, defense, and academic customers across the U.S., U.K., Europe, and Asia. Founded in 2013 and headquartered in Berkeley, California, the company went public on NASDAQ in April 2021 and currently sits in the mid-cap range.

The company sells both on-premises quantum processing units (QPUs) and cloud-based access to its systems under a Quantum Computing-as-a-Service (QCaaS) model. Its hardware lineup includes the Novera 9-qubit and 5-qubit QPUs, the 36-qubit Cepheus-1-36Q multi-chip system, and the 84-qubit Ankaa-3 quantum computer, all built on its proprietary Ankaa-class architecture.

Beyond hardware, Rigetti offers a quantum cloud services platform supporting public and private cloud integration, the QCS Outpost system management software, Rigetti Foundry Services for fabricating superconducting quantum chips for third-party research, and professional services covering algorithm development, benchmarking, and quantum application programming. Superconducting qubits remain one of the more mature and heavily funded modalities in the broader quantum computing sector, competing with trapped-ion, neutral-atom, and photonic approaches.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Government defense contracts drive quantum computing revenue
  • Competition from IBM and Google intensifies in quantum race
  • ATM equity offerings dilute shareholders amid high cash burn
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 0.0
Net Income: -225.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.13 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 9.48 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 3.70k% < 20% (prev 2.20k%; Δ 1.49k% < -1%)
CFO/TA -0.09 > 3% & CFO -61.1m > Net Income -225.7m
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 6.98 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (335.4m) vs 12m ago 11.22% < -2%
Gross Margin: -19.84% > 18% (prev 50.37%; Δ -70.21% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 2.18% > 50% (prev 3.42%; Δ -1.24% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBIT TTM and Interest Expense TTM)
Altman Z'' 5.87
A: 0.57 (Total Current Assets 432.2m - Total Current Liabilities 61.9m) / Total Assets 650.7m
B: -1.13 (Retained Earnings -737.8m / Total Assets 650.7m)
C: -0.49 (EBIT TTM -225.7m / Avg Total Assets 459.9m)
D: 8.70 (Book Value of Equity 583.6m / Total Liabilities 67.1m)
Altman-Z'' = 5.87 = AAA
Beneish M 1.00
DSRI: 3.0 (Receivables 4.38m/1.07m, Revenue 10.0m/9.21m)
GMI: 1.00 (fallback, negative margins)
AQI: 59.97 (AQ_t 0.24 / AQ_t-1 0.00)
SGI: 1.09 (Revenue 10.0m / 9.21m)
TATA: -0.25 (NI -225.7m - CFO -61.1m) / TA 650.7m)
Beneish M = 33.62 (Cap -4..+1) = D
What is the price of RGTI shares?

As of July 05, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 17.94 with a total of 25,314,000 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.55%, over one month by -25.54%, over three months by +26.34% and over the past year by +33.38%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 13.70 (which is 23.6% or 2.1 ATR below the current price).

Is RGTI a buy, sell or hold?

Rigetti Computing has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.83. Therefore, it is recommended to buy RGTI.

  • StrongBuy: 5
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the RGTI price?
Analysts Target Price 29.7 65.3%
Rigetti Computing (RGTI) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 02 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 6.47b (6.47b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/S = 646.3126
P/B = 11.0041
Revenue TTM = 10.0m USD
EBIT TTM = -225.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = -216.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 4.51m USD (estimated: total debt 6.78m - short term 2.27m)
Short Term Debt = 2.27m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 6.78m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 6.78m already included)
Net Debt = -411.5m USD (calculated: Debt 6.78m - CCE 418.2m)
Enterprise Value = 6.06b USD (6.47b + Debt 6.78m - CCE 418.2m)
 Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM -225.7m / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
 EV/FCF = -74.25x (Enterprise Value 6.06b / FCF TTM -81.6m)
FCF Yield = -1.35% (FCF TTM -81.6m / Enterprise Value 6.06b)
 FCF Margin = -815.2% (FCF TTM -81.6m / Revenue TTM 10.0m)
 Net Margin = -2.25k% (Net Income TTM -225.7m / Revenue TTM 10.0m)
 Gross Margin = -19.84% ((Revenue TTM 10.0m - Cost of Revenue TTM 12.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -28.11% (prev -92.08%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 9.32 (Enterprise Value 6.06b / Total Assets 650.7m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 6.78m)
Taxrate = 0.0% (0.0 / 33.1m)
NOPAT = -225.7m (EBIT -225.7m * (1 - 0.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 6.98 (Total Current Assets 432.2m / Total Current Liabilities 61.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.01 (Debt 6.78m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 583.6m)
 Debt / EBITDA = 1.90 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -411.5m / EBITDA -216.8m)
 Debt / FCF = 5.04 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -411.5m / FCF TTM -81.6m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 513.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -49.08% (Net Income -225.7m / Total Assets 650.7m)
RoE = -43.94% (Net Income TTM -225.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 513.7m)
RoCE = -43.56% (EBIT -225.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 513.7m + L.T.Debt 4.51m))
 RoIC = -38.22% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -225.7m / Invested Capital 590.6m)
 WACC = 14.93% (E(6.47b)/V(6.48b) * Re(14.95%) + D(6.78m)/V(6.48b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.0)))
Discount Rate = 14.95% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 86.67 | Cagr: 47.20%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -81.6m)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -0.12 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -87.35 | Revenue CAGR: -21.50% | SUE: 0.69 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=-0.05 | Chg30d=-7.93% | Revisions=-57% | Analysts=8
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.05 | Chg30d=-12.47% | Revisions=-57% | Analysts=7
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.18 | Chg30d=-0.33% | Revisions=-44% | GrowthEPS=-15.3% | GrowthRev=+232.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-0.20 | Chg30d=+1.08% | Revisions=-44% | GrowthEPS=-9.0% | GrowthRev=+90.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -70% (up=2, down=18)